Skip to content

Instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

@elidourado
Created April 8, 2015 15:16
Show Gist options
  • Save elidourado/cdc65e6c223bca2ae557 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Save elidourado/cdc65e6c223bca2ae557 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Data from scraping the IGM Economic Experts Panel website on 4/8/2015
We can't make this file beautiful and searchable because it's too large.
"Date","Question","Name","Institution","Answer","Confidence","Comment"
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","5","I am worried about misallocation of capital & the wrong type of risk-taking resulting from extended periods of very very low interest rates."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","7","Tight labor markets raise many boats. Don't let the tide out prematurely."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","9","As Gretzky said, ""skate to where the puck will be."" Inflation normally takes time to form, often 2 years or more. The Fed can judge timing."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","Go look at their forecasts for the last 6 years. thank god they didn't act based on those."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","4","i THINK risks of too little growth outweigh the risks of overshooting inflation target. judgment call bc little evidence is available"
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Disagree","9","Confusion here between rates of change and levels. The Fed should tighten when expected inflation is above target, not just when rising."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","The recovery is anemic and I am more concerned that it will fizzle than I am worried about inflation. The Fed should not be too cautious."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Disagree","8","The statement would appear to be inconsistent with the empirical evidence of past inflation episodes."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","7","Models focusing on uncertainty about labor mkt slack and the real rate might imply this; financial stability concerns can cut the other way-see background information here"
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","5","The Fed has been and should be forward-looking.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","9","Imprecisely worded but gets the basic idea. Major point is that Fed should make sure US is not at a low nominal rate equilibrium."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","1","Other factors, such as unemployment and participation rates, should also enter the Fed's decision."
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Disagree","5","The Fed should raise rates when forecast inflation is above target. Now the hard question: what forecast is better than current inflation?"
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","3","Cost of waiting too long"
"Tuesday, April 07, 2015 1:42pm","The Fed should wait until its preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) is clearly rising — and not just forecast to rise — before it begins hiking interest rates.","Christopher Udry","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","David Autor","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3","If it was not to the benefit of the local government, why would they do it?"
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","7","The competition is fierce and the benefits uncertain. Winners curse is likely."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","5","If it's done carefully--the firms can't get the tax benefits and then leave--this can pay off for a city or state."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","9",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","7","It is difficult to believe that taxation decisions are consistent with cost-benefit analysis."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","3","Of cours deals differ but usually the taxpayers get fleeced for a limited number of jobs that get relocated"
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","4","It has local benefits, but the costs can outweigh them (e.g., if far enough beyond the peak of the Laffer Curve).-see background information here"
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","5","Benefits are wildly exaggerated in the popular press, and we lack definitive scientific evidence either way."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","7","Well documented that subsidies to sport stadiums yield negative returns and no reason to believe that it is better for other industries"
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5","I doubt it but don't recall seeing anything rigorous on this."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","4","See Greenstone, Hornbeck, and Moretti (JPE 2010) for some evidence of large positive spillovers"
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","I don't see how anyone can have an opinion about this without data. A $1 tax break is worth it. $100B not. In between?"
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question A:
Giving tax incentives to specific firms to locate operations in a city or state typically generates local benefits that outweigh the costs to the city and/or state providing the incentives.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","5","Such competition helps for local political economy reasons but may shift too much otherwise-public resources towards footloose companies."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","David Autor","MIT","Uncertain","5","I would agree if I were certain that governors had their states' long term interests in mind when cutting tax deals. Not sure that's true."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Disagree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","3","On its face, this sort of competition is useful. I can imagine that experts on this issue may suggest some unintended related distortions."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","7","There is no social benefit to the US as a whole unless the firms would have located abroad. There is a social loss from lower tax receipts."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","5","This is almost entirely zero sum, with the companies gaining and the taxpayers losing."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","5","It could help if tax rates tend to be too high for political economy reasons.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","6","Generally a waste of revenues in negative-sum game."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","8","Such competitive does enhance allocative efficiency, but its primary effect is to transfer surplus from other taxpayers to firms."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","7","Would agree if cities compete with uniform lower taxes for all firms."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Disagree","7","Unless the firm would otherwise locate abroad, the only net effect is less tax revenue. The EU bans state aid for this reason."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","5","There is a clear zero-sum aspect to tax competition. But nothing else can restrain the leviathan. The balance is unclear."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Disagree","1","Again data would be nice. Competition is good but unraveling is bad. Which is this? Transparency would help."
"Tuesday, March 24, 2015 1:14pm","Question B:
The US as a whole benefits when cities or states compete with each other by giving tax incentives to firms to locate operations in their jurisdictions.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","10","The vaccine is not infallible, and some people cannot be covered."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","The word "" contagion"" and the adverse consequence of disease directly imply the result, logically."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10","Even those vaccinated can get the disease so there is an external cost both to the vaccinated and the non vaccinated."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Liran Einav","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Ray Fair","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10","The science seems absolutely clear. If you are not vaccincated others are more likely to catch the disease ( as well as you)."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","This is ""first principles"" in economics."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","Costs grow as the number declining rises which the doubters do not seem to appreciate"
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","This is one of the periodic questions designed to see whether respondents are awake. True by definition."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question A:","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","New infections keep coming in as people travel. Why allow parents to hurt their children"
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Strongly Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","5","I am not qualified to opine on any specific disease but in general mandatory vaccine programs solve the free rider issue."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3","Strictly speaking, social choice in this setting is not obvious. Here, many benefit significantly at hopefully a small cost by fewer."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Ray Fair","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10","Another way to internalize the externality is to make those who don't get vaccinated pay a fine. But a mandate is adminstratively easier."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","No Opinion","","This question requires one to impose a social welfare function which is something an economist should NEVER do. No one made us God."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","3","Measels had been eliminated, it is a shame that it is back. But we should be careful about mandates in general."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","5","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","9","Goes beyond economics. Many precedents on each side. If measles for children, why not mandatory flu vaccines for adults?"
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","But it would be quite reasonable to limit the negative externality imposed by the unvaccinated by, e.g., excluding them from public schools."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","7","Children are not choosing for themselves here; this would just add to the set of harmful choices that parents are not allowed to make."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Costs increase with the opt out rate. It would be possible to increase the vaccination rate short of a mandate by making opting out harder."
"Tuesday, March 10, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Considering the costs of restricting free choice, and the share of people in the US who choose not to vaccinate their children for measles, the social benefit of mandating measles vaccines for all Americans (except those with compelling medical reasons) would exceed the social cost.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","4","Depends on the epidemiology of measles which I don't know (as well as the (low) cost of mandates and (high) cost of the disease).-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","7","Greece's problems are political not just macroeconomic. Unclear whether default will help. Syriza's approach so far goes in wrong direction"
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","David Autor","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","7","The debt overhang is very costly. Domestic demand is also a problem. And the government is busy fire-fighting rather than making policy."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","5","One has to find the right/sustainable balance btw structural reforms that ultimately benefit the common man and some creative debt relief ."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","3","Very hard to know.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Uncertain","3","Impossible to predict all the consequences and their effect on Greece."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","7","It's a tough tradeoff. A fresh start would help after some forced restructuring of labor markets, the civil service, and tax collection."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5","Depends mainly on ancillary policies under the two scenarios which are now not possible to foresee."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Liran Einav","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5","Too many possible effects to know the net effect."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","10","They're in a hopeless situation now. But would they manage themselves better if they got out of the Euro than they did before they got in?"
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","3","Greece seems incapable of running a big enough primary surplus to satisfy Germany, and it is probably harmful to try. Autarky is better."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","For Greece: default is a plus,exclusion from the EU banking system is a minus- it could lead to bank runs and political chaos. Net unclear."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","2","They will never repay all that is promised anyway & at some point the pain of avoiding default is too much. Exit will be awful in the SR."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","3","Greek government debt held by non-Greeks (mostly the EU) is more than Greece's annual GDP."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Uncertain","5","It all depends on how financial markets react---and this is hard to predict"
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","8","Too much uncertainty about response, whether leaves Eurozone, and impacts to have clear reading."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","3","Greek economic institutions are notoriously ineffective; the troika program may provide the commitment needed to build working institutions."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5","So much would seem to depend on the difficult-to-predict reactions of various strategic players with diverse interests and agendas."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","10","If Greece continues to service its debt, outcomes are reasonably forecastable. If it defaults, many different outcomes can happen."
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 24, 2015 9:12am","In 10 years, per capita purchasing power in Greece will be higher if — rather than continuing to service its debts over the next decade and complying with the budget rules currently in place — it refuses to accept a continuation of its current troika program and explicitly defaults on its debt held by the official sector.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","10","Well duh!"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","7","The behavioral response might be small for certain tax code changes, though."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","duh"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9","The only possible question is the magnitude."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10","Consider an increase of income tax rates to 100%. Reported income would be close to zero after this."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","Lots of evidence for this in a number of papers."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","some tax changes more salient than others, but people do respond when the stakes are important"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","Not always predictably, of course."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","This is a very weak statement!"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","5","Of course this is right. But magnitudes matter a lot."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question A:
Changing federal income tax rates, or the income bases to which those rates apply, can affect federal tax revenues partly by altering people’s behavior, and thus their actual or reported incomes.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","6","More is know about static effects on labor supply, labor demand and investment than on productivity growth, which is key to long term growth"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","7","We're still debating the impact of TFRA 86 on economic growth. Clearly, our confidence intervals are infinite for these predictions."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","5","The bounds might be wide, though."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","6","""Enough"" is the issue. We have models which provide estimates. There is a large cloud of uncertainty around these estimates."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","4","Dynamic scoring: A back-of-the-envelope guide,
N. Gregory Mankiw, Matthew Weinzierl, J. Pub. Econ. 2006"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Disagree","9","go read it. it does no such thing"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","3","Taxes affect level of economic activity in long run But evidence doesn't exist for meaningful revenue predictions esp in near or medium term"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","4","A lot depends on the response of monetary policy, and there is no agreement on how much policy should or does respond to output changes."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","I doubt that we know enough. There are disagreements about the response of labor supply to moderate changes in income tax rates."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","10","That work does not try to model the true economy. E.g., no model of corp inc tax uses a valid price of risk. Economists prefer ignorance."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","3","don't think we know for many types of changes"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4","Maybe in some cases. Seems like a hard problem in general."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","It's always difficult to turn qualitative predictions into precise estimates, but existing research can surely be helpful."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","5","The bounds likely rule out some outcomes but may be very wide"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","5","In most cases we know very little. Chetty et al Danish study finds tax effects explain 1% of saving, design 99%."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question B:
To the extent that a given tax change might affect revenues partly by affecting national-income growth, existing research provides enough guidance to generate informative bounds on the size of any growth-driven revenue effect.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","4","I worry about increased scope for political influences on the forecasts."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","David Autor","MIT","Uncertain","6","I feel that this type of projection is unwise: first-order impacts on policy but almost zero reliability. And it invites gaming."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Disagree","7","In theory they could provide many estimates under different scenarios. But picking one number or a likely range would introduce politics."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3","I thought they had already done this at CBO. If not, the research indicates they should give it a try. The stakes are relatively large."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","10","it would open the process up to political shenanigans of the worst kind"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","3","poor state of literature would open the door to ""judgment"" which seems likely to devolve to political wrangling and lots of uncertainty"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","3","Again, the response of other elements of policy, monetary and fiscal, needs to be factored in, and there is great uncertainty."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","6","The estimates would not be perfect but they would be better than assuming no response."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","6","It's wrong of them not to TRY because then they are knowingly getting things wrong. However, they could easily make a mess of it."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","It certainly would not be worse. Unfortunately, this is the kind of research that NSF kills."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","3","We know the direction and for certain types of changes might have some decent estimates. But politics could corrupt the process too"
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","5","Possibly. They might also be less transparent and/or easy to criticize."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","8","The difficulties are that (a) knowledge of these has wide bounds and (b) communicating uncertainty bounds is virtually impossible."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","Behavioral responses will be most important for large changes, but the effects of large changes are particularly difficult to estimate."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","5","It depends on which estimates they used."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Disagree","3","If done honestly, maybe, but the temptation to tilt would be strong. It is the rare tax cut that increases tax revenues."
