Hirokazu Takaya lisphilar

## 01_summary_3-points.csv
ID,ODE,Rt,Rt_est,kappa,kappa_est,rho,rho_est,sigma,sigma_est,theta,theta_est,step_n,RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
SIR_0,SIR,16.82,16.8,,,0.43599490214200376,0.3580615651516753,0.025926231827891333,0.02131164041944411,,,3,0.09864645641726243,531,0 min 40 sec
SIR_1,SIR,1.26,1.26,,,0.5496624778787091,0.520246006982862,0.4353223926182769,0.4114529919697404,,,3,0.01808739584091324,540,0 min 40 sec
SIR_2,SIR,1.27,1.27,,,0.42036780208748903,0.40222833930651875,0.3303348210038741,0.3162942275840907,,,3,0.013371474267578055,537,0 min 40 sec
SIR_3,SIR,0.33,0.33,,,0.2046486340378425,0.25433050561993525,0.6192709663506637,0.7679124964004214,,,3,0.0808412749432481,536,0 min 40 sec
SIR_4,SIR,1.12,1.12,,,0.29965467367452314,0.2952571684065429,0.26682727510286663,0.26267539637498905,,,3,0.0043253472241321835,133,0 min 10 sec
SIR_5,SIR,1.17,1.18,,,0.6211338327692949,0.5943914848613934,0.5291420942770391,0.505767069644604,,,3,0.014197155004925997,541,0 min 40 sec
SIR_6,SIR,0.26,0.26,,,0.13457994534493356,0.1634169575011506,0.5135781212

## 01_summary_10-points.csv
ID,ODE,Rt,Rt_est,kappa,kappa_est,rho,rho_est,sigma,sigma_est,theta,theta_est,step_n,RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
SIR_0,SIR,16.82,16.86,,,0.43599490214200376,0.36061782457729663,0.025926231827891333,0.021391674755212326,,,10,0.3147171710008828,968,0 min 50 sec
SIR_1,SIR,1.26,1.26,,,0.5496624778787091,0.5208749798191259,0.4353223926182769,0.41190067428457433,,,10,0.036655538716010745,976,0 min 50 sec
SIR_2,SIR,1.27,1.27,,,0.42036780208748903,0.4027332023396274,0.3303348210038741,0.3161902054623674,,,10,0.026461040954779535,731,0 min 40 sec
SIR_3,SIR,0.33,0.33,,,0.2046486340378425,0.25336497243546924,0.6192709663506637,0.7626120986658277,,,10,0.2766171511695487,129,0 min 10 sec
SIR_4,SIR,1.12,1.12,,,0.29965467367452314,0.2953857970122869,0.26682727510286663,0.26263676593546464,,,10,0.007072419544512607,126,0 min 10 sec
SIR_5,SIR,1.17,1.18,,,0.6211338327692949,0.5949827926347503,0.5291420942770391,0.506308455544006,,,10,0.02652900180486558,737,0 min 40 sec
SIR_6,SIR,0.26,0.27,,,0.13457994534493356,0.1677049583956557,0.51

## RMSLE_10-90points.csv

          
            Rt
            ID
            10points
            30points
            50points
            70points
            90points

            
              16.82
              SIR_0
              0.314717171
              0.011034311
              0.002520616
              0.014469204
              0.071081207

            
              1.26
              SIR_1
              0.036655539
              0.026937078
              0.010028279
              0.004636733
              0.00658943

            
              1.27
              SIR_2
              0.026461041
              0.029392914
              0.017846351
              0.003072677
              0.005037168

            
              0.33
              SIR_3
              0.276617151
              0.253496242
              0.196360671
              0.165957108
              0.146362221

            
              1.12
              SIR_4
              0.00707242
              0.008105819
              0.007531385
              0.005787905
              0.004439467

            
              1.17
              SIR_5
              0.026529002
              0.018423443
              0.009383501
              0.000955472
              0.001082645

            
              0.26
              SIR_6
              0.233857566
              0.238233356
              0.184701796
              0.156115626
              0.137751618

            
              0.23
              SIR_7
              0.339147737
              0.196061042
              0.152094141
              0.128733656
              0.113700299

            
              0.03
              SIR-D_0
              0.4898103
              0.2825895
              0.219077539
              0.185003154
              0.16316033

