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@pukpr
Created May 28, 2024 12:17
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Simple multiplicative Tidal factor
-- Conventional tidal series summation or superposition of cycles
function Tide_Sum_Diff (Template : in Data_Pairs;
Constituents : in Long_Periods_Amp_Phase;
Periods : in Long_Periods;
Ref_Time : in Long_Float := 0.0;
Scaling : in Long_Float := 1.0;
Cos_Phase : in Boolean := True;
Year_Len : in Long_Float := Year_Length;
Integ: in Long_Float := 0.0
) return Data_Pairs is
Pi : Long_Float := Ada.Numerics.Pi;
Time : Long_Float;
Res : Data_Pairs := Template;
Cumulative : Long_Float := 0.0;
begin
for I in Template'Range loop
Time := Template(I).Date + Ref_Time;
declare
TF1, TF2 : Long_Float := 0.0;
use Ada.Numerics.Long_Elementary_Functions;
begin
for J in Constituents'First .. Constituents'First + 3 loop
declare
L : Amp_Phase renames Constituents(J);
Period : Long_Float := Periods(J);
begin
if Cos_Phase then
TF1 := TF1 + L.Amplitude*(Cos(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
else
TF1 := TF1 + L.Amplitude*(Sin(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
end if;
end;
end loop;
for J in Constituents'First + 4 .. Constituents'Last loop
declare
L : Amp_Phase renames Constituents(J);
Period : Long_Float := Periods(J);
begin
if Cos_Phase then
TF2 := TF2 + L.Amplitude*(Cos(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
else
TF2 := TF2 + L.Amplitude*(Sin(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
end if;
end;
end loop;
Cumulative := Cumulative + cos(Scaling + TF1);
Res(I) := (Time, cos(Scaling + TF1)*(Integ + TF2) );
end;
end loop;
Cumulative := Cumulative/Long_Float(Template'Length);
for I in Template'Range loop
Res(I).Value := Res(I).Value - Cumulative*Integ;
end loop;
return Res;
end Tide_Sum_Diff;
function Tide_Sum (Template : in Data_Pairs;
Constituents : in Long_Periods_Amp_Phase;
Periods : in Long_Periods;
Ref_Time : in Long_Float := 0.0;
Scaling : in Long_Float := 1.0;
Cos_Phase : in Boolean := True;
Year_Len : in Long_Float := Year_Length;
Integ: in Long_Float := 0.0
) return Data_Pairs is
--Res2,
Res1 : Data_Pairs := Template;
begin
Res1 := Tide_Sum_Diff (Template, Constituents, Periods, 0.0, Scaling, Cos_Phase, Year_Len, Integ);
--Res2 := Tide_Sum_Diff (Template, Constituents, Periods, Ref_Time, Scaling, Cos_Phase, Year_Len, Integ);
--for I in Res1'Range loop
-- Res1(I).Value := Res1(I).Value - Res2(I).Value;
--end loop;
return Res1;
end Tide_Sum;
@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jun 1, 2024

image

Status: 8 2 0.76544 0.53171 # 6400

  -8.94806103220 :offset:
  30.67834710650 :bg:
   0.01506555929 :impA:
   0.26971112539 :impB:
   0.74531498007 :impC:
  -0.87927164298:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00280091671:asym:
  -0.07737638913:ann1:
  -6.59037601330:ann2:
  -0.06157328732:sem1:
   1.95316730824:sem2:
  -0.00001389119:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04316645952 :mA:
   0.00472934547 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
  -0.01555961542 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55731478995,    6.66420848844,  1,  315917,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08005744309,   -0.99788724733,  2, -6164,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01917678943,    6.23964350079,  3,  746,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04316278319,   -5.27001142174,  4, -6089,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00439758459,    6.44125981332,  5, -3415,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.21100643954,   -3.90415469276,  6,  3650,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09090993661,    0.70056813318,  7, -781,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.09999665139,   -2.77383005380,  8, -4412,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.34157404085,   14.03935896545,  9,  168,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.33606636054,   -0.71094016435,  10, -59811,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.11593379480,  -55.01182752616,  11,  3648,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.16431322330,    2.82624066988,  12, -48,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.11657601511,  -26.12532005872,  13,  64618,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.10323178478,    5.56532485680,  14,  968,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09660357071,    6.95243923120,  15,  2009,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.07719472031,    6.58984530458,  16, -1168,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00088824572 :K0:
  -0.00364324604 :level:
  -0.70436240409,    0.04884314407,   -1.77015995374-1
  -3.98084401477,    0.10533676183,   -2.64291353273-8
   2.69119555874,    0.04949298670,   -0.27072556054 5
   1.72877524983,    0.02838455511,    1.20611042903 3
   2.40641412308,    0.06664970499,    1.81503247223 5
   0.49643758154,    0.18095294080,   -3.01658589811 1
  -2.56196657417,    0.06344978478,    2.21059175217-5
  -0.16381324567,    0.04645206405,   -0.16027712877 0
   0.87578885607,    0.08539234664,   -0.17173187946 2
   0.50999689734,    0.22592676893,   -0.05209693764 1

DTW 0.5317060772 0.7654431234 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_amo_2c2

C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run>copy enso_opt.exe.resp enso_opt.exe.resp.bi_n_16_amo_2c2
1 file(s) copied.

changed DTW from 2 to 1

image

PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:DTW="1"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> .\enso_opt.exe
RESPONSE FILE
ALIAS FALSE
EXCLUDE true
ALTERNATE false
CLIMATE_INDEX not set, use default
DLOD_REF true
EVERY not set, use default
FILTER 0.0
FLIP -0.01
FORCING FALSE
FSTEP 0.18
IMPA 9.03
IMPB 35
IMPC -1
IMPD -1
IMPULSE DELTA
IR 0.0
MAXH 60
MAXLOOPS 100000
MERMS FALSE
METRIC DTW
MLR FALSE
NH
NM 10
PARETO false
RESET FALSE
SAMPLING 12.0
SCALING 1.0
SINPOW 2
SPLIT_LOW FALSE
SPLIT_TRAINING FALSE
SPREAD_CYCLE 200.0
SPREAD_MIN 0.000001
SPREAD_MAX 0.15
STARTING_METRIC 0.001
STEP false
THRESHOLD 99
THRESHOLD_ACTION CATCHUP
TRAIN_END 1975
TRAIN_START 1955
TREND false
YEAR 0.009817787
F9 0
DECAY 1.0
FMULT 1.008
FSTART 0.01
LOCKF false
R2M 1.0
SYM 0
YTRIM true
NONLIN 1.0
OFFSET not set, use default
SHIFTT not set, use default
IMPAVALUE not set, use default
IMPBVALUE not set, use default
MA not set, use default
MP not set, use default
INIT not set, use default
REF_TIME not set, use default
BG not set, use default
records from 1 ... 20830
factors from 1 ... 16
updated forcing 2019.03319554059
Singular? FALSE
13.36858907593 0.00017635618 -0.46613704648
13.42235419410 0.00132018605 0.96659697589
13.47611931227 0.00226683748 2.80085299195
0.05376511817 0.00072073004 1.77953018009
0.10753023635 0.00013264710 -1.36841187953
13.25559908248 0.08562918687 -2.31792267742
39.76679724744 0.00231927625 -0.23527208340
26.79094327003 0.12745989665 2.44314646333
26.62418815841 0.00056281696 2.87716992974
13.48157906938 0.00309295406 -2.10242489234
26.73717815186 0.31578275723 1.65930906772
0.22597998690 0.00018013039 -2.94939772765
26.84470838820 0.00966432080 -3.07810033010
13.30936420065 0.00457954184 1.58710964893
13.20183396431 0.00722943925 -0.26545373554
0.92827682864=CC 365.25206618700=Yr
8 processors available, timeout= 9999.900000000
ClosingC:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run\enso_opt.exe.par
YA=-1.38911900000000E-05
Referencing dLOD
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 1 2
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 2 3
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 3 4
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 4 5
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 5 6
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 6 7
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 7 8
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
.\nino3_1870_start_blank.dat for Thread # 8 1
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE
Status: 6 2 0.60898 0.42445 # 100
Status: 1 2 0.61563 0.42143 # 200
Status: 6 2 0.61962 0.42503 # 300

  -8.94810547067 :offset:
  30.67736732178 :bg:
   0.01105351000 :impA:
   0.38324303707 :impB:
   0.29654583997 :impC:
  -0.87926071538:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00359684042:asym:
  -0.04921737022:ann1:
 -11.87161921957:ann2:
  -0.08946804694:sem1:
   0.36121655278:sem2:
  -0.00001581897:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04208723562 :mA:
   0.00472552638 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
  -0.01555961542 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55726162979,    6.66422599816,  1,  315886,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08006090820,   -0.99629175063,  2, -6164,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01916130453,    6.20223399082,  3,  745,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04315535414,   -5.26333721607,  4, -6088,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00439765286,    6.43805129222,  5, -3415,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.21083134396,   -3.91400557922,  6,  3650,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09270949018,    0.70761699711,  7, -795,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.11781331814,   -2.71404132062,  8, -5180,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.31028579903,   14.02790829130,  9,  143,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.33660990923,   -0.71097372575,  10, -59908,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.11590841334,  -55.07321613493,  11,  3647,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.15029034053,    2.76232116089,  12, -52,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.11621124072,  -26.09984648623,  13,  64415,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.09088007851,    5.52018395233,  14,  840,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09327632478,    6.93952541671,  15,  1937,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.07742936167,    6.37823383715,  16, -1171,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.02081474052 :K0:
   0.12978180156 :level:
  -0.69072036707,    0.40220240679,    2.50656756150-1
  -3.98066655536,    0.40195591055,   -2.08351852805-7
   2.68312720203,    0.36170369742,    2.93427929715 5
   2.64933058129,    0.21910866247,    0.66729274870 5
   2.40595058442,    0.19336436943,    0.53293461450 4
   0.49657853371,    0.18377679033,   -1.50959629272 1
  -2.55590173920,    0.19657413860,    2.95721508938-5
  -0.25697979680,    0.11778315278,   -1.91309099931 0
   0.87727990726,    0.11863204268,    0.29675782354 2
   0.54738622429,    0.20206524274,    1.41038372647 1

DTW 0.5321897096 0.6197881192 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_nino3_3

image

  -8.94791470337 :offset:
  30.68968622219 :bg:
   0.16176715023 :impA:
   1.16781509668 :impB:
   0.41700883156 :impC:
  -0.87989520287:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00130073140:asym:
  -0.08955061577:ann1:
   2.53758294542:ann2:
   0.13105522304:sem1:
   0.51657319118:sem2:
  -0.00001476109:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04572536226 :mA:
   0.00464568233 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
  -0.01284448181 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55654572849,    6.66425978140,  1,  315481,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08067823973,   -0.99318965976,  2, -6211,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01953311272,    6.19223646061,  3,  762,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04277232039,   -5.23734567164,  4, -6035,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00431927939,    6.19871067771,  5, -3356,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.18134972323,   -3.90273556671,  6,  3615,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.08745905312,    0.72937156468,  7, -755,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.14245892248,   -2.62823592936,  8, -6242,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.25513485554,   14.01348124338,  9,  100,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.35443333554,   -0.67729643364,  10, -63075,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.11668579021,  -55.04320980928,  11,  3673,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.11205315198,    2.53115427049,  12, -65,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.09599833734,  -25.70467843245,  13,  53194,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.09871518773,    5.26749091366,  14,  921,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.11639429883,    6.88015079401,  15,  2442,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.07491547679,    6.64007249929,  16, -1136,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.02209162049 :K0:
   0.20861135666 :level:
  -0.69155319056,    0.29549341645,    3.08634178700 0
  -3.98049333079,    0.68047267899,   -1.54256179889-1
   2.69312548059,    0.31704146526,    2.49586929531 0
   2.26510639791,    0.22687421665,   -2.97557428813 0
   2.39584062933,    0.23364270489,    1.34878004239 0
   0.97973475011,    0.29673258935,    0.38835009173 0
  -2.55714460914,    0.23832065953,   -2.31389239262 0
  -0.27459192770,    0.24614632126,   -2.14529519560 0
   0.89681100093,    0.29110703040,    0.10804105958 0
   0.55558026761,    0.20700124864,    1.51620016604 0
   6.08215765934,    0.21598256118,    1.42973574194 1

