forecast1.R

forecast class object:
MCMC: 1000 samples with a burnin of 500 and a thinning of 5.
Predicted at 2014-09-20, using 79 polls from 9 houses.
Evidence starting at 2014-02-19.
Election day 2014-10-05.
Machine runtime: ~ 42 minutes.


Expected results + swing voters:  
Expected results: (Pooled)   National samples only 
PT               0.37147        0.37442
PSDB             0.14741        0.16945
PSB              0.27222        0.28465
OTHERS           0.03562        0.03688
WASTING          0.07926        0.08281
Swing            0.09403        0.05179


Probability Intervals (95%):
           2.5%     50%  97.5%
PT      0.35778 0.37101 0.3882
PSDB    0.12100 0.14739 0.1729
PSB     0.22057 0.27200 0.3224
OTHERS  0.01888 0.03524 0.0546
WASTING 0.05732 0.07961 0.1011
Swing   0.07986 0.09384 0.1079