UruguayPred.R

> summary(mcmc)    
forecast class object:
MCMC: 500 draws with adaptation of 500 and a thinning interval of 5.
Predicted at 2014-10-24, using 16 polls from 5 houses.
Evidence starting at 2014-03-10.
Election day 2014-10-26.
Machine runtime: ~ 7 minutes.


Expected results + swing voters:
                 Expected results
Frente.Amplio          0.43638330
Partido.Nacional       0.31966076
Partido.Colorado       0.13136783
OTHERS                 0.04562801
SWING                  0.06696009


Probability Intervals (95%):
                        2.5%        50%      97.5%
Frente.Amplio    0.420479451 0.43628631 0.45237897
Partido.Nacional 0.306143710 0.31961051 0.33236172
Partido.Colorado 0.122287558 0.13125033 0.13988502
OTHERS           0.006325662 0.04493395 0.08801863
SWING            0.029501727 0.06636853 0.10423299