BaseBall.ipynb

{
 "cells": [
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 389,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "[('D', 0.0), ('De', 0.0), ('C', 0.001), ('G', 0.021), ('Y', 0.086), ('H', 0.892)]\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "import random\n",
    "\n",
    "Team=['H','Y','G','D','C','De']\n",
    "\n",
    "p=dict()\n",
    "p['H']=0.581\n",
    "p['Y']=0.560\n",
    "p['G']=0.547\n",
    "p['D']=0.448\n",
    "p['C']=0.433\n",
    "p['De']=0.432\n",
    "\n",
    "w=dict()\n",
    "w['H']=0.0\n",
    "w['Y']=3.0\n",
    "w['G']=4.0\n",
    "w['D']=13.5\n",
    "w['C']=15.0\n",
    "w['De']=15.0\n",
    "\n",
    "\n",
    "z=dict()\n",
    "z['H']=34\n",
    "z['Y']=40\n",
    "z['G']=33\n",
    "z['D']=33\n",
    "z['C']=36\n",
    "z['De']=34\n",
    "\n",
    "wp=dict()\n",
    "wp['H']=0.0\n",
    "wp['Y']=-3.0\n",
    "wp['G']=-4.0\n",
    "wp['D']=-13.5\n",
    "wp['C']=-15.0\n",
    "wp['De']=-15.0\n",
    "\n",
    "sample=1000\n",
    "c=dict()\n",
    "c['H']=0\n",
    "c['Y']=0\n",
    "c['G']=0\n",
    "c['D']=0\n",
    "c['C']=0\n",
    "c['De']=0\n",
    "\n",
    "for s in range(1,sample+1):\n",
    "    for T in Team:\n",
    "        for i in range(1,z[T]+1):\n",
    "            Tvs=random.choice(Team)\n",
    "            if random.random()<=p[T]:\n",
    "                w[T]+=0.5\n",
    "                w[Tvs]-=0.5\n",
    "            else:\n",
    "                w[T]-=0.5\n",
    "                w[Tvs]+=0.5\n",
    "            \n",
    "    wT=sorted(w.items(),key=lambda x:x[1])\n",
    "    c[wT[-1][0]]+=1\n",
    "\n",
    "sumwin=0\n",
    "for T in Team:\n",
    "    sumwin+=c[T]\n",
    "for T in Team:\n",
    "    c[T]/=sumwin\n",
    "    \n",
    "wT=sorted(c.items(),key=lambda x:x[1])\n",
    "print(wT)\n",
    "    "
   ]
  }
 ],
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