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example of R's optimize function: weighting us 2x10 curve to have zero correlation to usdjpy
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library(fredr) | |
require(xts) | |
# note you'll need an API key | |
fredr_set_key("123YourFREDAPIKey321") | |
# helper function to convert tib to xts | |
xtsT <- function(TIB) xts(TIB$value, TIB$date) | |
# helper function to remove rows that have NA values | |
rmNA <- function(X) X[complete.cases(X), ] | |
# get data | |
us2yr <- xtsT(fredr("DGS2", observation_start=as.Date('2016-01-01'))) | |
us10yr <- xtsT(fredr("DGS10", observation_start=as.Date('2016-01-01'))) | |
usdjpy <- xtsT(fredr("DEXJPUS", observation_start=as.Date('2016-01-01'))) | |
# create portfolio: % returns for USDJPY and bps changes for 2x10 curve | |
portfolio <- rmNA(cbind(usdjpy, us2yr, us10yr)) | |
portfolio_diff <- rmNA(100 * cbind(diff(portfolio[, 1], log=T), | |
diff(portfolio[, 2:3]))) | |
# embed problem in a function | |
corFun <- function(b, targetCor = 0) { | |
spread <- portfolio_diff[, 'us10yr'] - b * portfolio_diff[, 'us2yr'] | |
abs(cor(spread, portfolio_diff[, 'usdjpy']) - targetCor) | |
} | |
# optimise the function | |
optWeight <- optimize(corFun, lower = 0, upper = 2) | |
# plot the range of results | |
plot(sapply(seq(0, 2, 0.01), corFun), x = seq(0, 2, 0.01), | |
main = "Correlation of weighted US 2x10 curve trade with USDJPY", | |
xlab = "weighting on 2yr", | |
ylab = "Correlation with USDJPY") | |
abline(v = 1, col=8, lty=2, lwd=1) | |
abline(h = 0, col=2, lty=2, lwd=1) | |
points(optWeight$minimum, 0, pch=17, col=2, type='p') |
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