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Factors correlating with predicted turnout change in England & Wales
Raw
turnout.md

What matters in predicting voter turnout?

A few days ago I briefly got involved in The Bureau Local's Voterpower Hack. Participants were provided with demographic and political data sourced from the Office of National Statistics, the Cabinet Office and the British Election Study.

During the hack I got chatting to political journalist Emma Yeomans who was looking into drops in predicted voter turnout.

We were both interested in understanding what factors are linked to voter turnot. Using numpy, a scientific computing package for Python, I used the numpy.corrcoef method to output correlation coefficients for the features in the dataset of England & Wales constituencies.

Does single living cause low turnout?

You can find the results in the csv file shown below. Given time limits I haven't been able to comb through the results as much as I'd like. Glancing through it though, the figures aren't massively surprising. It confirms our expectations around turnout and age. One factor in low-turnout that did surprsise me was the percentage living alone. It seems isolation could be just as important (if not more so) than age. Perhaps living communally or as a couple, means you have someone to remind you to vote (or regsiter to vote).

Raw
turnout_correlations.csv
factor correlation factor description
l3_25_m_c2_not_reg -0.426746861104 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 25-34 level 3
mar_single_per -0.42268839122 percentage of singles
l4_18_f_c2_not_reg -0.409872905775 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 18-24 level 4
l3_25_f_c2_not_reg -0.408576973694 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 25-34 level 3
not_registered -0.407466992456 Bureau Local estimate total number of people who are not registered to vote in May 2017
l12_18_f_c2_not_reg -0.405399381068 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 18-24 level 1+2
l4_18_m_c2_not_reg -0.405223107808 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 18-24 level 4
la_25_f_c2_not_reg -0.405016581552 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 25-34 apprenticeship
l4_18_f_c2_not_turn -0.401615188777 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 18-24 level 4
l4_18_f_c2_s -0.400470447878 Scaled number of female 18-24 level 4
l3_35_m_c2_not_reg -0.395588351708 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 35-49 level 3
livingalone_per -0.394073863271 percentage living alone
l12_18_m_c2_not_reg -0.390901917664 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 18-24 level 1+2
l4_18_m_c2_s -0.388248042226 Scaled number of male 18-24 level 4
l3_18_f_c2_not_reg -0.382834274217 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 18-24 level 3
l4_18_m_c2_not_turn -0.382313723683 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 18-24 level 4
l4_25_m_c2_not_turn -0.382253621555 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 25-34 level 4
l3_35_f_c2_not_reg -0.380379388769 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 35-49 level 3
no_75_f_c2_not_reg -0.379384738812 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 75 and over no qualification
reg_l4_18_f_c2 -0.376823716455 scaled number of registered voters: of female 18-24 level 4
age25to29_per -0.374267622561 percentage aged 25 to 29
la_25_m_c2_not_reg -0.374180046229 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 25-34 apprenticeship
no_75_m_c2_not_reg -0.374146029766 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 75 and over no qualification
l3_18_m_c2_not_reg -0.373157163883 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 18-24 level 3
l12_25_m_c2_not_reg -0.372862998643 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 25-34 level 1+2
l12_35_m_c2_not_reg -0.371997755614 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 35-49 level 1+2
age20to24_per -0.371198119462 percentage aged 20 to 24
l4_25_f_c2_not_turn -0.370692001811 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 25-34 level 4
l4_25_f_c2_not_reg -0.369607485933 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 25-34 level 4
l12_50_m_c2_not_reg -0.365574740694 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 50-64 level 1+2
l12_25_f_c2_not_reg -0.36482148649 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 25-34 level 1+2
reg_l4_18_m_c2 -0.363627708654 scaled number of registered voters: of male 18-24 level 4
l3_50_m_c2_not_reg -0.360972576988 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 50-64 level 3
l4_25_m_c2_not_reg -0.359666165003 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 25-34 level 4
l4_35_f_c2_not_reg -0.354642060313 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 35-49 level 4
no_65_m_c2_not_reg -0.351869323902 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 65-74 no qualification
l12_35_f_c2_not_reg -0.351265965233 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 35-49 level 1+2
no_65_f_c2_not_reg -0.351261650181 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 65-74 no qualification
l4_25_m_c2_s -0.351036091355 Scaled number of male 25-34 level 4
mar_single_no -0.349065268726 number of singles
no_50_m_c2_not_reg -0.348919111018 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 50-64 no qualification
turn_l4_18_f_c2 -0.348852064982 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 18-24 level 4
density -0.345916775619 density of population
l4_35_m_c2_not_reg -0.345731917485 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 35-49 level 4
l12_50_f_c2_not_reg -0.34361388445 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 50-64 level 1+2
l3_18_f_c2_s -0.342508669729 Scaled number of female 18-24 level 3
turn_l4_18_m_c2 -0.342426318723 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 18-24 level 4
l4_50_f_c2_not_reg -0.341668997528 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 50-64 level 4
