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@clauswilke
Created March 17, 2020 02:57
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COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate (CFR) by age
---
title: "COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate (CFR) by age"
output: html_document
---
```{r setup, include=FALSE}
knitr::opts_chunk$set(echo = TRUE)
library(tidyverse)
```
Seasonal influenza 1997 to 2007 CFR (taken from https://github.com/jbloom/CoV_vs_flu_CFR/blob/master/cfr_stats.ipynb, original source Table 1 of https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3873104/ assuming a 10% incidence rate)
COVID-19 CFR data taken from Table 1 from https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
```{r}
flu <- read_csv(file =
"label,age,CFR
<18,9,0.0041
18-49,33,0.0103
50-64,57,0.0718
65-74,70,0.2637
>=75,80,1.4115")
flu$disease = "seasonal influenza"
covid19 <- read_csv(file =
"label,age,CFR
0-9,5,0.002
10-19,15,0.006
20-29,25,0.03
30-39,35,0.08
40-49,45,0.15
50-59,55,0.6
60-69,65,2.2
70-79,75,5.1
>=80,85,9.3")
covid19$disease = "COVID-19"
```
The plot.
```{r}
df <- rbind(flu, covid19)
ggplot(df, aes(age, CFR, color = disease)) +
geom_line() +
scale_y_log10(
name = "Case Fatality Rate"
)
```
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