How to read a paper. https://osf.io/8ftsx/
- Google the authors. Do they have PhDs or are they students? Are they tenured? Can you identify the biases of their departments?
- Have the authors published in this area recently in series? Google Scholar that shit
- Print them out so you can write on them paper formatting gives you dyslexia on PC.
- Public is concered about large scale political violence
- Many American Partisans support violence against rival partisans
Here we propose
that support for partisan violence is based in part on greatly exaggerated perceptions of rival partisans’
support for violence
- Ask "Do you support violence against political rivals"
- Ask "Estimate your rivals propensity for violence"
- Ask "Estimate your rivals propensity for violence" 239% to 489% higher
- Ask the first question again. 39% reduction in support for violence 47% reduction in willingness to engage in violence
- One month later: continued reduction in support for violence
On a scale of 0-100 they asked Democrats and Republicans four questions about support for political violence, and then the same four questions assessing the other party's support
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Both parties support violence at about 10%
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Democrats believed GOP supports violence at 35%
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GOP believed Dems support violence at 37%
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Both parties overesitmate in group support for violence (Dems: 13% vs 9%, GOP: 14% vs 10%)
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Claim: Support for violence correlates with belief in outparty's support for violence (b = .097, P < .001)
Goals:
- Does belief outparty supports violence imply belief outparty will actually commit violence?
- Did Jan 6th affect gap between in party support vs percieved out party support for violence?
- Replicate the correlation between support for violence and percieved outparty support for violence
Results:
- Willingness to Engage in Violence:
- Wave 1 7.2% of Democrats and 4.4% of GOP willing to engage in violence
- Wave 2 9.2% of Democrats and 7.7% of GOP willing to engage in violence
- Overestimation in outparty willingness to actually engage in violence:
- Wave 1 (October) Dems overestimate GOP: 441%, GOP overestimate Dems: 417%
- Wave 2 (March) Overestimate (Dems vs GOP 489%) (GOP vs Dems 461%)
Other Fun facts:
- Both groups much more likely to use violence in perceived self defence (30%)
Question: Does informing partisans about actual outparty support for violence decrease their support for violence?
- Focuses on Stronk partisans, who are more likely to support violence + predict violance a la Study 1
- Control group gets study 1 again, correction group gets the upfront measure of outparty violence support
Results: Correction group sees a 37% reduction in support for violence
- Replication test of Study 3 post Jan 6th with willingness to enact rather than just support
- Results: Correction group sees a 44% reduction in support for willingness to enact
- Stronger support for violence correlated with greater reduction in support for violence (ie more extreme views were downmodulated)
- Durability test of decrease in support of violence
- After 27 days decrease in support persisted (b = -0.30, P < .001)
The results indicate
that a brief, informational intervention – correcting participants’ responses to a single survey item – continued to
significantly improve metaperceptions of outpartisans’ willingness to enact violence several weeks later, while also
having a significant effect on participants’ own reported willingness to enact violence
Sociology isn't that hard but i'm not a sociologist.
The conclusions are inline below
Introductions are to get you to read the paper. You're already reading the paper anyways why waste your time?