DTW 0.4010731077 0.7059544070 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_nino3_3d-cc1

image

  -8.94905475435 :offset:
  30.67920980402 :bg:
   0.02159431891 :impA:
   0.16214523583 :impB:
   0.06360794682 :impC:
  -0.88048931884:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00115803812:asym:
  -0.05695431031:ann1:
  -0.07790247653:ann2:
   0.06622387196:sem1:
   0.67306318534:sem2:
  -0.00001212066:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04484404505 :mA:
   0.00462258764 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
   0.00000000000 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55675049958,    6.66339067376,  1,  315597,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08060772671,   -0.99649352956,  2, -6206,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01962927350,    6.20555156903,  3,  766,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04254358194,   -5.23197754242,  4, -6003,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00405398491,    6.28118818009,  5, -3156,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.20329839527,   -3.90116529158,  6,  3641,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.08780737394,    0.76921188105,  7, -758,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.12435671076,   -2.46993406774,  8, -5462,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.28715907928,   14.07456057108,  9,  125,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.34533199668,   -0.66528978665,  10, -61458,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.12203012478,  -29.88597254553,  11,  3845,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.14634420069,    2.55097512562,  12, -54,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.12841104880,  -32.09193384707,  13,  71188,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.09245634784,    4.96898955124,  14,  857,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.11527683385,    6.74155323082,  15,  2417,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.09913334071,    6.59697241559,  16, -1471,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00230454096 :K0:
  -0.01387855016 :level:
  -0.67731203720,    0.07967415071,   -2.39862156366 0
  -3.97814381608,    0.03858480024,    2.77159738266-1
   2.70978513364,    0.08052671849,    0.34771592088 0
   2.13577504332,    0.06696932373,   -0.58543651621 0
   2.42058923314,    0.05781521413,    1.93256233346 0
   0.97184879810,    0.06004218964,    1.10043383210 0
  -2.56157131462,    0.03437036242,    1.42304071391 0
  -0.15234120146,    0.04835741385,   -0.12015868637 0
   0.90360166985,    0.10725231353,   -0.03114681625 0
   0.54167295587,    0.08748162450,    0.08146599560 0
   6.06846869358,    0.07399283181,   -1.31022420020 1

DTW 0.5572862768 0.7633118443 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_amo_3d-1b

NINO3 quick <100 iterations

image

  -8.94905475435 :offset:
  30.67921661062 :bg:
   0.02159436433 :impA:
   0.16214555238 :impB:
   0.06496364556 :impC:
  -0.88048931884:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00138340155:asym:
  -0.04999460550:ann1:
  -0.07700910659:ann2:
   0.06907886412:sem1:
   0.74167484840:sem2:
  -0.00001209789:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04484406064 :mA:
   0.00463324188 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
   0.00000245883 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55674968544,    6.66337398420,  1,  315596,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08069405450,   -0.99609043969,  2, -6212,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01962927350,    6.20543760182,  3,  766,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04271849519,   -5.23104939645,  4, -6027,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00405454472,    6.26833476831,  5, -3157,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.17024085616,   -3.90116031826,  6,  3602,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.08780763242,    0.76892458530,  7, -758,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.12435530557,   -2.46993406774,  8, -5462,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.25870611206,   14.07308981067,  9,  103,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.34537615688,   -0.66638515631,  10, -61466,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.12202866299,  -29.88578710652,  11,  3845,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.13923411345,    2.55079669168,  12, -56,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.12826152613,  -32.36018260124,  13,  71105,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.09291582502,    4.91006523410,  14,  861,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.11307716571,    6.84829208190,  15,  2369,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.08714861792,    6.62404830741,  16, -1305,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00055730041 :K0:
   0.08348705776 :level:
  -0.67444502825,    0.27223320941,    2.05271106271 0
  -3.99803725020,    0.45179683058,   -1.79766425882-1
   2.65799216843,    0.10016925586,   -2.71662720147 0
   2.39203182940,    0.20361747806,    0.03508625086 0
   2.42034935840,    0.24880420666,    2.22811111687 0
   0.98503292616,    1.14993212368,   -2.46801861847 0
  -2.55036067712,    0.14517919960,    3.05764246316 0
  -0.16646506980,    0.10153976062,    2.89317811876 0
   0.98214749871,    1.26109899206,    0.59388555459 0
   0.54170497512,    0.09971387173,    2.06899395736 0
   6.07324470897,    0.13775208935,   -2.45990651503 1

DTW 0.5042990815 0.6209044502 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_nino3_4

image

Status: 8 2 0.70183 0.43115 # 71500
Status: 8 2 0.70184 0.43121 # 71600

  -8.94830906906 :offset:
  30.69418058158 :bg:
   0.07025424951 :impA:
   1.45820621557 :impB:
   0.54453232585 :impC:
  -0.88027054867:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00173431520:asym:
   0.02338175769:ann1:
  -0.66430526547:ann2:
   0.12162541840:sem1:
   0.87331063660:sem2:
  -0.00001140025:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04452886392 :mA:
   0.00463704785 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
   0.00966282439 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55616174839,    6.66341346058,  1,  315263,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08015935901,   -1.00062054870,  2, -6172,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01952321530,    6.20863533182,  3,  761,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04319437977,   -5.24023206528,  4, -6093,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00433344063,    6.18742006787,  5, -3367,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.17262060287,   -3.90216736238,  6,  3605,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.08799888817,    0.75762719325,  7, -759,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.14074373475,   -2.51855567105,  8, -6168,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.25449457667,   13.96481102757,  9,  100,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.33997744061,   -0.64682725151,  10, -60506,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.12053075220,  -29.90120425042,  11,  3797,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.15062316005,    2.50374445327,  12, -52,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.12513576827,  -32.23788565875,  13,  69370,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.09205971957,    4.84145341303,  14,  853,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.11604054700,    6.57718671809,  15,  2434,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.08813975685,    6.57113788976,  16, -1319,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01524806141 :K0:
   0.14461088778 :level:
  -0.65867980757,    0.23896872499,    2.18046732618 0
  -3.98993359190,    0.51631315151,   -1.93860756711-1
   2.68741138859,    0.18953807170,   -2.17127086770 0
   4.68794783389,    0.22552403594,   -2.78258702489 1
   2.43917568220,    0.23004075605,    1.82735896949 0
   1.06973310923,    0.22619101489,    2.19491176357 0
  -2.53936953730,    0.15660888504,   -3.07713237515 0
  -0.21699376991,    0.25475850131,   -2.70116741699 0
   0.98621402627,    0.19987367503,   -0.00161541938 0
   0.54328265877,    0.17936656064,    2.00156687826 0
   6.09449202854,    0.35015097201,   -3.08891005386 1

DTW 0.4312237474 0.7018377998 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_nino3_4b

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented Jun 2, 2024

Removed high frequency modes and refit until peak at 0.7 filled in

image

Status: 3 2 0.68717 0.47146 # 400

  -8.94820915018 :offset:
  30.79363705539 :bg:
   0.06444023418 :impA:
   1.64889888915 :impB:
   0.95862424692 :impC:
  -0.88096471284:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00111871135:asym:
   0.04749813584:ann1:
  -0.69271499476:ann2:
   0.14549149845:sem1:
   0.07862713322:sem2:
  -0.00001462513:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04399116699 :mA:
   0.00467780684 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
   0.00794197353 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55631577673,    6.66270315734,  1,  315350,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08064111519,   -1.02248996417,  2, -6208,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01904040100,    6.20584206292,  3,  740,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04316819508,   -5.25141632911,  4, -6090,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00424311851,    6.10492540187,  5, -3299,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.32593091209,   -3.89773631010,  6,  3784,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.08792989246,    0.75605194468,  7, -759,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.12589290950,   -2.61122826602,  8, -5528,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.23996956146,   13.72823721754,  9,  88,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.34138601004,   -0.64911529807,  10, -60757,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.12572634518,  -29.85686340935,  11,  3965,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.16198616892,    2.57156647588,  12, -49,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.11941088267,  -32.29776664208,  13,  66191,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.06702779501,    4.67863654502,  14,  594,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.12219432430,    6.93990293193,  15,  2568,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.06680873713,    6.47006009385,  16, -1024,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00032078989 :K0:
   0.08853927118 :level:
  -0.68568635282,    0.30558531590,    1.81534516655 0
   2.72341933383,    0.26691702685,   -2.18847610213 0
   2.42790380056,    0.32420238360,    1.98030472767 0
   1.06227973399,    0.37420206283,    1.68644581913 0
  -2.54436282052,    0.31663828830,   -1.28990321588 0
  -6.88637287251,    0.18867633395,    0.10746066216-1
   0.95197908591,    0.29468263713,   -0.00785257206 0
   0.55828529923,    0.13570078409,    0.80659661154 0
  -4.05486560911,    0.43484155770,    2.67582746598-1
   3.90725641809,    0.18765968937,   -0.14023368610 1
   5.69170636176,    0.36429911451,   -1.51192748385 1

DTW 0.5010435811 0.6874734244 7 1

PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_nino3_4c

tatus: 5 2 0.77022 0.45272 # 7100

  -8.94523518470 :offset:
  30.67784829291 :bg:
   0.02562329265 :impA:
   0.19260971110 :impB:
   1.21349210121 :impC:
  -0.88203710940:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000245917:asym:
   0.06872036429:ann1:
  -3.75880089359:ann2:
   0.04962493072:sem1:
  -2.43248747865:sem2:
  -0.00001619991:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04422546573 :mA:
   0.00455762032 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
  -0.00000002840 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55559455142,    6.65551242816,  1,  314941,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.07938691086,   -1.02561162100,  2, -6113,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01950499312,    6.24942933707,  3,  760,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04302873032,   -5.27296023336,  4, -6070,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00550183683,    6.21836771855,  5, -4248,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.31949586847,   -3.89350955416,  6,  3777,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09675194770,    0.75106127335,  7, -825,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.11902676549,   -2.03481212473,  8, -5232,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.19340381174,   13.92592222821,  9,  52,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.36158164745,   -0.63821159821,  10, -64345,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.13035322899,  -29.91735232225,  11,  4115,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.22690756183,    2.51256505097,  12, -28,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.10066120723,  -26.72718674296,  13,  55782,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.12075589443,    4.71361836152,  14,  1150,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.19184507121,    7.17532380840,  15,  4089,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.07772196445,    6.35266034471,  16, -1175,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00314519451 :K0:
   0.03703264330 :level:
  -0.68324771738,    0.10723606585,   -2.16535873706-2
   2.73796311140,    0.13149089336,   -2.79905423885 10
   2.44150668262,    0.06775572428,   -1.15675142645 9
   1.07871686828,    0.06405570092,    2.19616236480 4
   0.27141606525,    0.85609600205,   -2.81602368372 1
   0.16686674816,    0.05952270287,    2.85414726576 1
   0.87764036521,    0.06831037149,    0.26274693561 3
   0.52964423062,    0.06850751984,   -0.10277387260 2
  -3.96356938208,    0.09673174593,    0.76099863188-14
   0.41445301471,    0.05990363056,    1.45453241600 2
   0.27421710357,    0.84769568885,    0.26030797440 1

DTW 0.4526469942 0.7702261925 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:DTW
2
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:DTW="1"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_amo_5

NOTE: mislabelled as NINO3 below, it is AMO from 1890-1910 test interval not as shown

image
image

Status: 4 2 0.68402 0.47223 # 26900

  -8.94116002851 :offset:
  30.66433186389 :bg:
   0.07587089364 :impA:
   2.05044218206 :impB:
   0.96309593191 :impC:
  -0.88212360084:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00271268502:asym:
   0.07262185209:ann1:
  -3.09874054547:ann2:
   0.20192311484:sem1:
  -3.07647812207:sem2:
  -0.00001569419:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04187391059 :mA:
   0.00450853669 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
   0.00000000002 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.55441363681,    6.65776035022,  1,  314272,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.07903509411,   -1.01526674987,  2, -6087,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01970593940,    6.25677557051,  3,  769,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04401114058,   -5.28498747849,  4, -6206,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00572806474,    6.28676001141,  5, -4418,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.33859300806,   -3.89192291821,  6,  3799,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.10135045370,    0.77081068002,  7, -859,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.12800778766,   -2.08607451435,  8, -5619,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.17917305999,   14.07739198314,  9,  41,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.36708538314,   -0.67802719373,  10, -65323,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.13442751667,  -29.93518927866,  11,  4246,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.20232459854,    2.25797947004,  12, -36,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.13373567274,  -27.07331344198,  13,  74144,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.09824042968,    4.84642222400,  14,  917,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.18856786649,    6.92700944443,  15,  4018,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.08375705774,    6.20713566347,  16, -1259,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.02460287530 :K0:
   0.09805147448 :level:
  -0.69395428985,    0.31802131799,    2.49189193137-2
   3.69073522571,    0.29745789508,   -3.04139158512 10
   2.41242822161,    0.34555418121,   -0.45212854300 7
   1.04376006617,    0.13564952547,    2.31513802505 3
   0.24076914368,    0.11126668806,   -1.32459800602 1
   0.15516523206,    0.17879256900,   -0.36844869196 0
   0.87825738734,    0.33305262252,   -0.57916408412 2
   0.58744230376,    0.22285222668,    1.69955306657 2
  -3.92203832745,    0.48985648223,   -0.01386728042-11
   0.39838060184,    0.29698441809,    0.64003166558 1
   0.36398441903,    0.16089059216,   -0.47766672719 1