"Tuesday, February 10, 2015 9:36am","Question C:
For large proposed changes in tax rates or the tax base, official revenue forecasts provided to Congress would probably be more accurate if the CBO and JCT tried to estimate fully how the proposed tax changes would affect growth-driven revenue.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","4","Faculty will know what their university book store charges but will not know about foreign editions"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","8","I have not seen a recent survey. I am reminded to list the price of the texts on my syllabus by the person in charge of HEOA compliance.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","6","Just a guess, based on my own experience."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","1","I'd run a survey if I wanted to know"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","My guess is that most pick what they think is the best book (or, of course, their own book) without regard to price."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","No Opinion","","I am not aware of any data on this question so I would just be guessing."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","3","Based on asking a few people what they thought a basic principles book costs. Most shocked to learn it is well over $200"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","5","Seems right to me, but only based on my own experience."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Need data to answer."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question A:
Most college professors who assign textbooks would not be able to guess, within 10% of the actual figure, the retail price that their students pay for new copies of those books.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","3","Since we have begun putting prices on our syllabi, it's become more likely that we would pass this test."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","10","Yes, of course the fact that one can (often) sell the new book back helps, but many students skip buying the textbook.-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","No Opinion","","Depending on the meaning, seems either trivially true, or just unclear what is being held constant."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Disagree","2","Most of the students I see seem to have new copies. Stanford may not be the norm."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","3","maybe. it depends on several factors, including how active these markets are and the costs of reselling/renting"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","8","...to a person who was unaware of the resale market (not me!)"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","8","This seems rather self-evident, although perhaps not all students can do this. Some people no doubt also photo-copy parts of books."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","It is costly to change a textbook much with each edition so students can use much cheaper past editions with little intellectual loss."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Disagree","8","The resale market helps but does not change the net burden by much,"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","5","These factors help, but some students would like to be able to keep their books and that cost is much higher now"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","3","But new editions undermine this.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","The net burden is lower than the retail price, but still scandalously high."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","4","""Substantially"" depends on those markets having few frictions, and I have no idea if that is the case."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","5","It would be useful to know what fraction of books are rented or resold."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question B:
Since students can resell college textbooks or rent electronic versions, the net burden on students is substantially lower than retail prices for new textbook purchases would suggest.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","7","See Chevalier, Judith, and Austan Goolsbee. ""Are durable goods consumers forward-looking? Evidence from college textbooks.""-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","8","Only if you include agency problems among the ""standard forces"" of supply and demand."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8","Professors only partially consider price when choosing textbooks. And consider test banks and other perks.BUT students are P elastic."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","4","More than just classic supply and demand, though."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","8","In some sense, this MUST be true. What else could it be?"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","4","Author-publisher search costs are high. Then, second-hand market aside, the publisher has a monopoly on the title, implying pricing power."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","","Question too broad"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","2","Chevalier/Goolsbee research suggests demand is price elastic so not divorced from S & D but agency problem surely creates distortions"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","5","Provided one takes a broad view of supply and demand--printed books are a sunset product, and thus pricey."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","5","In some fields there will be a prominent book with few competitors. The author has some monopoly power; the equilibrium price may be high."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","8","There is an agency problem (instructors=agents, students=principals) but not severe owing to used books and student evaluations."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","7","Product differentiation and lack of incentives for professors to make efficient choices make this unlikely."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","No Opinion","","I don't have a good story for where the market failure or market power comes from, but the relative price has gone way up."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","8","Text prices include bundled ancillaries which students pay for but are benefits for teachers."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","10","There are too many imperfections and frictions in this market to model it simply in terms of demand and supply."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","8","Surely the prices reflect supply and demand, but not nearly so well as they would without the agency issues identified in the question."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","7","But demand may be quite inelastic, since once a book is selected for a course, there are no substitutes."
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Disagree","4","When the chooser is not the user then bad outcomes are common. My views are captured here: http://bit.ly/1Cql4mR"
"Tuesday, January 27, 2015 9:39am","Question C:Even though the professors who select textbooks are different form the people who pay for them, the price of new edition college textbooks reflect classic forces of supply and demand.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","1","Difficult to interpret this question."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4","There will be a negative effect on the now sizable US energy sector, but the positive impact on the rest of the economy should dominate."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8","A decline in oil prices leads to redistribution of wealth within the US, which favors (sub)sectors with impaired balance sheet constraints."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","7","Obviously, there are losers as well as winners, but the US economy benefits on net."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","9","We are still net importers, right. But there could be second round effects, especially political, that could moderate or even reverse it."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","7","Oil production investment is a negative, but reducing the cost of a raw input nets to positive, unless oil exports heavily dominate imports."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","8","U.S. is a large net importer. Increased oil prices in the past have slowed GDP growth."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Uncertain","5","Costs would go down, Fed may keep rates low. But negative effects on oil exploration, production and potential future oil exports."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","but not as much as in the old days because the economy is more energy efficient now and because we have become a significant producer of oil"
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","5","The 1986 decline had little effect on real GDP. Oil prices don't shift production functions. Real income rises, but not real output."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","There are potentially confounding general equilibrium effects but the US as a net importer of oil should benefit from increased fracking."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","The U.S. econom remains strongly anti-cyclical in oil prices. Some industries suffer from lower prices, but they are dominated by winners."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","For the average household this will be a like a tax cut, of course oil producing states suffer a bit, but overall this good news for the US"
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","1","Ceteris paribus. And because the U.S is still a net importer.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","3","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","8","Both because of quasi-fiscal stimulus and lower measured inflation."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","The decline in price is less significant than the technological progress in resource extraction it reflects, which should promote growth."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","6","But if drop is result of correct forecast of weaker world economic activity, it will be hard to identify the net benefit ex-post."
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","7","The US is still a net energy importer and the shock is largely a supply shock. But this will cause some reallocation away from shale"
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 13, 2015 9:58am","The recent decline in oil prices will promote higher real GDP in the US
over the next couple of years.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","7","We have almost balanced trade in energy; the net effect will be very small (although there will be distributional effects)."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","7","Not a lot of impulse spending among economists by my observation. You can charge them a lot for WiFi however."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3","Never been to their convention. My response assumes they spend less time than we do inside our hotel rooms interviewing job canditates."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","7","Economists spend all of their time in the hotel doing interviews."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Uncertain","1","I have a strong prior, but it is pure prejudice and there is a high probability of it being wrong."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","1","Sorry -- I'm not familiar with the spending habits of auto dealers!"
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","7","Although economists are known to economize and some think tipping as tourists irrational, in truth, who knows?"
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5","Agree, except for Orley Ashenfelter's wine brigade."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","10","Economists are known for parties and blowing money. The original AEA motto was 'Cras Ignorare' (FORGET TOMORROW)"
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9","Those dealers know how to have fun..."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","5","Dealers have high-powered incentives. Winners may celebrate a lot and losers drown their sorrows. Low variance makes economists staid."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","5","Deep Q: By being dismal (scientists), do economists exert a negative gen eqm effect on the natives, thereby actually depressing consumption?"
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8","Businessmen supposedly have larger spending accounts. According to one ""survey"", ladies of the evening leave town when economists arrive."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","5","we are lengendary cheap skates. this is why we can't hold the aea convention on a weekend in las veags -- we don't spend enough!"
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","5","Economists are famous cheapskates."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5","Based on sample of experts (n=1)"
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","9","We hate to be called the dismal science, but I fear we can be a dismal lot - or perhaps we work so hard there is no time to spend money."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","4","Economists rarely try to impress each other with how much money they can spend. Auto dealers, by reputation, do this fairly often."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Only safe prediction is that those who make money via tips fear the AEA. Economists known to be bad tippers."
"Tuesday, December 23, 2014 8:16am","A US city hosting a big convention will enjoy a higher boost to incremental spending — holding the number of visitors and their average incomes fixed — if those visitors are auto dealers rather than economists.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",".. because, basically, we're boring."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","5","Consumption and investment smoothing is good. But often CA deficits support consumption booms that are unsustainable."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","7","Perhaps in the very short run, but not in equilibrium."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","6","There is no reason to think the relation is causal"
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","7","Depends on circumstances. To return to steady state, export growth model worked well for China, Asian Tigers and Germany after WW II."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","6","There is no conceptual or empirical support for this. It depends on dynamics and discount rates."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","10",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","5","-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","6","Focusing on trade is basically mercantilism. I take a global perspective, where trade always nets to zero, so this focus is meaningless."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","10","A trade surplus means a country is saving, a trade deficit that it is dis-saving. As with people each can make sense at different times."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7","Depends on circustances. For small open economies and emerging economies an essential element of policy."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","8","1st principles: neither surplus nor deficit necessarily welfare-enhance. SOME welfare-enhancing policies would raise surplus, however."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","8","The best way to increase welfare is to engage in good policies, not go after some mercantilist ideal."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","10","crazy assertion but plenty of people seem to believe this. to see the fallacy, note that banning imports would do it and would crush welfare"
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","8","Mercantilism!-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","3","In some cases, yes, for at least some citizens."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Disagree","9","Trade surplus is symptom, not measure of welfare."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","6","A surplus is often taken to indicate a healthy economy, but it is not obvious how producing more than it consume makes a country better off."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","","Seems like the right answer to this question is: it depends."
"Tuesday, December 09, 2014 12:49pm","A typical country can increase its citizens’ welfare by enacting policies that would increase its trade surplus (or decrease its trade deficit).","Christopher Udry","Yale","Disagree","6","There may be policies that reduce trade deficits and increase welfare, but most policies *designed* to reduce deficits will reduce welfare."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","4","Significantly unclear. Increase likely, but given limited SR opportunities, much might go to M&A or purchases/inflation of existing assets."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","David Autor","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Liran Einav","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Ray Fair","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","10","there's already $1t sitting domestically on corporate balance sheets not being invested. How would a tax cut to bring back even more help?"
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","1","Outside my expertise. I generally favor territorial taxation."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","The effects are hard to predict. US corporations might simply repatriate the profits and increase dividends or buy back shares."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","8","tax benefits would occur but this may not change real economic activity"
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","7","A temporary change would produce far more investment in accounting methods for exploiting this than in real capital."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","1","Might pull a little spending forward, but doubt it would genuinely increase it."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","3","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Disagree","4","I suppose it's possible but the companies with the most overseas profits don't seem cash-constrained."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","""Significantly"" is always a difficult word."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","7","The evidence on 04 tax holiday indicates no increase in domestic investment, R&D or jobs (Dharmapala, Foley and Forbes, J. of Finance 2011)"
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","4","Hard to see how a one-year blip in domestic cash would cause a significant change in capital budgets"
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Skeptical that we would see much given how much cash companies are already holding."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question A:
Lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits for a year would boost US capital investment significantly.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","6","This would also divert investment abroad in a distortionary fashion. Lower corporate taxes would be more powerful."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Liran Einav","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Ray Fair","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","10","lots of evidence both ways on this one. not sure."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","1","see abve"
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","US corporations might invest more abroad rather than at home. But comanies might issue equity rather than borrowing, which would be good."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","8","Corporations find ways to bring money home without repatriation. Hodrick, SIEPR, July 2013, ""Are U.S. firms really holding too much cash?"""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","1","not aware of any definitive evidence on this."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","Even better would be to have no corporate income tax and to have a sufficiently progressive consumption tax, but that's wishful thinking."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","5","Not sure about substantial, although domestic and foreign investments are probably complements (Desai et al. AEJ 2009)"
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","4","Depends critically on your model of investment behavior. I don't have one in which I am particularly confident."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Again, don't see why this would happen."
"Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:41pm","Question B:
Permanently lowering the effective marginal tax rate on US corporations’ repatriated profits, such as by moving to a territorial-based tax system, would boost US capital investment significantly.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","7","Fast track limits the power of special interest groups."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","obvious"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","1","Complicated question outside my expertise"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","If one party can make a take-it-or- leave-it offer to another party, a deal is often more likely than if bargaining occurs. But not always."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","6","If president is pro-trade, the answer is yes. However, giving an anti-trade president greater powers could reduce quality of trade agreemts"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","5","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Agree","10","Without something like fast track, trade deals are notoriously difficult."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","3","Fast track reduces the number of groups that must agree to the trade pact"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question A:
By lowering bargaining costs, fast-track negotiating authority for the president makes it more likely that the U.S. can conclude major trade deals.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","6","We underestimate the costs of trade through employment (e.g. with low-wage countries in manufacturing), net benefits still likely to be +."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","4","Trade made certain, especially lower quality, goods cheaper but also transferred some jobs."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","4","V likely more Americans have benefited but losses for some are substantial. Social welfare calculations are complicated."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","4","Wrong question-should be world welfare, not US welfare. I view policy as a citizen of the world. Trade is generally beneficial to the world."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","Trade deals typically reduce barriers to trade which is likely to produce net gains to the U.S. ( although there can be winners and losers)."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","Most (though not all) Americans gain b/c consumption & productivity benefits outweigh loss of industry/occupation-specific human capital."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8","Employment adjustments may hurt some, but good policy can limit those losses in terms of duration and extent."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","Trade deals are about expanding consumption choices not about jobs. Ross Perot's giant sucking sound is a myth"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","Unfortunately, benefitting most still leaves ample room for adverse effects for some."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","8","However we could have done more to compensate the loosers"
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","5","Positive aggregate benefits does not imply that most Americans benefit, but it seems likely in this case."
