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Results from Model Runs
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| Ox Console version 7.00 (Linux_64) (C) J.A. Doornik, 1994-2013 | |
| This version may be used for academic research and teaching only | |
| Peanut Butter Model Starting | |
| niqlow version 1.00 Copyright (C) 2011-2014 Christopher Ferrall. | |
| Execution of niqlow implies acceptance of its free software License (niqlow/niqlow-license.txt). | |
| Warning: SetUpdateTime: Setting update time to AfterFixed. Transitions and actual values can depend on fixed effect values but not random effects. If they do, results are not reliable. | |
| Warning: CreateSpaces: setting clock type to stationary. | |
| -------------------- DP Model Summary ------------------------ | |
| Clock: 0. Infinite Horizon | |
| STATE VARIABLES | |
| |eps |eta |theta -clock |gamma | |
| s11 s21 coupo coupo coupo coupo coupo weeks consu t t' r f | |
| s.N 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 59 64 1 1 1 1 | |
| Transition Categories (not counting fixed) | |
| NonRandom Random Coevolving | |
| #Vars 1 5 3 | |
| Size of Spaces | |
| N | |
| Exogenous 1 | |
| SemiExogenous 1 | |
| Endogenous 120832 | |
| Times 1 | |
| EV()Iterating 120832 | |
| Ch.Prob.track 120832 | |
| Random Groups 1 | |
| Fixed Groups 1 | |
| TotalUntrimmed 120832 | |
| ACTION VARIABLES (6 distinct actions) | |
| purch | |
| i.N 6 | |
| Trimming | |
| N | |
| TotalReachable 120832 | |
| Terminal 0 | |
| ACTION SETS | |
| alpha A[0] | |
| (0) X | |
| (1) X | |
| (2) X | |
| (3) X | |
| (4) X | |
| (5) X | |
| #States 120832 | |
| Key: X = row vector is feasible. - = infeasible | |
| Added to the observed list: weeks_to_go purchase coupon_ctl coupon_jif coupon_peter coupon_skippy coupon_other consumption Observed Finished. | |
| Outcome Summary: PeanutButter | |
| ID purch s11 s21 coupo coupo coupo coupo coupo weeks consu t t' r f | |
| observed 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 | |
| force0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 | |
| column 0 1 -1 -1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 -1 -1 -1 -1 | |
| sample size mean st.dev. min max | |
| hh_id 1.5356e+05 1.5886e+06 5.0272e+05 1.1001e+06 2.1861e+06 | |
| week 1.5356e+05 0.38339 0.99352 0.0000 5.0000 | |
| vol 1.5356e+05 0.010341 0.10116 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| purch 1.5356e+05 0.17647 0.38122 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| wks_to_g 1.5356e+05 0.69107 0.46205 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cons 1.5356e+05 0.31748 0.46550 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cpn_ctl 1.5356e+05 0.11765 0.32219 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cpn_jif 1.5356e+05 16.119 9.9182 0.0000 58.000 | |
| cpn_ptr 1.5356e+05 7.3231 6.5185 0.0000 63.000 | |
| Source data summary0 | |
| . Total Outcomes Loaded: 153561 | |
| Warning: Load: File output/pbutter_90LINEAR.optobj not found. Load is doing nothing | |
| First Stage | |
| Second Stage | |
| Report of Simplex Starting on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -.Inf | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 2 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma0 3 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma1 4 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma2 5 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma3 6 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma4 7 0.00000000000 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.900000000000 | |
| alpha0 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma0 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma1 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma2 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma3 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma4 0.00000000000 | |
| q_ctl1 0.00100000000000 | |
| q_ctl2 0.0103411700000 | |
| q_jif1 0.0784313700000 | |