la_18_f_c2_not_reg -0.34126527034 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 18-24 apprenticeship
l4_25_f_c2_s -0.341151137414 Scaled number of female 25-34 level 4
no_50_f_c2_not_reg -0.339931588506 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 50-64 no qualification
age20to24 -0.339735165205 number aged 20 to 24
l3_50_f_c2_not_reg -0.339188670421 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 50-64 level 3
no_35_m_c2_not_reg -0.337962547085 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 35-49 no qualification
reg_l4_25_m_c2 -0.336768941114 scaled number of registered voters: of male 25-34 level 4
no_18_m_c2_not_reg -0.336063671643 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 18-24 no qualification
la_35_f_c2_not_reg -0.33321867501 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 35-49 apprenticeship
lo_18_f_c2_not_reg -0.332739251576 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 18-24 other level
l3_18_m_c2_s -0.332339822612 Scaled number of male 18-24 level 3
l4_50_m_c2_not_reg -0.332322627253 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 50-64 level 4
la_18_m_c2_not_reg -0.32864083297 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 18-24 apprenticeship
lo_18_f_c2_s -0.325787199181 Scaled number of female 18-24 other level
lo_18_m_c2_not_reg -0.320237993459 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 18-24 other level
la_35_m_c2_not_reg -0.317778417001 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 35-49 apprenticeship
reg_l4_25_f_c2 -0.316933297384 scaled number of registered voters: of female 25-34 level 4
no_18_f_c2_not_reg -0.316359762415 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 18-24 no qualification
age25to29 -0.315809208533 number aged 25 to 29
no_35_f_c2_not_reg -0.315774266711 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 35-49 no qualification
l3_18_f_c2_not_turn -0.315380474391 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 18-24 level 3
lo_75_m_c2_not_reg -0.314229623703 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 75 and over other level
reg_l3_18_f_c2 -0.310928810694 scaled number of registered voters: of female 18-24 level 3
l12_65_m_c2_not_reg -0.30934291469 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 65-74 level 1+2
l4_75_f_c2_not_reg -0.308406977305 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 75 and over level 4
l3_18_m_c2_not_turn -0.306041060682 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 18-24 level 3
l4_65_f_c2_not_reg -0.305386667923 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 65-74 level 4
lo_18_m_c2_s -0.30536978234 Scaled number of male 18-24 other level
turn_l4_25_m_c2 -0.305336541668 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 25-34 level 4
turn_l3_18_f_c2 -0.302008039924 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 18-24 level 3
la_75_f_c2_not_reg -0.301409394581 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 75 and over apprenticeship
reg_l3_18_m_c2 -0.301144579129 scaled number of registered voters: of male 18-24 level 3
lo_18_f_c2_not_turn -0.300868446729 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 18-24 other level
lo_75_f_c2_not_reg -0.300209549814 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 75 and over other level
no_25_m_c2_not_reg -0.297392471809 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 25-34 no qualification
lo_65_m_c2_not_reg -0.297350218341 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 65-74 other level
reg_lo_18_f_c2 -0.296126794583 scaled number of registered voters: of female 18-24 other level
livingalone_no -0.295401423034 number living alone
l3_65_m_c2_not_reg -0.294295122476 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 65-74 level 3
no_25_f_c2_not_reg -0.292652719972 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 25-34 no qualification
turn_l3_18_m_c2 -0.292418941661 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 18-24 level 3
la_75_m_c2_not_reg -0.290201685885 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 75 and over apprenticeship
turn_lo_18_f_c2 -0.288560401557 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 18-24 other level
l12_75_m_c2_not_reg -0.287912899482 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 75 and over level 1+2
l12_75_f_c2_not_reg -0.287903899535 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 75 and over level 1+2
l3_75_m_c2_not_reg -0.286149049082 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 75 and over level 3
la_50_m_c2_not_reg -0.283531956942 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 50-64 apprenticeship
l12_65_f_c2_not_reg -0.282041652534 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 65-74 level 1+2
lo_65_f_c2_not_reg -0.278767065224 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 65-74 other level
mar_civilpartnership_per -0.275264111882 percentage of people in civil partnerships
turn_l4_25_f_c2 -0.273832458624 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 25-34 level 4
lo_50_m_c2_not_reg -0.270551723672 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 50-64 other level
l4_65_m_c2_not_reg -0.269970965058 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 65-74 level 4
p_lab_el15 -0.269600960732 votes for Labour 2015 (as percentage of turnout)
age18to19_per -0.26918930287 percentage aged 18 to 19
lo_18_m_c2_not_turn -0.26868917397 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 18-24 other level
v_lab_el15 -0.265926920152 votes for Labour 2015
buddhist_per -0.265806490498 percentage of buddisht
reg_lo_18_m_c2 -0.265014885204 scaled number of registered voters: of male 18-24 other level
lo_25_f_c2_not_reg -0.26411892036 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 25-34 other level
lo_25_m_c2_not_reg -0.263108956752 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 25-34 other level