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:25am","Question B:
Past major trade deals have benefited most Americans.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","7","The problem is that those who have been hurt have typically not been compensated."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Uncertain","4","Amazon has some monopsony power but its platform is probably making author access easier."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","10","In general, Amazon is not using its monopsony to reduce supply. But in the case of Hachette books, it certainly is."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Disagree","9","It seems likely that Amazon is on net raising author income in the part of the distribution where the supply restriction would be."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8","Seems like a matter of public record!"
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","5","Amazon might instead use its market power to reduce its costs, or to limit entry by other suppliers. I need to know more to be confident."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Ray Fair","Yale","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Disagree","2","Complicated issue. The main bone of contention so far has been its policy of low pricing for ebooks. Not sure of the effects on authors."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","7","Classic monopsonists reduce supply; final prices rise. This doesn't describe Amazon.I don't know evidence that book supply is lower."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","10","There appears to be no soundly derived empirical evidence for this claim. I read every article related to this and its just not there."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","8","Too many alternatives, too much potential entry."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","1",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7","This follows from standard textbook analysis."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","4","Unclear what counterfactual is. Without Amazon? Or with Amazon and no market power?"
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","1","Compared to no electronic market, Amazon has probably increased supply. Compared to a ""competitive electronic market,"" probably not."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","6","Amazon's policies are probably reducing the supply of ebooks."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","6","Some monopsony power, sure; significant impact on supply, possible but not especially likely."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Disagree","9",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","8","Maybe in the future, certainly not now."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Amazon greatly increases the availability of most books, esp academic books, but is making it hard to get some books. So how to answer?"
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question A:
Amazon has monopsony power in the market for books that is significantly reducing the supply of books.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Disagree","5","Amazon has some monopsony power, but weak. And lower transaction costs of books on balance positive.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Disagree","4","Intervention is costly and premature. So far, book consumers have probably benefited."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","6","Intervention could be as simple as a stern warning. At present, Amazon is heading towards a market position that is anti-competitive."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","4","Strategic delayed shipping of books from certain publishing houses and other measures can hurt consumers."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Disagree","8","Currently I cannot identify a specific practice that it would be sensible to address with a regulatory intervention."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","5","Who knows what would happen, but seems unlikely to end well."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","5","Maybe publishers and authors are those to most benefit from regulatory protection. I would need more information in order to better guess."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Ray Fair","Yale","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","7","I don't see evidence that consumers and authors are suffering. The market is fast-moving. Regulators should monitor but be cautious."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","10","There is evidence of higher diversity & price elasticity in online book retail so there would need to be serious evidence to offset this."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Uncertain","7","Monopsony power helps lower Amazon's costs, enabling then to set lower consumer prices."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","5","Unclear question. If regulation = antitrust, yes. Otherwise, probably not but unclear what that might be."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","Electronic markets are full of network externalities, which should be recognized as a form of natural monopoly."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Disagree","6","Just because there's monopsony (or monopoly) power doesn't mean there is a regulatory fix, and I don't see one here."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Disagree","8","The press reports I have seen have not yet identified any conduct by Amazon that appears to be an antitrust violation."
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Too vague to answer. What sort of regulation? By whom?"
"Tuesday, October 28, 2014 9:42am","Question B:Amazon has sufficient monopsony power that regulatory intervention is likely to make consumers of books better off, taking into account implementation costs and the effect of intervention on incentives.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","9","Theoretically and empirically the case that r-g is a major determinant of inequality or even top inequality is weak.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","9","Not clear yet if wealth inequality has risen in U.S: different data sources give different answers. Premature to identify cause of non-fact!"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","10","There are certainly a host of other factors related to technical change, other government policies and globalization."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","8","Many other factors affect inequality including technological change, globalization, increasing returns to education, and others."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","8","MAYBE IN THE FUTURE, BUT RIGHT NOW IT IS HIGH INCOMES THAT IS INCREASING WEALTH INEQUALITY."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","5","Don't find r-g a partiularly useful summary of anything (doesn't really capture role of technology, training, tax policy)"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","2","lower taxes on K surely play a role. i disagree based on ""most powerful"" phrase. more research is necessary"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","7","A glance at the biographies of the truly rich shows most came from upper middle class families. Good luck and some skill produced the wealth"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","I would imagine there are many factors: labor-saving technology, globalization,the decline of unions,lower tax rates."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","10","Argument has poor theory & negligible empirics. Read pp7-9 of Acemoglu & Robinson. You need not even buy into their institutional arguments-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","9",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","10","Technology has been the primary driver."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","7","Argument nicely destroyed by Justin Wolfers (and many others). Too bad for the t-shirt makers-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","5","-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Disagree","4","Saez-Zucman: wealth inequality shot up post 1986. Big cause: savings creates 0.4% annual wealth growth for bottom 90%, 3.4% for top 1%.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Disagree","7","Interest and growth rates are equlibrium phenomena--so even if they are important, there must be something deeper at work."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","6","Is this an inside joke? BEA estimates show little change in rate of return."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","8","Income and savings inequality increases are now fueling US wealth inequality. Down the road r-g will be central as predicted by Piketty"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","1","Many forces at work, both economic, social and political, making it difficult to identify one as most important."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","4","The rapid rise in very high labor incomes seems to be much more important in the US."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Disagree","4","Perhaps technological change, globalization, and fiscal policy matter quite a bit?!"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","8","Trends in U.S. wealth inequality are accounted for by trends in income inequality. See Section 3 of Krugman's review of Piketty.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","","A bug in the system prevents me from stating that I am 100% sure that I don't know the answer to this question."
"Tuesday, October 14, 2014 11:12am","The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Disagree","1","Difficult claim to evaluate, because both the return and the growth rate depend on savings, and on the distribution of wealth.-see background information here"
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Strongly Agree","4",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","6","Ensuring competition between various providers like Uber, Lyft, etc. is essential besides insurance and background checks for drivers."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","9","Pretty much the same as removing the cap on the number of medallions."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","6","Competition on quality and price helps consumers. We also have some evidence from revealed preference. Uber was popular right away."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","9",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","yes. yes. a thousand times yes.
Instead, try calling for a cab on Saturday night from the south side of Chicago and see what happens."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","yes. part of the gain in consumer welfare though comes from undermining property rights of taxi medallion owners."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Agree","7","Disclosure: My economist son serves in Uber's economics department."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10","I don't see any externalities. According to standard economics, competition enhances welfare and I believe that would be true here."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7","Qualification: foreigners, who tend to assume fares are regulated, can be taken advantage of without any price caps. No problem with Uber."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","New technology / information more than offset any net benefits of regulation."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9","They innovate: e.g.knowing the rating of the driver who will come and haivng an easy way to find a lost phone after you take the ride."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","5","-see background information here-see background information here"
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","Consumer welfare may rise (though difficult to measure), but it will not be a Pareto improvement for consumers, making evaluation difficult."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","This is in comparison to banning these services or regulating their price to equal the price of taxis."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","4","But Uber needs to be careful about surge pricing in emergencies, people care about fairness as much as efficiency."
"Monday, September 29, 2014 9:10am","Letting car services such as Uber or Lyft compete with taxi firms on equal footing regarding genuine safety and insurance requirements, but without restrictions on prices or routes, raises consumer welfare.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","9","One can imagine circumstances in which this would not be true, but this is a situation in which the simple economics are very persuasive."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Agree","8","more instabilty may be a price worth paying for independence"
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","4",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","7","It depends on the exact institutional details of the separation."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","8","Yes, but greater long-run macro instability could be merely due, as for many small countries, to less size-related diversification."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5","Many reasons to be uncertain, but lack of established CB institutions and the drawbacks of the euro & sterilization are reasons to agree."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Liran Einav","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","6","no one knows"
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","2",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Disagree","7","Small English-speaking countries have excellent records for macro stability."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","The main uncertainty concerns whether Scotland retains the pound (bad idea) and stays in Europe( good idea). Once resolved things may be OK."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","10","We should be uncertain. Short-term uncertainty would be high, yes, but ""many years"" depend on choosing sound policies for real growth."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","8","Similar case as the EU. Shared currency is a constraint."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","4","One major challenge would be how to handle the volatility in oil revenues."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","3","Instability high initially, but could force left-leaning government to govern more effectively. In medium run, may be better for Scotland."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9","Splitting = extreme economic pain: sharp budget adjustment needed, big monetary challenges, big financial risks, they're ""better together""."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","3",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","2",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","1","This is unclear - pegging the Scottish to the English pound might essentially replicate the current state of affairs."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","7","Macro instability will result if announced policies (currency board, nationalizations) are followed."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","No Opinion","","Scotland would be poor when their oil runs out in a few years, but stability would seem to depend on currency, EU, other uncertainties."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","3","Change creates the potential for instability, but a floating currency with good governance could be stabilizing"
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","4","Not obvious why fluctuations would be greater. It depends also on what happens to the currency and what happens with the EU."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","1","I suppose this is right, but there is some much uncertainty about how things would play out that I have no confidence in any predictions."
"Monday, September 15, 2014 11:05am","Although there are many issues for Scotland’s voters to consider, one consequence of separating from the rest of the UK would be greater macroeconomic instability for Scotland for many years.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Autor","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","1","How do we know that the US has underspent? Investment will probably raise incomes for Keynesian reasons but will it promote growth?"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","5","Public infrastructure is valuable, and the premise of underspending in this area seems correct. Hence, the conclusion."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","6","public goods matter if chosen well"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7","seems likely but spending not determined by costs and benefits see innovative proposal below lots of efficiency gains w pricing policies-see background information here"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","10","I would say increase average welfare rather than income. There are surely many potential projects where the social benefit exceeds
cost."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9","In the long run."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","3","I interpret ""underspending"" to mean that spending more would increase economic productivity. So, yes."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","3","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5","I would rather this be about all kinds, not just physical."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","It would increase welfare; income is more difficult to assess."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","7","Better regulation and congestion pricing would also help."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","6","This is a no-brainer as regards roads and bridges, but the federal government doesn't do railroads and rarely if ever does airports."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question A:
Because the US has underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways, bridges and airports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","7","Past evidence suggests that there will be waste and corruption (a lot of corruption!). But this does not imply that average NPV is negative."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","8","Both public and private sector investments are risky. Some infrastructure projects will fail even when most have high social returns."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","7","Many does not have to mean most, and on average returns may be quite positive. We just don't know enough right now."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","5","The accounting return to the government would be low, but the total returns, include positive social spillovers, could be moderately good."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","1","Many projects would no doubt be mistakes, but many is far from most. Most would probably be good investments."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","6","hard to argue with the reality that some money will end up in powerful districts without much need for it when congress controls"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7","currently infra spending does not aim to maximize returns. c. winston research says returns are declining but more research is critical"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","Perhaps sometimes true in the past but I don't think it's inevitable. Projects like the interstate highways are notable exceptions."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","5","The same is true of many investments in the private sector. Hard to imagine the government having a better record than the private sector."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","Just consider the high speed rail system in California."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","3","Depends on what many means, but the perpetual repaving of roads in Chicago is not that atypical of many public projects."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","6","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","1","Poorly worded. Surely ""many"" out of 50K miles, but probably not ""most."""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","6","I could agree with ""some,"" but ""many"" is not obvious. Also, railroads are privately funded."
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","3","Same is true for private sector!"
