forecast2.R

R> summary(mcmc2014)
forecast class object:
MCMC: 1000 samples with a burnin of 500 and a thinning of 5.
Predicted at 2014-09-20, using 33 polls from 5 houses.
Evidence starting at 2014-02-19.
Election day 2014-10-05.
Machine runtime: ~ 28 minutes.


Expected results + swing voters:
        Expected results
PT               0.36710
PSDB             0.17150
PSB              0.27725
OTHERS           0.03626
WASTING          0.07096
Swing            0.07692


Probability Intervals (95%):
           2.5%     50%   97.5%
PT      0.35129 0.36680 0.38403
PSDB    0.15238 0.17092 0.19266
PSB     0.23018 0.27749 0.32258
OTHERS  0.02040 0.03641 0.05106
WASTING 0.05164 0.07083 0.08966
Swing   0.05231 0.07787 0.09593