mar_civilpartnership_no -0.262696636346 number of people in civil partnerships
l3_65_f_c2_not_reg -0.261688200504 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 65-74 level 3
turn_lo_18_m_c2 -0.258902056813 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 18-24 other level
la_50_f_c2_not_reg -0.257194130163 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 50-64 apprenticeship
l3_75_f_c2_not_reg -0.25551416214 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 75 and over level 3
lo_35_m_c2_not_reg -0.254647841595 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 35-49 other level
ethn_mixed_pre -0.254497814564 percentage mixed ethnicity
age18to19 -0.253171845955 number aged 18 to 19
l4_75_m_c2_not_reg -0.252373163281 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 75 and over level 4
buddhist_no -0.252303062138 number of buddisht
lo_50_f_c2_not_reg -0.251673458262 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 50-64 other level
la_65_m_c2_not_reg -0.251577909968 scaled number of not registered voters: of male 65-74 apprenticeship
notenglish_speakverywell -0.251211632707 number of those whose main language is not English but they speak English very well
ethn_mixed_no -0.244486547624 number mixed ethnicity
housingbenefitclaimantsnov1 -0.24373596365 number of housing benefit claiments
la_65_f_c2_not_reg -0.243231999411 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 65-74 apprenticeship
lo_25_f_c2_s -0.240455370291 Scaled number of female 25-34 other level
birth_noneu_per -0.239083161397 percentage born in non-EU
lo_35_f_c2_not_reg -0.230436112244 scaled number of not registered voters: of female 35-49 other level
lo_25_m_c2_s -0.227882606413 Scaled number of male 25-34 other level
birth_eu_per -0.226804988368 percentage born in EU
birth_noneuno -0.2262756853 number born in non-EU
lo_25_f_c2_not_turn -0.221428990214 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 25-34 other level
l12_18_f_c2_s -0.217627372805 Scaled number of female 18-24 level 1+2
ethn_black_pre -0.216288082355 percentage Black
notenglish_speakwell -0.215714894467 number of those whose main language is not English but they speak English well
birth_eu_no -0.212578085377 number born in EU
ethn_other_pre -0.211458590345 percentage other ethnicity
lo_25_m_c2_not_turn -0.209251425468 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 25-34 other level
age30to44_per -0.206422066281 percentage aged 30 to 44
ethn_black_no -0.205219356002 number Black
jsa_total -0.204291416513 total number on Job Seekers Allowance
reg_lo_25_f_c2 -0.203582046633 scaled number of registered voters: of female 25-34 other level
level4qualificationsandabove -0.203410821947 number with level 4 qual and above
l4_35_m_c2_not_turn -0.203044096752 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 35-49 level 4
birth_ireland_per -0.200983770563 percentage born in Ireland
ethn_other_no -0.200811752573 number other ethnicity
birth_ireland_no -0.195775396215 number born in Ireland
muslim_per -0.187608621057 percentage of muslim
level3qualifications -0.186773013667 number with level 3 qual
muslim_no -0.184641593105 number of muslim
livingcommunally_no -0.183600730399 number living in communal accomodation
turn_lo_25_f_c2 -0.183592278046 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 25-34 other level
livingcommunally_per -0.18281865286 percentage living in communal accomodation
lo_35_m_c2_s -0.181798764718 Scaled number of male 35-49 other level
reg_lo_25_m_c2 -0.181050215316 scaled number of registered voters: of male 25-34 other level
total_esa -0.180895506216 Total number of Employment Support Allowance
educationp_per -0.180455205177 percent of workers working in education
lo_35_f_c2_s -0.179592786233 Scaled number of female 35-49 other level
notenglish_notspeakwell -0.178335397954 number of those whose main language is not English but they do not speak English well
lo_35_m_c2_not_turn -0.177318212694 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 35-49 other level
ethn_asian_per -0.172142361713 percentage Asian
ethn_asian_no -0.171126156565 number Asian
lo_35_f_c2_not_turn -0.170225303897 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 35-49 other level
otherqualifications -0.168014314874 number with other qual
l12_18_m_c2_s -0.16145050212 Scaled number of male 18-24 level 1+2
turn_lo_25_m_c2 -0.159771559469 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 25-34 other level
rel_dk_per -0.157827584279 percentage of those that did not declare their religion
notenglish_notspeak -0.15454402328 number of those whose main language is not English but they do not speak English
employees_pub -0.154435052953 number of of employees in public sector
incapacity_peopleclaimingbenef -0.154236774795 number of claiming incapacity benefit
jewish_no -0.153998193108 number of jewish
age30to44 -0.153812935926 number aged 30 to 44
jewish_per -0.152219144037 percentage of jewish
male_per -0.148697993411 percentage of males
no_25_f_c2_s -0.146183465926 Scaled number of female 25-34 no qualification
rel_dk_no -0.14505668383 number of those that did not declare their religion
verybadhealth -0.144824108113 number in very bad health
reg_lo_35_f_c2 -0.143914719681 scaled number of registered voters: of female 35-49 other level
c1 -0.143226605707 social greade C1
housingbenefit_meanofweeklya -0.141963387889 mean weekly housing beenfit payments
ab -0.13562047389 social grade AB
reg_lo_35_m_c2 -0.13545737168 scaled number of registered voters: of male 35-49 other level
no_18_f_c2_s -0.134242834492 Scaled number of female 18-24 no qualification
no_25_m_c2_s -0.127700582416 Scaled number of male 25-34 no qualification
publicadministrationdefence -0.126104058528 percent of workers working in public administration, defence
incomesupport_peopleclaimingb -0.124306195401 number claimining income support
l4_35_f_c2_not_turn -0.119741888466 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 35-49 level 4