"Tuesday, September 09, 2014 7:48am","Question B:
Past experience of public spending and political economy suggests that if the government spent more on roads, railways, bridges and airports, many of the projects would have low or negative returns. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2013. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","5","Many plans are defined benefit. These promise certain benefits, which should be discounted at the riskless interest rate not a higher rate."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","see Novy Marx and Rauh for a very clear explanation of the problems-see background information here"
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Agree","10","Unfortunately, current spending appears to trump properly funded pensions when it comes to seeking reelection."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","No Opinion","","I understand that many state & local pensions are underfunded, but I am very uncertain as to how this was/is done."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","2","True for some states, I don't know if it is true for ""many"" states."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question A:
By discounting pension liabilities at high interest rates under government accounting standards, many U.S. state and local governments understate their pension liabilities and the costs of providing pensions to public-sector workers. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","No Opinion","","i just know too little about US finances"
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","6","Likely. The need to reform depends to a large extent on economic growth in the next decade(s)."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","6","Especially if one includes health costs."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","The excess liabilities are large! See the work of Josh Rauh. Something must yield: lower promises, or higher taxes, or both."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","7","'waiting for money from tooth fairy' wasn't included on the list"
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","5","Probably right. They should shift to defined contribution plans."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","6","I don't like vague words like ""severe."""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7","Illinois is doing its best to be the first to have to face these choices."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","Hope springs eternal, but the alternatives look bleak."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","2","Clearly there is a problem, but I'm not confident that it is generally (outside of Illinois) as serious as the language implies."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","Illinois is an obvious example for which this is true."
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, August 26, 2014 2:24pm","Question B:
During the next two decades some U.S. states, unless they substantially increase taxes, cut spending, and/or change public-sector pensions, will require a combination of severe austerity budgets, a federal bailout, and/or default. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on October 1, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","5","Two caveats. How significant this effect will be is uncertain. It might have negative side effects by discouraging switch to cleaner energy."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","David Autor","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","5","The effect on the world price of energy is probably small and would be partly balanced by a rise in the dollar as US imports drop."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8","Transportation costs for natural gas are sufficient to imply that the US will face prices below the world price of energy."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","5","The part I am uncertain about is whether lower energy costs are likely to have a significant effect on the competitiveness of U.S. exports."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","4","Lower an input cost and produce at a lower total cost. The statement does not consider the environmental costs, which may be significant."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","5","In a global market for energy, US and foreign manufacturing firms will ultimately face the same energy costs."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Ray Fair","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9","at least while our extraction technology is better than everyone else's (we're not the only ones with shale reserves)"
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","3","unlikely to be significant & extent depends on export restrictions. Welfare likely maximized with no restrictions. see below reference.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","2","I agree that energy cost should fall, which will increase U.S. competitiveness. The effects on growth are more subtle, and harder to predict"
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Disagree","10","Fuel prices are largely set on a world market so the supply in any one country does not reduce its producers' input costs markedly."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","3","I have learned that this energy source will mainly produce local gains & US manufacturers probably will benefit. Magnitudes still uncertain"
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","5","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","4","Definitely agree on direction, less confident about magnitudes."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","6","Clearly will make more competitive in some sectors, but unlikely to make major impact on aggregate."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","Absent frictions, prices would fall world wide. We can expect US firms to gain from some frictions, though the magnitude is hard to assess."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","5","Not sure about ""significantly"". Cost advantage will diminish as LNG transportation infrastructure develops and export restrictions drop."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","Natural gas prices are NOT determined in a world market. Prices in the US will be cheaper than those in most nations for a long time."
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","8","Fracking will reduce energy imports and hence reduce net exports of other goods. This doesn't mean that fracking is a bad idea!"
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Isn't oil a global commodity?"
"Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:21am","New technology for fracking natural gas, by lowering energy costs in the United States, will make US industrial firms more cost competitive and thus significantly stimulate the growth of US merchandise exports. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on May 23, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Disagree","7","At best a short-run and insignificant effect; prices are set in a global market."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Autor","MIT","Agree","8","Can never be certain, but evidence suggests that ARRA was effective in preventing the Great Recession from being even more calamitous."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","5","Usually, when an activity is subsidized, it increases. Inefficiency feedback effects would need to be strong to defeat the direct effect."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","There is pretty convincing empirical literature in support Plus the budget cutting since ARRA seems related to the slow employment recovery"
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","9","Given that wages/prices are sticky Keynesian-type stimulus will increase economic activity if the economy is not at full employment."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","This is a very low bar"
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","7","Caveat: The Fed may have pursued less unconventional stimulus (than it otherwise would have) because of the Fiscal Stimulus package."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","4","Evidence for Keynesian channels of expansionary fiscal stimulus are weak, but the multiplier should still be positive"
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be foundhere.)","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","5","Stimulus of this type was potentially valuable. But I don't know much about the mechanics and efficiency of this particular program."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5","My results suggest that it is about a wash. See the URL.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7","Cumulative gap between potential & actual output much larger w/o ARRA. But would harmful budget cutting have happened w/o ARRA? Prob yes.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","9","Given that infrastructure expenditure was needed this was a good time to do it and so the benefits exceeded any costs."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","3","Probably was worth it, but the political economy costs of the poor marketing and the fact that is was poorly designed have dogged it."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","6","-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","1","This is too complicated a cost-benefit problem to assess. I think the ARRA was a good idea, but this reflects faith rather than analysis."
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","5","Cost benefit analysis is tricky here. There were winners and losers. Still it would have been difficult to do nothing"
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs. (The experts panel previously voted on this question on February 15, 2012. Those earlier results can be found here.)","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","2",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","1","Given the increasingly important and discretionary role the Fed plays, supervision is essential. Congress may not be the right body to do it"
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Disagree","9",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","4",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Disagree","8","Preserving the Fed's autonomy is valuable. Imagine if Congress had been running the Fed during the Financial Crisis --- certain disaster!"
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","7",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","2",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","4","Rules are very useful, but one has to be careful not undermine central bank's independence, which untie central banks from political cycle."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Disagree","9","The Fed's track record in economic policy-making, while imperfect, is vastly superior to that of Congress."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","7","Such a policy would undermine the independence of the Federal Reserve."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","7",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Disagree","9","A quantitative formula is not flexible in the face of structural changes, and reduces Fed independence too much. Clear goals are enough."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","7",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","5",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","5",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","7",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Disagree","10",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","4",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Disagree","8","Monetary policy should be based on a target for inflation and unemployment (such as difference between the two) not on an instrument rule-see background information here"
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","8","No rules would have allowed the Fed to act appropriately in the recent crisis. Better to choose governors well and give them discretion."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","8","Would not have stopped Nixon-Burns inflation. Greenspan had infinite ability to obfuscate. Do we want Congress defining deviations?"
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Disagree","7",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","7","Data revisions alone cast doubt on this. Instead let's raise the qualifications and pay of who we appoint. Read this bill, very quirky.-see background information here"
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","6","Too narrow and likely to compromise Fed independence. Something like Norway's Central Bank reports (see p.18-19) could be more useful.-see background information here"
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Disagree","3",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Disagree","7","Such legislation seems likely to compromise the Fed's political independence."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Disagree","9","Has tendency to politicize monetary policy and to promote inflexibility."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","8","The essence of the Fed is to be independent. Congressional meddling is not a set forward."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Disagree","6",""
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Disagree","9","Not a hard call."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","9","The Fed has served Americans very well over many decades; meddling by politicians would worsen the performance of the Fed and the economy."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","7","Under current Fed leadership, the statement is likely to be false. Under future leadership, accountability might be justifiable."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","8","A central bank should be independent. Look at Argentina as an example of where political oversight leads."
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","7","I can't think of any agency in government that would work better with greater supervision from Congress"
"Monday, July 14, 2014 1:30pm","Legislationintroducedin Congress would require the Federal Reserve to ""submit to the appropriate congressional committees…a Directive Policy Rule"", which shall ""describe the strategy or rule of the Federal Open Market Committee for the systematic quantitative adjustment of the Policy Instrument Target to respond to a change in the Intermediate Policy Inputs."" Should the Fed deviate from the rule, the Fed Chair would have to ""testify before the appropriate congressional committees as to why the [rule]…is not in compliance.""Enactingthis provision would improve monetary policy outcomes in the U.S.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","1",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","7","It creates incentives for many spurious patents that might actually block innovation."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","1",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","3","Allowing more competition for patent rights is good, but frictions in that market might suggest barring trolls. I'm uncertain."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Ray Fair","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","3","No definitive evidence but available evidence points negative. See references-see background information here"
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","If patents are correctly granted trolls can encourage innovation. if patents are incorrectly granted trolls can impede innovation."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","10","This may just be rent seeking but how can this activity be prevented without destroying the transferability of patents, a form of property?"
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","1","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","8","Conclusive evidence is difficult to come by, but there appears to be no evidence that they have a positive effect."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","4","Not simple. Probably encourages independent inventors & small firms, but their weak-basis lawsuits are a tax on other innovators."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Patent trolls pay for patents, which encourages innovation, but they obviously also suppress future innovation"
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Disagree","10","In some fields they seem to impede innovation. I applaud Tesla's recent decision to release all their patents."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question A:
All else equal, Patent Assertion Entities — which specialize in acquiring and asserting patents and are popularly known as “patent trolls"" — promote innovation in the U.S.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","5","A lot of the open source software has been hugely influential."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","5","The usual incentive-for-innovation justification for patent protection seems to apply here, as in many other markets."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Ray Fair","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6","There is a lot of room for improvement of the current system, but without any patents at all, there would be no incentives to innovate."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","6","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","Patents can encourage innovation. But many trivial software patents seem to be granted, which can discourage innovation and hurt consumers."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8","Example: Economists oppose software development in economics. Innovation would be further reduced if there were no financial returns."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","1","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","6","Open source is at least a viable alternative. Patents have advantages, but their net effect is unclear."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5","A sensible system for software patens would clearly be better than nothing. The current system? Not so clear."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Very much a quantitative question."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","6","This is the domain in which the patent system seems to be in most need of reform."
"Tuesday, June 24, 2014 12:03pm","Question B:
Within the software industry, the US patent system makes consumers better off than they would be in the absence of patents.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","David Autor","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9","To do this well requires sufficient risk absorbing capital."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Uncertain","1","Of course, but not if they make the whole system riskier. I dont know how to judge this at this level of generality."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","The creation of credit-based money in this form facilitates payments, serving markets in a basic way that would be hard to replace."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","1","depends on alternatives considered in the question."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5","Maturity transformation has its place; the devil is in the details."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Ray Fair","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","7","I understand ""liquid"" here to mean safe more than low transaction cost."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10","Consumers want liquid and safe securities. Firms' assets are often illiquid. Both sides can benefit if firms issue shares and senior debt."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","8","""Social value"" is odd wording. However, such institutions are likely to make markets more efficient by relaxing undue liquidity constraints"
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","That is why narrow banking is a mistake. If we ban this, it will move to the shadow banking system.-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","1","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","Such institutions can also impose social costs. If done well, the benefits outweigh the costs. The trick is to ensure this is the case."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8","Gains from trade. Yes, I am assuming such institutions are suitably regulated."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","Captured very nicely by the Diamond-Dybvig (1983) model and others-see background information here"
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","8","Bills of exchange and other ""liquid asset"" go back many centuries."
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, June 03, 2014 9:59am","There is a social value to having institutions that issue liquid liabilities that are backed by illiquid assets.","Christopher Udry","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","6","The only caveat is that if other employees have a taste for discrimination, they may take costly actions against the hiring of minorities."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","9","Discriminating firms pay higher wages and draw from a smaller labor pool, raising labor costs. See Becker, The Economics of Discrimination"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3","This outcome requires more than a lack of concern by customers."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","6","I believe it in theory but I'm aware of no direct evidence after all these years."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","6","Unless there are workers who will prefer to be at a firm that is dominated by their ethnic group"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8","Though, as a number of authors have shown, prejudice can indeed survive in the labor market in the long run.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","8","It depends on who they discriminate against. The disadvantage could be de minimus. Or, it could be an advantage in some cases."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","1","One can think of special circumstances where this conclusion, due to passing on best workers, does not follow, but they're not general."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","3","Depends on some subtle issues. Discrimination may results mainly in segregation under some conditions."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","8","They would earm more if they did not discriminate unless their other workers are prejudiced. But they may survive anyway if they earn rents."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","7","One can imagine cases where employees care and discriminate. It could (unfortunately) benefit the firm, since customers don't care."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9","You want to employ the best workers to maximize profits."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","5","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","5","Presumably yes if discrimination lowers wages of the discriminated group to levels below what equally productive workers make.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","9","It is an empirical question whether this disadvantage will overcome taste for discrimination, and whether markets will eliminate such firms."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8","This disadvantage will be smaller if workers are also prejudiced."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Uncertain","5","Seems to depend on the circumstances. For example, the preferences of the incumbent workforce would seem to matter to the employer."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","See The Economics of Discrimination; Gary S. Becker; Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1957."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","5","But only suffer if there are enough non-discriminating firms."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question A:
Employers that discriminate in hiring will be at a competitive disadvantage, if their customers do not care about their mix of employees, compared with firms that do not discriminate.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","8","I would have emhasized rising women's employment opportunities"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8","So says the literature in economic history."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5","Probably, but not clear how much is causal."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","8","turns out that it takes a lot of time to raise a kid these days"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","3","Certainly this is not a theorem--it depends on preferences and technology-- income versus substitution effects."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","Ths substitution effect goes this way, but the income effect can go in the opposite direction: with more income you can afford more children"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","No Opinion","","This is an ill-posed question as I told the organizers. No good economist should answer it. Should have been in productivity not wages."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","5","We do not have strong evidence on this. Rising FEMALE wages matter. Also rising costs of education, housing."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","3","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5","I get the theory, but I don't know how one can support a judgment about importance."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","See ""On the Interaction between the Quantity and Quality of Children."" Gary S. Becker and H. Gregg Lewis; JPE, 1973, 81."