## Greece.csv
Scenario,Phase,Type,Start,End,Population,ODE,Rt,theta,kappa,rho,sigma,tau,alpha1 [-],1/beta [day],1/gamma [day],1/alpha2 [day],RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
Main,0th,Past,14Mar2020,31Mar2020,10731726,SIR-F,13.87,0.015998714621194697,4.550357191625089e-06,0.0002469531459165822,1.296665262517984e-05,3,0.016,8,160,457,0.12975536873842483,372.0,0 min 40 sec
Main,1st,Past,01Apr2020,19Apr2020,10731726,SIR-F,1.62,0.018303445839080487,4.52236146926308e-06,7.897931505718618e-05,4.3279547199088894e-05,3,0.018,26,48,460,0.11195174296551168,290.0,0 min 30 sec
Main,2nd,Past,20Apr2020,29Apr2020,10731726,SIR-F,0.52,0.031543716819639994,2.165069383365277e-06,5.985647378687589e-05,0.00010910671876358269,3,0.032,34,19,962,0.046199018569371975,448.0,0 min 51 sec
Main,3rd,Past,30Apr2020,13May2020,10731726,SIR-F,0.45,0.05639778238963808,8.951050588431961e-07,2.5809971537342786e-05,5.319272693047046e-05,3,0.056,80,39,2327,0.004856177212212986,161.0,0 min 15 sec
Main,4th,Past,14May2020,24May2020,10731726,SIR-F,0.47,0.029855482569899634,3.22

## forecast_italy.csv
,Type,Start,End,Population,ODE,Rt,theta,kappa,rho,sigma,tau,1/gamma [day],1/alpha2 [day],1/beta [day],alpha1 [-],RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
0th,Past,24Feb2020,03Mar2020,60421760,SIR-F,13.98,0.0015905031108614832,0.00037633828733545175,0.017118784249858635,0.0008465812955894198,72,59,132,2,0.002,0.36096468312274027,583.0,1 min  1 sec
1st,Past,04Mar2020,12Mar2020,60421760,SIR-F,6.33,0.0009349944344135214,0.0007810427442777074,0.01177325808688971,0.0010785412975610083,72,46,64,4,0.001,0.08933130217976097,768.0,1 min 11 sec
2nd,Past,13Mar2020,26Mar2020,60421760,SIR-F,4.12,0.0002355506039508496,0.0008226762023984428,0.007863336905985296,0.0010832790544358269,72,46,60,6,0.0,0.06071150188612601,392.0,0 min 40 sec
3rd,Past,27Mar2020,10Apr2020,60421760,SIR-F,2.38,0.05277323626506709,0.0003216995022857156,0.0028405461429493305,0.0008107112404140731,72,61,155,17,0.053,0.030495729385971424,486.0,0 min 51 sec
4th,Past,11Apr2020,20Apr2020,60421760,SIR-F,1.48,0.0013600059956549318,0.0002505522557499262,0.00159635185398769,0.00082

## corr_pca_20220213.ipynb

      
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              February 13, 2022 10:33
            
              
                corr_PCA_20220213.ipynb
              
          
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## comparison_datatable_pandas_dask.ipynb

