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Demand Forecast Prediction Notes
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dem_forecast_notes.md

Main Factors

Day of Week, Block of day, Tempurature Dependent load, Special day, load crash/load shedding

Demand Equation

Demand at a block
=
Connected Load * temp * (fTempSun * isSun + fTempMon * isMon + fTempTue * isTue + fTempWed * isWed + fTempThu * isThu + fTempFri * isFri + fTempSat * isSat)
+
Connected Load * (fDemSun * isSun + fDemMon * isMon + fDemTue * isTue + fDemWed * isWed + fDemThu * isThu + fDemFri * isFri + fDemSat * isSat)
+
Connected Load * fConstDem
-
Connected Load * fDiwali * isDiwali
-
Connected Load * fHoli * isHoli
-
Connected Load * fIndDay * isIndDay
-
Connected Load * fDusshera * isDusshera
-
Connected Load * fChristmas * isChristmas
-
Connected Load * fSankranti * isSankranti
-
Load Shedding/Load Crash

Variables to be found out after fitting the data

Connected Load, fTempSun, fTempMon, fTempTue, fTempWed, fTempThu, fTempFri, fTempSat, fDemSun, fDemMon, fDemTue, fDemWed, fDemThu, fDemFri, fDemSat, fConstDem, fDiwali, fHoli, fIndDay, fDusshera, fChristmas, fSankranti

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