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Might be U shaped"
"Tuesday, May 20, 2014 2:07pm","Question B:
Rising market wages are an important reason — over and above any changes in medical technology, social norms or preferences — why family sizes have fallen over the past century in rich countries.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","6","High bandwidth traffic imposes externalities on other users."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","7","Net neutrality is a fiction. Hire Akamai (et al.) to mirror your servers worldwide to speed content to your users. One user: Healthcare.gov!-see background information here"
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","1","I worry it will crowd out the public goods that make the internet uniquely valuable unless bandwidth gets so cheap that it doesn't matter."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","No Opinion","","This might lead to better allocation but also opens the room for price discrimination. The implications for the consumers are not obvious."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","10","Regs have to address vertical price squeeze motivated price discrimination."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","5","The broadband industry does not seem to be very competitive, so allowing it to charge more to content providers may not improve the market."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9","If all qualities sell at the same price, markets cannot allocate quality efficiently. Works for soap, wine, and haircuts; why not Internet?"
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","1","Faster service is valuable and this is one way we may get it but adverse effects are also possible."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","9",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","8","did any else notice how slippery this hill we are camping on seems?"
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","7","there is an obvious potential efficiency gain but there is also potential for a harmful ""vertical price squeeze"". net effect is unclear."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","7","This is a total side issue. The central issue is the perennial last-mile problem--the market power of the cable and phone companies."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","6","Letting price vary with quality is good if there is enough competition. I don't know if that's true here. If not the answer is less clear."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","Answer obvious on efficiency grounds. On distribution, use other means to redistribute to poor--not covert internet cross subsidization."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","7","Clear gain to providing faster service at higher costs. Uncertain comes from potential GE effects in reducing access for those unable to pay"
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","9",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","3","Presumably creates strong incentives for vertical integration. Not clear if that is good or not."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","1","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","5","This would be a great idea if the market for service provision was competitive, but is less obvious with our current market."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","5","In the absence of robust competition in broadband, regulation is needed to help new applications, services and content."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","3","It is not generally good policy to restrict firms' product offerings, but there seem to be other considerations."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","3","Clearly winners and losers from this policy and clearly the market is imperfect. This is a hard call"
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","1","Seems like those who cause congestion should pay more. I know some worry that ISPs will play favorites, but that should be preventable."
"Tuesday, May 06, 2014 1:21pm","Considering both distributional effects and changes in efficiency, it is a good idea to let companies that send video or other content to consumers pay more to Internet service providers for the right to send that traffic using faster or higher quality service.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Disagree","6","Net neutrality has worked well, and likely maximizes welfare in the short-run. Longer-term investment incentives are the counter-argument.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","6","These are small countries. Its not too likely but not impossible that a bigger country will hit some political shocks. Then all bets are off"
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","4","Uncertainties in emerging markets helped European bond issuancesy. Many unforeseen events can can easily worsen the current situation."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Disagree","9","There is increased demand for many sorts of weak debt. Peripheral EUR sovereigns are in the long run still exposed to structural weaknesses."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","9",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Liran Einav","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","9",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","7","The ECB seems to have organized a good equilibrium--see the paper by Krishnamurthy, Nagel, and Vissing-Jorgensen-see background information here"
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","8","These econonomies still in bad shape. Bond yields high, but Investors may be exuberant and overestimating chance of future bailouts."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","7","Greece's debt is still unsustainable & Europe's banks are undercapitalized. Until that changes risks remain.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","3","Sovereign bond yields and credit default spreads imply that default is a nontrivial possibility, but the more likely outcome is no default.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","6","Reduced from 2-3 years ago, but still a fragile system."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Disagree","8","Markets may believe default unlikely over the term of the bonds. That does not mean it is unlikely forever: Greek debt is still huge."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","Default looks less likely, but structural problems in the euro zone remain, and much has yet to transpire before default is truly unlikely."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","8","Low rates also reflect expectations of an ECB QE."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","3","Not my field, but this seems to be basing a strong conclusion on a weak evidentiary foundation."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","3","Encouraging but I am wary of generalizing to all Euro area countries."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","5","It's hard to argue that markets are mis-pricing Euro area bonds, but I'm surprised by how strongly the price has recovered"
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","3","The ECB seems committed to averting defaults."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","I thought we had learned the lesson that low interest rates do not assure low risk."
"Tuesday, April 22, 2014 1:49pm","The recent oversubscribed debt issues of Greece and Portugal suggest that sovereign default by any euro area country is unlikely in the foreseeable future.","Christopher Udry","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","3",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","1",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","6","If colleges commit when the student joins (bidding on transfers not allowed) the earnings effect will be small. Too much uncertainty at 17"
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","2",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","1",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8","The million dollar (and often multi million dollar) salaries of top basketball coaches in NCAA basketball testify to the value of winning."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5","Most atheletes, or superstar atheletes?"
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","7",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","10","the best athletes at the best D-1 schools would obviously be paid a lot"
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7","& would be a series of distributional issues affecting non-revenue men's and women's sports who have largely benefited from cross subsidies"
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","8","Star basketball and football players, for sure. Historically, this has been happening through alumni off-campus deals and the like."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","Since the stakes are high, the incentive to pay top athletes a lot is strong. Preserving equity among students is a small mitigating force."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","7","Athletes will receive more money but it is not clear that there can be big gaps between the money sports and other sports."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","Players get few rents now. That would change for sure"
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","-see background information here"
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Strongly Agree","5","Schools are not afraid to spend money to win at football & basketball - look at coaching salaries."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","8",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5","""Most"" probably wrong, but likely see the superstar compensation phenomenon, with some million dollar athletes."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Agree","1","One would surely expect the athletes to capture some of surplus, just as baseball players did when the reserve clause was eliminated."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5","Some schools would clearly pay some athletes a good deal more, but I have a hard time with ""most."""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8","There is a great deal of evidence that individual colleges would pay athletes more if allowed."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","5","Some would get paid substantial salaries. Unclear if median athlete would be helped. There are probably some cross subsidies today."
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","1","Presumably this is the definition of ""top colleges in ... ."""
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","Pay would go up for stars, unless the schools could collude, as they do now. More interesting question: should the athletes be paid? Yes"
"Monday, April 07, 2014 11:38am","If the NCAA let colleges pay athletes with more than scholarships (which currently may cover tuition, books, room and board), then top colleges in men’s basketball and football would pay most athletes substantial sums beyond full scholarships.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","8","There is a regular parade of recruiting violations in the face of potentially harsh penalties. The only question is if it would be ""most""."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","5","This is true for limited sanctions being imposed on Russia. Much more comprehensive sanctions as in South Africa or Iran would be effective."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","6","Not a good experiment, but sanctions appear effective sometimes, e.g., Iran, South Africa."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","7","I think a part of what made Iran come to bargaining table has to do with the sanctions, though I have no way to prove this."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","8","Sanctions bite often only with a long delay and the effectiveness depends on the circumanstances. (South Africa and Iran vs. North Korea)"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5","I waver between uncertain and agree. Much depends on the form of the sanctions, the behavior they're designed to deter, etc."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Disagree","5","often do little, but can deter if significant and applied effectively"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Disagree","7","""Course of action"" is vague. Sanctions & their threat alter the calculus by raising costs & thus affect decisions. but not a cure all"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","1","Not acquainted with the evidence."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","4","My sense is that economic sanctions were important in ending apartheid in South Africa, and are leading Iran to negotiate with the West."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","10","Depends on country, its trade, its politics. Also, sanctions that are initially apparently ineffective can gradually undermine a regime."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","7","Sanctions are signals. Putin would be surprised if NATO said nothing about Crimea, and might read it as a green light to be more aggressive."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","5","Hard to design & sustain in a way that ends up only harming the offender. Better to boycott the world cup in Russia +embarass FIFA too!"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","3","It surely works sometimes (e.g. against the Apartheid regime). Restrictions on Odious Debt could also help, though NA for Russia today.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","3","I'm no expert on this, but Int. Relations literature seems to conclude sanctions often don't work that well.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","3","Referring to economic or political sanctions."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","6","We have evidence both ways - sanctions of Myanmar and North Korea have accomplished little, while sanctions on Iran may be useful."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","5","I'm sure there are exceptions, but not many."
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","5","Effectiveness must depend on the openness of the target economy and the uniformity of the application of sanctions"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","","I don't trust my memory to run a mental regression with sanctions on the right hand side. In principle, there should be sanctions that work"
"Tuesday, March 25, 2014 10:23am","Past experience suggests that economic sanctions do little to deter the target countries from their course of action.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Disagree","7","The evidence is that sanctions can be effective, particularly when the goal is limited.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","David Autor","MIT","No Opinion","","Not enough info to answer. Not in favor of a kidney market that sells to highest bidder. Other ideas maybe. Question is not actionable."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","8","That would mean valuing people's lives by their incomes. We already do that but moving further in that direction seems wrong."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","6","It is important that the market is ""well regulated"" in order to avoid abuse and exploitation of the vulnerables."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","9","This certainly may have unintended consequences but it is hard to fault attempting to create more supply."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3","Under strong governance that mitigates exploitation, this market may save lives on mutually consenting terms."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","7","Dangerous ground, but a well-regulated experiment could be beneficial. Payments to fill out donor cards might increase supply, for example"
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","1","A market with or without subsidies for low income patients?"
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Ray Fair","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","9","Hard to know because we don't have much of an understanding of why people make organ gifts."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","8","I'd like to see it but I'm not sure the public is ready. Also would insurance cover this? Would people be able to top up (presumably)?"
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","8","Would improve allocative efficiency but means- and health-conditioned vouchers would presumably have to be used to address ethical concerns."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","There is no reason to block this voluntary exchange. There may be unique challenges in applying laws against fraud, but nothing too hard."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5","Perhaps experiments in different regimes better idea."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","6","We need to rationalize our organ allocation mechanism, but a market is not the only way, and is not obviously the best way."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","7","How to deal with donors who don't understand risks, increased incentives to steal & import, perceived inequities...? Not simple."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","8","Experiments seem valuable here, using health outcomes as our metric. Matching donors and recipients based in part on payment may be helpful."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","The biggest impact would be to increase kidney supply, so few obvious losers from this policy"
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","1","It would surely save lives of those with kidney disease. It would probably have unintended consequences as well."
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","5","How should we incorporate the fact that nearly all non-economists hate this idea? Do we declare them wrong and proceed?"
