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November 15, 2020 01:19
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{ | |
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"### Performing Ayyadurai's Analysis, This Time On Democrats\n", | |
"\n", | |
"We'll do the same operations as Ayyadurai. We'll take fractions of the straight-ticket vote for Democrats, and fraction of votes for Biden among split-ticket voters to conduct our analysis.\n", | |
"\n", | |
"To get split-ticket voter percentages alone, we need to remove straight-ticket votes we know go towards candidates. This is to get as close to Ayyadurai's quantities as possible." | |
] | |
}, | |
{ | |
"cell_type": "code", | |
"execution_count": 8, | |
"metadata": {}, | |
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"source": [ | |
"split_ticket_data = presidential_vote_data.copy()\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"biden\"] -= straight_ticket_data[\"Democratic Party\"]\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"trump\"] -= straight_ticket_data[\"Republican Party\"]\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"jorgensen\"] -= straight_ticket_data[\"Libertarian Party\"]\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"blankenship\"] -= straight_ticket_data[\"U.S. Taxpayers Party\"]\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"hawkins\"] -= straight_ticket_data[\"Green Party\"]\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"rocky\"] -= straight_ticket_data[\"Natural Law Party\"]" | |
] | |
}, | |
{ | |
"cell_type": "code", | |
"execution_count": 9, | |
"metadata": {}, | |
"outputs": [], | |
"source": [ | |
"# Get totals so we can frame our numbers as percentages\n", | |
"\n", | |
"straight_ticket_data[\"totals\"] = straight_ticket_data.sum(axis=1)\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"totals\"] = split_ticket_data.sum(axis=1)" | |
] | |
}, | |
{ | |
"cell_type": "code", | |
"execution_count": 10, | |
"metadata": {}, | |
"outputs": [], | |
"source": [ | |
"# Get percentages\n", | |
"straight_ticket_data[\"%_democrat\"] = (\n", | |
" straight_ticket_data[\"Democratic Party\"] / straight_ticket_data[\"totals\"]\n", | |
")\n", | |
"split_ticket_data[\"%_biden\"] = (\n", | |
" split_ticket_data[\"biden\"] / split_ticket_data[\"totals\"]\n", | |
")" | |
] | |
}, | |
{ | |
"cell_type": "markdown", | |
"metadata": {}, | |
"source": [ | |
"Now we can plot precinct percentages." | |
] | |
} | |
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"display_name": "Python 3", | |
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