forecast2.R

R> summary(mcmc2014)
forecast class object:
MCMC: 1000 samples with a burnin of 500 and a thinning of 10.
Predicted at 2014-09-25, using 36 polls from 5 houses.
Evidence starting at 2014-02-19.
Election day 2014-10-05.
Machine runtime: ~ 57 minutes.


Expected results + swing voters:
        Expected results
PT               0.36789
PSDB             0.17233
PSB              0.27535
OTHERS           0.03474
WASTING          0.07081
Swing            0.07890


Probability Intervals (95%):
           2.5%     50%   97.5%
PT      0.35020 0.36674 0.39185
PSDB    0.15584 0.17161 0.19261
PSB     0.22599 0.27623 0.32352
OTHERS  0.02092 0.03460 0.04878
WASTING 0.05223 0.07079 0.08950
Swing   0.01604 0.08301 0.10542