Skip to content

Instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

@freerobby

freerobby/gist:a62176f17446f508aad7832430346818

Created April 13, 2021 13:40
Show Gist options
  • Star 0 You must be signed in to star a gist
  • Fork 0 You must be signed in to fork a gist
  • Save freerobby/a62176f17446f508aad7832430346818 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Save freerobby/a62176f17446f508aad7832430346818 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Download ZIP
Raw
gistfile1.txt
Napkin math on if those 6.8M people didn't get the J&J vaccine:
"During March 1–28, 2020, the overall laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated hospitalization rate was 4.6 per 100,000 population."
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6915e3.htm
6,800,000 / 100,000 * 4.6
=> 312.8 hospitalizations.
"Of patients in this cohort, 55 593 (28.9%) were admitted to the ICU"
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2777028
312.8 * 0.289
=> 90.3992 in ICU
"The 31% incidence of thrombotic complications in ICU patients"
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7146714
90.3992 * 0.31
=> 28.023752 expected blood clots sans vaccine.
Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment