-
-
Save tvladeck/5295f34c842fd81334ea to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Estimate the implied growth of high multiple equities
This file contains bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
Learn more about bidirectional Unicode characters
function (lgr, pe.market, pe.stock, years = 10, | |
irr = lgr) { | |
# Args: | |
# lgr: the "low growth rate", or the expected earnings growth of the | |
# market at large | |
# pe.low: the market price / earnings ratio for equities | |
# pe.high: the p/e ratio of the high multiple equity | |
# irr: the investor's targeted IRR - most likely this should == lgr | |
# years: the number of years you want to look out | |
# Returns: the implied earnings growth of the high multiple equity | |
years <- 1:years | |
market.earnings <- 1 / pe.market | |
stock.earnings <- 1 / pe.stock | |
# given a growth rate for the "high growth" equity, and a sequence | |
# of years, this function calcuates the discounted difference in | |
# revenue between the high-growth equity and the low-growth equity | |
forgone.earnings <- function (gr) { | |
sum(( (stock.earnings * (1 + gr)^years) - (market.earnings * (1 + lgr)^years) ) / (1 + irr)^years) | |
} | |
# this finds the value of the growth rate at which the | |
# "forgone.earnings" of the high-growth stock is 0 | |
uniroot(forgone.earnings, c(-1, 10))$root | |
} | |
# FB | |
Implied.Growth.Rate(0.05, 15, 171) #=> ~ 0.50 | |
# Amazon | |
Implied.Growth.Rate(0.05, 15, 312) #=> 0.61 | |
Implied.Growth.Rate(0.05, 15, 1040) #=> 0.86 |
Sign up for free
to join this conversation on GitHub.
Already have an account?
Sign in to comment