| q_jif2 0.0980392200000 | |
| q_peter1 0.507333100000 | |
| q_peter2 0.177555600000 | |
| q_skippy1 0.117647100000 | |
| q_skippy2 0.199835900000 | |
| q_other1 0.0400000000000 | |
| q_other2 0.0600000000000 | |
| Max # evaluations 2147483647 | |
| Max # restarts 2147483647 | |
| Plex size tolerance 1e-05 | |
| ------------ | |
| 1.0000 1.1000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 | |
| 1.0000 1.0000 1.1000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 | |
| -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf | |
| undefined max over function list above | |
| Runtime error occurred in funclist (298), call trace: | |
| (298): funclist | |
| (330): Amoeba | |
| (261): Iterate | |
| model/pbutterSimple.ox (82): DoAll | |
| model/pbutterMainSimple.ox (346): main | |
| --- SharcNET Job Epilogue --- | |
| job id: 3608882 | |
| exit status: 0 | |
| elapsed time: 1.5h / 16.0h (9 %) | |
| virtual memory: 2.7G / 3.5G (77 %) | |
| Job completed successfully | |
| WARNING: Job only used 9 % of its requested walltime. | |
| WARNING: Job only used 77% of its requested memory. |
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| Ox Console version 7.00 (Linux_64) (C) J.A. Doornik, 1994-2013 | |
| This version may be used for academic research and teaching only | |
| Peanut Butter Model Starting | |
| niqlow version 1.00 Copyright (C) 2011-2014 Christopher Ferrall. | |
| Execution of niqlow implies acceptance of its free software License (niqlow/niqlow-license.txt). | |
| Warning: SetUpdateTime: Setting update time to AfterFixed. Transitions and actual values can depend on fixed effect values but not random effects. If they do, results are not reliable. | |
| Warning: CreateSpaces: setting clock type to stationary. | |
| -------------------- DP Model Summary ------------------------ | |
| Clock: 0. Infinite Horizon | |
| STATE VARIABLES | |
| |eps |eta |theta -clock |gamma | |
| s11 s21 coupo coupo coupo coupo coupo weeks consu t t' r f | |
| s.N 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 59 64 1 1 1 1 | |
| Transition Categories (not counting fixed or time) | |
| NonRandom Random Coevolving Augmented | |
| #Vars 1 5 3 0 | |
| Size of Spaces | |
| N | |
| Exogenous 1 | |
| SemiExogenous 1 | |
| Endogenous 120832 | |
| Times 1 | |
| EV()Iterating 120832 | |
| Ch.Prob.track 120832 | |
| Random Groups 1 | |
| Fixed Groups 1 | |
| TotalUntrimmed 120832 | |
| ACTION VARIABLES (6 distinct actions) | |
| purch | |
| i.N 6 | |
| TRIMMING AND SUBSAMPLING | |
| N | |
| TotalReachable 120832 | |
| Terminal 0 | |
| Approximated 0 | |
| tfirsts 0 | |
| ACTION SETS | |
| alpha A[0] | |
| (0) X | |
| (1) X | |
| (2) X | |
| (3) X | |
| (4) X | |
| (5) X | |
| #States 120832 | |
| Key: X = row vector is feasible. - = infeasible | |
| Warning: KeaneWolpin: Must call SubSampleStates() before CreateSpaces() if you uses KeaneWolpin | |
| Added to the observed list: weeks_to_go purchase coupon_ctl coupon_jif coupon_peter coupon_skippy coupon_other consumption Observed Finished. | |
| Outcome Summary: PeanutButter | |
| ID purch s11 s21 coupo coupo coupo coupo coupo weeks consu t t' r f | |
| observed 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 | |
| force0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 | |
| column 0 1 -1 -1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 -1 -1 -1 -1 | |
| sample size mean st.dev. min max | |
| hh_id 1.5356e+05 1.5886e+06 5.0272e+05 1.1001e+06 2.1861e+06 | |
| week 1.5356e+05 0.38339 0.99352 0.0000 5.0000 | |
| vol 1.5356e+05 0.010341 0.10116 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| purch 1.5356e+05 0.17647 0.38122 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| wks_to_g 1.5356e+05 0.69107 0.46205 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cons 1.5356e+05 0.31748 0.46550 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cpn_ctl 1.5356e+05 0.11765 0.32219 0.0000 1.0000 | |
| cpn_jif 1.5356e+05 16.119 9.9182 0.0000 58.000 | |
