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Multinomial-Softmax Varying Effects Model -- How to improve predictions?
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type | dateelection | samplesize_agg | farleft_agg | left_agg | green_agg | center_agg | right_agg | farright_agg | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | president | 2007-04-22 | 1513 | 2.642319739213243 | 23.87182150228697 | 0.7081341739052293 | 18.80659111617075 | 27.36192869136639 | 14.28224197910241 | |
1 | legislatives | 2007-06-10 | 916 | 7.330430463707668 | 27.56734754232374 | 3.706149433560413 | 11.11857079713214 | 41.3225282850869 | 6.306121535983752 | |
2 | municipale | 2008-03-09 | 755 | 3.587714919640731 | 44.51125588163963 | 5.78942009798018 | 8.098579044091164 | 32.74063560747641 | 2.18220604881888 | |
3 | europeennes | 2009-06-07 | 2287 | 12.99453267007107 | 19.61478771495959 | 13.35153423532709 | 11.1684820808109 | 27.26258673414158 | 5.756322266063732 | |
4 | regionales | 2010-03-14 | 907 | 9.82754276813801 | 28.9297161718842 | 13.58420361981117 | 4.684000265532882 | 28.93073792740683 | 9.083516463389802 | |
5 | president | 2012-04-22 | 1400 | 13.68371418271063 | 27.6270407004019 | 2.529702829322754 | 10.3735479474175 | 26.783412051306 | 15.86246594485609 | |
6 | legislatives | 2012-06-10 | 1193 | 7.973864868429566 | 32.11125265943151 | 5.070614112874637 | 2.775111578146919 | 33.68244436524814 | 15.25863568458217 | |
7 | municipale | 2014-03-23 | 977 | 5.590757245681147 | 38.19966887853894 | 6.539854898787164 | 0.0 | 36.59660966106258 | 8.238621736250181 | |
8 | europeennes | 2014-05-25 | 3248 | 7.55630210443015 | 16.68915561513946 | 8.88391111731633 | 9.686673346084902 | 21.49759725516988 | 23.2142532792426 | |
9 | regionales | 2015-12-06 | 1749 | 5.267733514302111 | 22.90611009083124 | 5.860654376270849 | 0.0 | 28.11253252341348 | 28.88151680528222 | |
10 | president | 2017-04-23 | 1555 | 18.87525529737615 | 7.687336483521855 | 8.040551168080104e-09 | 23.74748026654238 | 19.38216802537257 | 22.46609650992854 | |
11 | legislatives | 2017-06-11 | 1299 | 11.70698665701012 | 7.980058139295995 | 2.989557860135522 | 30.37535345478942 | 21.00566598781601 | 17.41608188288658 |
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