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Peanut Butter Stage 2 only estimation
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| Ox Console version 7.00 (Linux_64) (C) J.A. Doornik, 1994-2013 | |
| This version may be used for academic research and teaching only | |
| Peanut Butter Model Starting | |
| niqlow version 1.00 Copyright (C) 2011-2014 Christopher Ferrall. | |
| Execution of niqlow implies acceptance of its free software License (niqlow/niqlow-license.txt). | |
| Warning: SetUpdateTime: Setting update time to AfterFixed. Transitions and actual values can depend on fixed effect values but not random effects. If they do, results are not reliable. | |
| Warning: CreateSpaces: setting clock type to stationary. | |
| -------------------- DP Model Summary ------------------------ | |
| Clock: 0. Infinite Horizon | |
| STATE VARIABLES | |
| |eps |eta |theta -clock |gamma | |
| s11 s21 coupo coupo coupo coupo coupo weeks consu t t' r f | |
| s.N 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 59 64 1 1 1 1 | |
| Transition Categories (not counting fixed) | |
| NonRandom Random Coevolving | |
| #Vars 1 5 3 | |
| Size of Spaces | |
| N | |
| Exogenous 1 | |
| SemiExogenous 1 | |
| Endogenous 120832 | |
| Times 1 | |
| EV()Iterating 120832 | |
| Ch.Prob.track 120832 | |
| Random Groups 1 | |
| Fixed Groups 1 | |
| TotalUntrimmed 120832 | |
| ACTION VARIABLES (6 distinct actions) | |
| purch | |
| i.N 6 | |
| Trimming | |
| N | |
| TotalReachable 120832 | |
| Terminal 0 | |
| ACTION SETS | |
| alpha A[0] | |
| (0) X | |
| (1) X | |
| (2) X | |
| (3) X | |
| (4) X | |
| (5) X | |
| #States 120832 | |
| Key: X = row vector is feasible. - = infeasible | |
| Added to the observed list: weeks_to_go purchase coupon_ctl coupon_jif coupon_peter coupon_skippy coupon_other consumption Observed Finished. | |
| Outcome Summary: PeanutButter | |
| ID purch s11 s21 coupo coupo coupo coupo coupo weeks consu t t' r f | |
| observed 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 | |
| force0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 | |
| column 0 1 -1 -1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 -1 -1 -1 -1 | |
| sample size mean st.dev. min max | |
| hh_id 1.5571e+05 1.5831e+06 5.0225e+05 1.1001e+06 2.1861e+06 | |
| week 1.5571e+05 0.38253 0.99271 0.0000 5.0000 | |
| vol 1.5571e+05 0.010198 0.10047 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| purch 1.5571e+05 0.17655 0.38129 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| wks_to_g 1.5571e+05 0.69106 0.46206 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cons 1.5571e+05 0.31750 0.46550 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cpn_ctl 1.5571e+05 0.11767 0.32222 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cpn_jif 1.5555e+05 13.828 9.6583 0.0000 58.000 | |
| cpn_ptr 1.5571e+05 7.3087 6.5043 0.0000 63.000 | |
| Source data summary0 | |
| . Total Outcomes Loaded: 155714 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_ctl1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_ctl2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_jif1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_jif2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_peter1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_peter2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_skippy1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_skippy2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_other1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_other2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: Load: File PanelBB.PeanutButterMLE1.optobj not found. Load is doing nothing | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_ctl1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_ctl2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_jif1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_jif2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_peter1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_peter2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_skippy1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_skippy2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_other1 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Warning: bounded parameter q_other2 starting close to midpoint of range, 0.500000000 | |
| Report of Gradient Starting on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -.Inf | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000000000 | |
| alpha1 2 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 3 1.00000000000 | |
| eta1 4 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma0 5 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma1 6 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma2 7 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma3 8 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma4 9 1.00000000000 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.900000000000 | |
| alpha0 2.00000000000 | |
| alpha1 5.00000000000 | |
| eta0 0.100000000000 | |
| eta1 0.200000000000 | |
| gamma0 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma1 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma2 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma3 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma4 1.00000000000 | |
| q_ctl1 0.500000000000 | |
| q_ctl2 0.500000000000 | |
| q_jif1 0.500000000000 | |
| q_jif2 0.500000000000 | |
| q_peter1 0.500000000000 | |
| q_peter2 0.500000000000 | |
| q_skippy1 0.500000000000 | |
| q_skippy2 0.500000000000 | |
| q_other1 0.500000000000 | |
| q_other2 0.500000000000 | |
| Runtime error: 'pandv' member function call requires object | |
| Runtime error occurred in GetPstar (54), call trace: | |
| (54): GetPstar | |
| (376): FullLikelihood | |
| (447): FullLikelihood | |
| (508): LogLikelihood | |
| (525): LogLikelihood | |
| (859): EconometricObjective | |
| (555): vfunc | |
| (350): vobj | |
| (291): funclist | |
| (404): Jacobian | |
| (376): Gradient | |
| remaining calls not listed | |
| --- SharcNET Job Epilogue --- | |
| job id: 3565489 | |
| exit status: 0 | |
| cpu time: 1348s / 3.0h (12 %) | |
| elapsed time: 1352s / 3.0h (12 %) | |
| virtual memory: 2.8G / 3.5G (78 %) | |
| Job completed successfully | |
| WARNING: Job only used 12 % of its requested walltime. | |
| WARNING: Job only used 12 % of its requested cpu time. | |
| WARNING: Job only used 78% of its requested memory. |
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These results are when I estimate the purchase model fixing all the transition probabilities to one-half.