Wager: loser donates $100 to the winner’s named charity.
- A reference list of the top 10,000 Alexa domains will be used (“List”).
- Ten domains are selected at random from the List.
- Ten government websites (any domain containing “.gov.” or ending in “.gov”) are selected at random from the List.
- The twenty domains are paired, one from each group, into ten pairs.
- Random numbers used for the selection will be generated by random.org.
- We each pick a trusted expert, denoted A and B.
- A and B together agree on a third expert, C.
- For each pair, A and B decide independently which of the two sites is likely to have a better user experience, using only a screenshot of the domain.
- If A and B disagree, they agree to abide by C’s decision, which will be final.
- John wins if the experts pick a greater number of government websites than non-government websites.
- Steven wins if the experts pick a greater number of non-government websites than government websites.
- If there’s a tie, Steven and John split the difference and pay $50 each to the other’s charity.
It's true that government websites are generally less popular than non-government websites, and there are also fewer of them, but I'm not sure what the objection is. UK domains are less popular than US domains. Does that make the two incomparable?
I agree that screenshot is less than ideal. But it has to be something where we both know for sure that the judges are looking at the same thing. If it's a live link, then what if there's differences between browsers, content based on time of day, site happens to be down at that moment, etc.?