l3_25_m_c2_not_turn -0.117860382459 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 25-34 level 3
de -0.116392262124 social grade DE
no_25_f_c2_not_turn -0.114391763428 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 25-34 no qualification
turn_lo_35_f_c2 -0.114253433874 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 35-49 other level
propertyl_per -0.113503037804 percent of workers working in property
sikh_no -0.113378834665 number of sikh
l3_25_m_c2_s -0.112225075504 Scaled number of male 25-34 level 3
no_25_m_c2_not_turn -0.111860065544 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 25-34 no qualification
no_18_m_c2_s -0.109281884451 Scaled number of male 18-24 no qualification
verygoodhealth -0.108921064476 number in very good health
other_rel_no -0.103726453595 number of other religions
healthq_per -0.102088567006 percent of workers working in health
turn_lo_35_m_c2 -0.101535430712 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 35-49 other level
sikh_per -0.100360776853 percentage of sikh
no_rel_no -0.0997691812986 number of those with no religion
no_35_f_c2_not_turn -0.0996762996355 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 35-49 no qualification
no_35_m_c2_not_turn -0.0977809594533 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 35-49 no qualification
no_35_f_c2_s -0.0969550337739 Scaled number of female 35-49 no qualification
informationcommunicationj_ -0.0939965544059 percent of workers working in infromation, communications
other_rel_per -0.0937244261361 percentage of other religions
no_rel_per -0.0931063143927 percentage of those with no religion
badhealth -0.0919989648314 number in bad health
age0to4_per -0.0856866800985 percentage aged 0 to 4
l4_35_m_c2_s -0.0823578130947 Scaled number of male 35-49 level 4
tot_not_turn2 -0.0822532336922 Bureau Local estimate total number of voters who would not turn out
age0to4 -0.0808886736507 number aged 0 to 4
reg_no_25_f_c2 -0.0795969865485 scaled number of registered voters: of female 25-34 no qualification
incapacity_averageweeklypaymen -0.0772898864981 average weekly payments in iincapacity benefit
businessadministrationsuppor -0.0730364944281 percent of workers working in business and administration support
elegible_voters -0.0725323824054 Total number of eligible voters ( full populations minus those under 18) - updated using total population change statistics
no_35_m_c2_s -0.0697502134062 Scaled number of male 35-49 no qualification
mar_separated_no -0.0666120783801 number of people separated
disabilitybenefit_anydisabling -0.0648734955952 number receiving disablity benefit (any diasbility)
accommodationfoodservicesi -0.0623999521235 percent of workers working in accomodation, food services
no_18_m_c2_not_turn -0.0594555145707 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 18-24 no qualification
male_no -0.058291383366 number of males
l12_18_m_c2_not_turn -0.0571295096556 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 18-24 level 1+2
l12_18_f_c2_not_turn -0.0569239215949 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 18-24 level 1+2
totalemployees -0.0558263695273 total number of employees
no_18_f_c2_not_turn -0.0552537726129 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 18-24 no qualification
la_25_f_c2_s -0.0552143943641 Scaled number of female 25-34 apprenticeship
financialinsurancek_per -0.0538947897455 percent of workers working in financial, insurance
hindu_no -0.0518971258235 number of hindu
reg_no_35_f_c2 -0.0496730242275 scaled number of registered voters: of female 35-49 no qualification
hindu_per -0.0486443586954 percentage of hindu
mar_separated_per -0.0478284363151 percentage of people separated
l4_35_f_c2_s -0.0478226495268 Scaled number of female 35-49 level 4
artsentertainmentrecreation -0.04699216196 percent of workers working in arts, entertainment, recreation
reg_no_25_m_c2 -0.0458172421965 scaled number of registered voters: of male 25-34 no qualification
turn_no_25_f_c2 -0.0440864070577 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 25-34 no qualification
p_other_el10 -0.0425329263186 Votes for Other 2010 (as percentage)
la_25_f_c2_not_turn -0.0413253693191 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 25-34 apprenticeship
usual_res2017 -0.0409462191673 Total population of constituency - updated using population change statistics (3% increase)
usual_residents -0.0409462136759 Total Population of constituency
employees_priv -0.0406460634496 numbre of employees in private sector
professionalscientifictechn -0.0403577358706 percent of workers working in professional services
l12_25_m_c2_s -0.0376120663204 Scaled number of male 25-34 level 1+2
v_other_el10 -0.0365232791666 Votes for Other 2010
reg_l4_35_m_c2 -0.0352080621448 scaled number of registered voters: of male 35-49 level 4
female_no -0.0218663824151 number of females
l12_25_m_c2_not_turn -0.0189102933767 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 25-34 level 1+2
uc_notinemploymentmarch17 -0.018683234963 number receiving Universal Credit who are not in employment
livinginhousehold_no -0.0166767703656 number living in a household
l12_25_f_c2_s -0.014376958904 Scaled number of female 25-34 level 1+2
uc_totalmarch17 -0.013503611668 total number receiving Universal Credit
reg_no_35_m_c2 -0.00860065595181 scaled number of registered voters: of male 35-49 no qualification
uc_inemploymentmarch17 -0.00410938088592 number receiving Universal Credit who are in employment
p_other_el15 0.00126539549373 Votes for Other 2015 (as percentage of turnout)
v_other_el15 0.00158105976495 Votes for Other 2015
registered_el15 0.00372100617892 registered voters 2015
reg_l4_35_f_c2 0.00393828044913 scaled number of registered voters: of female 35-49 level 4
turn_no_35_f_c2 0.00408602660059 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 35-49 no qualification
lo_50_f_c2_s 0.00429445265946 Scaled number of female 50-64 other level
