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@psinger
Created July 16, 2020 08:56
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Name # plays Actual Expected Ratio Dif
Kerryon Johnson 118 5.432 3.755 1.446 1.677
Kenneth Dixon 60 5.550 4.201 1.321 1.349
Saquon Barkley 261 5.008 3.738 1.340 1.270
Nick Chubb 190 5.184 3.931 1.319 1.253
Derrick Henry 200 4.825 3.695 1.306 1.130
Jordan Wilkins 60 5.600 4.558 1.229 1.042
Aaron Jones 132 5.485 4.465 1.228 1.020
Zach Zenner 55 4.818 3.845 1.253 0.973
Phillip Lindsay 189 5.466 4.510 1.212 0.955
Isaiah Crowell 143 4.790 3.919 1.222 0.872
Rashaad Penny 85 4.929 4.071 1.211 0.859
Gus Edwards 137 5.241 4.450 1.178 0.791
Lamar Miller 207 4.638 3.865 1.200 0.772
C.J. Anderson 67 6.015 5.324 1.130 0.691
Joe Mixon 237 4.928 4.245 1.161 0.684
Ezekiel Elliott 297 4.758 4.098 1.161 0.659
Christian McCaffrey 216 4.958 4.351 1.140 0.607
Matt Breida 153 5.320 4.782 1.113 0.539
James Conner 214 4.542 4.004 1.134 0.538
Chris Carson 247 4.660 4.159 1.121 0.501
Frank Gore 155 4.626 4.172 1.109 0.454
Mike Davis 111 4.631 4.230 1.095 0.400
Latavius Murray 139 4.151 3.776 1.099 0.375
Kareem Hunt 181 4.552 4.185 1.088 0.368
Tevin Coleman 167 4.790 4.457 1.075 0.334
Bilal Powell 80 4.287 3.955 1.084 0.332
Mark Ingram 138 4.674 4.349 1.075 0.325
Marlon Mack 195 4.656 4.380 1.063 0.276
Marshawn Lynch 90 4.178 3.926 1.064 0.252
Jalen Richard 55 4.709 4.476 1.052 0.233
Austin Ekeler 105 5.114 4.901 1.044 0.213
Adrian Peterson 251 4.151 3.990 1.041 0.162
Royce Freeman 124 3.927 3.809 1.031 0.119
Kenyan Drake 118 4.398 4.308 1.021 0.091
Todd Gurley 256 4.887 4.804 1.017 0.083
Dalvin Cook 131 4.611 4.604 1.001 0.007
Jaylen Samuels 55 4.636 4.649 0.997 -0.013
Marcus Murphy 51 4.824 4.869 0.991 -0.045
Melvin Gordon 175 5.057 5.103 0.991 -0.046
T.J. Yeldon 102 3.990 4.089 0.976 -0.099
Doug Martin 172 4.203 4.305 0.976 -0.102
Alvin Kamara 191 4.539 4.643 0.978 -0.103
David Johnson 254 3.657 3.770 0.970 -0.112
Leonard Fournette 133 3.301 3.419 0.965 -0.118
Josh Adams 119 4.294 4.445 0.966 -0.150
Peyton Barber 234 3.722 3.891 0.957 -0.169
Jamaal Williams 121 3.835 4.051 0.947 -0.216
Sony Michel 209 4.455 4.700 0.948 -0.245
Alfred Morris 111 3.856 4.118 0.936 -0.262
Jordan Howard 249 3.755 4.027 0.932 -0.272
Alfred Blue 149 3.282 3.570 0.919 -0.288
James White 93 4.559 4.872 0.936 -0.313
Chase Edmonds 59 3.186 3.570 0.892 -0.384
Nyheim Hines 83 3.578 3.985 0.898 -0.406
Dion Lewis 154 3.312 3.728 0.888 -0.416
Alex Collins 112 3.625 4.063 0.892 -0.438
Carlos Hyde 172 3.320 3.803 0.873 -0.483
Elijah McGuire 88 3.045 3.587 0.849 -0.541
Wendell Smallwood 87 4.184 4.731 0.884 -0.547
Tarik Cohen 94 4.362 4.948 0.882 -0.586
Jeff Wilson 66 4.030 4.624 0.872 -0.593
Chris Ivory 114 3.342 3.941 0.848 -0.599
Wayne Gallman 51 3.451 4.201 0.822 -0.750
Ito Smith 89 3.596 4.382 0.821 -0.786
Rex Burkhead 56 3.304 4.198 0.787 -0.894
Corey Clement 68 3.809 4.776 0.798 -0.967
LeGarrette Blount 154 2.714 3.692 0.735 -0.977
LeSean McCoy 157 3.242 4.258 0.761 -1.016
Giovani Bernard 56 3.768 4.845 0.778 -1.078
Expected yards calculated by our model explained in https://www.kaggle.com/c/nfl-big-data-bowl-2020/discussion/119400.
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