"Tuesday, March 11, 2014 3:58pm","A market that allows payment for human kidneys should be established on a trial basis to help extend the lives of patients with kidney disease.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","1","As an economist, I strongly agree that there would be tremendous gains. But I'm uncertain of the appropriate bounds on market transactions.-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","Temporarily yes. Over the long run, no. Labor force participation has risen throughout most of the 20th century."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","8","It is not easy to find evidence one way or the other that it did not shift the aggregate labor demand curve down."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","8","new employment opportunities opened up e.g. in the service sector."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","2",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","7","Over the long run, that is true"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","7","There has been temporary displacement but displaced workers have found jobs elsewhere, as theory might predict"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","5","Hard to be certain b/c a GE issue, but little econ history supports mechanization having reduced employment."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Disagree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","7","Productivity increases options. Employment becomes more beneficial, but it is irrelevant if people choose to work less."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","9","Automation has increased greatly over last 100 years. Employment has increased. Labor participation rates have varied."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","6","To a first order approximation.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","8","Really would say unemployment. Otherwise need to incorporate income effects."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","Automation can cause significant displacement and can require costly adjustments, but has not reduced long-run employment."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","Automation has not reduced net employment, but some workers have lost their jobs due to automation"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","If this had been true over the last two centuries, almost no one would be working anymore."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question A:
Advancing automation has not historically reduced employment in the United States.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","6","Mixed effects across the distribution of skills-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","7","Technology and trade/globalization are probably two largest factors. Would also include deunionization."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","6","There are so many other factors including trade (including in services)."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","7","Winner-takes-it-all technologies are more prevelant than only in IT. Moreover, globalization (containers), ... are also important factors."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","7","Rising health care costs may actually be more important for the median worker."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","6","They are A reason, among others. And a reason is not the same as a result; there could have been offsetting policy/policies."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","","Question is too broad."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","5","Stagnant education levels and the financial crisis are almost certainly culprits. Work on assigning shares will go on for a long time."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","6","Unskilled jobs have been lost which may well be a factor, although not the only one, behind stagant median income and increasing inequality"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","8","Skill biased tech probably a cause of flat median wages,but there are MANY other causes. GE problems like this cannot be sorted definitively"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","5","It may have a short-run impact but there is no reason to believe that it is permanent."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","3","IT and automation have helped the ""top 1%."" Not clear what that has done to median relative to financial crisis, government policy, etc."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","6","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","8","Many other factors going on."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","7","Trade is likely also important for median wages."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","6","The wage distribution has expanded and compressed over long periods. Technology is probably, involved, but it is unclear exactly how."
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 25, 2014 1:55pm","Question B:
Information technology and automation are a central reason why median wages have been stagnant in the US over the past decade, despite rising productivity.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","10","The right answer is ""uncertain"". But ""disagree"" emphasizes that the view that we are running out of ideas, which has little basis."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Uncertain","3","Technical innovation will continue to be rapid, but resource and environmental constraints in a crowded world will hinder per capita growth."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","5","That's a ridiculously high bar to cross, since no other period in human history has ever seen anything like the last 150 years!"
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","6","The average per capita growth rate over the last 150 years only 1.7-1.8% which would not need to transformative innovations to happen."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Disagree","6","genomics, robotic, communication.... Emerging economies will increasingly contribute to global R&D spending with positive spillover effects."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","10","The answer is certainly uncertain"
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","4","The long term declining is very worrying. But it also might be that we are not measuring quality or new goods well."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","","Hard to predict 100 years ahead."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Uncertain","8",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","10",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","No Opinion","","i'm unaware of any serious evidence that would help one formulate a reliable opinion."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","10","The cone of dispersion for productivity forecasts is so wide that no such statement has any support. Che sera, sera."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","10","Economists are bad at predicting the far future. Technological advances have been amazing in the last few years and anything is possible."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Disagree","4",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","10","I am certain that anyone sensible should be uncertain. If one can predict innovation well, one should not be an economist but an inventor."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","8","Innovation need not slow. The vast changes in what we consume and how we work make ""income"" a poor measure of wellbeing over a century."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","9","Last 150 years have seen huge increases in living standards. Similar future increases an even bet given IT revolution and human ingenuity."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","8","We would have never forecast most the past breakthroughs, no reason to think we are any better at doing so now. No way this is knowable."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","10","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","1","Wow - tough question. Maybe if the answer is a clear no, we can reconvene the panel in 150 years to discuss."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Uncertain","1","Who knows?"
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","9","Uncertaint = unpredicatable. The unpredictability of fundamental invention is amply demonstrated from theory and history."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Disagree","8","Unimagined innovations have revolutionized life in the past, and I suspect they will continue to do so."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","8","The surprises of the last 150 years should make clear the folly of trying to forecast the next 150."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Uncertain","1","History suggests optimism, but 150 years is a mighty long time."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Disagree","1","Very hard to predict this far in the future."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","10","Views on this are pure speculation. There is no economic theory or empirical evidence to inform the issue."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","","I don't know how anyone could have any confidence in this sort of prediction. Good that no one can be proven wrong."
"Tuesday, February 11, 2014 2:20pm","Future innovations worldwide will not be transformational enough to promote sustained per-capita economic growth rates in the U.S. and western Europe over the next century as high as those over the past 150 years.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Disagree","1","Billions of people escaping poverty unleashes billions of minds for innovation. Hence my optimism. But tempered with much uncertainty."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","7","This is hearsay because I don't ""do"" monetary policy. But everything I've read says that Ben was extraordinarily creative and effective."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","1",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","He had to find creative ways to get around a number of institutional constraints to do the needful and he did"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","8","The ultimate judgement will depend on the exit strategy and how easily the fed will return to a more rule-based policy."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","5","I don't like the ""informed postmortems"" part. There is little agreement in macro."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","Strong action as a lender of last resort was essential. This is what central banks do. In this instance, innovation by the Fed was crucial."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","7","Future views of the past are hard to predict with precision. That said, things would probably have been much worse without the Feds actions"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8","Fed could have been even more aggressive. Could have recognized problems in shadow banking system earlier. But hindsight is 20/20."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5","Let's see how the unwinding works. Also, some of the policies had bad income-distribution consequences and some were fiscal policies."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","No Ben, no avoiding depression. Full stop."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7","The counterfactual state of the world with muted, Fed responses is an ugly one."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","8","Generally true. Some doubts about whether it would have been possible to impose haircuts on debtholders rather than use public funds."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","5","A policy where the Fed let financial institutions go bankrupt or helped home-owners directly might have been better, but we will never know"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","8","In retrospect, some responses seem prescient, others misguided or based on false premises. Phil Swagel's paper is a great read on this.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","5","It is hard to have confidence on this opinion. It is difficult to predict how history will play out; this is not just ""economic"" predictions"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9","The financial crisis was a solvency crisis. The Bernanke (and Paulson) actions were instrumental in keeping the financial sector solvent."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","Public may not appreciate this, but Bernanke's Fed helped stave off Depression 2.0. Record before and after will be more controversial."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","6","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Agree","8","We'll never know the counterfactual, but there is reason to believe that Ben Bernanke helped avert disaster, despite an ineffective Congress"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8","Important not to forget how dire the situation was at that time."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","5","More subjective than most questions. Likely that economists will disagree about this in the future. But I judge Bernanke's actions favorably"
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","Bernanke understood very well the policy errors of the Fed during the Great Depression and had the courage to avoid repeating them."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","1","Hard to predict what hindsight will suggest, but it think he did well in extremely difficult times."
"Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:22am","Informed postmortems of Ben Bernanke’s Fed chairmanship will
judge favorably the Fed's creative and aggressive policy initiatives
from autumn 2008 through early 2009.","Christopher Udry","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","3",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","10",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8","Price responses to predictable surges (New Years) make sense."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","10","Amazing that more things aren't price this way -- they should be."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","4","Answer depends on particular market. Competition might be too limited on days with low supply and customers might be ""taken for a ride."""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","6","Welfare-reducing price discrimination outcomes are feasible, but the increase in supply in this example clearly enhances consumer welfare."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","6","Mostly agree, but watch out for increasing the prices of subways and buses at times when lots of people want to ride them."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","10","Efficiency is NOT the same as welfare! This is probably a good policy, but some people will lose."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","1","This is basic microeconomics. Pricing different services differently improves the allocation of services, assuming no serious externalities."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","8","I know it pisses people off but it is true"
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","It is critical that the prices are transparent. Possible that redistribution goals are harmed but it is inefficient means to redistribute"
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","Real-time market clearing pricing is gaining ground, over fierce opposition from all but a small band of economists and entrepreneurs."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Uncertain","10","Consumer plus producer surplus should rise but in the absence of competition consumer surplus may not. With competition consumers will gain."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","I have first hand experience. Faced with long airport taxi lines late in the evening, the extra amount to use Uber is a bargain."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7","The alternative is standing in the rain or waiting forever at rush hour, sometimes paying the premium is just much better"
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","5","As long as it doesn't make them angry.-see background information here"
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","7","Allocation efficiency improves but there are gainers and losers and a ""welfare"" assessment depends on how one weights individual outcomes."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","Surge pricing enhances efficiency, for the reasons listed. Efficiency is not the only goal; anti-gouging laws reflect other worthy goals."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","9","Uber is making a market, so this question just asks whether having price change to balance supply and demand is a good thing."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","5","Uber's ability to increase supply in the short run appears small so price increase may be mostly a transfer to Uber."
"Monday, January 13, 2014 1:55pm","Using surge pricing to allocate transportation services — such asUberdoes with its cars — raises consumer welfare through various potential channels, such as increasing the supply of those services, allocating them to people who desire them the most, and reducing search and queuing costs.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","7","Designed to get us in trouble with non-economist family and friends! It's not as simple as we teach in Intro; but claim is mostly true."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","1",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Strongly Disagree","1","the choice of the gift giver is a signal of intensity of search effiort"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","8","Cash is more efficient in a narrow sense, but holiday gift exchanges are about interpersonal relationships."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","5","Clearly true if one ignores the pleasure one may get in choosing or receiving specific gifts. Only in some cases are these factors minimal."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","David Autor","MIT","Disagree","10","Are you serious? Presents serve multiple interpersonal purposes. Revealed preference indicates that income transfer is not the primary one."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Uncertain","7","Depends on goal: may have goal (like create emotional connection through item - as if economists had emotions!) not achievable with cash."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Disagree","7","Giving a present gives one an occssion to think about the recipient. The effort one puts into buying can be an important signal as well."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","9","it's the thought (identifying the right present) that matters! In addition money lacks the surprise element."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","10","Of course does not consider receiver's joy of giving, etc:"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","7","Gifts serve many functions such as signalling regard and demonstrating social ties with the recipient. Cash transfers don't do this as well"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","1","I don't want to be a scrooge!"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","10","This is the sort of narrow view that rightly gives economics bad name."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Disagree","7","A large benefit is the pleasure of choosing something special for the receiver. Maybe one's hand-knit socks are more fun to give than cash!"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","9","""It is the thought that counts"" has more truth than some allow. Gifts are more than things."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Disagree","5","Implications of a specific gift (signal it sends, behavioral impact) may give additional utility to either the giver or receiver."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5","The act of giving or receiving gifts can add value to the gifts."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Disagree","10","Instead of proposing to your wife w/diamond ring, you offer a gift card of equal value. Efficient--if you don't count your hospital bills."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","5","generally agree but exposes neoclassical econ limitations bc it excludes utility from gift giver or recipient choosing/receiving a gift."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Disagree","8","Giver informs receiver of novel experience. And (John Solow) giver can't enjoy directly, but only with participation of receiver (jewelry)-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Disagree","10","An assistant might prefer cash. For a friend a present that shows that you have thought about what matters to them might mean much more."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","7","Recipients often want to know that the giver spent time thinking about the gift and acquiring it. Giving cash is too easy in their eyes."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","7","In some cases, non-pecuniary values are important, but in general, the statement is true."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7","Motivation for the present has to be non-monetary -- but try giving your spouse cash!"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","5","I know the argument (see link), but a costly signal can be worthwhile.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Disagree","8","Only an economist could think like this."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","9","Disagree because the value is the thought behind selecting the present, not the cash involved. So true for thoughtless presents."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","8","The judgment would seem to depend on the giver's motivation."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Strongly Disagree","10","Gift giving is a form of communication. Comparing the gift to what the recepient would purchase with cash misses the esssence of gifts."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","5","Generally, of course. But shopping takes time, and some gifts you would never have shopped for turn out to satisfy unsuspected preferences."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","10","Balderdash. This narrow notion of ""efficiency"" -- and what life is about -- gives economists a bad name. Here's to the winter solstice."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Disagree","7","Many reasons why gifts may be better than cash. Signaling thoughtfulness. Specialized knowledge of giver. Gifts from travels..."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","10","For many (most?) gifts, ""efficiency"" is not the point."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","3","Is this a trivial price theory quiz or an interesting behavioral question.? To test price theory, try a cash gift next Valentine's day."
