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EBP Weak Theory
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<div style="max-width:900px; -webkit-transform:rotate(0deg);"> | |
<scene id="scene1"> | |
<label t="translate(4,348)"> | |
<tspan x="-2" y="0em">After two years...</tspan> | |
</label> | |
<drawing t="translate(0,31)"> | |
<line stroke="green"> | |
<point x="0" y="0"></point> | |
<point x="250" y="20"></point> | |
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<actor t="translate(71,19) rotate(-2)" pose="-11,9|-6,120|-11,99|-11,89|-10,60|-11,59|-16,34|-21,9|-6,34|-1,9|-18,79|-18,59|-6,79|-5,58"> | |
<bubble t="translate(9,-10)" pose="0,0|-2,27|23,52|-65,91|-52,121|-73,121"> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-5em">I'm so excited to learn if</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-4em">our new policy works!</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-3em">Behavioral science!</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-2em">Randomization!</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-1em">Administrative data!</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="6em">Great collaboration!</tspan> | |
</bubble> | |
</actor> | |
<actor t="translate(170,15)" pose="28,1|30,109|28,91|28,81|28,71|28,51|18,31|18,1|33,26|38,1|23,71|18,51|38,71|38,51"> | |
<bubble t="translate(-2,-9)" pose="0,0|-2,33|33,96|-11,54|-15,86|-120,124"> | |
<tspan x="0" y="0em">Oh yeah!</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="1em">Behavioral science!</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="2em">Randomization!</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="3em">Collaboration!</tspan> | |
</bubble> | |
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</scene> | |
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<actor t="translate(71,19) rotate(-2)" pose="-11,9|-1,121|-12,104|-10,89|-11,79|-11,59|-16,34|-21,9|-6,34|-1,9|-25,78|6,73|17,77|11,104"> | |
<bubble t="translate(-3,0)" pose="0,0|-12,22|-83,104|45,21|-37,182|-67,165"> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-2em">So, what is the answer?</tspan> | |
<tspan x="5" y="1em">Oh...Um...<tspan fill="blue">5??</tspan></tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="5em">But, 100 schools?</tspan> | |
<tspan x="15" y="8em">Hmm</tspan> | |
</bubble> | |
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<bubble t="translate(-2,-9)" pose="0,0|7,33|44,94|-95,165|-84,197|-95,209"> | |
<tspan x="0" y=".5em"><tspan fill="blue">5!</tspan></tspan> | |
<tspan x="-30" y="3.5em" fill="purple">Yes! 95% CI (1 to 9)</tspan> | |
<tspan x="25" y="4.5em" fill="purple"> p=.01! </tspan> | |
<tspan x="-20" y="8em" fill="orange">The estimated average</tspan> | |
<tspan x="-10" y="9em" fill="orange">effect is significant!</tspan> | |
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<bubble t="translate(-3,0)" pose="0,0|-12,22|-91,102|18,77|-21,122|-67,165"> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-2em"><tspan fill="blue" font-size="15px"> Questions!</tspan> </tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="-1em">1. any harm or zero effects?</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="0em">2. what context enabled</tspan> | |
<tspan x="8" y="1em">the causal effect?</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="2em">3. might the context change?</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="3em">4. Would scale-up change</tspan> | |
<tspan x="8" y="4em"> the context & the effects?</tspan> | |
<tspan x="0" y="5em">5. Is best policy school specific?</tspan> | |
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<bubble t="translate(18,-7)" pose="0,0|-18,24|-17,54|-43,6|-56,43|-78,171"> | |
<tspan x="-60" y="6em" fill="purple">This study not designed</tspan> | |
<tspan x="-50" y="7em" fill="purple">for those questions.</tspan> | |
<tspan x="-60" y="8em" fill="purple">So far, no science on those</tspan> | |
<tspan x="-50" y="9em" fill="purple">questions either.</tspan> | |
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