Created
July 20, 2016 21:08
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calculation for the probability of the NBA Draft lottery going as 'chalk'
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| ## NBA DRAFT ODDS - CHANCES OF 'CHALK' | |
| chancesInOrder <- c(250, 199, 156, 119, 88, 63, 43, 28, 17, 11, 8, 7, 6, 5) | |
| conditionalProb <- 1 | |
| for(i in 1:3){ | |
| conditionalProb <- conditionalProb*chancesInOrder[i]/sum(chancesInOrder[i:length(chancesInOrder)]) | |
| } | |
| conditionalProb | |
| # > conditionalProb | |
| # [1] 0.0187804 |
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