DTW 0.4722385950 0.6840231807 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_nino3_6

image
image

image
image

  -8.95412839425 :offset:
  30.98665584462 :bg:
   0.10642974054 :impA:
   1.77897501146 :impB:
   0.75453699514 :impC:
  -0.88794635264:delA:
   0.24306907532:delB:
   0.00229363738:asym:
   0.06249545906:ann1:
  -2.73549911869:ann2:
   0.20357438436:sem1:
  -3.22757555170:sem2:
  -0.00001014114:year:
   0.00000122964:IR:
  -0.04036676220 :mA:
   0.00402267116 :mP:
   0.00013224290 :shiftT:
   0.00000000002 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.53975106493,    6.63826664106,  1,  305957,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.07769907437,   -1.02933821680,  2, -5985,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.01945941378,    6.21965951562,  3,  758,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04795459770,   -5.36012954120,  4, -6754,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00455078859,    7.00691719581,  5, -3531,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.50985153844,   -3.85950361747,  6,  3999,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09962535493,    0.72569608402,  7, -846,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.10661324654,   -2.06779598276,  8, -4697,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.11638531751,   16.02361427950,  9, -9,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.37667864239,   -0.69550841111,  10, -67027,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.09973206336,  -23.37064233869,  11,  3124,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.19015837901,    2.42270447353,  12, -40,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.12656205900,  -24.62149758974,  13,  70161,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.06867909363,    4.65487130203,  14,  611,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.26061001742,    6.68798866406,  15,  5591,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.07258153637,    3.68120887727,  16, -1104,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.02790096119 :K0:
   0.09565228232 :level:
  -0.68585753022,    0.33442034024,   -2.86830323097-2
   0.87527769454,    0.42760726377,   -2.12526572005 2
   0.43698035012,    0.25604166381,   -0.18828093373 1
   4.38804237852,    0.31199108981,    0.89176730749 12
   2.40057408798,    0.17849490217,    1.09719349420 7
   1.04719088539,    0.04528321794,    2.03171725200 3
   0.23298056026,    0.13664617333,    1.46425263695 1
   0.13447726134,    0.18571038859,   -0.35974912501 0
   0.59333654513,    0.09684883780,    0.44969597948 2
  -3.90491682737,    0.44294737558,    1.30732035761-11
   0.36848603633,    0.06212705320,   -2.04000850280 1

DTW 0.3547130210 0.6718788784 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_n_16_nino3_6b

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented Jun 2, 2024

Updated previous run with extra parameters Mm+, Mm-, Drac^2

image

  -8.93537663133 :offset:
  30.51124981051 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87389494274:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
   0.02815767684:ann1:
  -8.04403103306:ann2:
  -0.00697258616:sem1:
   0.00023450826:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03769756714 :mA:
  -0.00476783839 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
  -0.07138677310 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54845970335,    6.65628162608,  1,  310895,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08273949488,   -0.95229000648,  2, -6367,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02082333787,    6.06145568382,  3,  819,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04226737350,   -5.28374244723,  4, -5965,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00163378228,    6.46046252884,  5, -1332,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.28633361779,   -3.89301711583,  6,  3738,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09384607288,    0.65089276597,  7, -803,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.06737509868,   -1.93194146015,  8, -3005,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.31419603239,   13.45356636325,  9,  147,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.38420515126,   -0.75115670926,  10, -68365,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.12269211840,  -54.85499706584,  11,  3867,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.13870547227,   -2.69536360803,  12, -56,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.06839332775,  -24.96009648541,  13, -38069,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.00108416829,   -5.91525309045,  14, -89,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.00127791891,   -5.93596716431,  15, -72,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.00113769394,   -6.26192934157,  16, -84,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01899572621 :K0:
   0.01693305232 :level:
   1.20084943253,    0.11472188834,   -0.57213937175 7
  -4.16527013957,    0.29718024143,    2.63449203617-25
  -2.04269456358,    0.19876323338,    0.58637121375-12
  -9.01989670251,    0.26239851539,    2.48188246742-55
   0.54714665973,    0.20229429685,    2.45470437403 3
   0.69081760614,    0.41741024863,    2.52065953973 4
   3.83359929701,    0.19027397104,    1.90896156621 23
   0.16501313069,    0.20240523330,   -2.36819734463 1

DTW 0.6314011324 0.6751824595 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_nino3_radius1all_SIMPLE1overnnight3_fromAM_WOW2blank_BOOK_DTW6_2factorsNA1_ALL-originalopt-cycled-stripped2_nino3_1930_1960_exclude2amo-pt32nino3_pt366_AMO_NINO3-update

image

  -8.93565772186 :offset:
  30.49992234271 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87399746186:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
   0.11643137442:ann1:
  -7.41377593360:ann2:
   0.19619799255:sem1:
   0.00004299651:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03775142450 :mA:
  -0.00477281136 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
  -0.07887258021 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54823439214,    6.65608545865,  1,  310768,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08252174506,   -0.95883904844,  2, -6351,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02091997299,    6.06557090275,  3,  823,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04205860342,   -5.28851711054,  4, -5936,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00124128349,    6.46810114855,  5, -1036,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.29719708352,   -3.89576582825,  6,  3751,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09367506699,    0.66441745494,  7, -802,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.06559175475,   -1.77843387646,  8, -2928,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.34271722316,   13.44477166592,  9,  169,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.38565613167,   -0.74288595583,  10, -68622,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.12278600832,  -54.85416320796,  11,  3870,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.13909102304,   -2.33328535777,  12, -56,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.07420035405,  -19.00113334697,  13, -41293,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.01459048116,   -9.56372419501,  14,  51,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.02507919642,   -6.55854494263,  15,  448,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.01761811826,   -6.56887468211,  16,  144,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00849139176 :K0:
  -0.00322157224 :level:
   0.65671070340,    0.32209334118,    2.73956073508-4
  -4.16691231377,    0.37527520047,    2.35158267275 25
  -2.04385923864,    0.22977493980,    0.48827646392 12
  -9.02542330967,    0.40553457171,    1.81069047709 53
   0.55442360081,    0.21189059409,    2.50807312483-3
   0.72109997108,    0.31483703996,    2.55956024412-4
   3.84205240686,    0.21444740848,    2.66134014534-23
  -0.16942992092,    0.20531552027,   -0.46063673636 1

DTW 0.5775189421 0.7442321048 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\restore.bat bi_nino3_radius1all_SIMPLE1overnnight3_fromAM_WOW2blank_BOOK_DTW6_2factorsNA1_ALL-originalopt-cycled-stripped2_nino3_1930_1960_exclude2amo-pt32nino3_pt366_AMO_NINO3-update2

image

  -8.94937183437 :offset:
  30.35492713487 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87382784847:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
   0.14035676581:ann1:
  -8.13269392331:ann2:
   0.28761072508:sem1:
   0.00006777662:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03752094425 :mA:
   0.00479711899 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
  -0.08848930181 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54956500044,    6.66067735162,  1,  311522,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08137228083,   -0.95023155197,  2, -6264,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02073248937,    6.06863948728,  3,  815,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04176932660,   -5.28839236319,  4, -5895,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00129589096,    6.21022081179,  5, -1077,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.30591866881,   -3.89297082374,  6,  3761,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09601535732,    0.65464532398,  7, -819,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.07016764832,   -1.63826654770,  8, -3125,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.33733287495,   13.33388005530,  9,  165,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.38851770527,   -0.76894504978,  10, -69131,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.11535648405,  -54.88476546147,  11,  3630,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.15754275684,   -2.30021523241,  12, -50,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.07916704138,  -18.84207598157,  13, -44050,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.01400088218,   -7.63928426940,  14,  45,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.02932907894,    6.26165565757,  15,  540,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.01969056856,   -5.78069436276,  16,  172,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00465896912 :K0:
   0.08513866511 :level:
  -0.70428859350,    0.44819910716,   -0.51416060982 2
  -4.19538826815,    0.56162577851,    2.68784225022 10
   1.78439385598,    0.38560842883,    1.11948434025-4
  -9.01967388293,    0.31280268451,   -0.34285663458 20
   0.56809722307,    0.41147553611,    1.10426934563-1
   0.74391283115,    0.50817493298,    2.63689385764-2
  -3.81908913943,    0.31601064488,   -3.03703675952 9
  -0.20129923199,    0.33698907325,   -2.19893748412 0
  -0.44059173963,    0.19308670696,   -0.42709194194 1

DTW 0.5444573099 0.7201791426 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_nino3_radius1all_SIMPLE1overnnight3_fromAM_WOW2blank_BOOK_DTW6_2factorsNA1_ALL-originalopt-cycled-stripped2_nino3_1930_1960_exclude2amo-pt32nino3_pt366_AMO_NINO3-update2pdo

@pukpr
Copy link
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pukpr commented Jun 2, 2024

AMO

continued

image

  -8.93750553707 :offset:
  30.47269717368 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87359997401:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
  -0.06739569135:ann1:
  -6.13577996786:ann2:
   0.05905938100:sem1:
   0.00000045813:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03678732645 :mA:
  -0.00480324026 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
  -0.07631162984 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54821982732,    6.65615926552,  1,  310759,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08242630837,   -0.96168699098,  2, -6344,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02097517776,    6.01482602021,  3,  825,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04221522175,   -5.28820071675,  4, -5957,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00097928256,    7.04184634990,  5, -838,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.30359904612,   -3.89582189642,  6,  3758,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09509229473,    0.64233681706,  7, -812,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.05974923234,   -1.79797398707,  8, -2676,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.33622285620,   13.45656144817,  9,  164,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.38608497592,   -0.73371499723,  10, -68699,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.12070298992,  -54.85098653119,  11,  3803,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.14568588284,   -2.42015066581,  12, -54,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.08873564642,  -12.63932169382,  13, -49362,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.01131276636,   -9.57017361884,  14,  17,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.01528067015,   -6.33825440292,  15,  234,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.01661890582,   -6.32221900754,  16,  130,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00429013919 :K0:
  -0.00876031726 :level:
   0.67677806313,    0.09218922683,   -1.66609268545-4
  -5.14273115121,    0.05744975405,   -0.93558603728 31
  -2.04972974954,    0.09847441991,    1.23771293116 12
  -9.06078360158,    0.06327296392,   -2.06788218400 54
   0.54147401631,    0.08282071543,   -2.43987226174-3
   0.42666350724,    0.06745445712,    0.15192274339-3
   3.93852801126,    0.07872916118,   -2.05474011387-24
  -0.16737974116,    0.09167662396,    2.69765717547 1

DTW 0.4389965216 0.7434823332 3 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_nino3_radius1all_SIMPLE1overnnight3_fromAM_WOW2blank_BOOK_DTW6_2factorsNA1_ALL-originalopt-cycled-stripped2_nino3_1930_1960_exclude2amo-pt32nino3_pt366_AMO_NINO3-update2amo

close the gap
image

  -8.93762305483 :offset:
  30.46288990253 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87279966690:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
  -0.05692959758:ann1:
  -6.21847495237:ann2:
  -0.06242137605:sem1:
   1.25854025791:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03687570907 :mA:
   0.00476730152 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
  -0.07825914684 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54867542086,    6.65617791103,  1,  311018,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08270474365,   -0.95976583660,  2, -6365,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02096911891,    5.99904706565,  3,  825,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04227942337,   -5.29206785986,  4, -5966,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00073988802,    7.10158505299,  5, -658,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.29591268975,   -3.89330391985,  6,  3749,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09650134373,    0.61159538140,  7, -823,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.06964242061,   -1.79239392828,  8, -3103,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.32120235125,   13.49088781466,  9,  152,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.38772287484,   -0.74449620601,  10, -68990,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.11721787695,  -54.84827839791,  11,  3690,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.15279275937,   -2.41886932187,  12, -52,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.08141108811,  -12.64438207746,  13, -45296,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.00440765365,   -4.31984108439,  14, -54,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.00714348958,   -5.37552968969,  15,  56,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.00902354328,   -6.72202424342,  16,  25,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00402678233 :K0:
   0.01074741144 :level:
   0.67976744822,    0.08460418472,   -1.61563503652-1
   5.14068171528,    0.07646801752,   -1.77275951706-7
   2.05130226985,    0.09484086702,    2.27051887013-3
   9.05610192127,    0.06622572606,   -0.25835201196-11
  -0.53452428606,    0.05427379882,   -0.38492262749 1
  -0.42848618483,    0.05906257688,    2.61632309908 1
  -3.92777502418,    0.07301164231,   -1.16826982070 5
   0.16308277953,    0.05998744416,    0.33767993824 0
  -0.78868373758,    0.04541959042,   -2.42142763622 1