| cpn_ptr 1.5356e+05 7.3231 6.5185 0.0000 63.000 | |
| Source data summary0 | |
| . Total Outcomes Loaded: 153561 | |
| Warning: Load: File output/pbutter_90LINEARkw.optobj not found. Load is doing nothing | |
| First Stage | |
| Second Stage | |
| Report of Simplex Starting on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -.Inf | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 2 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma0 3 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma1 4 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma2 5 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma3 6 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma4 7 0.00000000000 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.900000000000 | |
| alpha0 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 1.00000000000 | |
| gamma0 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma1 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma2 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma3 0.00000000000 | |
| gamma4 0.00000000000 | |
| q_ctl1 0.00100000000000 | |
| q_ctl2 0.0103411700000 | |
| q_jif1 0.0784313700000 | |
| q_jif2 0.0980392200000 | |
| q_peter1 0.507333100000 | |
| q_peter2 0.177555600000 | |
| q_skippy1 0.117647100000 | |
| q_skippy2 0.199835900000 | |
| q_other1 0.0400000000000 | |
| q_other2 0.0600000000000 | |
| Max # evaluations 2147483647 | |
| Max # restarts 2147483647 | |
| Plex size tolerance 1e-05 | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| State Variable consumption N=64 Dimensions of actual:1 x 64 | |
| Warning: Check: actual +should Nx1 vector | |
| Warning: LogLikelihood: Transitions have not been calculated at least once. Likelihood may fail. You may need to SetUpdateTime() | |
| ------------ | |
| 1.0000 1.1000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 | |
| 1.0000 1.0000 1.1000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 0.0000 | |
| 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.10000 | |
| -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf -.Inf | |
| undefined max over function list above | |
| Runtime error occurred in funclist (298), call trace: | |
| (298): funclist | |
| (330): Amoeba | |
| (261): Iterate | |
| model/pbutterSimple.ox (82): DoAll | |
| model/pbutterMainSimple.ox (346): main | |
| --- SharcNET Job Epilogue --- | |
| job id: 3608921 | |
| exit status: 0 | |
| elapsed time: 349s / 16.0h (0 %) | |
| virtual memory: 2.7G / 3.5G (77 %) | |
| Job completed successfully | |
| WARNING: Job only used 0 % of its requested walltime. | |
| WARNING: Job only used 77% of its requested memory. |
This file contains bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
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| Ox Console version 7.00 (Linux_64) (C) J.A. Doornik, 1994-2013 | |
| This version may be used for academic research and teaching only | |
| Peanut Butter Model Starting | |
| niqlow version 1.00 Copyright (C) 2011-2014 Christopher Ferrall. | |
| Execution of niqlow implies acceptance of its free software License (niqlow/niqlow-license.txt). | |
| Warning: SetUpdateTime: Setting update time to AfterFixed. Transitions and actual values can depend on fixed effect values but not random effects. If they do, results are not reliable. | |
| Warning: CreateSpaces: setting clock type to stationary. | |
| -------------------- DP Model Summary ------------------------ | |
| Clock: 0. Infinite Horizon | |
| STATE VARIABLES | |
| |eps |eta |theta -clock |gamma | |
| s11 s21 coupo coupo coupo coupo coupo weeks consu t t' r f | |
| s.N 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 59 64 1 1 1 1 | |
| Transition Categories (not counting fixed or time) | |
| NonRandom Random Coevolving Augmented | |
| #Vars 1 5 3 0 | |
| Size of Spaces | |
| N | |
| Exogenous 1 | |
| SemiExogenous 1 | |
| Endogenous 120832 | |
| Times 1 | |
| EV()Iterating 120832 | |
| Ch.Prob.track 120832 | |
| Random Groups 1 | |
