gistfile1.py

'''
odds of winning:   .5776398
odds of losing:   .4223602
 
odds of winning game after winning 1: 	23/34		.67647059
odds of winning game after winning 2: 	15/23		.65217391
odds of winning game after winning 3: 	9/15		.60000000
odds of winning game after winning 4: 	7/9		.77777778
odds of winning game after winning 5: 	3/7		.42857143
odds of winning game after winning 6: 	2/3		.66666667
odds of winning game after winning 7: 	0		.00000000
 
odds of losing game after losing 1:	17/35		.48571429
odds of losing game after losing 2:	8/17		.47058824
odds of losing game after losing 3:	4/8		.50000000	
odds of losing game after losing 4:	1/4		.25000000
odds of losing game after losing 5:	1/1		1.0000000
odds of losing game after losing 6:	1/1		1.0000000
odds of losing game after losing 7:	1/1		1.0000000
odds of losing game after losing 8:	0/1		.000000000
'''
 
import random
 
winning_odds=[.5776398,.67647059,.65217391,.6,.77777778,.42857143,.66666667,0]
losing_odds=[.4223602,.48571429,.47058824,.5,.25,1,1,1,0]
 
streak=['losing',3] #5/12 for current 2013 season
season_record=[21,16]
winning_records=[]
losing_records=[]
def thefunction(start,stop):	
	for i in range(start,stop):
		r=random.randint(1,100)
		if streak[0] == 'winning':
			if r<(winning_odds[streak[1]]*100):
				streak[1]+=1
				season_record[0]+=1
			else:
				streak[0]='losing'
				streak[1]=1
				season_record[1]+=1
		else:
			if r<(losing_odds[streak[1]]*100):				
				if season_record[1]==16: print "lost monday"
				streak[1]+=1
				season_record[1]+=1
 
			else:
				if season_record[0]==21: print "won monday"
				streak[0]="winning"
				streak[1]=1
				season_record[0]+=1
	print season_record
	winning_records.append(season_record[0])
	losing_records.append(season_record[1])
  print "---------"
 
for z in range (1,500):
	season_record=[21,16]	
	thefunction(1,127)
 
#get average winning record
print reduce(lambda x, y: x + y, winning_records) / float(len(winning_records))
print "---------"
#get average losing record	
print reduce(lambda x, y: x + y, losing_records) / float(len(losing_records))