"Tuesday, December 17, 2013 1:03pm","Giving specific presents as holiday gifts is inefficient, because recipients could satisfy their preferences much better with cash.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Disagree","10","Bah, humbug. Such a claim takes an oversimplified model too seriously. Gifts can serve many purposes."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Disagree","6",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","7","Real income of avg the American would rise, but social strains and inequality would also increase."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Agree","5","The median US worker (which is how I interpret the word average) is high skill by global standards"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Uncertain","6","It depends on whether one takes a long or short-term horizon."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","7","I think it matters a lot whether or not they are granted citizenship which we are not told."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","4","Labor is a valuable factor input. My answer presumes that many of these new workers would be employed. But I'm not confident of that."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","6","This would drive down the cost of a variety of services."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","1","""Average US citizen?"" What does this mean. Unskilled natives likely to be worse off, skilled native better off. Who's average?"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","5","If only workers are admitted, we come out ahead because of tax revenue. But it's not so obvious if they bring their families and relatives."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","8","On average citizens would be better off--by classical gains from trade . A countervailing effect : welfare payments to unemployed immigrants"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","10","I am sure that I am uncertain. A certain answer would require a knowledge of general eqm effects on which we've only a partial grasp."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","8","Free trade is as good as migration for traded goods. The impact on nongraded goods is unclear, as are the burdens on social programs."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","5","But the gains to immigrants would be large.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","4","Card's Ely lecture argues wage effects are small. Pro-immigration arguments partly about welfare of immigrants, rather than residents.-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","3","This response is based on the idea that it will increase inequality, which is already too great."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Uncertain","1","There will be gains and losses of various types to various people; it is difficult to reduce these to a net effect on an average citizen."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","3","Very unclear how to think about the ""average"" citizen when there would likely be winners and losers."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Agree","6","Substituting legal immigration for illegal immigration would enhance efficiency and equity."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Agree","5","For low skill workers, the main adverse effects are through wages. For high skill, through fiscal costs. Both costs could be small"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question A:
The average US citizen would be better off if a
larger number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the
US each year.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","4","The evidence is that complementarities would make most Americans better off. The data is not decisive, though."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","7","I agree that the effect would be negative, but believe that it would be modest, not substantial."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Uncertain","5","It all turns on what fraction of low skilled US workers don't have an option that they clearly prefer to these mostly dead end low paid jobs"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","1","A higher number of workers of the same type seeking jobs would lower their average wages or employment rate, other things equal."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","7","Those who compete with low skill immigrants will be hurt by extra competition."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5","""substantially"" is probably too strong."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","4","My understanding is that the Mariel question is still up in the air in terms of serious research."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Agree","8","There can be winners and losers. Similarly skilled workers will face greater competition for jobs and their wages may fall."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","10","Low-skilled workers would probably be worse off but positive gen eqm effects might offset negative direct effects."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8","It is hard to see how they would benefit, and they would lose from the competition in the labor market."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Uncertain","6",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Uncertain","3","I believe the evidence show that some low-skilled natives suffer, but whether many suffer substantially not clear given what I know on this"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","5","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","1","Again, Card's work suggests this is not obvious, although one might expect increased labor market competition."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5","""Substantially"" is a vague term, but on the whole it would probably lower incomes at the bottom."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","7",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","4",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","6","These are the most likely candidates for people who will be adversely affected."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Disagree","6","Substituting legal for illegal immigration could provide benefits to low-skilled workers generally, for both economic and political reasons."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Uncertain","5","Evidence that immigration pushes down low skill wages is mixed"
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","8",""
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","No way to answer this without knowing the definition of ""many"" and ""substantially"" plus some facts."
"Tuesday, December 10, 2013 10:15am","Question B:
Unless they were compensated by others, many
low-skilled American workers would be substantially worse off if a larger
number of low-skilled foreign workers were legally allowed to enter the US each
year.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","7","The ""many"" is the problem: some would certainly be hurt (unless compensated). But ""many""?"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Abhijit Banerjee","MIT","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Strongly Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Markus Brunnermeier","Princeton","Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","9","Stock picker bears a lot of idiosyncratic risk"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","7","""Better"" is delightfully vague."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","Sounds like a trick question! This one is obvious: diversification is a big benefit, even putting aside fee savings."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10","The typical investor is certainly best off buying a low-cost indexed fund. That said, money may be makable without inside information."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Liran Einav","Stanford","Disagree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Amy Finkelstein","MIT","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","(DUH)"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Oliver Hart","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10","In equilibrium the typical investor cannot beat the market. Thus a well-diversified buy and hold strategy is best for such an investor"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","9","There is ample empirical evidence for this claim."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Hilary Hoynes","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Steven Kaplan","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","Almost everyone should be investing in this way and ignoring tips from friends and experts on particular stocks."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","Keepi the expense ratio down!-see background information here"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","5","Key words here are ""in general"" - most people are unlikely to replicate Warren Buffett's performance."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","10","Literally, ""expected"" return may be higher than for diversfied basket, despite higher variance. Does ""do better"" include pain of variance?"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Larry Samuelson","Yale","Agree","8","Picking a few stocks makes sense only if one has better information than the market, which is unlikely without inside information."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","7","Not a great question: ""a few stocks"" might hit it big, ""do better than"" and ""in general"" are not well-defined."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Carl Shapiro","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8","Diversification rocks. Perhaps there are some exceptions for some investors, e.g., based on a tax angle."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Robert Shimer","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9","Aggregate stock returns have some forecastibility, but this is a question about individual stocks"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","You could do the diversification and periodic rebalancing yourself, and perhaps save a few dollars in transaction costs, but why bother?"
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","The annual test to see whether panelists are awake."
"Wednesday, November 20, 2013 9:50am","In general, absent any inside information, an equity investor can expect to do better by choosing a well-diversified, low-cost index fund than by picking a few stocks.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","9","Unless, of course, you *like* the thrill of gambling."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Disagree","8","The bill will reduce the policy independence of the Fed."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","David Autor","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Uncertain","1",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","1",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Disagree","1",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Disagree","7","It is important for the Fed to be able to operate with a minimum of political interference."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","3",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","9","This depends on whether the audit is used to reduce the discretion of the Fed when acting within its mandate. I would need some specifics."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","6",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","10","Um, have you seen how it has worked in countries with political oversight of monetary policy decisions?"
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","8","The existing system of an independent Fed acting with finality has worked well. There's nothing to be gained from such an audit."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Disagree","6",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","7","This looks like an attempt at facilitating more political interference with Fed policy."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","9","The point of this bill is to dial back central independence. Abundant evidence suggests worse monetary policy will follow if it is enacted."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","6","This could work in principle, but generally more Central Bank independence has led to better decisions.-see background information here"
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","3","Don't know enough about the bill to have a particularly strong view."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Disagree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Uncertain","8","Hard to see any effect on its legitimacy or effectiveness."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","2",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Disagree","3",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Disagree","8",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Disagree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","9","Central bank independence is important."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Disagree","6",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question A:
Enactment of theSenate billto subject the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and discount window decisions to an audit by the Comptroller General of the U.S. would improve the Fed's legitimacy without hurting its decision making.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Disagree","2","It seems like a dangerous reduction in fed autonomy."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","4",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","6","Quantitative easing has had to substitute for fiscal stimulus in this recovery, so it should not be ended while it is still needed."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","9","Judging when the marginal cost of ""exit"" risks exceeds the marginal stimulative benefits is difficult with only the data available to me."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","6","The economy isn't strong yet."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","5 years of growth at 2%, unemployment around or above 7.5% and core inflation well below the target says DO NOT TIGHTEN."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","5","Risk w Fed's strategy but we are far below potential output Effect on int rates of tapering culd be large, see May-June int rate increase"
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","7","The Fed has responsibility for controlling inflation. Though quite unlikely, the Fed might need to contract if inflation surged."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","1",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","3","Benefits of more QE now seems small. QE won't cause inflation, but the forward guidance cum QE is creating some financial stability risk.-see background information here"
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","6","But I am worried about it may be coming at the cost of misallocation.-see background information here"
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","4","Caveat: how big an effect these purchases are actually having on employment is not that clear to me."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","9","I interpret this as saying that should continue until are on trajectory that would lead to high employment in 2-3 years."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Disagree","6",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","8","The question is somewhat vague: clearer than what? Consistency in policy is important, so continuing is probably useful."
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, November 06, 2013 8:05am","Question B:
The Fed should not reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities and treasurys until there is clearer evidence of strong and sustained employment growth.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","4",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","7",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","David Autor","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","2",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Disagree","2",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","10","There is theory that goes both ways on this. Vertical price squeeze for integrated sellers a potential concern.-see background information here"
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","1",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","David Cutler","Harvard","Disagree","2",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Uncertain","5","Another one of these questions that appears to refer to average effects only"
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","6","could easily lead to high transaction costs particularly for small players and confusion among consumers about what they get access to."
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Disagree","9","If distribution gains market power, toll takers on the Internet could Balkanize it (w/large aggregate welfare loss)"
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","7","-see background information here"
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Robert Hall","Stanford","No Opinion","","Internet transport charges are negotiated bilaterally, so such charges already occur, along with many other factors that affect prices"
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Disagree","3",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","No Opinion","","curious to see what the IO mavens say about this."
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","3","-see background information here"
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Disagree","4","Haven't gotten into the details of this debate, but given carrier concentration, not obvious that consumers would benefit."
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Uncertain","6",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","William Nordhaus","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","2",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","5",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, October 24, 2013 10:10am","Allowing Internet service providers to charge content companies for access to the ISPs' customers would provide net benefits to consumers.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Disagree","7","The additional incentive to provide bandwidth would be a plus, but the static misallocation from this type of monopoly pricing may be larger-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","2","Treasury markets are directly affected, raising US and other borrowing costs. Recipients of federal payments impaired, with a multiplier"
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","1","Hard to know consequences of something this unprecedented"
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5","""Severe"" is uncertain, but ""harm"" will be significant. Extent of financial disruptions are hard to predict. Length of default will matter."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Disagree","6","Unlikely, if they pay a week later."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","6","This is unknown, of course, but there seems to be decent probabilities on bad stuff happening. It would be a self-inflicted wound."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","No Opinion","","Poor question. The federal govt could make its interest payments on current debt even if the debt ceiling were not raised."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","7","Don't know the effect on the market's long-run trust in the US. It may tolerate a few defaults, but don't know how many. Default is risky."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","9","this would put our status as reserve currency in play; there would probably be forced selling. All bad."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","5","-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","Financial turmoil and a higher interest rate on the huge debt will harm everyone."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","Giving away the status of ""risk free"" to make a political point is the height of stupidity."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question A:
If the United States fails to make scheduled interest or principal payments on government debt securities, even as an unintended consequence of political brinksmanship, US families and businesses are likely to suffer severe economic harm.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","David Autor","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Uncertain","2",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","4",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","1",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Uncertain","2","I don't have a way to estimate the magnitude of the loss. It is significant, but could be on either side of the indicated amount."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","2",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","No Opinion","","Stock market has not gone down, so it seems that people are not too worried yet."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","4","I'm confident that the uncertainty is not increasing GDP but the magnitude of the loss is very very difficult to estimate."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","7","Odd q! Paying for entitlement prgm liabilities over LT a big problem for econ grwth but ST effects of ST uncertainty not easily quantified."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","3","magnitude is unsure but the direction is surely correct and my guess is that the magnitude is above 0.25."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Uncertain","5","-see background information here-see background information here"
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","5","Close call about how much, but 1/4 point seems a reasonable central guess assuming debt limit resolved before D-day and shutdown"
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Uncertain","5",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","2","The sign is clear, but the magnitude is a much harder call."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Agree","8","A comprehensive tax/entitlement reform, one that would fix US fiscal problems for the next forty years, would be a great ""stimulus package."""
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","","Ain't got no tea leaves."
"Tuesday, October 08, 2013 12:06pm","Question B:
With or without a default, current uncertainty over future taxing and spending policies of the US government is likely to depress private investment and hiring by enough to reduce GDP growth by at least a quarter of a percentage point over the next 12 months.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Disagree","7",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","David Autor","MIT","Uncertain","10",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Disagree","2",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","1",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","1",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Disagree","1",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","9","Better to allow to devaluation of the currency, promoting exports and not wasting valuable FX reserves, as defense is not likely to succeed."
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","10","Whether intervention is wise depends on why capital is flowing out (bad policies or unfounded panic). In the first case it's hopeless."
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Ray Fair","Yale","Disagree","5",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Uncertain","2","Really tough question. Outside.my expertise."
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","4","Do not know broad evidence. Short time intervention could stem speculation. Long - term wasteful"
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Disagree","5","The right answer depends on the circumstances, especially whether permanent or temporary events account for outflows. Usually: disagree."
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","6","Efforts to maintain an overvalued currency will likely exhaust those reserves before they stop the outflows."
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Disagree","5","Depends on the particulars, but it is usually better to fix the problem that is causing the reversal."
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","2","Reserve management has not prevented ""Sudden Stops"" from being a major source of emerging market business cycles.-see background information here"
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","1",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Agree","6",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","10","One should use reserves to defnd the financial system (notably banks with USD liabilities), not the ""currency"" (exchange rate) per se."
