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pn11/20210108-covid19-tokyo.ipynb

Created January 7, 2021 15:15
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20210108-covid19-tokyo.ipynb
{
"nbformat": 4,
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"metadata": {
"colab": {
"name": "20210108-covid19-tokyo.ipynb",
"provenance": [],
"collapsed_sections": [],
"authorship_tag": "ABX9TyMkAeW0bTAtqz+tQSYPFPjm",
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"<a href=\"https://colab.research.google.com/gist/pn11/8f94146132dc8da56e367e5d956a8c9d/20210108-covid19-tokyo.ipynb\" target=\"_parent\"><img src=\"https://colab.research.google.com/assets/colab-badge.svg\" alt=\"Open In Colab\"/></a>"
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},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"metadata": {
"id": "ORhTYKnsH3Dt"
},
"source": [
"from datetime import datetime, timedelta\r\n",
"import scipy.optimize\r\n",
"import numpy as np\r\n",
"import pandas as pd\r\n",
"import plotly.express as px"
],
"execution_count": 2,
"outputs": []
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"metadata": {
"id": "SYEEa4rIJb5M"
},
"source": [
"df = pd.read_csv('https://oku.edu.mie-u.ac.jp/~okumura/python/data/COVID-tokyo.csv')"
],
"execution_count": 3,
"outputs": []
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"metadata": {
"colab": {
"base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/",
"height": 542
},
"id": "FAExzn-4MKsR",
"outputId": "9fcce2f1-c7d7-45de-e7d0-d71564c8057f"
},
"source": [
"# 線形で図示\r\n",
"fig = px.scatter(df, x=\"date\", y=\"confirmed\")\r\n",
"fig.show()"
],
"execution_count": 4,
"outputs": [
{
"output_type": "display_data",
"data": {
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"fig_log = px.scatter(df, x=\"date\", y=\"confirmed\", log_y=True)\r\n",
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"execution_count": 5,
"outputs": [
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},
"metadata": {
"tags": []
}
}
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"metadata": {
"colab": {
"base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/",
"height": 1000
},
"id": "KdZe5vy7L3s1",
"outputId": "e7b70805-6d1b-4acb-9ff8-3bee1cbcd38e"
},
"source": [
"# データ確認\r\n",
"pd.set_option('display.max_rows', 500)\r\n",
"df"
],
"execution_count": 6,
"outputs": [
{
"output_type": "execute_result",
"data": {
"text/html": [
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" <th></th>\n",
" <th>date</th>\n",
" <th>confirmed</th>\n",
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" <th>0</th>\n",
" <td>2020-01-24</td>\n",
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" <td>2020-01-28</td>\n",
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" <th>5</th>\n",
" <td>2020-01-29</td>\n",
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" <th>6</th>\n",
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" <td>2020-01-31</td>\n",
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" <th>8</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-01</td>\n",
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" <tr>\n",
" <th>9</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-02</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <tr>\n",
" <th>10</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-03</td>\n",
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" <th>11</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-04</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <th>12</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-05</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <th>13</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-06</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <tr>\n",
" <th>14</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-07</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
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" <tr>\n",
" <th>15</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-08</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>16</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-09</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>17</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-10</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>18</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-11</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>19</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-12</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>20</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-13</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>21</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-14</td>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>22</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-15</td>\n",
" <td>8</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>23</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-16</td>\n",
" <td>5</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>24</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-17</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>25</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-18</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>26</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-19</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>27</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-20</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>28</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-21</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>29</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-22</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>30</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-23</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>31</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-24</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>32</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-25</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>33</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-26</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>34</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-27</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>35</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-28</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>36</th>\n",
" <td>2020-02-29</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>37</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-01</td>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>38</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-02</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>39</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-03</td>\n",
" <td>1</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>40</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-04</td>\n",
" <td>4</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>41</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-05</td>\n",
" <td>8</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>42</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-06</td>\n",
" <td>6</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>43</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-07</td>\n",
" <td>6</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>44</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-08</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>45</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-09</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>46</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-10</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>47</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-11</td>\n",
" <td>6</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>48</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-12</td>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>49</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-13</td>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>50</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-14</td>\n",
" <td>10</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>51</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-15</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>52</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-16</td>\n",
" <td>0</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>53</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-17</td>\n",
