https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpwSGsb-rTs

frogs.py

#!/usr/bin/env python
#
# Based on https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpwSGsb-rTs
#
# changed to refute counterclaim by MindYourDecisions:
# - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=go3xtDdsNQM
#
# more discussion about the riddle here:
# - https://www.reddit.com/r/math/comments/48vzz8/why_tededs_frog_riddle_is_wrong/
#
import random
import copy
import collections


Frog = collections.namedtuple('Frog', 'sex croaked')

MALE = False
FEMALE = True


class FrogGroup(list):
    def include(self, sex):
        return any(frog.sex is sex for frog in self)
    
    @property
    def croaked(self):
        return sum(frog.croaked for frog in self)


choices = (MALE, FEMALE)

def spawn_frog():
    sex = random.choice(choices)
    if sex is MALE:
        # we don't know what is probability that a male will croak
        # for simplicity let's assume that
        # there is a 50% probability that a male will croak in our decision making timespan
        croaked = random.choice((True, False))
    else:
        # if female croaks or not is irrelevant
        # we count in just MALE CROAKING which is DISTINCTIVE
        croaked = False
    
    return Frog(sex, croaked)


def get_croaking_idx(frogs):
    for i, frog in enumerate(frogs):
        if frog.croaked:
            return i


def get_survived_percentage(survived_data):
    return (100 * sum(survived_data)/len(survived_data))


survived_on_left = []
survived_on_right = []


i = 0
while i < 1000000:
    frogs_on_left = FrogGroup([spawn_frog(), spawn_frog()])
    frogs_on_right = FrogGroup([spawn_frog()])

    if frogs_on_left.croaked == 1 and frogs_on_right.croaked == 0:
        # you can decrease number of iterations and print idx
        # to "see" the croaking frog
        idx = get_croaking_idx(frogs_on_left)
        # our scenario
        i += 1
        survived_on_left.append(frogs_on_left.include(FEMALE))
        survived_on_right.append(frogs_on_right.include(FEMALE))


print("Survive ratio on left: %.0f%%" % get_survived_percentage(survived_on_left))
print("Survive ratio on right: %.0f%%" % get_survived_percentage(survived_on_right))