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constituency | county | y1 | y2 | y1lag | y2lag | coninc | labinc | libinc | v1 | v2 | v3 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Barrow & Furness | Cumbria | 1.3286 | 1.4732 | 1.182 | 1.0142 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.4131 | 0.4774 | 0.1094 | |
Berwick-upon-Tweed | Northumberland | -0.3032 | -0.6634 | -0.5689 | -1.0906 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.3277 | 0.2286 | 0.4437 | |
Bishop Auckland | Durham | 0.5598 | 1.0113 | 0.7052 | 1.0258 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3183 | 0.4999 | 0.1818 | |
Durham City of | Durham | 0.0978 | 0.9092 | -0.4139 | 0.3037 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.2405 | 0.5414 | 0.2181 | |
Copeland | Cumbria | 1.7351 | 1.8508 | 1.5507 | 1.6453 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.435 | 0.4883 | 0.0767 | |
Easington | Durham | 0.4546 | 1.9246 | 0.0408 | 1.4702 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.1671 | 0.7268 | 0.1061 | |
Hexham | Northumberland | 0.8811 | 0.1085 | 0.4472 | -0.5683 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.533 | 0.2461 | 0.2208 | |
Langbaurgh | Cleveland | 1.3717 | 1.3182 | 0.7418 | 0.6582 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.4542 | 0.4306 | 0.1152 | |
Durham North | Durham | 0.4855 | 1.365 | -0.0637 | 0.9126 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.2484 | 0.5987 | 0.1529 |
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{ | |
"cells": [ | |
{ | |
"cell_type": "markdown", | |
"metadata": { | |
}, | |
"source": [ | |
"# Bayesian implementation of forced-response model in PyMC3\n", | |
"\n", | |
"### Based on Blair et al. 2015\n" |
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