" <td>12</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>54</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-18</td>\n",
" <td>9</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>55</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-19</td>\n",
" <td>7</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>56</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-20</td>\n",
" <td>11</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>57</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-21</td>\n",
" <td>7</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>58</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-22</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>59</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-23</td>\n",
" <td>16</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>60</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-24</td>\n",
" <td>18</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>61</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-25</td>\n",
" <td>41</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>62</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-26</td>\n",
" <td>46</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>63</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-27</td>\n",
" <td>40</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>64</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-28</td>\n",
" <td>64</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>65</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-29</td>\n",
" <td>72</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>66</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-30</td>\n",
" <td>12</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>67</th>\n",
" <td>2020-03-31</td>\n",
" <td>78</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>68</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-01</td>\n",
" <td>67</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>69</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-02</td>\n",
" <td>98</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>70</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-03</td>\n",
" <td>92</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>71</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-04</td>\n",
" <td>118</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>72</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-05</td>\n",
" <td>141</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>73</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-06</td>\n",
" <td>85</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>74</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-07</td>\n",
" <td>87</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>75</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-08</td>\n",
" <td>156</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>76</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-09</td>\n",
" <td>183</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>77</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-10</td>\n",
" <td>199</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>78</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-11</td>\n",
" <td>198</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>79</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-12</td>\n",
" <td>174</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>80</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-13</td>\n",
" <td>100</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>81</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-14</td>\n",
" <td>159</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>82</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-15</td>\n",
" <td>127</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>83</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-16</td>\n",
" <td>151</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>84</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-17</td>\n",
" <td>206</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>85</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-18</td>\n",
" <td>186</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>86</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-19</td>\n",
" <td>109</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>87</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-20</td>\n",
" <td>101</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>88</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-21</td>\n",
" <td>123</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>89</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-22</td>\n",
" <td>123</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>90</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-23</td>\n",
" <td>134</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>91</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-24</td>\n",
" <td>170</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>92</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-25</td>\n",
" <td>119</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>93</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-26</td>\n",
" <td>82</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>94</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-27</td>\n",
" <td>41</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>95</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-28</td>\n",
" <td>113</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>96</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-29</td>\n",
" <td>47</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>97</th>\n",
" <td>2020-04-30</td>\n",
" <td>59</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>98</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-01</td>\n",
" <td>165</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>99</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-02</td>\n",
" <td>154</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>100</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-03</td>\n",
" <td>93</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>101</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-04</td>\n",
" <td>87</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>102</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-05</td>\n",
" <td>57</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>103</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-06</td>\n",
" <td>37</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>104</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-07</td>\n",
" <td>23</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>105</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-08</td>\n",
" <td>39</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>106</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-09</td>\n",
" <td>36</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>107</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-10</td>\n",
" <td>22</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>108</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-11</td>\n",
" <td>15</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>109</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-12</td>\n",
" <td>27</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>110</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-13</td>\n",
" <td>10</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>111</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-14</td>\n",
" <td>30</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>112</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-15</td>\n",
" <td>9</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>113</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-16</td>\n",
" <td>14</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>114</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-17</td>\n",
" <td>5</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>115</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-18</td>\n",
" <td>10</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>116</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-19</td>\n",
" <td>5</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>117</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-20</td>\n",
" <td>5</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>118</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-21</td>\n",