| Fixed Groups 1 | |
| TotalUntrimmed 120832 | |
| ACTION VARIABLES (6 distinct actions) | |
| purch | |
| i.N 6 | |
| Runtime error: '[0] in matrix[0][1]' index out of range | |
| Runtime error occurred in Bellman (54), call trace: | |
| (54): Bellman | |
| (518): Run | |
| (543): loop | |
| (508): CTask | |
| (441): CreateSpaces | |
| (340): CreateSpaces | |
| (364): CreateSpaces | |
| (247): InitializeStatesParams | |
| model/pbutterSimple.ox (51): DoAll | |
| model/pbutterMainSimple.ox (363): main | |
| --- SharcNET Job Epilogue --- | |
| job id: 3619478 | |
| exit status: 0 | |
| Job completed successfully |
This file contains bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
Learn more about bidirectional Unicode characters
| Ox Console version 7.00 (Linux_64) (C) J.A. Doornik, 1994-2013 | |
| This version may be used for academic research and teaching only | |
| Peanut Butter Model Starting | |
| niqlow version 1.00 Copyright (C) 2011-2014 Christopher Ferrall. | |
| Execution of niqlow implies acceptance of its free software License (niqlow/niqlow-license.txt). | |
| Warning: SetUpdateTime: Setting update time to AfterFixed. Transitions and actual values can depend on fixed effect values but not random effects. If they do, results are not reliable. | |
| init_hat | |
| [0] = 0.99 | |
| [1] = 1 | |
| [2] = | |
| 1.0000 | |
| Warning: CreateSpaces: setting clock type to stationary. | |
| -------------------- DP Model Summary ------------------------ | |
| Clock: 0. Infinite Horizon | |
| STATE VARIABLES | |
| |eps |eta |theta -clock |gamma | |
| s11 s21 weeks consu t t' r f | |
| s.N 1 1 59 64 1 1 1 1 | |
| Transition Categories (not counting fixed) | |
| NonRandom Random Coevolving | |
| #Vars 1 0 3 | |
| Size of Spaces | |
| N | |
| Exogenous 1 | |
| SemiExogenous 1 | |
| Endogenous 3776 | |
| Times 1 | |
| EV()Iterating 3776 | |
| Ch.Prob.track 3776 | |
| Random Groups 1 | |
| Fixed Groups 1 | |
| TotalUntrimmed 3776 | |
| ACTION VARIABLES (6 distinct actions) | |
| purch | |
| i.N 6 | |
| Trimming | |
| N | |
| TotalReachable 3776 | |
| Terminal 0 | |
| ACTION SETS | |
| alpha A[0] | |
| (0) X | |
| (1) X | |
| (2) X | |
| (3) X | |
| (4) X | |
| (5) X | |
| #States 3776 | |
| Key: X = row vector is feasible. - = infeasible | |
| Added to the observed list: weeks_to_go purchase consumption Observed Finished. | |
| Outcome Summary: PeanutButter | |
| ID purch s11 s21 weeks consu t t' r f | |
| observed 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 | |
| force0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 | |
| column 0 1 -1 -1 2 3 -1 -1 -1 -1 | |
| sample size mean st.dev. min max | |
| hh_id 1.5356e+05 1.5886e+06 5.0272e+05 1.1001e+06 2.1861e+06 | |
| week 1.5356e+05 0.38339 0.99352 0.0000 5.0000 | |
| vol 1.5356e+05 16.119 9.9182 0.0000 58.000 | |
| purch 1.5356e+05 7.3231 6.5185 0.0000 63.000 | |
| Source data summary0 | |
| . Total Outcomes Loaded: 153561 | |
| Attempting to load from output/pbutterLIN | |
| Initial objective: -154300 | |
| First Stage | |
| Second Stage | |
| Report of Simplex Starting on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -.Inf | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 2 1.00000000000 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 0.860000000000 | |
| eta0 1.12000000000 | |
| Max # evaluations 2147483647 | |
| Max # restarts 2147483647 | |
| Plex size tolerance 1e-05 | |
| -154112.761051289650* | |
| -145580.134570265742* | |
| -144126.409055415890* | |
| -137314.190934013284* | |
| -134915.263086461695* | |
| -133773.685071451997* | |
| -132008.355980201915* | |
| -127590.324949902715* | |
| -126526.201369224626* | |
| -126144.409557859151* | |
| -126128.854176111839* | |
| -126095.888310026523* | |
| -126092.496782124232* | |
| -126088.637092290141* | |
| -126079.398932705240* | |
| -126076.419188111526* | |
| 1. N= 149 Step= 0.10000. Fmax=-126086 .PlexSize=8.61798e-06 *Converged* | |
| Bounds on Simplex | |
| alpha0 eta0 | |