retailpartg_per 0.00496669560475 percent of workers working in retail
lo_50_m_c2_not_turn 0.00554874593005 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 50-64 other level
age5to7 0.00563016430866 number aged 5 to 7
turn_no_25_m_c2 0.0057186235279 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 25-34 no qualification
no_50_m_c2_not_turn 0.0144358559796 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 50-64 no qualification
incomesupport_averageweeklypa 0.0176687265857 average weekly payments in income support
reg_no_18_f_c2 0.0200690487322 scaled number of registered voters: of female 18-24 no qualification
lo_50_f_c2_not_turn 0.0206360849107 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 50-64 other level
turn_l4_35_m_c2 0.0207831132342 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 35-49 level 4
religion_total_no 0.0325784656076 total number of those with a religion
lo_50_m_c2_s 0.0327998207927 Scaled number of male 50-64 other level
la_18_f_c2_s 0.0355890798123 Scaled number of female 18-24 apprenticeship
l3_25_f_c2_s 0.0379882660986 Scaled number of female 25-34 level 3
l3_25_f_c2_not_turn 0.0391504403703 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 25-34 level 3
l12_25_f_c2_not_turn 0.0401878891334 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 25-34 level 1+2
age0_18_2017 0.0424317833353 Total number of people aged 0 to 18 (updated using population change statistics)
reg_la_25_f_c2 0.0435192888446 scaled number of registered voters: of female 25-34 apprenticeship
turn_l4_35_f_c2 0.0564588368024 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 35-49 level 4
age8to9 0.0574682617868 number aged 8 to 9
transportstorageincpostal 0.0597857040122 percent of workers working in transport, storage (including postal)
la_18_f_c2_not_turn 0.0597884748218 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 18-24 apprenticeship
age5to7_per 0.0607990921068 percentage aged 5 to 7
goodhealth 0.0663786386856 number in good health
lo_75_m_c2_not_turn 0.0665867070794 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 75 and over other level
turn_no_35_m_c2 0.0679942421729 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 35-49 no qualification
la_25_m_c2_not_turn 0.0706175273006 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 25-34 apprenticeship
miningquarryingutilitiesb 0.0745798271755 percent of workers working in mining, quarrying, etc
reg_l3_25_m_c2 0.0764188219648 scaled number of registered voters: of male 25-34 level 3
reg_no_18_m_c2 0.0778176854937 scaled number of registered voters: of male 18-24 no qualification
no_50_f_c2_not_turn 0.0826354724254 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 50-64 no qualification
registered_el10 0.0844131380492 registered voters 2010
la_18_m_c2_not_turn 0.0875185404333 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 18-24 apprenticeship
turn_no_18_f_c2 0.0884231173951 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 18-24 no qualification
no_65_m_c2_not_turn 0.0950393749305 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 65-74 no qualification
lo_65_m_c2_not_turn 0.101221560104 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 65-74 other level
reg_lo_50_f_c2 0.10257532174 scaled number of registered voters: of female 50-64 other level
l4_50_f_c2_not_turn 0.103782742802 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 50-64 level 4
fairhealth 0.103971714054 number in fair health
noqualifications 0.105064057861 number with no qualification
reg_l12_18_f_c2 0.107800774527 scaled number of registered voters: of female 18-24 level 1+2
turn_la_25_f_c2 0.108521229269 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 25-34 apprenticeship
no_75_m_c2_not_turn 0.10909219269 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 75 and over no qualification
l4_50_m_c2_not_turn 0.11157673756 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 50-64 level 4
l4_75_f_c2_not_turn 0.114158782477 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 75 and over level 4
religion_total_per 0.117395703704 total percentage of those with a religion
l4_65_f_c2_not_turn 0.123931892687 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 65-74 level 4
la_18_m_c2_s 0.1312580772 Scaled number of male 18-24 apprenticeship
reg_lo_50_m_c2 0.133829774595 scaled number of registered voters: of male 50-64 other level
no_50_m_c2_s 0.143371566926 Scaled number of male 50-64 no qualification
la_25_m_c2_s 0.143791565217 Scaled number of male 25-34 apprenticeship
age8to9_per 0.145233905145 percentage aged 8 to 9
female_per 0.148697993411 percentage of females
l4_50_f_c2_s 0.153011721549 Scaled number of female 50-64 level 4
la_75_m_c2_not_turn 0.15558757314 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 75 and over apprenticeship
age10to14 0.155886965007 number aged 10 to 14
v_turnout_el15 0.156619824839 Total votes (turnout) 2015
l4_75_m_c2_not_turn 0.156688478254 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 75 and over level 4
reg_la_18_f_c2 0.159117695213 scaled number of registered voters: of female 18-24 apprenticeship
l12_35_m_c2_not_turn 0.159779306554 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 35-49 level 1+2
l3_75_f_c2_not_turn 0.159880756067 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 75 and over level 3
marginality 0.163835701826 The difference in votes between the party that came first and the onbe that came second
l4_75_f_c2_s 0.165716269921 Scaled number of female 75 and over level 4
lo_75_f_c2_not_turn 0.166747811724 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 75 and over other level
l3_35_m_c2_not_turn 0.169085332936 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 35-49 level 3
reg_l12_25_f_c2 0.169272339466 scaled number of registered voters: of female 25-34 level 1+2
turn_no_18_m_c2 0.17055522388 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 18-24 no qualification
