Created
April 28, 2013 19:57
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Anomaly detection system based on forecasting
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| run: | |
| *** Statistics *** | |
| Count: 100 | |
| Max: 107 | |
| Min: 102 | |
| Avg: 104.0 | |
| Variance: 2.52 | |
| Standard deviation: 1.5874507866387544 | |
| Median: 104.5 | |
| Actual: 104 00.00% 106 00.00% 105 00.00% 107 00.00% 107 00.00% | |
| Forecast: 104 00.00% 104 01.90% 104 00.96% 104 02.84% 104 02.84% (MLR15, performance 01.00%) | |
| Forecast: 105 00.96% 105 00.95% 105 00.00% 105 01.89% 105 01.89% (MLR60, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (MLR120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (SESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (DESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (TESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: 104 00.00% 104 01.90% 104 00.96% 104 02.84% 104 02.84% (Average, performance 01.00%) | |
| *** Anomalies *** | |
| 0 | |
| *** Values *** | |
| 107 103 104 105 103 105 105 106 102 107 104 105 105 102 107 104 103 107 104 105 | |
| 107 106 103 106 104 103 104 105 105 106 103 103 103 102 104 105 107 107 103 103 | |
| 104 105 105 102 107 103 107 104 103 104 105 105 106 102 104 104 106 105 106 103 | |
| 106 103 102 104 103 106 106 106 103 104 103 105 104 106 105 107 106 103 104 104 | |
| 104 106 105 103 102 104 103 105 105 104 107 106 103 103 105 104 106 105 107 107 | |
| *** Statistics *** | |
| Count: 100 | |
| Max: 126 | |
| Min: 104 | |
| Avg: 113.0 | |
| Variance: 34.46 | |
| Standard deviation: 5.8702640485756685 | |
| Median: 114.0 | |
| Actual: 126 00.00% 122 00.00% 123 00.00% 122 00.00% 124 00.00% | |
| Forecast: 121 04.05% 121 00.82% 121 01.64% 121 00.82% 121 02.45% (MLR15, performance 01.00%) | |
| Forecast: 110 13.56% 111 09.44% 111 10.26% 111 09.44% 111 11.06% (MLR60, performance 10.00%) | |
| Forecast: (MLR120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (SESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (DESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (TESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: 115 09.13% 116 05.04% 116 05.86% 116 05.04% 116 06.67% (Average, performance 06.00%) | |
| *** Anomalies *** | |
| 0 | |
| *** Values *** | |
| 106 105 105 104 106 108 107 104 105 105 109 108 105 105 107 108 108 110 108 108 | |
| 108 106 110 111 109 108 110 111 111 107 110 111 110 113 112 110 110 109 110 111 | |
| 110 113 111 112 111 115 114 115 112 116 114 113 114 115 116 113 114 113 115 117 | |
| 117 115 114 115 116 117 115 119 120 117 118 119 121 119 120 117 118 119 119 122 | |
| 122 119 123 120 121 121 124 122 123 120 122 121 123 122 120 126 122 123 122 124 | |
| *** Statistics *** | |
| Count: 100 | |
| Max: 2186 | |
| Min: 102 | |
| Avg: 187.0 | |
| Variance: 138908.05 | |
| Standard deviation: 372.70370269156166 | |
| Median: 105.0 | |
| Actual: 1329 00.00% 2034 00.00% 2030 00.00% 2186 00.00% 1253 00.00% | |
| Forecast: 104 170.97% 104 180.54% 104 180.51% 104 181.83% 104 169.34% (MLR15, performance 176.00%) | |
| Forecast: 104 170.97% 104 180.54% 104 180.51% 104 181.83% 104 169.34% (MLR60, performance 176.00%) | |
| Forecast: (MLR120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (SESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (DESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (TESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: 104 170.97% 104 180.54% 104 180.51% 104 181.83% 104 169.34% (Average, performance 176.00%) | |
| *** Anomalies *** | |
| 5 | |
| *** Values *** | |
| 104 106 107 107 107 104 103 105 106 105 102 105 102 105 103 103 103 105 105 105 | |
| 105 103 106 103 104 107 104 103 105 106 105 106 105 106 103 106 103 104 102 104 | |
| 104 105 107 105 102 103 103 103 103 104 106 103 104 106 106 106 106 106 104 103 | |
| 105 104 107 105 107 103 106 103 103 103 104 103 103 106 104 106 106 106 103 107 | |
| 102 104 102 105 105 105 106 106 106 103 103 105 107 102 105 1329 2034 2030 2186 1253 | |
| *** Statistics *** | |
| Count: 100 | |
| Max: 107 | |
| Min: 3 | |
| Avg: 99.0 | |
| Variance: 471.92 | |
| Standard deviation: 21.723719755143225 | |
| Median: 105.0 | |
| Actual: 5 00.00% 5 00.00% 6 00.00% 3 00.00% 7 00.00% | |
| Forecast: 104 181.65% 104 181.65% 104 178.18% 104 188.79% 104 174.77% (MLR15, performance 180.00%) | |
| Forecast: 105 181.82% 105 181.82% 105 178.38% 105 188.89% 105 175.00% (MLR60, performance 180.00%) | |
| Forecast: (MLR120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (SESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (DESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: (TESM120, performance 00.00%) | |
| Forecast: 104 181.65% 104 181.65% 104 178.18% 104 188.79% 104 174.77% (Average, performance 180.00%) | |
| *** Anomalies *** | |
| 5 | |
| *** Values *** | |
| 106 104 107 107 104 102 104 105 105 105 106 102 102 103 103 103 106 104 104 104 | |
| 106 107 105 102 103 103 105 103 105 106 106 102 106 103 103 103 104 105 103 105 | |
| 103 105 106 106 107 106 107 104 102 104 105 106 106 106 107 106 102 105 106 104 | |
| 103 105 105 104 106 107 106 107 107 102 105 103 105 105 105 102 106 106 104 105 | |
| 103 103 103 104 104 104 107 105 107 106 103 104 102 104 105 5 5 6 3 7 |
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