" <td>11</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>119</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-22</td>\n",
" <td>3</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>120</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-23</td>\n",
" <td>2</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>121</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-24</td>\n",
" <td>14</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>122</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-25</td>\n",
" <td>8</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>123</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-26</td>\n",
" <td>10</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>124</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-27</td>\n",
" <td>11</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>125</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-28</td>\n",
" <td>15</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>126</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-29</td>\n",
" <td>21</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>127</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-30</td>\n",
" <td>14</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>128</th>\n",
" <td>2020-05-31</td>\n",
" <td>5</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>129</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-01</td>\n",
" <td>13</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>130</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-02</td>\n",
" <td>34</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>131</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-03</td>\n",
" <td>12</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>132</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-04</td>\n",
" <td>28</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>133</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-05</td>\n",
" <td>20</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>134</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-06</td>\n",
" <td>26</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>135</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-07</td>\n",
" <td>14</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>136</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-08</td>\n",
" <td>13</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>137</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-09</td>\n",
" <td>12</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>138</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-10</td>\n",
" <td>18</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>139</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-11</td>\n",
" <td>22</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>140</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-12</td>\n",
" <td>25</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>141</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-13</td>\n",
" <td>24</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>142</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-14</td>\n",
" <td>47</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>143</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-15</td>\n",
" <td>48</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>144</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-16</td>\n",
" <td>27</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>145</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-17</td>\n",
" <td>16</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>146</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-18</td>\n",
" <td>41</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>147</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-19</td>\n",
" <td>35</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>148</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-20</td>\n",
" <td>39</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>149</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-21</td>\n",
" <td>35</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>150</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-22</td>\n",
" <td>29</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>151</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-23</td>\n",
" <td>31</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>152</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-24</td>\n",
" <td>55</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>153</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-25</td>\n",
" <td>48</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>154</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-26</td>\n",
" <td>54</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>155</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-27</td>\n",
" <td>57</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>156</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-28</td>\n",
" <td>60</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>157</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-29</td>\n",
" <td>58</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>158</th>\n",
" <td>2020-06-30</td>\n",
" <td>54</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>159</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-01</td>\n",
" <td>67</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>160</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-02</td>\n",
" <td>107</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>161</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-03</td>\n",
" <td>124</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>162</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-04</td>\n",
" <td>131</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>163</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-05</td>\n",
" <td>111</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>164</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-06</td>\n",
" <td>102</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>165</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-07</td>\n",
" <td>106</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>166</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-08</td>\n",
" <td>75</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>167</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-09</td>\n",
" <td>224</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>168</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-10</td>\n",
" <td>243</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>169</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-11</td>\n",
" <td>206</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>170</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-12</td>\n",
" <td>206</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>171</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-13</td>\n",
" <td>119</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>172</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-14</td>\n",
" <td>143</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>173</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-15</td>\n",
" <td>165</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>174</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-16</td>\n",
" <td>286</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>175</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-17</td>\n",
" <td>293</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>176</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-18</td>\n",
" <td>290</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>177</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-19</td>\n",
" <td>188</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>178</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-20</td>\n",
" <td>168</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>179</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-21</td>\n",
" <td>237</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>180</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-22</td>\n",
" <td>238</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>181</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-23</td>\n",
" <td>366</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>182</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-24</td>\n",
" <td>260</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>183</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-25</td>\n",