DTW 0.4884668073 0.7156610261 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_nino3_radius1all_SIMPLE1overnnight3_fromAM_WOW2blank_BOOK_DTW6_2factorsNA1_ALL-originalopt-cycled-stripped2_nino3_1930_1960_exclude2amo-pt32nino3_pt366_AMO_NINO3-update2amo-all

image

  -8.93705810294 :offset:
  30.44904164878 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87284254688:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
  -0.12676941939:ann1:
  -4.81101720099:ann2:
  -0.15364475428:sem1:
   1.96080319952:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03657992109 :mA:
   0.00474611374 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   0.06580468547 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54856483988,    6.65772108061,  1,  310955,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08297037846,   -0.95247006051,  2, -6385,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02102634438,    6.02037543170,  3,  828,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04286789991,   -5.29431530049,  4, -6048,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00063622542,    7.19339757568,  5, -580,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.30204766112,   -3.87887881033,  6,  3756,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.09934725013,    0.65093948578,  7, -844,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.06793076685,   -1.90313939717,  8, -3029,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.30269080809,   13.46574197553,  9,  137,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.39651733685,   -0.75853958778,  10, -70552,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.11806220139,  -54.84884140659,  11,  3717,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.16013853038,   -2.49344533964,  12, -49,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.07097459946,  -12.96404388801,  13, -39502,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.01665921894,    2.89184342614,  14,  72,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.01102811822,   -5.23566211176,  15,  141,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.02462126067,   -4.69168246802,  16,  241,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00282828979 :K0:
   0.11356549128 :level:
  -1.59693021250,    0.22127624130,    0.97979148144-2
   4.82246582699,    0.47606162125,    0.23507836288 7
  -2.06034145251,    0.25758859596,    1.34602362971-3
  -9.05631597575,    0.44068533061,   -0.85561193854-13
  -0.55350319098,    0.22886430255,    1.05838471791-1
   0.38927256351,    0.22607225969,    2.64655822149 1
   4.86604776953,    0.33326085183,   -2.04117409347 7
  -0.25542109774,    0.15069999964,   -2.02791482029 0
   0.70477362792,    0.59437209058,    2.14844194191 1

DTW 0.4635804357 0.7583304459 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_nino3_radius1all_SIMPLE1overnnight3_fromAM_WOW2blank_BOOK_DTW6_2factorsNA1_ALL-originalopt-cycled-stripped2_nino3_1930_1960_exclude2amo-pt32nino3_pt366_AMO_NINO3-update2amo-all-nino3-1920-1980overnight

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented Jun 3, 2024

QBO

image

   7.48209306316 :offset:
  36.26204146174 :bg:
   0.06399343561 :impA:
   1.83062303732 :impB:
   0.29799490094 :impC:
  -1.08748213787:delA:
   0.36518425207:delB:
   0.86474676149:asym:
  -0.04486411735:ann1:
   1.16146762768:ann2:
   0.04113568643:sem1:
   0.70160145367:sem2:
  -0.00207503205:year:
  -0.31384339400:IR:
   0.00000353842 :mA:
   0.02336178936 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
  -1.64785498571 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12157121554,    5.06190958813,  1,  68835,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.62262471387,   -1.03880820268,  2, -47262,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.09161344847,   -1.92923604400,  3, -4141,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.07679815040,    5.85431846704,  4, -10756,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,    0.03489763477,    5.60520036732,  5,  26209,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    4.02170494383,    0.82057677528,  6,  4597,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.85581762897,   -8.05927119253,  7,  6311,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.66400027212,    0.00000000001,  8, -28730,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    3.32398039841,    0.78894607256,  9,  2508,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,    3.53219646815,   -0.97278975910,  10,  627492,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.32826169167,    2.03408403950,  11, -43045,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    3.14517480043,    0.13220108443,  12,  896,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.63727569844,    1.06587319941,  13, -909039,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,   -4.77519904151,    6.03582201368,  14, -49511,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    2.21188519551,   -1.18652752787,  15,  48199,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    5.44575077476,    3.98819113998,  16,  75227,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00661297754 :K0:
   0.02412838983 :level:
   0.07749035899,    0.23168338837,    3.04277867201 1
   0.15498071798,    0.12537509141,    1.37862147127 2
   0.23247107697,    0.15689455295,    1.42314112124 3
   0.85239394887,    0.07368318446,    2.99465015681 11

DTW 0.8223659031 0.6918259671 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ./ev

Name Value


CLIMATE_INDEX qbo_50_kit.dat
DTW 3
LOCKT false
MODULATION true
NLOOP 20
TIMEOUT 99999999.0
TRIGGER 0.99

PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat qbo_kit_50_0_delB365aDTW3

image

Status: 7 2 0.86909 0.76623 # 8900
Singular result, converging?
Resetting 7-5115633%

   7.48196286844 :offset:
  36.34669142249 :bg:
   0.04998729993 :impA:
   2.13650161560 :impB:
   0.28145035378 :impC:
  -1.08878458063:delA:
   0.35780632624:delB:
   0.86083410355:asym:
  -0.05890459559:ann1:
   1.53463603784:ann2:
   0.03949463184:sem1:
   0.73735381470:sem2:
  -0.00207439796:year:
  -0.22227215455:IR:
  -0.00009988053 :mA:
  -0.02334524463 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
  -1.84795812792 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12171652451,    5.05912557769,  1,  68917,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.62325294690,   -1.03230546161,  2, -47309,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.09277339209,   -1.93132541568,  3, -4193,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.07641369312,    5.85738748870,  4, -10702,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,    0.03470944947,    5.60212182608,  5,  26067,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.98824985631,    0.82507302471,  6,  4558,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.85418615834,   -8.08767127566,  7,  6299,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.68108403508,    0.00000000001,  8, -29466,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    3.33628620244,    0.78511260580,  9,  2518,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,    3.58807897967,   -0.97208627486,  10,  637421,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.33261391531,    2.03568527111,  11, -43185,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    3.14181509596,    0.12111078387,  12,  895,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.70150634251,    1.04707231300,  13, -944697,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,   -4.78108246142,    6.05968965688,  14, -49571,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    2.19826566699,   -1.18831523873,  15,  47902,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    5.41285594554,    4.00522166876,  16,  74772,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00630310259 :K0:
   0.02578210264 :level:
  -0.07772640492,    0.21486443471,    0.21298676848 1
  -0.15545280984,    0.07954527615,    1.90750464686 2
  -0.23317921476,    0.18470059009,    1.31575263075 3
  -0.85499045412,    0.10947773086,   -0.63793358004 11

DTW 0.8690895100 0.7625007888 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat qbo_kit_50_0_delB365aDTW3_1960_1980

image

precisely 18.06 year
image

image
image

image

@pukpr
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Author

pukpr commented Jun 3, 2024

QBO 30

image

   8.00738956597 :offset:
  32.55891040310 :bg:
   0.08475600348 :impA:
   2.24900274145 :impB:
  -2.19531544508 :impC:
  -0.94165972819:delA:
   0.25708451637:delB:
   0.92418199057:asym:
  -0.07423123463:ann1:
   2.53095579979:ann2:
   0.02367798578:sem1:
  -1.74222329433:sem2:
   0.00093115270:year:
   3.12400582997:IR:
  -0.00236344989 :mA:
  -0.03449934725 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   3.09605503700 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12949029600,   -5.88624135844,  1,  73325,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.91604777844,   -1.07386866795,  2, -69488,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.08924485065,   -1.59386980595,  3,  3837,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.22296014992,   -4.35004716588,  4, -31035,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,    0.04397374724,   -5.65245865591,  5,  33051,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    1.29164973619,    5.46620316906,  6,  1408,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.20634989592,   -1.10016330805,  7, -1646,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.18333565720,    0.01129988165,  8,  7805,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.06444922235,    4.81467481547,  9, -49,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,    1.93252387334,    0.33484394877,  10,  343266,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.31462694618, -101.75668982361,  11,  10072,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.23687701183,   -1.90099193991,  12, -25,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.70859933686,    0.11263009348,  13,  393281,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.07902975506,    6.64142010427,  14,  718,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,   -0.51728688457,    2.14667739409,  15, -11396,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.35575485955,   -2.47854001429,  16,  4821,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.01538216787 :K0:
  -0.12981998641 :level:
  -0.13936846791,    0.15658730293,   -2.66776126202 1
  -0.41810540372,    0.26774906776,    1.61690540614 3

CC 0.5971389443 0.7931743607 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\restore.bat qbo0anomKit1_wowCV_1975_1980ccTrack44_186

image

Overfitting on the interval
image

  -7.85168794450 :offset:
  33.16524524796 :bg:
   0.06610257339 :impA:
   0.49635494366 :impB:
   1.10375338434 :impC:
  -0.99886316256:delA:
   0.25743185885:delB:
   0.86260573167:asym:
  -0.06826940395:ann1:
   1.26735723517:ann2:
   0.04154205685:sem1:
  -2.90869458773:sem2:
  -0.00102661805:year:
  -0.10516996250:IR:
  -0.00030611882 :mA:
  -0.02061263642 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   8.04925792502 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.13336198723,    6.32704724663,  1,  75521,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.84942996438,   -1.04260997257,  2, -64442,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.05899428039,   -1.02823354904,  3,  2502,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.18353601018,   -4.46790462138,  4, -25565,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,    0.07899211740,   -6.08134109789,  5,  59451,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    1.91478653854,    4.64597109638,  6,  2136,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -1.55084329535,   -1.90610097915,  7, -11718,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.52652765902,   -3.65029138557,  8, -22802,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    1.33663553018,   -3.84166215229,  9,  949,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,    1.45156833746,    0.02711293635,  10,  257811,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.68474381187,  -41.58997593888,  11, -22239,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.63768240979,    1.64516803790,  12, -302,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    2.50669731050,   -0.34545290553,  13,  1391502,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.93431183565,  -10.12475684029,  14, -9768,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,   -0.47801534591,   -0.49991895893,  15, -10538,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -1.91448117363,    1.50740502549,  16, -26582,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01220958629 :K0:
   0.16225314962 :level:
  -0.14482275332,    0.10825657896,   -0.22207663364 1
  -0.43446825996,    0.14054934525,    2.89188756603 3
  -3.76539158632,    0.19741802846,   -2.18318418172 26

DTW 0.8514508438 0.6283575243 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\restore.bat qbo0anomKit1_wowCV_1975_1980ccTrack44_186_1975-1980excl_50hPaHi1_1960_1980bDTW

short interval
image

Status: 8 2 0.81608 0.81601 # 200

  -7.85409905333 :offset:
  33.12267269486 :bg:
   0.09661426046 :impA:
   1.37895560055 :impB:
   1.22059704818 :impC:
  -0.99875781524:delA:
   0.25739737732:delB:
   0.86223129715:asym:
  -0.02362542193:ann1:
   2.47666316442:ann2:
   0.01799298536:sem1:
   2.69053239034:sem2:
  -0.00102884948:year:
   1.32803851339:IR:
  -0.00078002728 :mA:
   0.02032065289 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   6.97569787586 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.13320836951,    6.32750585495,  1,  75434,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.85042490319,   -1.04188717008,  2, -64517,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.05941309150,   -1.03861683445,  3,  2521,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.18388213365,   -4.46718357221,  4, -25613,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,    0.07961141611,   -6.07450901637,  5,  59917,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    1.81088755700,    4.59383624240,  6,  2015,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -1.56306788711,   -1.91157437423,  7, -11810,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.51108717168,   -3.66315109755,  8, -22136,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    1.38778602790,   -3.97072033665,  9,  989,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,    1.49839768918,    0.00619498997,  10,  266132,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.73519870240,  -41.60104381080,  11, -23870,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.71678266066,    1.46571707349,  12, -327,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    2.44975698608,   -0.35205957389,  13,  1359891,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.93139478016,  -10.19187499309,  14, -9737,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,   -0.52969227576,   -0.48151685770,  15, -11666,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,   -2.05019876267,    1.54466734281,  16, -28459,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00979290018 :K0:
   0.08690194455 :level:
   0.14468217142,    0.15816258012,   -2.41106326749 1
   0.43404651427,    0.20933834347,    2.67883317702 3
   3.76173645704,    0.15528343028,    0.76908166944 26

CC 0.8159981840 0.8160824122 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\restore.bat qbo0anomKit1_wowCV_1975_1980ccTrack44_186_1975-1980excl_50hPaHi1

back to 30

image

   8.00583844589 :offset:
  32.56456975255 :bg:
   0.07828066700 :impA:
   2.14792923741 :impB:
   3.79691370178 :impC:
  -0.94512456800:delA:
   0.25708451637:delB:
   0.92536102481:asym:
  -0.08685754089:ann1:
   2.54525070436:ann2:
   0.02424732114:sem1:
  -1.76567644476:sem2:
   0.00093132499:year:
   1.99521044126:IR:
  -0.00384985095 :mA:
  -0.03334683504 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   3.19904991312 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.13153560468,   -5.88466200908,  1,  74485,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.91078908353,   -1.07386987233,  2, -69089,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.09070954680,   -1.57479191299,  3,  3902,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.22263211387,   -4.33775778138,  4, -30990,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,    0.04357605682,   -5.68586380159,  5,  32751,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    1.17347931273,    5.45281314012,  6,  1270,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.20568541183,   -1.00759266859,  7, -1641,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.14444176150,    0.00860267804,  8,  6128,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.10030972329,    3.84220875362,  9, -21,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,    1.80736145948,    0.38702508707,  10,  321028,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.29722509787, -101.92124103228,  11,  9510,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.23207491869,   -1.77776444507,  12, -27,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.69589850879,    0.18712312533,  13,  386230,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.05239164731,    7.96785551378,  14,  442,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,   -0.52355003680,    2.21258578949,  15, -11532,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.33146898901,   -2.73648971484,  16,  4485,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.01566773920 :K0:
  -0.14470635499 :level:
   0.13900979808,    0.15833991824,   -0.47999891897 1
   0.41702939424,    0.27451907600,    1.51012405357 3