no_65_f_c2_not_turn 0.171757338676 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 65-74 no qualification
reg_l12_25_m_c2 0.172983290153 scaled number of registered voters: of male 25-34 level 1+2
reg_l4_75_f_c2 0.173378243705 scaled number of registered voters: of female 75 and over level 4
la_75_f_c2_not_turn 0.174387203922 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 75 and over apprenticeship
turn_lo_50_f_c2 0.176539219417 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 50-64 other level
lo_75_m_c2_s 0.176992241689 Scaled number of male 75 and over other level
reg_l4_50_f_c2 0.17784117732 scaled number of registered voters: of female 50-64 level 4
no_50_f_c2_s 0.178953954637 Scaled number of female 50-64 no qualification
l4_65_f_c2_s 0.179704111922 Scaled number of female 65-74 level 4
turn_l3_25_m_c2 0.181024205528 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 25-34 level 3
livinginhousehold_per 0.182818694577 percentage living in a household
reg_l4_65_f_c2 0.184474638399 scaled number of registered voters: of female 65-74 level 4
no_75_f_c2_not_turn 0.186188198414 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 75 and over no qualification
age90andover_per 0.187208432682 percentage aged 90 and over
mainlang_english 0.187998944769 number of those with their main language being English
reg_no_50_m_c2 0.188393854282 scaled number of registered voters: of male 50-64 no qualification
lo_75_f_c2_s 0.188711065114 Scaled number of female 75 and over other level
turn_l4_75_f_c2 0.1894488937 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 75 and over level 4
l4_50_m_c2_s 0.189745665204 Scaled number of male 50-64 level 4
l4_65_m_c2_not_turn 0.189941749104 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 65-74 level 4
v_turnout_el10 0.193350509753 Total votes (turnout) 2010
mar_divorced 0.193615324378 number of divorced
manufacturingc_per 0.194979060291 percent of workers working manufacturing
la_50_m_c2_not_turn 0.197205716552 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 50-64 apprenticeship
l3_75_f_c2_s 0.199050287614 Scaled number of female 75 and over level 3
turn_l4_50_f_c2 0.199852600029 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 50-64 level 4
cmdi 0.201422632594 average multiple deprivation index
turn_l4_65_f_c2 0.201996121295 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 65-74 level 4
la_65_m_c2_not_turn 0.202793209943 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 65-74 apprenticeship
age16to17 0.202875489481 number aged 16 to 17
motortradespartg_per 0.202911976451 percent of workers working in motor trades
cmdid 0.203510127047 average multiple deprivation index decile
age15 0.204496699206 number aged 15
reg_l3_75_f_c2 0.207100136934 scaled number of registered voters: of female 75 and over level 3
age85to89_per 0.207462328505 percentage aged 84 to 89
age90andover 0.207832075887 number aged 90 and over
lo_65_f_c2_not_turn 0.208832714382 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 65-74 other level
l4_75_m_c2_s 0.210230118269 Scaled number of male 75 and over level 4
p_turnout_el10 0.211412590933 Total votes (turnout) 2010 (as percentage)
reg_l4_50_m_c2 0.211928456368 scaled number of registered voters: of male 50-64 level 4
reg_l4_75_m_c2 0.216344529223 scaled number of registered voters: of male 75 and over level 4
reg_l12_18_m_c2 0.219110485512 scaled number of registered voters: of male 18-24 level 1+2
turn_lo_50_m_c2 0.219471842499 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 50-64 other level
la_35_m_c2_not_turn 0.219612782965 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 35-49 apprenticeship
turn_l3_75_f_c2 0.219740791066 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 75 and over level 3
agricultureforestryfishing 0.22018134007 percent of workers working in agriculture, forestry, fishing
reg_no_50_f_c2 0.220220710147 scaled number of registered voters: of female 50-64 no qualification
reg_l3_25_f_c2 0.221257831914 scaled number of registered voters: of female 25-34 level 3
mar_divorced_per 0.224009411553 percentage of divorced
wholesalepartg_per 0.225238731651 percent of workers working in wholesale
la_75_f_c2_s 0.226299280467 Scaled number of female 75 and over apprenticeship
turn_l4_75_m_c2 0.226577782025 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 75 and over level 4
ethn_white_pre 0.227220261581 percentage White
reg_lo_75_f_c2 0.228686377445 scaled number of registered voters: of female 75 and over other level
turn_l4_50_m_c2 0.229547941334 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 50-64 level 4
turn_la_18_f_c2 0.229669055202 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 18-24 apprenticeship
reg_lo_75_m_c2 0.230746081862 scaled number of registered voters: of male 75 and over other level
l12_75_f_c2_not_turn 0.232190180372 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 75 and over level 1+2
reg_la_75_f_c2 0.232520166223 scaled number of registered voters: of female 75 and over apprenticeship
lo_65_m_c2_s 0.23442576842 Scaled number of male 65-74 other level
reg_la_25_m_c2 0.237321190012 scaled number of registered voters: of male 25-34 apprenticeship
age85to89 0.239662025125 number aged 85 to 89
l12_50_m_c2_not_turn 0.240123289753 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 50-64 level 1+2
c2 0.240329941977 social grade C2
l3_75_m_c2_not_turn 0.240840297387 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 75 and over level 3
turn_l12_18_f_c2 0.241261982738 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 18-24 level 1+2
l12_75_m_c2_not_turn 0.243445568314 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 75 and over level 1+2
reg_la_18_m_c2 0.244222733479 scaled number of registered voters: of male 18-24 apprenticeship
l4_65_m_c2_s 0.244709279481 Scaled number of male 65-74 level 4
l3_65_f_c2_not_turn 0.245111316351 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 65-74 level 3
birth_uk_per 0.245449794732 percentage born in UK