" <td>295</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>184</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-26</td>\n",
" <td>239</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>185</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-27</td>\n",
" <td>131</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>186</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-28</td>\n",
" <td>266</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>187</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-29</td>\n",
" <td>250</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>188</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-30</td>\n",
" <td>367</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>189</th>\n",
" <td>2020-07-31</td>\n",
" <td>463</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>190</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-01</td>\n",
" <td>472</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>191</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-02</td>\n",
" <td>292</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>192</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-03</td>\n",
" <td>258</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>193</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-04</td>\n",
" <td>309</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>194</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-05</td>\n",
" <td>263</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>195</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-06</td>\n",
" <td>360</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>196</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-07</td>\n",
" <td>462</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>197</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-08</td>\n",
" <td>429</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>198</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-09</td>\n",
" <td>331</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>199</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-10</td>\n",
" <td>197</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>200</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-11</td>\n",
" <td>188</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>201</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-12</td>\n",
" <td>222</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>202</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-13</td>\n",
" <td>206</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>203</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-14</td>\n",
" <td>389</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>204</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-15</td>\n",
" <td>385</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>205</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-16</td>\n",
" <td>260</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>206</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-17</td>\n",
" <td>161</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>207</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-18</td>\n",
" <td>207</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>208</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-19</td>\n",
" <td>186</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>209</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-20</td>\n",
" <td>339</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>210</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-21</td>\n",
" <td>258</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>211</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-22</td>\n",
" <td>256</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>212</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-23</td>\n",
" <td>212</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>213</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-24</td>\n",
" <td>95</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>214</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-25</td>\n",
" <td>182</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>215</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-26</td>\n",
" <td>236</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>216</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-27</td>\n",
" <td>250</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>217</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-28</td>\n",
" <td>226</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>218</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-29</td>\n",
" <td>247</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>219</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-30</td>\n",
" <td>148</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>220</th>\n",
" <td>2020-08-31</td>\n",
" <td>100</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>221</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-01</td>\n",
" <td>170</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>222</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-02</td>\n",
" <td>141</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>223</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-03</td>\n",
" <td>211</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>224</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-04</td>\n",
" <td>136</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>225</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-05</td>\n",
" <td>181</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>226</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-06</td>\n",
" <td>116</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>227</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-07</td>\n",
" <td>77</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>228</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-08</td>\n",
" <td>170</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>229</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-09</td>\n",
" <td>149</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>230</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-10</td>\n",
" <td>276</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>231</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-11</td>\n",
" <td>187</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>232</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-12</td>\n",
" <td>226</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>233</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-13</td>\n",
" <td>146</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>234</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-14</td>\n",
" <td>80</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>235</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-15</td>\n",
" <td>191</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>236</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-16</td>\n",
" <td>163</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>237</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-17</td>\n",
" <td>171</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>238</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-18</td>\n",
" <td>220</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>239</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-19</td>\n",
" <td>218</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>240</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-20</td>\n",
" <td>162</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>241</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-21</td>\n",
" <td>98</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>242</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-22</td>\n",
" <td>88</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>243</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-23</td>\n",
" <td>59</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>244</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-24</td>\n",
" <td>195</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>245</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-25</td>\n",
" <td>195</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>246</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-26</td>\n",
" <td>270</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>247</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-27</td>\n",