CC 0.6179565267 0.7836509639 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\qbo_30_kit.dat"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\restore.bat qbo0anomKit1_wowCV_1975_1980ccTrack44_186

extra harmonic
image

   8.00421140197 :offset:
  32.56753270092 :bg:
   0.07991446792 :impA:
   2.17467693701 :impB:
   3.92773772543 :impC:
  -0.94470861641:delA:
   0.25708451637:delB:
   0.92647601759:asym:
  -0.08622195883:ann1:
   2.61788425803:ann2:
   0.02210401239:sem1:
  -1.55237848304:sem2:
   0.00093034067:year:
   2.02034813634:IR:
  -0.00321605771 :mA:
   0.03411196265 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   3.31055342457 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.13052698735,   -5.88310380069,  1,  73913,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.91143014991,   -1.07313416720,  2, -69138,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.08985163441,   -1.56407721790,  3,  3864,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.22352166120,   -4.33583024060,  4, -31113,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,    0.04377603163,   -5.66881770311,  5,  32902,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    1.18940203190,    5.48501684821,  6,  1289,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.22287816623,   -1.02804257846,  7, -1770,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.13068532646,    0.01067238489,  8,  5535,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.12532884402,    4.06799526005,  9, -2,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,    1.82372093298,    0.35976979917,  10,  323934,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.27647820902, -101.98310638655,  11,  8839,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.25843461096,   -1.98707073473,  12, -18,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.64950505911,    0.17431977015,  13,  360475,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.06998000997,    8.36299239018,  14,  624,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,   -0.51441487579,    2.22388230259,  15, -11333,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.35664051634,   -2.70834164063,  16,  4833,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.01573431521 :K0:
  -0.13714880752 :level:
   0.13906352040,    0.14104775983,   -0.69228302169 1
   0.41719056119,    0.26089220342,    1.05341133175 3
   2.22501632633,    0.13617627969,    1.59861158069 16

CC 0.6043316811 0.8156591494 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat qbo0anomKit1_wowCV_1975_1980ccTrack44_186harm2

@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jun 3, 2024

30 hPa QBO
image
image
image

50 hPa QBO
image
image
image

starting from different scratch tidal values

@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jun 4, 2024

NINO4 raw

This uses the NOAA raw https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/index/ersst.v5.el_nino.sst.dat 2nd column, which has trend and annual

image

  -8.93638597315 :offset:
  30.13737583492 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87252666640:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
  -0.37571929589:ann1:
   5.92856763991:ann2:
  -0.22191021084:sem1:
   0.58164110865:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03725025112 :mA:
   0.00473620302 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   0.11178806124 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54620146732,    6.66434852766,  1,  309615,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08195146106,   -0.94121779270,  2, -6308,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02020706705,    6.06455172217,  3,  791,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04327335920,   -5.38841483054,  4, -6104,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00245508839,   -1.05623211747,  5, -1951,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.42871029681,   -3.86655767821,  6,  3904,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.10177017908,    0.66716548054,  7, -862,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.17424856149,   -2.20518075399,  8, -7613,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.30551366125,   13.49771948950,  9,  140,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.37419961347,   -0.78675020741,  10, -66587,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.10302989808,  -54.90237272194,  11,  3231,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.14206364491,   -2.05012547323,  12, -55,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.17691312596,  -12.97608561922,  13, -98314,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.05835352817,    5.95471894436,  14,  504,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.10435569428,  -11.14138608765,  15,  2179,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.07696380885,   -2.15427865581,  16,  965,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.01336752446 :trend:
   0.00011343491 :accel:
  -0.03434392075 :K0:
  25.07438026373 :level:
   0.71210719532,    0.64170154730,    2.31781449278 1
   0.56963009982,    0.16739082988,    2.28211024079 1

DTW 0.6088897019 0.7245274407 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_nino4_noaa_raw_1920_1980

Next filled in the LTE modulation at 0.8 which appeared missing

image

Status: 8 2 0.77456 0.58768 # 3500
Status: 4 2 0.77514 0.58288 # 3600

  -8.93634203982 :offset:
  30.13748035609 :bg:
   0.00000000000 :impA:
   0.00000000000 :impB:
   0.00000000000 :impC:
   0.87295813344:delA:
   0.24179037819:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
  -0.35981848359:ann1:
   6.19273483113:ann2:
  -0.18514636793:sem1:
   0.36564978291:sem2:
   0.00000000000:year:
   0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.03697816000 :mA:
   0.00473758540 :mP:
   0.00000000000 :shiftT:
   0.13018538395 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.54615758084,    6.66441529661,  1,  309590,  1.76356181782067E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08231357773,   -0.93725235332,  2, -6335,  1.32018604870843E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.02015495247,    6.05011802476,  3,  789,  2.26683748305482E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.04334893672,   -5.39698051049,  4, -6115,  7.20730041974031E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00262058718,   -1.00236316801,  5, -2076,  1.32647102305794E-04
  27.55454988600,    3.40502339940,   -3.86337843660,  6,  3876,  8.56291868681121E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.10357144736,    0.66580322478,  7, -876,  1.33483664215998E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.18949614575,   -2.19048355044,  8, -8270,  2.31927625303356E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.30078783279,   13.48513308057,  9,  136,  1.27459896645223E-01
  13.71880577217,   -0.37010422942,   -0.79213862392,  10, -65859,  5.62816955896931E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.10305393030,  -54.90687006595,  11,  3232,  3.09295406008444E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.14356163868,   -2.08233078447,  12, -55,  3.15782757230179E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.17346798987,  -12.91589932132,  13, -96401,  1.80130389316582E-04
  13.60611040750,    0.06905236171,    5.95599718222,  14,  615,  9.66432079617568E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09569409400,  -11.18031352215,  15,  1990,  4.57954183779169E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.08158829996,   -2.18053478944,  16,  1029,  7.22943925364544E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.01397398124 :trend:
   0.00011915938 :accel:
  -0.03398718873 :K0:
  26.19831718514 :level:
  -0.71189116577,    0.63159033356,    0.85580405855 0
   0.57064820764,    0.14726840450,    2.18617662262 0
   8.04535350921,    0.36186881173,   -2.35753375345 1

DTW 0.5876063565 0.7752545087 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_nino4_noaa_raw_1920_1980-wow

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pukpr commented Jun 7, 2024

$env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\nino4_noaa_1870.dat"

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pukpr commented Jun 13, 2024

NINO34

Biennial alternate sign
image

  -9.98689257659 :offset:
-105.03730663293 :bg:
   0.05195068379 :impA:
   0.87124123900 :impB:
  44.70187213140 :impC:
  -0.38525453770:delA:
   0.22212823614:delB:
   0.51577743640:asym:
   0.09290437790:ann1:
   5.84336829848:ann2:
   0.00173910494:sem1:
   6.34968539253:sem2:
   0.00013929792:year:
  -0.55864240022:IR:
  -0.00127646475 :mA:
   0.00350055659 :mP:
  -0.14506503012 :shiftT:
   0.00546876691 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12324525397,  -14.99038566942,  1,  69676,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00456275831,    1.22450456262,  2, -446,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00561646826,  -11.95884672213,  3, -348,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00323085146,   -3.01659930078,  4, -509,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00057720811,    0.47517644206,  5, -159,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.24888427909,   -0.97627925977,  6, -5062,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.43411775485,    1.44049884066,  7, -3357,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.06850223512,    7.35764926005,  8, -3054,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.10531974254,  -55.59890511963,  9, -17,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.28356793481,    0.24878499886,  10,  27874,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01628705732,   -2.71422249313,  11, -626,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.14364358433,    0.84415554269,  12, -55,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.17625925660,    4.64319615220,  13,  106367,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.05675479562,   91.24000130228,  14, -686,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.23805686529,   38.21043821943,  15,  5098,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.22093425064,    3.76131679779,  16, -3156,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.01037715115 :trend:
   0.00007899715 :accel:
  -0.01330649672 :K0:
  19.31828980824 :level:
   0.47710405161,    0.25479638529,    2.21743438314 0
   1.08427147904,    0.20278318092,    1.18670069768 0
   3.19287641941,    0.27704175591,   -1.00803164198 0
   2.37445128708,    0.15869715016,    2.80178232460 0
   0.77383459659,    0.26123880185,   -2.16545245974 0
   8.12088982699,    0.73902980404,   -2.21040350588 1
  16.24177965398,    0.16745743365,    0.95201191352 2

CC 0.3160045966 0.7903317920 3 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_nino34_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_1harm

Simple interference Tropical X Anomalistic generates 8.848 yr beat.

image

@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jun 13, 2024

regression, repeat

image

  -9.98678347794 :offset:
-104.94003222263 :bg:
   0.07399725745 :impA:
  32.59389624780 :impC:
  -0.39544853255:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.50066863234:asym:
   0.02514633930:ann1:
   4.79691018139:ann2:
   0.03301404044:sem1:
   0.00000000197:sem2:
   0.00013722745:year:
  -0.00000000023:IR:
  -0.00084601458 :mA:
   0.00347614713 :mP:
  -0.15554793558 :shiftT:
   0.27940963577 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12334818225,  -14.98651122834,  1,  69735,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00479393728,    1.22230951459,  2, -463,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00573579475,  -11.93169600330,  3, -353,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00471020034,   -3.42086353327,  4, -696,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00110696480,    0.31760510919,  5, -213,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.35925772807,   -1.00384410788,  6, -5191,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45255543890,    1.44326067165,  7, -3496,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.27380127510,    7.57540329484,  8, -11906,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.10775423260,  -30.99641697723,  9, -15,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.43346321065,    0.40043681597,  10,  42662,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01472033657,   -2.90152483747,  11, -576,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.15527599683,    1.26690128484,  12, -51,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.24347301953,    4.40235585183,  13,  146966,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.04918047631,   60.86999595447,  14, -608,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.08722836601,   37.57246040106,  15,  1805,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.12935448736,    3.49468138334,  16, -1889,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00447454202 :trend:
   0.00004537410 :accel:
   0.00315809833 :K0:
   8.16790008605 :level:
   0.64629935378,    0.25871741463,   -2.54080324162 0
   1.72488040854,    0.25631740190,    1.92390347696 0
   3.09323095016,    0.26822826292,    2.86437811815 0
   3.91580427026,    0.26491982968,    0.63584462359 0
   0.44312258939,    0.21162917533,    0.76479554121 0
   1.51904238538,    0.24913068544,    1.79323492434 0
   2.31104149184,    0.24148376127,    2.89839713970 0
   0.11473704867,    0.18377220303,   -1.73645771495 0
   8.09966918143,    0.64200739384,    1.22745813963 1

CC 0.0414466784 0.7346717660 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_amo_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regression

image

image

Status: 1 2 0.70522 0.24636 # 1700

  -9.98707936353 :offset:
-104.91640451290 :bg:
   0.13951824767 :impA:
   1.19363927818 :impB:
  32.75838580870 :impC:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.50014810951:asym:
   0.13269033869:ann1:
   3.78040639987:ann2:
  -0.00000372983:sem1:
  -0.00000000001:sem2:
   0.00013569507:year:
   0.00003120573:IR:
  -0.00217560398 :mA:
   0.00347703302 :mP:
  -0.15554793558 :shiftT:
   0.25430719741 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12335923186,  -14.98699255129,  1,  69741,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00473490881,    1.24413453656,  2, -459,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00570916702,  -11.92734825990,  3, -352,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00469135093,   -3.34146823463,  4, -693,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00087973649,    0.47807542933,  5, -189,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.34629128003,   -1.00333191373,  6, -5176,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45247323869,    1.44429203446,  7, -3495,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.26895126954,    7.57418079281,  8, -11697,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.12626469514,  -30.95692008135,  9, -1,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.44189826651,    0.45613834258,  10,  43494,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01351562229,   -2.82294126146,  11, -537,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.15423668128,    1.28837223854,  12, -51,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.25256993114,    4.37271831803,  13,  152461,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.03374707536,   42.40366052671,  14, -449,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.10119628200,   62.80426648512,  15,  2110,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.14314466839,    3.52130213555,  16, -2080,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00703813099 :trend:
   0.00007010800 :accel:
  -0.01605668220 :K0:
  13.32405688906 :level:
   0.63414478558,    0.17762410280,   -3.04479018267 0
   1.71642464067,    0.25784745513,    2.05880985356 0
   1.09381019744,    0.20042956738,    0.48856236069 0
   4.21056269806,    0.24961762029,   -2.85351621117 1
   0.40714329951,    0.18227917078,    0.02841089740 0
   1.51573323616,    0.19930801053,    2.35500859723 0
   2.30581699278,    0.20960168493,    2.92968471419 0
   0.11771556193,    0.16112041295,   -2.12116217056 0
   8.10071854713,    0.56907927590,    2.34619910235 1
  24.30215564138,    0.26086739322,   -2.26133027135 3
  40.50359273564,    0.22229804895,   -0.31413611453 5

