Created
January 17, 2017 00:53
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import random | |
import numpy as np | |
key_info = [[5, 5, 0], | |
[10, 5, 1], | |
[15, 4, 1], | |
[20, 3, 1], | |
[25, 2, 1]] | |
def loss(rank, stars): | |
if stars == 0: | |
if rank < 20 and rank % 5 != 0: | |
rank += 1 | |
stars = key_info[int((rank-1)/5)][1]-1 | |
else: | |
stars -= 1 | |
winstreak = 0 | |
return rank, stars, winstreak | |
def win(rank, stars, winstreak): | |
win_stars = 1 | |
winstreak += 1 | |
if winstreak >= 3: # and rank > 5: | |
win_stars = 2 | |
stars_needed = key_info[int((rank-1)/5)][1] - stars | |
if stars_needed < win_stars: | |
rank -= 1 | |
stars = win_stars - stars_needed | |
else: | |
stars += 1 | |
return rank, stars, winstreak | |
static_win_rate_list = [0.5, 0.55, 0.60, 0.65] | |
dynamic_win_rate_list = [0.5, 0.55, 0.6, 0.65] | |
static_list = [0, 1] | |
for static in static_list: | |
for j in range(3): | |
static_win_rate = static_win_rate_list[j] | |
dynamic_win_rate = dynamic_win_rate_list[j] | |
game_samples = [] | |
for i in range(100000): | |
rank = 25 | |
stars = 0 | |
winstreak = 0 | |
games = 0 | |
while rank > 0: | |
if static == 1: | |
if random.random() < static_win_rate: | |
rank, stars, winstreak = win(rank, stars, winstreak) | |
else: | |
rank, stars, winstreak = loss(rank, stars) | |
else: | |
if random.random() < dynamic_win_rate + (rank-1)/100: | |
rank, stars, winstreak = win(rank, stars, winstreak) | |
else: | |
rank, stars, winstreak = loss(rank, stars) | |
games += 1 | |
if games > 10**6: | |
print("fail") | |
continue | |
game_samples.append(games) | |
if static == 0: | |
print(dynamic_win_rate + 0.25, dynamic_win_rate, np.mean(game_samples), np.std(game_samples)) | |
if static == 1: | |
print(static_win_rate, static_win_rate, np.mean(game_samples), np.std(game_samples)) |
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