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@jwbowers
Last active December 1, 2019 19:51
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EBP Weak Theory
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<body>
<div style="max-width:900px; -webkit-transform:rotate(0deg);">
<scene id="scene1">
<label t="translate(4,348)">
<tspan x="-2" y="0em">After two years...</tspan>
</label>
<drawing t="translate(0,31)">
<line stroke="green">
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</line>
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<bubble t="translate(9,-10)" pose="0,0|-2,27|23,52|-65,91|-52,121|-73,121">
<tspan x="0" y="-5em">I'm so excited to learn if</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="-4em">our new policy works!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="-3em">Behavioral science!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="-2em">Randomization!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="-1em">Administrative data!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="6em">Great collaboration!</tspan>
</bubble>
</actor>
<actor t="translate(170,15)" pose="28,1|30,109|28,91|28,81|28,71|28,51|18,31|18,1|33,26|38,1|23,71|18,51|38,71|38,51">
<bubble t="translate(-2,-9)" pose="0,0|-2,33|33,96|-11,54|-15,86|-120,124">
<tspan x="0" y="0em">Oh yeah!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="1em">Behavioral science!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="2em">Randomization!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="3em">Collaboration!</tspan>
</bubble>
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<actor t="translate(71,19) rotate(-2)" pose="-11,9|-1,121|-12,104|-10,89|-11,79|-11,59|-16,34|-21,9|-6,34|-1,9|-25,78|6,73|17,77|11,104">
<bubble t="translate(-3,0)" pose="0,0|-12,22|-83,104|45,21|-37,182|-67,165">
<tspan x="0" y="-2em">So, what is the answer?</tspan>
<tspan x="5" y="1em">Oh...Um...<tspan fill="blue">5??</tspan></tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="5em">But, 100 schools?</tspan>
<tspan x="15" y="8em">Hmm</tspan>
</bubble>
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<bubble t="translate(-2,-9)" pose="0,0|7,33|44,94|-95,165|-84,197|-95,209">
<tspan x="0" y=".5em"><tspan fill="blue">5!</tspan></tspan>
<tspan x="-30" y="3.5em" fill="purple">Yes! 95% CI (1 to 9)</tspan>
<tspan x="25" y="4.5em" fill="purple"> p=.01! </tspan>
<tspan x="-20" y="8em" fill="orange">The estimated average</tspan>
<tspan x="-10" y="9em" fill="orange">effect is significant!</tspan>
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<bubble t="translate(-3,0)" pose="0,0|-12,22|-91,102|18,77|-21,122|-67,165">
<tspan x="0" y="-2em"><tspan fill="blue" font-size="15px"> Questions!</tspan> </tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="-1em">1. any harm or zero effects?</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="0em">2. what context enabled</tspan>
<tspan x="8" y="1em">the causal effect?</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="2em">3. might the context change?</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="3em">4. Would scale-up change</tspan>
<tspan x="8" y="4em"> the context &amp; the effects?</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="5em">5. Is best policy school specific?</tspan>
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<bubble t="translate(18,-7)" pose="0,0|-18,24|-17,54|-43,6|-56,43|-78,171">
<tspan x="-60" y="6em" fill="purple">This study not designed</tspan>
<tspan x="-50" y="7em" fill="purple">for those questions.</tspan>
<tspan x="-60" y="8em" fill="purple">So far, no science on those</tspan>
<tspan x="-50" y="9em" fill="purple">questions either.</tspan>
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