CC 0.2463612869 0.7052225883 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_darwin_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regression

PDO

image

Status: 4 2 0.64001 0.23342 # 460

  -9.98710147543 :offset:
-104.91370291971 :bg:
   0.02656553091 :impA:
   2.77054419909 :impB:
  32.23391805934 :impC:
  -0.39544627572:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.02474256360:ann1:
   4.34187739466:ann2:
   0.00736256946:sem1:
   8.92418667334:sem2:
   0.00013792408:year:
   0.07374663088:IR:
  -0.00240786979 :mA:
   0.00346693250 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.34052063437 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12345240964,  -14.98533055873,  1,  69794,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00441173867,    1.22696105662,  2, -434,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00572727951,  -11.93046082787,  3, -353,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00460791654,   -3.31610285133,  4, -683,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00060137131,    0.11853230346,  5, -161,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.35483002211,   -1.00279751073,  6, -5186,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45235824768,    1.44359173504,  7, -3494,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.27138095751,    7.50665138082,  8, -11802,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.12130294352,  -31.06540162372,  9, -5,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.46709055273,    0.43595429815,  10,  45979,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01355498632,   -2.78672524200,  11, -538,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.15840224324,    1.40767250168,  12, -50,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.25804431809,    4.39894168082,  13,  155768,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.03277600049,   41.83908290835,  14, -439,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09804653284,   62.62594002252,  15,  2041,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.13080770475,    3.52052391539,  16, -1909,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00807979046 :trend:
  -0.00002053205 :accel:
  -0.10172991632 :K0:
 -16.11782554819 :level:
   1.23853889257,    0.32001312179,    0.69935529513 0
   0.31811625828,    0.26118423340,   -1.38162929925 0
   0.93675785065,    0.17952004908,   -1.54489551735 0
   3.68038476834,    0.21968583341,   -2.69255596010 0
   0.43863635049,    0.25287970644,    1.12331923372 0
   1.75831242288,    0.19541073582,    2.87310645896 0
   3.22737671264,    0.24439900277,   -2.69419998551 0
   0.06900460961,    0.36737992869,    2.26180942590 0
   5.74128463032,    0.31909593821,    2.65333681228 1
  11.95793474179,    0.21161305379,    1.74397376376 1
   8.10028140626,    0.62873648748,    1.03722855217 1
  32.40112562506,    0.11914006069,    0.72957013645 4
  56.70196984385,    0.04395182433,   -1.45141299721 7

CC 0.5460258491 0.6404411342 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_pdo_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11b

image

Status: 4 2 0.69739 0.61698 # 1320

  -9.98703390344 :offset:
-104.89749162403 :bg:
   0.01820810261 :impA:
  -0.07871541196 :impB:
  32.25859335755 :impC:
  -0.39575502008:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.01692126339:ann1:
   3.54998638250:ann2:
   0.05807257339:sem1:
   9.13010805178:sem2:
   0.00013890380:year:
  -0.00041904527:IR:
  -0.00214151349 :mA:
   0.00347157281 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.37191373870 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12345092961,  -14.98511494681,  1,  69793,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00440037086,    1.21474892095,  2, -433,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00573638278,  -11.93069102069,  3, -353,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00423954020,   -3.33728102661,  4, -636,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00063226409,   -0.04228346792,  5, -164,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.35998475427,   -1.00250900098,  6, -5192,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45222904709,    1.44303825582,  7, -3493,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.27043323983,    7.50564392553,  8, -11761,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.11283495744,  -31.08683815816,  9, -11,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.47869371244,    0.41903846529,  10,  47124,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01229378861,   -2.74448844770,  11, -497,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.16646712478,    1.63016528552,  12, -47,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.26137869178,    4.43946774773,  13,  157782,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.03996484500,   41.68187944406,  14, -513,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09654545586,   62.62167784074,  15,  2008,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.12744789173,    3.46968702123,  16, -1863,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00523195000 :trend:
  -0.00000394309 :accel:
  -0.12425445042 :K0:
 -10.82130756935 :level:
   1.24631413868,    0.38791489443,    0.79065763682 0
   0.31384963375,    0.34985999771,   -1.50833062160 0
   0.92400334962,    0.24445834087,   -2.06887030868 0
   8.59220319701,    0.32147304427,    2.30156478116 1
   0.44981379030,    0.20932820609,    1.61932475127 0
   1.78052553171,    0.26534466071,   -2.64307201422 0
   3.23638626845,    0.24485659007,   -3.01020146420 0
   0.06841602971,    0.42965978698,    2.18715873881 0
   5.75255832481,    0.41809524390,    2.91952850255 1
  11.93918640460,    0.13322051954,    0.97505838576 1
   8.09510138601,    0.71628147708,    0.66734458583 1
  48.57060831609,    0.20673117802,   -0.45120625012 6
  56.66570970210,    0.11531112656,    0.83014656154 7

DTW 0.6128211292 0.6975143625 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_pdo_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bDTWa

IOD

image

DTW=2

Status: 5 2 0.73696 0.67010 # 400

  -9.98418600292 :offset:
-104.88394386160 :bg:
   0.01198338973 :impA:
  -0.02553964889 :impB:
  26.54443225977 :impC:
  -0.39553494484:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.11315834025:ann1:
   5.17503658759:ann2:
   0.09786892197:sem1:
   7.59445467198:sem2:
   0.00013896062:year:
  -0.00104305316:IR:
  -0.00253214542 :mA:
   0.00347104220 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.36187324624 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12321753499,  -14.98639396984,  1,  69661,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00433402737,    1.20112828832,  2, -428,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00571078717,  -11.92984837507,  3, -352,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00445962209,   -3.30678016404,  4, -664,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00049409885,   -0.04116840633,  5, -150,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.34133446666,   -1.00296152840,  6, -5170,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45179224596,    1.44307722955,  7, -3490,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.27493792854,    7.52078910658,  8, -11955,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.11507503355,  -32.40676975791,  9, -10,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.49176462513,    0.42194310013,  10,  48413,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01265346867,   -2.74656776669,  11, -509,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.17094838235,    1.65807194719,  12, -46,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.26848049849,    4.51637954993,  13,  162071,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.03874701001,   41.68335765980,  14, -500,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09336168962,   62.62608135221,  15,  1939,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.13468919170,    3.58305844871,  16, -1963,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00582039174 :trend:
   0.00005273853 :accel:
   0.00114536713 :K0:
  10.80524082303 :level:
   1.20424850321,    0.06240396519,   -2.37771812037 0
   1.04435655049,    0.05401321110,   -1.32735091162 0
   1.48429658424,    0.06301303791,    2.59127582867 0
   8.62393118158,    0.06976721111,    1.46507997509 1
   0.42253954127,    0.02953909971,    0.12633694616 0
   1.70859898394,    0.05154310216,   -0.91989833879 0
   3.19614630379,    0.06761655093,   -0.23014100867 0
   0.09387281479,    0.05804302224,    1.54621501559 0
   7.17029983685,    0.05287033406,   -1.59515356887 1
  12.11966612429,    0.09529486161,   -2.67060943446 1
   8.09150262404,    0.06110691139,    1.06883674042 1
  40.45751312018,    0.05544624716,   -0.56338694107 5
  24.27450787211,    0.06878251825,   -2.38386292465 3

DTW 0.6714529993 0.7373845005 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_iod_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bDTWa

@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jun 13, 2024

AMO

image

Status: 3 2 0.70576 0.48035 # 500

  -9.98687417161 :offset:
-104.85715412353 :bg:
   0.01129811268 :impA:
  -0.05652534893 :impB:
  32.58303764160 :impC:
  -0.39575166663:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.05445611976:ann1:
   3.08768080189:ann2:
   0.06781591848:sem1:
  10.76337371505:sem2:
   0.00013698422:year:
  -0.00128721070:IR:
  -0.00195358686 :mA:
   0.00348452711 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.36215328734 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12337645862,  -14.98505945916,  1,  69751,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00440565066,    1.21538271052,  2, -434,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00572973230,  -11.93003491763,  3, -353,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00420134976,   -3.33983234386,  4, -631,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00068389066,   -0.00815098801,  5, -170,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.35787418393,   -1.00236357048,  6, -5189,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45251802814,    1.44302672853,  7, -3495,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.26730449345,    7.50590885746,  8, -11626,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.09430074210,  -31.18535163121,  9, -26,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.47530876264,    0.42386646642,  10,  46790,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01243966199,   -2.79207720085,  11, -502,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.20088513658,    1.59971641010,  12, -36,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.24796648100,    4.46482718828,  13,  149680,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.03920239358,   41.93137519216,  14, -505,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09987990202,   62.64321552963,  15,  2081,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.13748838347,    3.27214761177,  16, -2002,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00573444879 :trend:
   0.00003863032 :accel:
   0.00821666434 :K0:
  10.94149708101 :level:
   1.38389990726,    0.02899925157,    1.67614528748 0
   0.25486663411,    0.04345525109,   -0.89754189664 0
   2.67985986845,    0.05032189259,    0.48312225010 0
   8.55632777919,    0.06375687941,   -0.60825631793 1
   0.46362326056,    0.05540447570,    1.79891746363 0
   1.79140558246,    0.04316656936,    0.62686962546 0
   3.24327538114,    0.06526555376,    1.54818335431 0
   0.04168430622,    0.06490008232,    0.36217505537 0
   0.65242879193,    0.07135642281,    2.30562479070 0
  11.95935257457,    0.03744678176,   -1.06027847824 1
   8.06637693492,    0.05757806497,   -1.59912890565 1
  40.33188467460,    0.01819459353,   -0.62574271349 5
  56.46463854444,    0.02694961599,   -2.49884017707 7

DTW 0.5367633123 0.7059024324 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_amo_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bDTWb

image

Status: 8 2 0.71697 0.54482 # 5400

  -9.98678681573 :offset:
-104.86521966282 :bg:
   0.01225899403 :impA:
  -0.01967280085 :impB:
  32.42209088354 :impC:
  -0.39582421412:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.06067671420:ann1:
   3.07991953675:ann2:
   0.05859203309:sem1:
  10.83190798427:sem2:
   0.00013698941:year:
  -0.01141248366:IR:
  -0.00189381962 :mA:
   0.00348212746 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.36094746969 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12337036199,  -14.98481714022,  1,  69747,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00440610010,    1.22063034502,  2, -434,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00573927324,  -11.92998267564,  3, -353,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00426423910,   -3.34544996818,  4, -639,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00069775637,   -0.00516419069,  5, -171,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.36109011121,   -1.00270471912,  6, -5193,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45252693048,    1.44300438222,  7, -3495,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.26328130184,    7.49516575621,  8, -11452,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.08946337478,  -24.86034626856,  9, -30,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.47781353067,    0.42298621467,  10,  47037,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01256822095,   -2.77739147597,  11, -506,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.20172877935,    1.62368067400,  12, -36,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.24709497677,    4.46715197228,  13,  149154,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.04428178217,   41.91695515510,  14, -558,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.10068134918,   62.64713140069,  15,  2098,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.13253170768,    3.25673008265,  16, -1933,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00575897293 :trend:
   0.00003872720 :accel:
   0.00774564383 :K0:
  10.98615850722 :level:
   1.38433360730,    0.02735105780,    1.64410079578 0
   0.25852101298,    0.03755605336,   -0.81053604186 0
   2.67726566954,    0.04752403223,    0.47082522168 0
   8.55730530286,    0.06717321768,   -0.40911866851 1
   0.46189319170,    0.05706372038,    1.62869651594 0
   1.78923881898,    0.04455040475,    0.53336514612 0
   3.24285230035,    0.06715091991,    1.57524505815 0
   0.04092920466,    0.06457517354,    0.38397817952 0
   0.65419947223,    0.07157432957,    2.40338726852 0
  11.96450051539,    0.03302464667,   -0.85811475453 1
   8.06616186905,    0.06169441140,   -1.47790950341 1
  40.33080934524,    0.03313794536,    0.01602623730 5
  56.46313308333,    0.03157295003,   -1.84436450146 7

