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from pylab import *
from scipy.stats import *
num_adults = 227e6
basic_income = 7.25*40*50
labor_force = 154e6
disabled_adults = 21e6
current_wealth_transfers = 3369e9
def jk_rowling(num_non_workers):
num_of_jk_rowlings = binom(num_non_workers, 1e-7).rvs()
return num_of_jk_rowlings * 1e9
def basic_income_cost_benefit():
direct_costs = num_adults * basic_income / 2
administrative_cost_per_person = norm(250,75)
non_worker_multiplier = uniform(-0.10, 0.15).rvs()
non_workers = (num_adults-labor_force-disabled_adults) * (1+non_worker_multiplier)
marginal_worker_hourly_productivity = norm(10,1)
administrative_costs = num_adults * administrative_cost_per_person.rvs()
undisabled = 2e6
undisabled_hourly_wage = uniform(0, 10).rvs()
undisabled_cost_benefit = -1 * undisabled * (40*52*undisabled_hourly_wage)
avg_hourly_wage = uniform(10, 30).rvs()
productivity_multiplier = uniform(0.0, 0.2).rvs()
productivity_cost_benefit = (-1 * labor_force * (40*52*avg_hourly_wage) *
productivity_multiplier)
return direct_costs + administrative_costs + undisabled_cost_benefit + productivity_cost_benefit - jk_rowling(non_workers)
def basic_job_cost_benefit():
administrative_cost_per_disabled_person = norm(500,150).rvs()
administrative_cost_per_worker = norm(5000, 1500).rvs()
non_worker_multiplier = uniform(-0.20, 0.25).rvs()
basic_job_hourly_productivity = uniform(-7.25, 7.25).rvs()
disabled_cost = disabled_adults * (basic_income + administrative_cost_per_disabled_person)
num_basic_workers = ((num_adults - disabled_adults - labor_force) *
(1+non_worker_multiplier)
)
basic_worker_cost_benefit = num_basic_workers * (
basic_income +
administrative_cost_per_worker -
40*50*basic_job_hourly_productivity
)
return disabled_cost + basic_worker_cost_benefit
N = 1024*32
bi = zeros(shape=(N,), dtype=float)
bj = zeros(shape=(N,), dtype=float)
for k in range(N):
bi[k] = basic_income_cost_benefit()
bj[k] = basic_job_cost_benefit()
subplot(211)
height=50*N/1024
title("Basic Income")
hist(bi, bins=50)
axis([-1e12,2.5e12,0,height])
subplot(212)
title("Basic Job")
hist(bj, bins=50)
axis([-1e12,2.5e12,0,height])
show()
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