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August 8, 2011 01:23
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MR Market
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Ben Graham, my friend and teacher, long ago described the | |
mental attitude toward market fluctuations that I believe to be | |
most conducive to investment success. He said that you should | |
imagine market quotations as coming from a remarkably | |
accommodating fellow named Mr. Market who is your partner in a | |
private business. Without fail, Mr. Market appears daily and | |
names a price at which he will either buy your interest or sell | |
you his. | |
Even though the business that the two of you own may have | |
economic characteristics that are stable, Mr. Market's quotations | |
will be anything but. For, sad to say, the poor fellow has | |
incurable emotional problems. At times he feels euphoric and can | |
see only the favorable factors affecting the business. When in | |
that mood, he names a very high buy-sell price because he fears | |
that you will snap up his interest and rob him of imminent gains. | |
At other times he is depressed and can see nothing but trouble | |
ahead for both the business and the world. On these occasions he | |
will name a very low price, since he is terrified that you will | |
unload your interest on him. | |
Mr. Market has another endearing characteristic: He doesn't | |
mind being ignored. If his quotation is uninteresting to you | |
today, he will be back with a new one tomorrow. Transactions are | |
strictly at your option. Under these conditions, the more manic- | |
depressive his behavior, the better for you. | |
But, like Cinderella at the ball, you must heed one warning | |
or everything will turn into pumpkins and mice: Mr. Market is | |
there to serve you, not to guide you. It is his pocketbook, not | |
his wisdom, that you will find useful. If he shows up some day | |
in a particularly foolish mood, you are free to either ignore him | |
or to take advantage of him, but it will be disastrous if you | |
fall under his influence. Indeed, if you aren't certain that you | |
understand and can value your business far better than Mr. | |
Market, you don't belong in the game. As they say in poker, "If | |
you've been in the game 30 minutes and you don't know who the | |
patsy is, you're the patsy." |
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