DTW 0.5447571612 0.7169675941 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_amo_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bDTWc

image

Status: 1 2 0.69467 -0.04872 # 400

  -9.98681603435 :offset:
-104.86545240717 :bg:
   0.00510706368 :impA:
  -0.00197895734 :impB:
  32.37686149404 :impC:
  -0.39589908490:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.04066964006:ann1:
   3.01934071787:ann2:
  -0.00025124092:sem1:
  14.65249370705:sem2:
   0.00013717535:year:
  -0.02595967499:IR:
  -0.00189417150 :mA:
   0.00348207806 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.35964596707 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12337199152,  -14.98479516536,  1,  69748,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00440438694,    1.21933049270,  2, -434,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00573935588,  -11.92998224819,  3, -353,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00426716908,   -3.35341278295,  4, -640,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00073407050,   -0.00000218518,  5, -175,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.36104211032,   -1.00224968378,  6, -5193,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45253120791,    1.44311595246,  7, -3495,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.25974676299,    7.49502720085,  8, -11300,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.08717035878,  -24.83060839337,  9, -32,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.47803982519,    0.42163381982,  10,  47059,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01257783305,   -2.77750636389,  11, -507,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.20482985793,    1.61606041304,  12, -35,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.24655731820,    4.45683269731,  13,  148829,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.05345873272,   41.90884151222,  14, -652,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.10037987774,   62.64812894955,  15,  2092,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.13219629019,    3.22439095530,  16, -1929,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00546881046 :trend:
   0.00003748538 :accel:
  -0.01576583154 :K0:
  10.34205246936 :level:
   1.50411860183,    0.03545928704,    2.50335412183 0
   0.25566241585,    0.03472296368,   -0.58338370192 0
   2.68137446640,    0.04195522074,    0.75701563013 0
   8.54765361388,    0.07417949211,   -0.46712979154 1
   0.46087686372,    0.05681349021,    1.56902154357 0
   1.78977422548,    0.04981543067,    0.55127779160 0
   3.25287228335,    0.07183635675,    1.91094872670 0
   0.02626489003,    0.22795329921,    0.48929549555 0
   0.65770250826,    0.07282395788,    2.48712127332 0
  11.96125042175,    0.03611623778,   -0.91997723127 1
   8.06646936530,    0.05684740141,   -1.40455173378 1
  40.33234682651,    0.04012728235,    0.56140366375 5
  56.46528555712,    0.01859990017,   -1.47533876570 7

CC 0.4607203285 0.6948077798 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_amo_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bCC1

These were placed in the wrong GIST

image

Status: 7 2 0.71506 0.44396 # 27240

  -9.98701948995 :offset:
-104.89803406314 :bg:
   0.01255190732 :impA:
  32.66365658524 :impC:
  -0.39684717171:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.49943209700:asym:
   0.06423174837:ann1:
   2.73145618056:ann2:
  -0.04590535749:sem1:
  14.62861973967:sem2:
   0.00013601306:year:
   0.27939457814:IR:
  -0.00036815272 :mA:
   0.00347330294 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.31623675025 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12339875175,  -14.98339154225,  1,  69763,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00439378703,    1.19402300850,  2, -433,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00574608425,  -11.93701826833,  3, -354,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00467748282,   -3.28577668088,  4, -691,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00092450277,   -0.00577880784,  5, -194,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.32066030500,   -1.00745094372,  6, -5146,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45318230265,    1.44499262464,  7, -3500,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.24675149981,    7.52254176321,  8, -10740,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.07511997637,  -18.50150867341,  9, -41,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.52612374522,    0.40637030981,  10,  51803,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01470298298,   -2.79321384427,  11, -575,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.23348783830,    1.52896880866,  12, -26,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.22657859113,    4.33962338152,  13,  136761,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.07516315071,   41.97914259566,  14, -877,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.09575564873,   44.22476419377,  15,  1991,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.12258319963,    2.92942746903,  16, -1796,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00589443527 :trend:
   0.00004164469 :accel:
   0.01396646011 :K0:
  11.21876068774 :level:
   1.49154383967,    0.05995822389,    2.86166967469 2
   0.25755497064,    0.05637779143,   -0.49305095646 0
   2.48862199492,    0.08666727698,   -1.77731213006 4
   8.54599211469,    0.13653460410,    0.73950619392 12
   0.47099368514,    0.07086341290,    1.63920328753 1
   1.80224968950,    0.04393914647,    1.65666990334 3
   3.24936350055,    0.07583572878,    2.28231303519 5
   2.69048358255,    0.03974503410,    0.45932452278 4
   0.69004434334,    0.05381100378,   -2.48148867539 1

DTW 0.4439648140 0.7150609130 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_amo_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bCC1dtw2

@pukpr
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Author

pukpr commented Jun 13, 2024

NAO

image

Status: 7 2 0.59574 0.45851 # 980

  -9.98674676419 :offset:
-104.79809937624 :bg:
   0.15560386880 :impA:
  -1.13154812561 :impB:
  19.92096746286 :impC:
   0.22720151862:delB:
   0.50030973263:asym:
   0.27006333226:ann1:
   0.00749376373:ann2:
  -0.83767815437:sem1:
  15.50444676934:sem2:
   0.00013380257:year:
  -0.32985259471:IR:
  -0.00004121651 :mA:
   0.00339833950 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.31802069921 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12337525019,  -14.98203389478,  1,  69750,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00468367686,    1.17934038393,  2, -455,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00569745133,  -11.94028822432,  3, -351,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00461161979,   -3.31493220121,  4, -683,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00145451857,   -0.06921647949,  5, -248,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.14564775532,   -1.01287247721,  6, -4941,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45510114114,    1.44389209823,  7, -3515,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.28700125635,    7.49034692370,  8, -12475,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.07118014111,  -18.79875269825,  9, -44,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.51733872680,    0.39172958333,  10,  50936,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01419748130,   -2.80856917268,  11, -559,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.23710082081,    1.62404218590,  12, -25,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.23276974489,    4.27990422704,  13,  140501,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.07595164626,   60.17762718976,  14, -885,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.08050955112,   43.95888226813,  15,  1658,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.10708818999,    2.07029841492,  16, -1581,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00360021086 :trend:
  -0.00002212074 :accel:
  -0.00660220425 :K0:
  -6.81938284961 :level:
   2.54269001598,    0.40438770676,   -0.97662477591 4
   1.20839795011,    0.13751753833,    0.31931706365 2
   2.51674878389,    0.51112254703,    1.49551410160 4
   8.55842775713,    0.47469104980,   -1.36802886488 14
   0.61870165412,    0.62250207198,    1.87910514073 1
   1.80729261051,    0.14339272684,   -2.18884688764 3
   3.27379279049,    0.24922845119,    1.18664491542 5
   1.03655069828,    0.09274772277,   -2.76750786313 2
   0.63088995862,    0.58713310157,   -1.10313391845 1
   3.15444979311,    0.09683308411,   -0.31608965226 5
  41.00784731046,    0.24861077450,    0.26014385698 65

DTW 0.5088963893 0.5957624574 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_nao_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bCC1dtw2

F9=1, otherwise too high a frequency

image

Status:  8 2   0.60941   0.50583 # 5040
  -9.98676739408 :offset:
-104.79224516470 :bg:
   0.13537014703 :impA:
  -1.07037831169 :impB:
   7.46130602264 :impC:
   0.22720151862:delB:
   0.50037006973:asym:
   0.31473199869:ann1:
   0.05568068223:ann2:
  -1.12431844859:sem1:
  15.74139658280:sem2:
   0.00013360325:year:
  -0.45416127543:IR:
  -0.00018055637 :mA:
   0.00339847471 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.32019710880 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12337393971,  -14.98202100786,  1,  69749,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00471442214,    1.17987773421,  2, -457,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00569175500,  -11.94091641131,  3, -351,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00455248877,   -3.32520026059,  4, -676,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00147735810,   -0.09169631430,  5, -250,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.14631958631,   -1.01221893916,  6, -4942,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45511864982,    1.44385246346,  7, -3515,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.28975342143,    7.50060283647,  8, -12594,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.07107854398,  -18.79755126149,  9, -44,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.51578392908,    0.39536869093,  10,  50783,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01419675582,   -2.84687175129,  11, -559,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.23732988575,    1.62557897014,  12, -25,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.23741656766,    4.27662656821,  13,  143308,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.07820932286,   60.18170133357,  14, -908,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.08326955809,   43.95850926360,  15,  1718,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.10624081142,    2.07095862421,  16, -1570,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00383849416 :trend:
  -0.00002252539 :accel:
  -0.01042854161 :K0:
  -7.31216456157 :level:
   2.59877683739,    0.11911321040,    0.55012337006 4
   1.20361086531,    0.14513018482,    0.32663758832 2
   2.50135550079,    0.21833275076,    1.02816768100 4
   8.55149673461,    0.47524958002,   -1.58504715574 14
   0.62024111208,    0.78144575630,    1.67958144464 1
   1.80574013399,    0.13122906885,   -2.28749544980 3
   3.27414905836,    0.24985960264,    1.25637558805 5
   1.04789649010,    0.10501167963,   -2.31000368550 2
   0.63091844350,    0.79169119217,   -1.28847942221 1
  34.70051439257,    0.14655195283,    1.32647888069 55
  41.00969882758,    0.29159603636,    0.55096116436 65

DTW 0.5058345451 0.6094112492 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_nao_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bCC1dtw2c

@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jun 15, 2024

EMI

image

Status: 3 2 0.72357 0.38465 # 11260

  -9.98750458530 :offset:
-104.92808519835 :bg:
   0.06024414901 :impA:
   0.18172345406 :impB:
  32.31173006349 :impC:
  -0.39475583505:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.03349696716:ann1:
  -0.42464924517:ann2:
   0.10777043257:sem1:
   5.86261131453:sem2:
   0.00013728419:year:
   0.05038063273:IR:
   0.00148161390 :mA:
   0.00346163841 :mP:
  -0.15555582726 :shiftT:
   0.30974724177 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12351182585,  -14.98756041928,  1,  69827,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00439181850,    1.25383814088,  2, -433,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00571469162,  -11.92227640599,  3, -352,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00442295087,   -3.49285900597,  4, -659,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00119864513,    0.18071052321,  5, -222,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.42548390055,   -0.99708313457,  6, -5268,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45237132231,    1.44535707860,  7, -3494,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.28684691285,    7.39375414739,  8, -12468,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.12818642349,  -43.49916801759,  9,  1,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.43719630870,    0.39386282148,  10,  43030,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01364096545,   -2.89995711311,  11, -541,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.14735161058,    1.42442343414,  12, -53,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.27608187930,    4.43840195635,  13,  166663,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.05403683448,   60.07138310947,  14, -658,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.06854239248,   69.04023459121,  15,  1397,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.15983151511,    4.00709585637,  16, -2311,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00450423190 :trend:
  -0.00002587685 :accel:
  -0.01555276962 :K0:
  -8.67559426683 :level:
   0.84510819701,    0.11563030673,   -1.79059401329 0
   1.64282843476,    0.08417010780,    2.68876411869 0
   1.08283136644,    0.11226509932,    0.14478335606 0
   4.37337848556,    0.15297035648,    2.35009421790 1
   0.51922185337,    0.12636165235,    3.01451114259 0
   0.91357114676,    0.06993181888,   -2.87514031457 0
   2.49878603289,    0.19568505787,   -0.20620749445 0
   0.12750632882,    0.05106999844,   -1.56469751364 0
   5.75509795648,    0.21132124445,    1.97367403131 1
  11.91642824721,    0.14332499738,    2.94070673313 1
   8.10687956477,    0.17559364277,    1.46041006543 1
  72.96191608293,    0.08918794302,   -2.95421377183 9
  16.21375912954,    0.04644885009,   -2.22926034809 2

DTW 0.3846106689 0.7235708025 3 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_emi_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bCC1dtw2c

M6

image

Status: 2 2 0.72956 0.64153 # 1300

  -9.98285271302 :offset:
-105.10875246534 :bg:
   0.02667124016 :impA:
  32.42406783395 :impC:
  -0.39619079420:delA:
   0.24121362835:delB:
   0.49947640773:asym:
   0.11930006800:ann1:
   4.22915614689:ann2:
   0.01105511676:sem1:
  10.82806940017:sem2:
   0.00013372265:year:
   0.00281959772:IR:
  -0.00114860805 :mA:
   0.00347428634 :mP:
  -0.00004871356 :shiftT:
   0.04044475261 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.12363376651,  -14.96110196724,  1,  69896,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.00464806374,    1.21849065544,  2, -452,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.00562450345,  -11.92122029619,  3, -348,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.00468293932,   -3.22046711971,  4, -692,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.00079459551,   -0.33861787414,  5, -181,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -4.29327840994,   -1.00777054960,  6, -5114,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.45276064311,    1.44197427524,  7, -3497,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,   -0.25045800542,    7.37905799546,  8, -10899,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.12940760662,  -18.40241673454,  9,  2,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.49927686398,    0.34692672317,  10,  49154,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.01586050856,   -3.07465748660,  11, -613,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.23463244771,    1.56458146425,  12, -26,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,    0.24423502095,    3.97707638263,  13,  147426,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -0.06087738783,   35.00881229553,  14, -729,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.10215159428,   44.24267049034,  15,  2130,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.08999311996,    2.60822805177,  16, -1345,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00080370947 :trend:
   0.00001025538 :accel:
  -0.00325423954 :K0:
   1.41417504697 :level:
   0.97456931525,    0.04749764467,   -0.90328992988 1
   0.16443694287,    0.03913899967,    3.09141630974 0
   2.50195015530,    0.05335911047,   -1.69872683497 4
   8.53390108308,    0.11666452454,    2.82222374926 12
   0.03360552154,    0.05228755766,   -3.02599936662 0
   1.76936937481,    0.05593520971,    2.55345345039 3
   3.74722802837,    0.09345549389,    1.56215264856 5
   2.16257897953,    0.06495615380,   -1.19796070435 3
   0.69830887477,    0.05884469424,    1.72716881606 1

