corona.py

# Fatality rate of coronavirus outside China [1]
corona_fatal_rate = (3168 - 2945) / (92880 - 80152)
# Cases in USA [1]
corona_cases_usa = 118
# Population of USA [2]
population_usa = 329346645
# "Infection rate" of coronavirus in USA
corona_infect_rate = corona_cases_usa / population_usa
# Fatality rate of flu in USA [3]
# (average of 5 most recent seasons for which there's data 2012-2017)
flu_fatal_rate = (
    (
        43000 + 38000 + 51000 + 23000 + 38000
    ) / (
        34000000 + 30000000 + 30000000 + 24000000 + 29000000
    )
)
# Infection rate of flu [2][3]
flu_infect_rate = (
    (
        34000000 + 30000000 + 30000000 + 24000000 + 29000000
    ) / (
        315035869 + 317243472 + 319594955 + 321864095 + 324076093
    )
)

# 19242.32277551661
print(
    (
        flu_fatal_rate * flu_infect_rate
    ) / (
        corona_fatal_rate * corona_infect_rate
    )
)

# Sources:
# [1]: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
# [2]: https://www.census.gov/popclock/
# [3]: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html