reg_l4_65_m_c2 0.248669287667 scaled number of registered voters: of male 65-74 level 4
registered2017 0.249487026529 Bureau Local estimate total number of registered voters in May 2017
turn_la_75_f_c2 0.251103473491 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 75 and over apprenticeship
ethn_white_no 0.252773047144 number White
turn_lo_75_f_c2 0.253219651368 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 75 and over other level
constructionf_per 0.254329920976 percent of workers working in construction
age75to84_per 0.256943929296 percentage aged 75 to 84
turn_l4_65_m_c2 0.258170934514 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 65-74 level 4
l12_75_f_c2_s 0.258574719519 Scaled number of female 75 and over level 1+2
mar_widowed_per 0.259872579313 percentage of widowed
l3_50_m_c2_not_turn 0.262071304867 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 50-64 level 3
reg_lo_65_m_c2 0.26294613687 scaled number of registered voters: of male 65-74 other level
p_ukip_el15 0.264566114124 Votes for UKIP 2015 (as percentage of turnout)
la_75_m_c2_s 0.264691281808 Scaled number of male 75 and over apprenticeship
lo_65_f_c2_s 0.264838544455 Scaled number of female 65-74 other level
la_35_f_c2_not_turn 0.265236656414 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 35-49 apprenticeship
p_turnout_el15 0.268152149121 Total votes (turnout) 2015 (as percentage)
reg_l12_75_f_c2 0.268943980424 scaled number of registered voters: of female 75 and over level 1+2
birth_uk_no 0.269811961567 number born in UK
reg_la_75_m_c2 0.270809875057 scaled number of registered voters: of male 75 and over apprenticeship
turn_l12_25_f_c2 0.274929891272 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 25-34 level 1+2
turn_l12_75_f_c2 0.277291760596 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 75 and over level 1+2
l3_65_f_c2_s 0.280156245994 Scaled number of female 65-74 level 3
l3_35_f_c2_not_turn 0.280466677146 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 35-49 level 3
turn_lo_75_m_c2 0.280662948235 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 75 and over other level
age10to14_per 0.282382323789 percentage aged 10 to 14
no_65_m_c2_s 0.284063663028 Scaled number of male 65-74 no qualification
reg_l3_65_f_c2 0.284674678704 scaled number of registered voters: of female 65-74 level 3
la_65_f_c2_not_turn 0.28573411627 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 65-74 apprenticeship
turn_l12_25_m_c2 0.290101593843 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 25-34 level 1+2
la_35_f_c2_s 0.29160984764 Scaled number of female 35-49 apprenticeship
reg_no_65_m_c2 0.292218224619 scaled number of registered voters: of male 65-74 no qualification
reg_lo_65_f_c2 0.292836923259 scaled number of registered voters: of female 65-74 other level
turn_l3_65_f_c2 0.29299315231 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 65-74 level 3
meanage 0.293760578068 Mean age
l12_75_m_c2_s 0.293786612599 Scaled number of male 75 and over level 1+2
l3_65_m_c2_not_turn 0.294287645745 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 65-74 level 3
l12_35_f_c2_not_turn 0.295954688674 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 35-49 level 1+2
age65to74_per 0.29604020467 percentage aged 65 to 74
christian_per 0.296954439866 percentage of christian
turn_la_75_m_c2 0.299048425345 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 75 and over apprenticeship
level1qualifications 0.300648649553 number with level 1 qualifications
apprenticeship 0.300789815811 number with apprenticeships
l12_65_m_c2_not_turn 0.302770288215 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of male 65-74 level 1+2
l3_75_m_c2_s 0.303222329277 Scaled number of male 75 and over level 3
reg_l12_75_m_c2 0.303739633576 scaled number of registered voters: of male 75 and over level 1+2
turn_la_18_m_c2 0.308232188806 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 18-24 apprenticeship
age16to17_per 0.308599200972 percentage aged 16 to 17
turn_no_50_m_c2 0.309002881025 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 50-64 no qualification
christian_no 0.309210189205 number of christian
reg_l3_75_m_c2 0.309316730482 scaled number of registered voters: of male 75 and over level 3
la_65_m_c2_s 0.31069201061 Scaled number of male 65-74 apprenticeship
turn_l12_75_m_c2 0.310839997546 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 75 and over level 1+2
turn_la_25_m_c2 0.311849064037 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 25-34 apprenticeship
mar_widowed_no 0.313423269049 number of widowed
reg_la_65_m_c2 0.313748311608 scaled number of registered voters: of male 65-74 apprenticeship
la_50_m_c2_s 0.315401625458 Scaled number of male 50-64 apprenticeship
reg_la_35_f_c2 0.31592178752 scaled number of registered voters: of female 35-49 apprenticeship
turn_l3_75_m_c2 0.316107999881 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 75 and over level 3
age75to84 0.317108369072 number aged 75 to 84
brexit_leave 0.318333937366 % Leave in Brexit Referendum (extrapolated to Constituency level)
la_65_f_c2_s 0.319009570921 Scaled number of female 65-74 apprenticeship
age60to64_per 0.320554426714 percentage aged 60 to 64
age15_per 0.321611897409 percentage aged 15
reg_la_65_f_c2 0.321747004925 scaled number of registered voters: of female 65-74 apprenticeship
la_35_m_c2_s 0.321843989897 Scaled number of male 35-49 apprenticeship
no_75_m_c2_s 0.322994195049 Scaled number of male 75 and over no qualification
medianage 0.323341282312 Median age
no_65_f_c2_s 0.325035297699 Scaled number of female 65-74 no qualification
reg_la_50_m_c2 0.327490946469 scaled number of registered voters: of male 50-64 apprenticeship
l3_50_f_c2_not_turn 0.327587594878 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 50-64 level 3
l12_35_m_c2_s 0.327703562248 Scaled number of male 35-49 level 1+2
turn_lo_65_m_c2 0.328088515037 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 65-74 other level
