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year Team1 Team1_xrank Team1_trank Team2 Team2_xrank Team2_trank
2014 Aston Villa 18 17 Hull 17 18
2016 Swansea 18 15 Middlesbrough 17 19
2017 Huddersfield 18 16 West Bromwich Albion 13 20
2018 Brighton 18 17 Cardiff 17 18
2019 Aston Villa 18 17 Bournemouth 15 18
2019 Newcastle United 20 13 Watford 14 19
2020 Crystal Palace 18 14 Fulham 16 18
2022 Nottingham Forest 18 16 Leicester 12 18
2022 Bournemouth 20 15 Leeds 15 19
year Team1 Team1_xrank Team1_trank Team2 Team2_xrank Team2_trank
2016 Liverpool 5 4 Manchester United 4 6
2017 Manchester United 6 2 Chelsea 4 5
2018 Tottenham 5 4 Manchester United 4 6
2022 Manchester United 6 3 Brighton 4 6
2023 Aston Villa 7 4 Newcastle United 4 7
total_matched constituency Who is running? What does Electoral Calculus say?
136157.92 Clacton Nigel Farage 80% chance of winning
84095.85 Islington North Jeremy Corbyn 27% chance of winning (holding?)
13345.54 Richmond and Northallerton Rishi Sunak 50% chance of holding
11432.41 Chesham and Amersham Sarah Green 80% chance of holding a seat she won in a by-election in 2021
11378.91 Stratford-on-Avon Chris Clarkson 5% chance of holding Nadhim Zahawi's former seat
10127.54 Boston and Skegness Richard Tice 70% chance of winning
9811.01 Croydon South Ben Taylor and Chris Philp Labour has a 85% chance of unseating the incumbent Conservative
7843.54 Brighton Pavilion Sian Berry 74% chance of holding Caroline Lucas' former seat
7536.28 St Albans Daisy Cooper 99% chance of holding
total_matched constituency Who is running? What does Electoral Calculus say?
112223.77 Clacton Nigel Farage 81% chance of winning
72310.33 Islington North Jeremy Corbyn 57% chance of winning (holding?)
12269.93 Richmond and Northallerton Rishi Sunak 63% chance of holding
11033.51 Chesham and Amersham Sarah Green 76% chance of holding a seat she won in a by-election in 2021
9369.55 Croydon South Ben Taylor and Chris Philp Labour has a 67% chance of unseating the incumbent Conservative
7522.21 St Albans Daisy Cooper 100% chance of holding
7471.11 Boston and Skegness Richard Tice 45% chance of winning
6671.31 Stratford-on-Avon Chris Clarkson 58% chance of holding Nadhim Zahawi's former seat
5609.32 Rochdale George Galloway 21% chance of holding