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groupedetravailpoker/implied_odds.md

Last active January 31, 2020 13:17
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implied_odds.md

Calculating Implied odds in game

As we enter the flop, say we have KTo and flop is 952 . We think we have 3+3 = 6 outs = 24% raw equity on 2 streets, 12% in one. pot is 100bb, villain bets 2/3 = 66bb. Our pot odds if calling will be 28.5%. How much do we need to make on latter steets to be break-even (we only have 24% and need 28.5%)?
Follow line with 25% implied odds (rounding 24 to 25) and look un x axis for 2/3 -> we will need approx 0.33 of the pot = 33bb. Then we can call if we think that we will get 33bb on average on later streets. Formula:

    y <- function(x,z) x*(1/z - 2) - 1
    z = implied odds (as a fraction)
    x = bet (fraction of pot size)
    y = amount to add to be break-even as a pot ratio.

implied_odds_amounts_3

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