| min 0.077957 1.5620 | |
| max 0.077969 1.5620 | |
| Report of Simplex Final on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -126085.987865 | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 0.0779573432118 | |
| eta0 2 1.56200277194 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 0.0670433151622 | |
| eta0 1.74944310458 | |
| Third Stage | |
| -126086.079813925186* | |
| Report of Gradient Starting on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -.Inf | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 2 1.00000000000 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 0.0670433151622 | |
| eta0 1.74944310458 | |
| alpha0 eta0 | |
| Gradient 4674.5 5115.3 | |
| alpha0 eta0 | |
| Gradient 2469.7 2809.3 | |
| BHHH 1. f=-126086 deltaX: 5.00141e-06 deltaG: 3740.56 | |
| BHHH Finished: 3:WEAK | |
| alpha0 eta0 | |
| Free Vector 1.0000 1.0000 | |
| Gradient 2469.7 2809.3 | |
| Report of Gradient Ending on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -126086.432937 | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000410307 | |
| eta0 2 1.00000285989 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 0.0670435902456 | |
| eta0 1.74944810779 | |
| --- SharcNET Job Epilogue --- | |
| job id: 3598771 | |
| exit status: 0 | |
| elapsed time: 789s / 1.0h (21 %) | |
| virtual memory: 1.4G / 2.0G (67 %) | |
| Job completed successfully | |
| WARNING: Job only used 21 % of its requested walltime. | |
| WARNING: Job only used 67% of its requested memory. |
This file contains bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
Learn more about bidirectional Unicode characters
| Ox Console version 7.00 (Linux_64) (C) J.A. Doornik, 1994-2013 | |
| This version may be used for academic research and teaching only | |
| Peanut Butter Model Starting | |
| niqlow version 1.00 Copyright (C) 2011-2014 Christopher Ferrall. | |
| Execution of niqlow implies acceptance of its free software License (niqlow/niqlow-license.txt). | |
| Warning: SetUpdateTime: Setting update time to AfterFixed. Transitions and actual values can depend on fixed effect values but not random effects. If they do, results are not reliable. | |
| init_hat | |
| [0] = 0.99 | |
| [1] = 1 | |
| [2] = | |
| 1.0000 1.0000 | |
| Warning: CreateSpaces: setting clock type to stationary. | |
| -------------------- DP Model Summary ------------------------ | |
| Clock: 0. Infinite Horizon | |
| STATE VARIABLES | |
| |eps |eta |theta -clock |gamma | |
| s11 s21 weeks consu t t' r f | |
| s.N 1 1 59 64 1 1 1 1 | |
| Transition Categories (not counting fixed) | |
| NonRandom Random Coevolving | |
| #Vars 1 0 3 | |
| Size of Spaces | |
| N | |
| Exogenous 1 | |
| SemiExogenous 1 | |
| Endogenous 3776 | |
| Times 1 | |
| EV()Iterating 3776 | |
| Ch.Prob.track 3776 | |
| Random Groups 1 | |
| Fixed Groups 1 | |
| TotalUntrimmed 3776 | |
| ACTION VARIABLES (6 distinct actions) | |
| purch | |
| i.N 6 | |
| Trimming | |
| N | |
| TotalReachable 3776 | |
| Terminal 0 | |
| ACTION SETS | |
| alpha A[0] | |
| (0) X | |
| (1) X | |
| (2) X | |
| (3) X | |
| (4) X | |
| (5) X | |
| #States 3776 | |
| Key: X = row vector is feasible. - = infeasible | |
| Added to the observed list: weeks_to_go purchase consumption Observed Finished. | |
| Outcome Summary: PeanutButter | |
| ID purch s11 s21 weeks consu t t' r f | |
| observed 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 | |
| force0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 | |
| column 0 1 -1 -1 2 3 -1 -1 -1 -1 | |
| sample size mean st.dev. min max | |
| hh_id 1.5356e+05 1.5886e+06 5.0272e+05 1.1001e+06 2.1861e+06 | |
| week 1.5356e+05 0.38339 0.99352 0.0000 5.0000 | |
| vol 1.5356e+05 16.119 9.9182 0.0000 58.000 | |
| purch 1.5356e+05 7.3231 6.5185 0.0000 63.000 | |
| Source data summary0 | |
| . Total Outcomes Loaded: 153561 | |
| Attempting to load from output/pbutterQUAD | |
| Initial objective: -143274 | |
| First Stage | |
| Second Stage | |