" <td>144</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>248</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-28</td>\n",
" <td>78</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>249</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-29</td>\n",
" <td>212</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>250</th>\n",
" <td>2020-09-30</td>\n",
" <td>194</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>251</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-01</td>\n",
" <td>235</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>252</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-02</td>\n",
" <td>196</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>253</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-03</td>\n",
" <td>208</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>254</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-04</td>\n",
" <td>108</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>255</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-05</td>\n",
" <td>66</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>256</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-06</td>\n",
" <td>177</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>257</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-07</td>\n",
" <td>142</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>258</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-08</td>\n",
" <td>248</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>259</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-09</td>\n",
" <td>203</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>260</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-10</td>\n",
" <td>249</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>261</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-11</td>\n",
" <td>146</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>262</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-12</td>\n",
" <td>78</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>263</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-13</td>\n",
" <td>166</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>264</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-14</td>\n",
" <td>177</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>265</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-15</td>\n",
" <td>284</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>266</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-16</td>\n",
" <td>184</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>267</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-17</td>\n",
" <td>235</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>268</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-18</td>\n",
" <td>132</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>269</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-19</td>\n",
" <td>78</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>270</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-20</td>\n",
" <td>139</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>271</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-21</td>\n",
" <td>150</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>272</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-22</td>\n",
" <td>185</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>273</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-23</td>\n",
" <td>186</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>274</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-24</td>\n",
" <td>203</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>275</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-25</td>\n",
" <td>124</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>276</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-26</td>\n",
" <td>102</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>277</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-27</td>\n",
" <td>158</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>278</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-28</td>\n",
" <td>171</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>279</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-29</td>\n",
" <td>221</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>280</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-30</td>\n",
" <td>204</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>281</th>\n",
" <td>2020-10-31</td>\n",
" <td>215</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>282</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-01</td>\n",
" <td>116</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>283</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-02</td>\n",
" <td>87</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>284</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-03</td>\n",
" <td>209</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>285</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-04</td>\n",
" <td>122</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>286</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-05</td>\n",
" <td>269</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>287</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-06</td>\n",
" <td>242</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>288</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-07</td>\n",
" <td>294</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>289</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-08</td>\n",
" <td>189</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>290</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-09</td>\n",
" <td>157</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>291</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-10</td>\n",
" <td>293</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>292</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-11</td>\n",
" <td>317</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>293</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-12</td>\n",
" <td>393</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>294</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-13</td>\n",
" <td>374</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>295</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-14</td>\n",
" <td>352</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>296</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-15</td>\n",
" <td>255</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>297</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-16</td>\n",
" <td>180</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>298</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-17</td>\n",
" <td>298</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>299</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-18</td>\n",
" <td>493</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>300</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-19</td>\n",
" <td>534</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>301</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-20</td>\n",
" <td>522</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>302</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-21</td>\n",
" <td>539</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>303</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-22</td>\n",
" <td>391</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>304</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-23</td>\n",
" <td>314</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>305</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-24</td>\n",
" <td>186</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>306</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-25</td>\n",
" <td>401</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>307</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-26</td>\n",
" <td>481</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>308</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-27</td>\n",
" <td>570</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>309</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-28</td>\n",
" <td>561</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>310</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-29</td>\n",
" <td>418</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>311</th>\n",
" <td>2020-11-30</td>\n",
" <td>311</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>312</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-01</td>\n",
