Aufgabe 31 UE Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie

Aufgabe 31.ipynb

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    "# Aufgabe 31"
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   "source": [
    "Das Ziegenproblem wurde als ein Beispiel für bedingte Wahrscheinlichkeit in der Vorlesung erwähnt. (Siehe z.B. https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ziegenproblem oder das Buch *Das Ziegenproblem: Denken in Wahrscheinlichkeiten von Gero von Randow* für eine weitere Erklärung.) Führen Sie ein Experiment mit 30 Versuchsreihen durch und stellen Sie Ihre Erfahrungen mit zwei Stabdiagrammen grafisch dar!"
   ]
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  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 1,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "import random\n",
    "import plotly.offline as pl # Für die Barcharts\n",
    "import plotly.graph_objs as go # Für die Barcharts"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 2,
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   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "N=1000"
   ]
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   "source": [
    "def spiel(wechseln):\n",
    "    hinter_türen = list('zza') # z=Ziege, a=Auto\n",
    "    random.shuffle(hinter_türen)\n",
    "    spieler_tür=random.randint(0,2) # Spieler wählt zufällig eine Tür\n",
    "    if not wechseln:\n",
    "        return hinter_türen[spieler_tür]\n",
    "    if hinter_türen[spieler_tür]=='a':\n",
    "        return 'z'\n",
    "    return 'a'"
   ]
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   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 4,
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   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "def simulate(wechseln, N=N):\n",
    "    return (''.join(spiel(wechseln) for _ in range(N))).count('a')/N\n",
    "        "
   ]
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    "    'barmode': 'relative',\n",
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