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Using ADF test to check stationarity
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# Loading the packages | |
import pandas as pd | |
import numpy as np | |
import statsmodels.tsa.stattools as sm | |
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt | |
plt.style.use('fivethirtyeight') | |
# Loading the dataset: | |
data = pd.read_csv('../AirPassengers.csv') | |
data = data.rename(columns = {'#Passengers':'Passengers'}) | |
data = data.set_index('Month') | |
# Plotting the data (Figure A): | |
ax = data.plot(linewidth = 0.8) | |
ax.set_xlabel('Year') | |
ax.set_ylabel('Number of Passengers') | |
ax.set_title('Monthly Passengers') | |
# Applying ADF Test: | |
nonst_test = sm.adfuller(data) | |
# Printing the results (Table under Figure A): | |
output = pd.Series(nonst_test[0:4], index=['t-statistic','p-value','lags-used','no-of-observations']) | |
for key,value in nonst_test[4].items(): | |
output['Critical Value (%s)'%key] = value | |
print(output) | |
# Apply transformation to make data stationary: | |
log_data = np.log(data) # Taking the log | |
ma_data = log_data.rolling(window=12).mean() # Taking moving average | |
log_minus_ma_data = log_data - ma_data | |
log_minus_ma_data.dropna(inplace=True) | |
# Plotting the data (Figure B): | |
ax = log_minus_ma_data.plot(linewidth = 0.8) | |
ax.set_xlabel('Year') | |
ax.set_ylabel('Number of Passengers') | |
ax.set_title('Monthly Passengers') | |
# Applying ADF Test after applying transformations: | |
st_test = sm.adfuller(log_minus_ma_data) | |
# Printing the results (Table under Figure B): | |
output = pd.Series(st_test[0:4], index=['t-statistic','p-value','lags-used','no-of-observations']) | |
for key,value in st_test[4].items(): | |
output['Critical Value (%s)'%key] = value | |
print(output) |
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