The viral population graph is wrong. The job puzzle isn’t.
I saw that chart claiming we jumped from under 5B to 8B people in five years and raised an eyebrow. I asked my ChatGPT researcher to sanity-check it. Result: we’re ~8.2B, growth is slowing, and the “explosion” isn’t the story. The story is aging in rich countries + a youth bulge in parts of Africa + AI reshaping tasks, not wiping out whole jobs.
Here’s the picture that actually changed my mind: the job ladder just lost the first rung while the roof got heavier. AI eats junior, routine tasks. Meanwhile, aging pushes huge demand for care, health, and skilled physical work that cannot be done through a browser.
Region lens that I now trust: high-income economies get chronic shortages in eldercare, trades, and energy retrofits. Middle-income is mixed - some aging, some young - with nearshoring and regulated operations as niches. Low-income has youthful cities and massive job-creation needs, with infrastructure and SMBs as the path if energy and governa