" <td>372</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>313</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-02</td>\n",
" <td>500</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>314</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-03</td>\n",
" <td>533</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>315</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-04</td>\n",
" <td>449</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>316</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-05</td>\n",
" <td>584</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>317</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-06</td>\n",
" <td>327</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>318</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-07</td>\n",
" <td>299</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>319</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-08</td>\n",
" <td>352</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>320</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-09</td>\n",
" <td>572</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>321</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-10</td>\n",
" <td>602</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>322</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-11</td>\n",
" <td>595</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>323</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-12</td>\n",
" <td>621</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>324</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-13</td>\n",
" <td>480</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>325</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-14</td>\n",
" <td>305</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>326</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-15</td>\n",
" <td>460</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>327</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-16</td>\n",
" <td>678</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>328</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-17</td>\n",
" <td>822</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>329</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-18</td>\n",
" <td>664</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>330</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-19</td>\n",
" <td>736</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>331</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-20</td>\n",
" <td>556</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>332</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-21</td>\n",
" <td>392</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>333</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-22</td>\n",
" <td>563</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>334</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-23</td>\n",
" <td>748</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>335</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-24</td>\n",
" <td>888</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>336</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-25</td>\n",
" <td>884</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>337</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-26</td>\n",
" <td>949</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>338</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-27</td>\n",
" <td>708</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>339</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-28</td>\n",
" <td>481</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>340</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-29</td>\n",
" <td>856</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>341</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-30</td>\n",
" <td>944</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>342</th>\n",
" <td>2020-12-31</td>\n",
" <td>1337</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>343</th>\n",
" <td>2021-01-01</td>\n",
" <td>783</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>344</th>\n",
" <td>2021-01-02</td>\n",
" <td>814</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>345</th>\n",
" <td>2021-01-03</td>\n",
" <td>816</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>346</th>\n",
" <td>2021-01-04</td>\n",
" <td>884</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>347</th>\n",
" <td>2021-01-05</td>\n",
" <td>1278</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>348</th>\n",
" <td>2021-01-06</td>\n",
" <td>1591</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" <tr>\n",
" <th>349</th>\n",
" <td>2021-01-07</td>\n",
" <td>2447</td>\n",
" </tr>\n",
" </tbody>\n",
"</table>\n",
"</div>"
],
"text/plain": [
" date confirmed\n",
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"68 2020-04-01 67\n",
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"125 2020-05-28 15\n",
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"127 2020-05-30 14\n",
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"333 2020-12-22 563\n",
"334 2020-12-23 748\n",
"335 2020-12-24 888\n",
"336 2020-12-25 884\n",
"337 2020-12-26 949\n",
"338 2020-12-27 708\n",
"339 2020-12-28 481\n",
"340 2020-12-29 856\n",
"341 2020-12-30 944\n",
"342 2020-12-31 1337\n",
"343 2021-01-01 783\n",
"344 2021-01-02 814\n",
"345 2021-01-03 816\n",
"346 2021-01-04 884\n",
"347 2021-01-05 1278\n",
"348 2021-01-06 1591\n",
"349 2021-01-07 2447"
]
},
"metadata": {
"tags": []
},
"execution_count": 6
}
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"metadata": {
"id": "TynHgMKoODfx"
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"source": [
"# fitting 関数\r\n",
"def fit_func(x, a, b): \r\n",
" return a * np.exp(b * x)"
],
"execution_count": 7,
"outputs": []
},
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"source": [
"# 11/1 - 1/7 を fitting\r\n",
"start = 282\r\n",
"end = 349\r\n",
"span = end - start\r\n",
"future = 14\r\n",
"\r\n",
"param, param_cov = scipy.optimize.curve_fit(fit_func, np.linspace(0, span-1, span) , df['confirmed'][start:end], p0=[1, 0.5])\r\n",
"print(param)\r\n",
"print(param_cov)\r\n",
"\r\n",
"fig_log = px.scatter(x=np.linspace(0, span-1, span) , y=df['confirmed'][start:end], log_y=True)\r\n",
"fig_log.show()\r\n",
"\r\n",
"expected_x = []\r\n",
"expected_y = []\r\n",
"for i in range(span+future):\r\n",
" expected_x.append(pd.to_datetime(df['date'][start])+ timedelta(days = i))\r\n",
" expected_y.append(fit_func(i, param[0], param[1]))\r\n"
],
"execution_count": 8,
"outputs": [
{
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"[2.00742826e+02 2.54898450e-02]\n",
"[[ 5.11606339e+02 -4.73932589e-02]\n",
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"id": "83STtyP3RSui",
"outputId": "b7955508-89e8-44d0-8c7f-5f08b27bd9a3"
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"import plotly.graph_objects as go\r\n",
"\r\n",
"fig_fit = go.Figure()\r\n",
"\r\n",
"fig_fit.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df['date'], y=df['confirmed'],\r\n",
" mode='markers'))\r\n",
"fig_fit.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=expected_x, y=expected_y,\r\n",
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"\r\n",
"fig_fit.update_yaxes(type=\"log\")\r\n",
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],
"execution_count": 9,
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" observer.disconnect();\n",
" }}\n",
"}});\n",
"\n",
"// Listen for the removal of the full notebook cells\n",
"var notebookContainer = gd.closest('#notebook-container');\n",
"if (notebookContainer) {{\n",
" x.observe(notebookContainer, {childList: true});\n",
"}}\n",
"\n",
"// Listen for the clearing of the current output cell\n",
"var outputEl = gd.closest('.output');\n",
"if (outputEl) {{\n",
" x.observe(outputEl, {childList: true});\n",
"}}\n",
"\n",
" })\n",
" };\n",
" \n",
" </script>\n",
" </div>\n",
"</body>\n",
"</html>"
]
},
"metadata": {
"tags": []
}
}
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {
"id": "JxzMW5pfOnA7"
},
"source": [
"## 参考サイト\r\n",
"\r\n",
"- <https://oku.edu.mie-u.ac.jp/~okumura/python/COVID-19.html>\r\n",
"- <https://medium.com/analytics-vidhya/covid-19-curve-fitting-and-future-projections-a4ffdb2e17e7>"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"metadata": {
"id": "acb1aMcuY0pN"
},
"source": [
""
],
"execution_count": null,
"outputs": []
}
]
}
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