| Report of Simplex Starting on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -.Inf | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 2 1.00000000000 | |
| eta1 3 1.00000000000 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 0.950393289389 | |
| eta0 0.293535421769 | |
| eta1 1.54751770676 | |
| Max # evaluations 2147483647 | |
| Max # restarts 2147483647 | |
| Plex size tolerance 1e-05 | |
| -129121.818829260767* | |
| -128790.399287966706* | |
| -128718.349393385855* | |
| -128621.075553907707* | |
| -128545.429006471400* | |
| -128339.388842195011* | |
| -128244.292163184582* | |
| -128150.602225303272* | |
| -128074.645946247241* | |
| -127959.588628595724* | |
| -127889.679934840882* | |
| -127781.412628884587* | |
| -127676.812941846743* | |
| -127631.848903042279* | |
| -127574.221266764565* | |
| -127497.754653229917* | |
| -127250.357240939542* | |
| -127201.788514752465* | |
| -127002.656345907060* | |
| -126915.397819125079* | |
| -126853.000746359437* | |
| -126782.572324706984* | |
| -126636.282950036242* | |
| -126544.819116506595* | |
| -126321.089856090563* | |
| -126222.761290650931* | |
| -126201.537434610975* | |
| -126057.628047267179* | |
| -126030.632835474113* | |
| -125980.019364516062* | |
| -125969.471764438218* | |
| -125967.067695262434* | |
| -125926.982132115067* | |
| -125913.466533745159* | |
| -125888.575830748945* | |
| -125879.774123873198* | |
| -125874.181110127029* | |
| -125857.608716723567* | |
| -125818.977317816025* | |
| -125817.791233600961* | |
| -125814.908808081469* | |
| -125790.720084966015* | |
| -125788.250229028898* | |
| -125767.229991341213* | |
| -125766.561306292817* | |
| -125765.714992862704* | |
| -125762.631731449990* | |
| -125761.282395053713* | |
| 1. N= 215 Step= 0.10000. Fmax=-125767 .PlexSize=6.07793e-06 *Converged* | |
| Bounds on Simplex | |
| alpha0 eta0 eta1 | |
| min -0.062244 4.4652 0.29438 | |
| max -0.062242 4.4652 0.29438 | |
| Report of Simplex Final on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -125767.120277 | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 -0.0622422779742 | |
| eta0 2 4.46519361260 | |
| eta1 3 0.294383489348 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 -0.0591546433030 | |
| eta0 1.31069249035 | |
| eta1 0.455563662342 | |
| Third Stage | |
| -125767.127900869091* | |
| Report of Gradient Starting on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -.Inf | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00000000000 | |
| eta0 2 1.00000000000 | |
| eta1 3 1.00000000000 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 -0.0591546433030 | |
| eta0 1.31069249035 | |
| eta1 0.455563662342 | |
| alpha0 eta0 eta1 | |
| Gradient 22.615 420.54 590.67 | |
| alpha0 eta0 eta1 | |
| Gradient 587.98 930.05 1021.9 | |
| BHHH 1. f=-125767 deltaX: 3.58085e-05 deltaG: 1501.67 | |
| -125766.145036977308* | |
| BHHH 2. f=-125766 deltaX: 3.58085e-05 deltaG: 1501.67 | |
| BHHH Finished: 1:MAXITERATIONS | |
| alpha0 eta0 eta1 | |
| Free Vector 1.0039 0.99202 1.0039 | |
| Gradient 587.98 930.05 1021.9 | |
| Report of Gradient Ending on PeanutButterMLE1 | |
| Obj= -125766.145037 | |
| Free Parameters | |
| index free | |
| alpha0 1 1.00391233380 | |
| eta0 2 0.992019326293 | |
| eta1 3 1.00386039959 | |
| Actual Parameters | |
| Value | |
| delta 0.990000000000 | |
| alpha0 -0.0593860760132 | |
| eta0 1.30023228126 | |
| eta1 0.457322320116 | |
| --- SharcNET Job Epilogue --- | |
| job id: 3598779 | |
| exit status: 0 | |
| elapsed time: 1701s / 1.0h (47 %) | |
| virtual memory: 1.4G / 2.0G (67 %) | |
| Job completed successfully | |
| WARNING: Job only used 47 % of its requested walltime. | |
| WARNING: Job only used 67% of its requested memory. |
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These log files show the results of the model runs. The last two models work (not using coupon data). The first two give undefined max over function list above. The third model sets
SubSampleStates(0.2);but is otherwise identical to the second.