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Disagree","8",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","3",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Uncertain","4",""
"Thursday, September 26, 2013 10:15am","Experience over the past 30 years shows that for the typical emerging market nation facing rapid capital outflows, spending foreign currency reserves to defend its currency is a better policy for its citizens than not doing so.","Luigi Zingales","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Uncertain","2","The mergers have reduced competition, but there might have been additional bankrupcies."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","David Autor","MIT","Uncertain","1",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","6","On net, the best evidence is, I think, for higher prices and worse service. But the evidence is not that clear-cut.-see background information here"
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","3","Without having studied this, it is very hard to think through what would have happened if the mergers had not taken place."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Disagree","2","The airlines were losing money; service quality was declining. There were unused economies of scope and scale, which may be nearly gone now."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","8","Concentration and price are positively correlated in airline markets and for the obvious reasons"
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","5","Larger networks make for more efficiency and more market power both. Ease of entry (contestability) inclines me mildly toward disagree."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Ray Fair","Yale","Uncertain","5",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Disagree","6",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Claudia Goldin","Harvard","Disagree","4","Acquisitions were mainly moribund airlines: 2001 Am-TWA, 2010/12 Cont.-United; 2008/10 NW-Delta. Continuity was achieved, less disruption."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","3","There isn't a definitive paper on this although Severin Borenstein is working on one that should shed much light on this question."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","5","So many things have changed over the same time, especially rising load factors, that I believe it is hard to resolve the issue."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Uncertain","5",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Uncertain","1","I'd have to do more research into this topic. It's clear what the issues are in theory, so it's a matter of facts."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Disagree","8",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","1","DoJ cliams to have evidence of higher fares, not clear that there are enough gains in routes to counter-act that."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Disagree","3","The DOJ's economists presumably didn't think so."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Uncertain","5","-see background information here"
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","6",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Disagree","3","Hard to judge the counter factual structure."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","No Opinion","",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","No Opinion","",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Disagree","4","Hard call, but chronically low airline profits does not suggest market power being exercised as a general matter."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Uncertain","8",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","4","Hard to say whether the benefits from economies of scale have outweighed the increase in monopoly power."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","3","There are some benefits to consumers to larger networks. Admit that service on US carriers is horrible."
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, August 28, 2013 8:59am","If regulators had not approved mergers in the past decade between major networked airlines, travelers
would be better off today.","Luigi Zingales","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Disagree","4","Federal student loands should be tied to a longer term rate such as 10 year t-bill rate plus a premium, not a very short term rate."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Disagree","3",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","8","College remains an excellent investment for most students, and the federal government is the appropriate lender for most borrowers."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Uncertain","3",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Uncertain","2",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","5",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8","Education creates externalities, justifying subsidies. But there are problematic institutions who may be abusing the programs."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","7","Provides modest subsidies to students but still stabilizes cost of the program (since cost of loans to govt exceeds govt cost of borrowing)."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","8","Unclear what you mean by ""conventional"", but the evidence suggests inadequate college attendance because of price."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","No Opinion","","Why are we being asked about ""conventional economic opinion"" instead of substance? Makes it a test."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","3","The discount-window rate represents a subsidy to education. The case for this: (1) credit frictions, and (2) knowledge externalities."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Uncertain","6","Main q is whether marginal return to college exceeds the cost. If it does, std reasoning says we should encourage more college degrees"
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","1",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Claudia Goldin","Harvard","Agree","7","This has already been done but with a cap on the total rate. Also, the rate is locked in for the loan period. The Q did not state this."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","9","better skills for the workforce helps not just the workers themselves but the wider economy, too."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Uncertain","1","What do we assume about externalities? If no externalities, then this int rate is too low bc doesn't reflect riskiness of student loans."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Disagree","5","There are so many things wrong with the student loan program that changing the interest rate is down the list."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","6","Something needs to be done to return the student loan program to what it was earlier this year."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Disagree","7","Discount window loans are secured and only made to solvent banks. Student loans historically have high default rates. Very bad idea!"
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Disagree","5","I can see the case for subsidizing college, but not pushing the borrowing rate below the risk free rate plus default risk."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","No Opinion","","Haven't had a chance to get informed on this one."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","6",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Uncertain","5","Conventional reasoning may rationalize a subsidy, but it is not clear what the alternative is or why this formula might be optimal."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Uncertain","1","Guessing what conventional economic reasoning suggests is not in my wheel house. Social returns to student loans is probably high."
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Christopher Udry","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Thursday, August 08, 2013 11:54am","Conventional economic reasoning suggests that it would be a good policy to enact therecent Senate billthat would let undergraduate students borrow through the government Stafford program at interest rates equivalent to the primary credit rates offered to banks through the Federal Reserve's discount window.","Luigi Zingales","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","1",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did not answer","",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","David Autor","MIT","Strongly Agree","8","No question that this is effective. Whether it's Pareto improving is open to debate."
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8","Of course, as stated, if the SOLE goal were increasing saving, then even the opt-outs are contrary to the goal."
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","David Cutler","Harvard","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Strongly Agree","1","The effort to opt out raises participation. Is that good? Thats a separate issue."
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Claudia Goldin","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","9","for lots of ppl, the evidence backs this one up well"
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","5","Strong evidence that true inside firm savings plan. Less clear abt overall savings. Danish evidence is impt"
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","7","An age-contingent default might be even better."
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","The research is quite unambiguous on this point. I have not seen any contrary findings (although savvy savers are unaffected by defaults)."
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Uncertain","4","This might be effective in the short run but I have doubts about the long run"
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","-see background information here"
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","-see background information here"
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","5","Evidence on defaults seems pretty overwhelming. Not as familiar with the evidence on automatic increases, except Thaler & Benarzi (2004).-see background information here-see background information here-see background information here"
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","6",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Agree","6",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","6",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","See Thaler and Sunstein's ""Nudge."""
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","10","Finally a question which I am qualified to answer."
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","8","There is strong evidence that such ""nudges"" are effective in raising savings. The welfare consequences are less certain."
"Wednesday, July 24, 2013 10:09am","An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).","Luigi Zingales","Chicago","Did not answer","",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","8",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","7",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Agree","8","LONG run and sustained..."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Uncertain","2",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","David Cutler","Harvard","Uncertain","7","It depends what the spending is for."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","4","Boosting the short run implies a tradeoff, and a distortion in market incentives for long run efficient savings."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","7","lower long run savings is likely to lower long run living standards regardless of source. likely, not certain."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Uncertain","7","I would give a different answer depending on whether we were talking about Brazil or China."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Ray Fair","Yale","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Claudia Goldin","Harvard","Uncertain","3","Important question with an answer that depends on too many factors for a flippant response on my part."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","7","if we are talking long-run"
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Agree","8","Only an unlikely exotic economy could over come the basic principle that more now means less later."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","8","Artificial depression of saving, which is the (unintentional) effect of many govt policies, reduces welfare unless itoffsets some distortion"
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9","Not everywhere and always, but probably here and now for most such policies.-see background information here"
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Agree","3",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","William Nordhaus","Yale","No Opinion","","Poorly worded and loaded question."
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","5",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Agree","3",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Uncertain","8",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Uncertain","8","Unclear what is meant by a ""spending policy that boosts consumption."""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Monday, July 08, 2013 10:15am","Sustained tax and spending policies that boost consumption in ways that reduce the saving rate are likely to lower long-run living standards.","Luigi Zingales","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","2",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","3",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","David Autor","MIT","Agree","5",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","No Opinion","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Uncertain","1",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Strongly Agree","9",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","5",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","4",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","No Opinion","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Agree","7","It is unusual to fight hard (and die) to preserve an unprofitable institution."
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","8",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Uncertain","3","This was clearly Fogel's main thesis, but it is not uncontroversial."
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Claudia Goldin","Harvard","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Uncertain","1","We will miss Fogel here at Chicago."
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Agree","10","I would have said ""Slavery was abolished because it was morally deeply wrong, not because it was in the owners' interest to free slaves"""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","No Opinion","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","8","I read & do not research this topic, but this is my take-away from much reading. I would defer to greater experts, however."
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","7","Time on a Cross was very convincing -- and so disturbing to my sister-in-law that she decided not to be an econ major after reading it!"
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Agree","4","-see background information here"
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","Did Not Answer","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Agree","3",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Agree","5",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","7",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","Bob Fogel, who was an exemplary scholar, a courteous colleague, and a warm, kind person. He will be greatly missed."
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Strongly Agree","7","Fogel and Engerman make a convincing case."
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Friday, June 21, 2013 7:23am","Slavery in the United States was eradicated because of social and political events, not because it
was an unprofitable institution for slaveholders.","Luigi Zingales","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Uncertain","1",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Alan Auerbach","Berkeley","Agree","4",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","David Autor","MIT","Uncertain","5","This would primarily be a transfer from gas producers to U.S. industries and consumers. Welfare losses would probably be second order."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Katherine Baicker","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Marianne Bertrand","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Raj Chetty","Harvard","Agree","4",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Judith Chevalier","Yale","Uncertain","10","Restrictions are bad. But they may not turn out to be very important as shale gas extraction technologies disseminate internationally.-see background information here"
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Janet Currie","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","David Cutler","Harvard","Agree","5","Adverse is a weird word, but should allow."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Angus Deaton","Princeton","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Darrell Duffie","Stanford","Agree","7","This sort of restriction distorts prices and allocations from their efficient levels. I see no efficiency offsetting gain."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Aaron Edlin","Berkeley","Disagree","1","My answer presumes the typical narrow views of what constitutes an adverse effect on the economy."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Barry Eichengreen","Berkeley","Agree","5","If U.S. has market power in the energy market, there could be favorable terms of trade effects, but this is likely to be second order."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Ray Fair","Yale","Agree","5",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Pinelopi Goldberg","Yale","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Claudia Goldin","Harvard","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Austan Goolsbee","Chicago","Agree","7","true. But ppl should understand that a world mkt for LNG means erasing the US's benefit from having lower energy Ps than others"
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Michael Greenstone","Chicago","Strongly Agree","8","might limit US access to forgn natural resources (e.g.,what about Chinese rare earth materials?). Interesting analysis below-see background information here"
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Robert Hall","Stanford","Strongly Agree","9","Totally basic economics--gains from trade"
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Bengt Holmström","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Caroline Hoxby","Stanford","Agree","8","Energy prices are set by world mkt.Restrictions are thus difficult to justify except for national security & especial fragile local environm"
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Kenneth Judd","Stanford","Agree","8","Restrictions on free trade seldom benefit the US, and I see no special facts here to make this an exception."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Anil Kashyap","Chicago","Agree","3",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Pete Klenow","Stanford","Strongly Agree","6","Yes, but export opportunities may be short-lived.-see background information here"
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Jonathan Levin","Stanford","No Opinion","","Not highly informed on this topic. NERA report for US gov't says LNG exports would have positive impact on GDP, no effect on employment.-see background information here"
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Eric Maskin","Harvard","Agree","7",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","William Nordhaus","Yale","Strongly Disagree","9","Overall gains but unclear impact on distribution of income."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Maurice Obstfeld","Berkeley","Agree","6",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Emmanuel Saez","Berkeley","Uncertain","3",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","José Scheinkman","Princeton","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Richard Schmalensee","MIT","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Hyun Song Shin","Princeton","Did Not Answer","",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Nancy Stokey","Chicago","No Opinion","",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Richard Thaler","Chicago","Agree","5","Presumption should favor free trade."
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Christopher Udry","Yale","Strongly Agree","10",""
"Wednesday, June 05, 2013 9:47am","Restricting US exports of liquefied natural gas would have adverse effects on the US economy.","Luigi Zingales","Chicago","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, May 23, 2013 8:52am","Question A:
Because the US has
underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an
opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways,
bridges and airports.","Daron Acemoglu","MIT","Agree","4",""
"Thursday, May 23, 2013 8:52am","Question A:
Because the US has
underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an
opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways,
bridges and airports.","Alberto Alesina","Harvard","Did Not Answer","",""
"Thursday, May 23, 2013 8:52am","Question A:
Because the US has
underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an
opportunity to increase average incomes by spending more on roads, railways,
bridges and airports.","Joseph Altonji","Yale","Strongly Agree","8",""
"Thursday, May 23, 2013 8:52am","Question A:
Because the US has
underspent on new projects, maintenance, or both, the federal government has an
opportunity to increas
Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment