hotbath
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| data { | |
| int<lower=0> Y[4]; | |
| } | |
| parameters { | |
| real mu; | |
| real<lower=0> sigma; | |
| } | |
| transformed parameters { | |
| vector<lower=0>[4] theta; | |
| theta[1] = normal_cdf(39.5 | mu, sigma); | |
| theta[2] = normal_cdf(40.5 | mu, sigma) - normal_cdf(39.5 | mu, sigma); | |
| theta[3] = normal_cdf(41.5 | mu, sigma) - normal_cdf(40.5 | mu, sigma); | |
| theta[4] = 1 - normal_cdf(41.5 | mu, sigma); | |
| } | |
| model { | |
| Y ~ multinomial(theta); | |
| } | |
| generated quantities { | |
| int<lower=0> Y_pred[4]; | |
| Y_pred = multinomial_rng(theta, sum(Y)); | |
| } |
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