turn_lo_65_f_c2 0.329126196154 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 65-74 other level
la_50_f_c2_not_turn 0.329626005498 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 50-64 apprenticeship
turn_l3_25_f_c2 0.330717692527 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 25-34 level 3
turn_la_65_f_c2 0.331777012942 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 65-74 apprenticeship
reg_no_65_f_c2 0.332332100716 scaled number of registered voters: of female 65-74 no qualification
tot_turn2 0.333264100877 Bureau Local estimate total modeled number of voters who would turn out
turn_la_35_f_c2 0.334609879567 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 35-49 apprenticeship
turn_no_50_f_c2 0.335668248148 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 50-64 no qualification
reg_no_75_m_c2 0.338689638769 scaled number of registered voters: of male 75 and over no qualification
age45to59 0.339846368345 number aged 45 to 59
reg_la_35_m_c2 0.342020623102 scaled number of registered voters: of male 35-49 apprenticeship
turn_la_65_m_c2 0.343396472858 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 65-74 apprenticeship
turn_l12_18_m_c2 0.346805349342 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 18-24 level 1+2
no_75_f_c2_s 0.347310497298 Scaled number of female 75 and over no qualification
l12_65_f_c2_not_turn 0.347327991904 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 65-74 level 1+2
v_ukip_el15 0.349311550469 Votes for UKIP 2015
livingincouple_no 0.351903994388 number living as a couple
l3_35_m_c2_s 0.355008257103 Scaled number of male 35-49 level 3
la_50_f_c2_s 0.355136439348 Scaled number of female 50-64 apprenticeship
reg_no_75_f_c2 0.361939791249 scaled number of registered voters: of female 75 and over no qualification
mar_married_no 0.364213210832 number of married people
reg_la_50_f_c2 0.364889690378 scaled number of registered voters: of female 50-64 apprenticeship
l12_50_f_c2_not_turn 0.366057683278 scaled number of voters who would not turn out: of female 50-64 level 1+2
turn_la_50_m_c2 0.368124965526 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 50-64 apprenticeship
age65to74 0.368814584653 number aged 65 to 74
l12_65_f_c2_s 0.369664527689 Scaled number of female 65-74 level 1+2
l12_65_m_c2_s 0.370883515481 Scaled number of male 65-74 level 1+2
age45to59_per 0.371173100737 percentage aged 45 to 59
reg_l12_65_f_c2 0.374201716715 scaled number of registered voters: of female 65-74 level 1+2
turn_la_50_f_c2 0.374729342412 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 50-64 apprenticeship
l3_65_m_c2_s 0.375790097605 Scaled number of male 65-74 level 3
turn_l12_65_f_c2 0.376041125871 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 65-74 level 1+2
reg_l12_65_m_c2 0.376483109778 scaled number of registered voters: of male 65-74 level 1+2
turn_no_65_m_c2 0.377662271325 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 65-74 no qualification
turn_la_35_m_c2 0.37821540074 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 35-49 apprenticeship
reg_l3_65_m_c2 0.379250692546 scaled number of registered voters: of male 65-74 level 3
l3_50_f_c2_s 0.379323768145 Scaled number of female 50-64 level 3
turn_l12_65_m_c2 0.381970561059 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 65-74 level 1+2
turn_l3_65_m_c2 0.385745944654 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 65-74 level 3
age60to64 0.393620563659 number aged 60 to 64
livingincouple_per 0.394073861806 percentage living as a couple
reg_l3_50_f_c2 0.39471434816 scaled number of registered voters: of female 50-64 level 3
l12_35_f_c2_s 0.395090034307 Scaled number of female 35-49 level 1+2
level2qualifications 0.39509401649 number with level 2 qual
reg_l3_35_m_c2 0.395250718976 scaled number of registered voters: of male 35-49 level 3
l3_35_f_c2_s 0.395907209265 Scaled number of female 35-49 level 3
reg_l12_35_m_c2 0.398901371919 scaled number of registered voters: of male 35-49 level 1+2
turn_l3_50_f_c2 0.398986964244 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 50-64 level 3
mar_married_per 0.400633409424 percentage of married people
turn_no_75_m_c2 0.402149567782 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 75 and over no qualification
l3_50_m_c2_s 0.40862294373 Scaled number of male 50-64 level 3
turn_no_75_f_c2 0.414649498106 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 75 and over no qualification
turn_no_65_f_c2 0.415439257622 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 65-74 no qualification
reg_l3_50_m_c2 0.420934694893 scaled number of registered voters: of male 50-64 level 3
reg_l3_35_f_c2 0.426050041676 scaled number of registered voters: of female 35-49 level 3
turn_l3_35_m_c2 0.427186682613 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 35-49 level 3
l12_50_m_c2_s 0.42755331083 Scaled number of male 50-64 level 1+2
turn_l3_50_m_c2 0.43331266588 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 50-64 level 3
l12_50_f_c2_s 0.439895763515 Scaled number of female 50-64 level 1+2
reg_l12_35_f_c2 0.44193800165 scaled number of registered voters: of female 35-49 level 1+2
turn_l3_35_f_c2 0.451281084721 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 35-49 level 3
reg_l12_50_m_c2 0.452438694714 scaled number of registered voters: of male 50-64 level 1+2
reg_l12_50_f_c2 0.454884991889 scaled number of registered voters: of female 50-64 level 1+2
turn_l12_50_f_c2 0.466152962503 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 50-64 level 1+2
turn_l12_35_m_c2 0.475112492868 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 35-49 level 1+2
turn_l12_50_m_c2 0.475698142682 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of male 50-64 level 1+2
turn_l12_35_f_c2 0.49564720335 scaled number of voters who would turn out: of female 35-49 level 1+2
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