      
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## pca_example.ipynb

      
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## pca_example.ipynb

      
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	ID,ODE,Rt,Rt_est,kappa,kappa_est,rho,rho_est,sigma,sigma_est,theta,theta_est,step_n,RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
	SIR_0,SIR,16.82,16.8,,,0.43599490214200376,0.3580615651516753,0.025926231827891333,0.02131164041944411,,,3,0.09864645641726243,531,0 min 40 sec
	SIR_1,SIR,1.26,1.26,,,0.5496624778787091,0.520246006982862,0.4353223926182769,0.4114529919697404,,,3,0.01808739584091324,540,0 min 40 sec
	SIR_2,SIR,1.27,1.27,,,0.42036780208748903,0.40222833930651875,0.3303348210038741,0.3162942275840907,,,3,0.013371474267578055,537,0 min 40 sec
	SIR_3,SIR,0.33,0.33,,,0.2046486340378425,0.25433050561993525,0.6192709663506637,0.7679124964004214,,,3,0.0808412749432481,536,0 min 40 sec
	SIR_4,SIR,1.12,1.12,,,0.29965467367452314,0.2952571684065429,0.26682727510286663,0.26267539637498905,,,3,0.0043253472241321835,133,0 min 10 sec
	SIR_5,SIR,1.17,1.18,,,0.6211338327692949,0.5943914848613934,0.5291420942770391,0.505767069644604,,,3,0.014197155004925997,541,0 min 40 sec
	SIR_6,SIR,0.26,0.26,,,0.13457994534493356,0.1634169575011506,0.5135781212
	ID,ODE,Rt,Rt_est,kappa,kappa_est,rho,rho_est,sigma,sigma_est,theta,theta_est,step_n,RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
	SIR_0,SIR,16.82,16.86,,,0.43599490214200376,0.36061782457729663,0.025926231827891333,0.021391674755212326,,,10,0.3147171710008828,968,0 min 50 sec
	SIR_1,SIR,1.26,1.26,,,0.5496624778787091,0.5208749798191259,0.4353223926182769,0.41190067428457433,,,10,0.036655538716010745,976,0 min 50 sec
	SIR_2,SIR,1.27,1.27,,,0.42036780208748903,0.4027332023396274,0.3303348210038741,0.3161902054623674,,,10,0.026461040954779535,731,0 min 40 sec
	SIR_3,SIR,0.33,0.33,,,0.2046486340378425,0.25336497243546924,0.6192709663506637,0.7626120986658277,,,10,0.2766171511695487,129,0 min 10 sec
	SIR_4,SIR,1.12,1.12,,,0.29965467367452314,0.2953857970122869,0.26682727510286663,0.26263676593546464,,,10,0.007072419544512607,126,0 min 10 sec
	SIR_5,SIR,1.17,1.18,,,0.6211338327692949,0.5949827926347503,0.5291420942770391,0.506308455544006,,,10,0.02652900180486558,737,0 min 40 sec
	SIR_6,SIR,0.26,0.27,,,0.13457994534493356,0.1677049583956557,0.51
Rt	ID	10points	30points	50points	70points	90points
16.82	SIR_0	0.314717171	0.011034311	0.002520616	0.014469204	0.071081207
1.26	SIR_1	0.036655539	0.026937078	0.010028279	0.004636733	0.00658943
1.27	SIR_2	0.026461041	0.029392914	0.017846351	0.003072677	0.005037168
0.33	SIR_3	0.276617151	0.253496242	0.196360671	0.165957108	0.146362221
1.12	SIR_4	0.00707242	0.008105819	0.007531385	0.005787905	0.004439467
1.17	SIR_5	0.026529002	0.018423443	0.009383501	0.000955472	0.001082645
0.26	SIR_6	0.233857566	0.238233356	0.184701796	0.156115626	0.137751618
0.23	SIR_7	0.339147737	0.196061042	0.152094141	0.128733656	0.113700299
0.03	SIR-D_0	0.4898103	0.2825895	0.219077539	0.185003154	0.16316033
	Scenario,Phase,Type,Start,End,Population,ODE,Rt,theta,kappa,rho,sigma,tau,alpha1 [-],1/beta [day],1/gamma [day],1/alpha2 [day],RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
	Main,0th,Past,14Mar2020,31Mar2020,10731726,SIR-F,13.87,0.015998714621194697,4.550357191625089e-06,0.0002469531459165822,1.296665262517984e-05,3,0.016,8,160,457,0.12975536873842483,372.0,0 min 40 sec
	Main,1st,Past,01Apr2020,19Apr2020,10731726,SIR-F,1.62,0.018303445839080487,4.52236146926308e-06,7.897931505718618e-05,4.3279547199088894e-05,3,0.018,26,48,460,0.11195174296551168,290.0,0 min 30 sec
	Main,2nd,Past,20Apr2020,29Apr2020,10731726,SIR-F,0.52,0.031543716819639994,2.165069383365277e-06,5.985647378687589e-05,0.00010910671876358269,3,0.032,34,19,962,0.046199018569371975,448.0,0 min 51 sec
	Main,3rd,Past,30Apr2020,13May2020,10731726,SIR-F,0.45,0.05639778238963808,8.951050588431961e-07,2.5809971537342786e-05,5.319272693047046e-05,3,0.056,80,39,2327,0.004856177212212986,161.0,0 min 15 sec
	Main,4th,Past,14May2020,24May2020,10731726,SIR-F,0.47,0.029855482569899634,3.22
	,Type,Start,End,Population,ODE,Rt,theta,kappa,rho,sigma,tau,1/gamma [day],1/alpha2 [day],1/beta [day],alpha1 [-],RMSLE,Trials,Runtime
	0th,Past,24Feb2020,03Mar2020,60421760,SIR-F,13.98,0.0015905031108614832,0.00037633828733545175,0.017118784249858635,0.0008465812955894198,72,59,132,2,0.002,0.36096468312274027,583.0,1 min 1 sec
	1st,Past,04Mar2020,12Mar2020,60421760,SIR-F,6.33,0.0009349944344135214,0.0007810427442777074,0.01177325808688971,0.0010785412975610083,72,46,64,4,0.001,0.08933130217976097,768.0,1 min 11 sec
	2nd,Past,13Mar2020,26Mar2020,60421760,SIR-F,4.12,0.0002355506039508496,0.0008226762023984428,0.007863336905985296,0.0010832790544358269,72,46,60,6,0.0,0.06071150188612601,392.0,0 min 40 sec
	3rd,Past,27Mar2020,10Apr2020,60421760,SIR-F,2.38,0.05277323626506709,0.0003216995022857156,0.0028405461429493305,0.0008107112404140731,72,61,155,17,0.053,0.030495729385971424,486.0,0 min 51 sec
	4th,Past,11Apr2020,20Apr2020,60421760,SIR-F,1.48,0.0013600059956549318,0.0002505522557499262,0.00159635185398769,0.00082