DTW 0.6415237649 0.7295619260 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup asym_m6_part_1945_1950_excl_8848_wow_0harm-stage3c-regressionCC11bCC1dtw2

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented Jun 15, 2024

image

Status: 3 2 0.82325 0.28194 # 25740

  -9.52199142910 :offset:
 -99.37544794966 :bg:
  -0.04700868191 :impA:
  -1.38069173532 :impB:
  -4.36744294962 :impC:
  -0.05367587813:delA:
   0.32224296587:delB:
   0.07888033098:asym:
  -0.03741833993:ann1:
  -4.21271365613:ann2:
   0.05390326569:sem1:
   1.09109187852:sem2:
   0.00083353003:year:
  -0.29452017318:IR:
  -0.00800355379 :mA:
   0.00573615102 :mP:
  -0.38228777216 :shiftT:
  -0.02305520057 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.00524794486,  -23.08048286718,  1,  2871,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.08747177164,   -0.06714704239,  2, -6724,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,   -0.01595011248,   -1.16654464866,  3, -804,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.03866354342,    1.41683887234,  4, -4989,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.03593252681,   -1.92452284265,  5, -3754,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -1.50920014951,    0.86786871542,  6, -1862,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.17478220364,    2.11869000138,  7, -1411,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.05874043588,    0.61607873734,  8,  2433,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.52529059840, -102.10718173191,  9,  312,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.88380745123,    4.83589354701,  10,  87089,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,    0.04483616391,    0.82741774931,  11,  1349,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.78753727307,    7.32195813305,  12,  149,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.23869623715,   -1.82764304016,  13, -748315,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,   -3.24769086186,   30.66790930584,  14, -33660,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.23255905952,    7.21726111523,  15,  4978,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,   -1.00777967004,   -0.78787850936,  16, -14041,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00451232706 :trend:
   0.00006497479 :accel:
   2.24342701154 :K0:
   8.00571288287 :level:
   3.78395885799,    0.27190876507,   -0.46662946394 0
   6.11998156050,    0.38662656774,    2.50502428950 0
 174.33292760135,    0.65710486985,    1.74334523833 1

CC 0.3203627282 0.8234746216 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> notepad cos_forcing.dat
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:CLIMATE_INDEX="cos_forcing.dat"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870stage2b


Flattened the response

872 $env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\nino34_knmi_start_blank.dat"

Name Value


CLIMATE_INDEX .\amo_1870_extend.dat
DTW 1
LOCKT FALSE
MODULATION true
NLOOPS 20
PART true
TRIGGER 0.9

876 ..\backup bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat
882 ..\backup bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2
888 ..\backup bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation
896 ..\backup bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1
913 ..\backup bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5
935 ..\backup bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw

978 ..\backup.bat bi_pdo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw
984 ..\backup.bat bi_pdo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1
993 ..\backup.bat bi_pdo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw

997 ..\backup.bat bi_amo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw
1001 ..\backup.bat bi_amo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw1
1004 ..\backup.bat bi_amo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw1cc

$env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\nino34_knmi_start_blank.dat"
$env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\pdo_1870.dat"

AMO

image

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00003021883 :bg:
   0.01711416781 :impA:
   0.35432907737 :impB:
 -14.62570711853 :impC:
  -0.12983794993:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.04282764701:asym:
  -0.03774373690:ann1:
  12.27547956865:ann2:
   0.01044762694:sem1:
  -1.30195014188:sem2:
  -0.00002585490:year:
  -0.53157451282:IR:
  -0.29934927857 :mA:
  -0.00358127165 :mP:
  -0.45933315904 :shiftT:
   0.00961760714 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.31849790096,   -0.49702329484,  1, -180420,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.29287916949,   14.05359287423,  2, -98010,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.26433169754,   28.49675976482,  3,  11567,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -1.24018984143,    4.89434073590,  4, -156914,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.44313219852,    1.99349171994,  5, -45163,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -0.10912276265,    3.94479915006,  6, -227,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.22570070412,   -0.29607629051,  7,  1594,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00738802784,    0.54533093837,  8,  219,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.51275123966,    2.02630953152,  9,  302,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.24200106827,   -6.94631495599,  10,  23774,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.21579046840,   46.79981971708,  11, -7075,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.36368878969,    1.08083547919,  12,  15,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.56548748315,    4.94479630981,  13, -341674,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    1.28835848222,   -7.00403253026,  14,  13213,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.42690681633,   -1.01276477556,  15,  9222,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.36664712902,    2.04364145098,  16,  4972,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00526920724 :trend:
   0.00003783635 :accel:
   0.26547671582 :K0:
   9.94314411167 :level:
  -1.01700920129,    0.10992363084,    0.18298218427 0
   4.66116826063,    0.05987663688,   -2.51147216113 1
   6.40900618195,    0.04904370666,   -1.41804750070 1
  12.81801236390,    0.02670825212,    1.16240580789 2
  25.63602472779,    0.02331555957,   -2.88688154428 4

CC 0.6073547819 0.6650960316 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_amo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw1cc

PDO

image

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00005937545 :bg:
  -0.04263389996 :impA:
  -0.00913632459 :impB:
 -14.80156048529 :impC:
  -0.12958232119:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.04266720776:asym:
  -0.06861024458:ann1:
  14.28413895644:ann2:
   0.27576269879:sem1:
  -0.80432473968:sem2:
  -0.00002680106:year:
  -0.60952367623:IR:
  -0.26602638227 :mA:
  -0.00358553382 :mP:
  -0.36722032617 :shiftT:
   0.00986729017 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.38484293561,   -0.51564490193,  1, -217982,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.29166442808,   14.28821450930,  2, -97918,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.26325355691,   28.49788895468,  3,  11519,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -1.24396188836,    4.89408391728,  4, -157391,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.45644586378,    2.04890776567,  5, -46516,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -0.19042250044,    4.76862208662,  6, -322,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.21776331073,   -0.46892800423,  7, -1734,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00652728532,    0.22957929969,  8,  181,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.51089866556,    2.10530071122,  9,  301,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.24114732830,   -7.19489093536,  10,  23690,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.21560501231,   45.66380428947,  11, -7069,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.36482122212,    1.32521684161,  12,  16,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.07265038589,    4.93893584373,  13, -648018,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    1.35296110041,   -5.88771941378,  14,  13881,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.38181328382,   -0.70564131503,  15,  8237,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.37782264343,    1.87805681963,  16,  5126,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00111599159 :trend:
   0.00003332481 :accel:
   1.59798488214 :K0:
  -2.51513006886 :level:
  -1.02389266795,    0.20428684652,    0.44049690001 0
   4.39229960972,    0.54576667008,    3.08878160471 1
   5.49338005287,    0.21717269823,   -0.58531072987 1
  10.98676010574,    0.28014458716,   -0.21729357508 2

DTW 0.6242114104 0.6667142562 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\pdo_1870.dat"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\restore bi_pdo_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw

NINO34

image

Status: 8 2 0.68497 0.69393 # 40

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00005937545 :bg:
  -0.14126938686 :impA:
  -2.07529894009 :impB:
  -6.33671781218 :impC:
  -0.05486688115:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.03518867578:asym:
  -0.16735318820:ann1:
   1.97081034046:ann2:
   0.12701566292:sem1:
  -0.49182162486:sem2:
  -0.00000928442:year:
  -0.43589064124:IR:
  -0.17728155830 :mA:
  -0.00347282873 :mP:
  -0.35706458493 :shiftT:
  -0.03549760062 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.02473637079,   -0.42386345867,  1, -14105,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.71961860637,   14.27683726891,  2, -54597,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.00108423668,   23.16498957157,  3, -52,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.15979198830,    4.05152398552,  4, -20305,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.40146946279,    0.91263227892,  5, -40926,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -1.40214007455,    6.23094850279,  6, -1737,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.05208817327,   -0.24563874626,  7, -491,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00844109093,   -0.67799558476,  8,  264,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01414650908,   -0.69453365469,  9, -89,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.78728254411,   -2.87990317880,  10,  77567,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.14962952213,   21.84355866054,  11, -4936,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.00626497101,    6.46750492261,  12, -102,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.44991093463,    3.82366105853,  13, -875896,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    2.19589078543,   -6.07189652981,  14,  22592,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.00742005086,   -1.36660792762,  15,  62,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.67886884543,    1.42266459187,  16,  9291,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00253749591 :trend:
   0.00004728642 :accel:
   3.05378219601 :K0:
   4.24507834019 :level:
   5.21594161672,    0.05649741584,    2.93558204381 1
   8.75141550341,    0.49228613118,    2.92141739070 1
  17.50283100682,    0.28386594550,   -1.62996320828 2
  35.00566201364,    0.16612711549,    0.77440656323 4
  43.75707751705,    0.15863259586,    1.75082099749 5
  26.25424651023,    0.04857353341,   -1.17774003013 3
 175.02831006820,    0.05578261474,   -2.31388319804 20
  78.76273953069,    0.09752284843,    0.80251851385 9
 148.77406355797,    0.07783414319,   -0.60955525838 17

DTW 0.6939217492 0.6849737169 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> $env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\nino34_knmi_start_blank.dat"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\restore bi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw

Darwin

image

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00005937545 :bg:
  -0.19558323763 :impA:
  -6.33671781218 :impC:
  -0.05486688115:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.03518867578:asym:
  -0.23988377794:ann1:
   1.20843300788:ann2:
   0.16113376478:sem1:
  -0.89644919880:sem2:
  -0.00000924539:year:
  -0.71370243226:IR:
  -0.17786650125 :mA:
  -0.00347282873 :mP:
  -0.19180021895 :shiftT:
  -0.03549760062 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.02476534250,   -0.42303928362,  1, -14121,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.71961860637,   14.27683726891,  2, -54597,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.00108648388,   23.16989758945,  3, -52,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.15980167201,    4.05152398552,  4, -20306,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.40150192101,    0.91220780964,  5, -40929,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -1.40214007455,    6.23094850279,  6, -1737,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.05208817327,   -0.24560082850,  7, -491,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00843520907,   -0.68383605121,  8,  264,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01406450887,   -0.69042786206,  9, -89,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.78749589989,   -2.87990317880,  10,  77588,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.14962952213,   21.84355866054,  11, -4936,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.00626092260,    6.50184526421,  12, -102,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.44991093463,    3.82366105853,  13, -875896,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    2.19589078543,   -6.07189652981,  14,  22592,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.00744802277,   -1.34403591146,  15,  63,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.67855431116,    1.42266459187,  16,  9287,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00207264959 :trend:
   0.00003741619 :accel:
   2.95408386030 :K0:
   3.91045913522 :level:
   5.75772530655,    0.03818829099,    2.80803380500 1
   8.80625655615,    0.35971118844,    3.00071321271 1
  17.61251311230,    0.24601879735,   -1.80313085849 2
  35.22502622460,    0.09745877584,    1.13837117376 4
  44.03128278075,    0.09158037939,    1.70197993463 5
  26.41876966845,    0.09180346491,   -0.52778079807 3
 176.12513112300,    0.02592574926,   -2.86527816669 20
  79.25630900535,    0.08256231883,    0.59193952787 9
 149.70636145455,    0.07955893494,   -0.28022230478 17

DTW 0.5020129813 0.6351998682 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_darwin_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw

image

Status: 5 2 0.64516 0.49389 # 220

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00005937545 :bg:
  -0.22638888084 :impA:
  -2.01347759754 :impB:
  -0.05486718913:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.03518867578:asym:
  -0.31763752066:ann1:
   1.12200292263:ann2:
   0.17026289197:sem1:
  -1.59502936805:sem2:
  -0.00000913187:year:
  -0.68410572912:IR:
  -0.17688539588 :mA:
  -0.00347282873 :mP:
  -0.23504137054 :shiftT:
  -0.03549087624 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.02492872372,   -0.43611650953,  1, -14214,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.71970756866,   14.27683726891,  2, -54604,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.00110908847,   23.24718136665,  3, -51,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.15980358814,    4.04311371907,  4, -20306,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.40309012363,    0.91889124926,  5, -41091,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -1.40214007455,    6.23094850279,  6, -1737,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.05198855395,   -0.24555945441,  7, -490,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00799787159,   -0.64698814509,  8,  245,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01450604562,   -0.72915500757,  9, -89,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.78761091358,   -2.87983622794,  10,  77599,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.14964951457,   21.84355866054,  11, -4937,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.00621925992,    6.54672077614,  12, -102,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.44991008272,    3.80697317736,  13, -875896,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    2.19589078543,   -6.07189652981,  14,  22592,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.00746354210,   -1.31776468083,  15,  63,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.67870570392,    1.42441114718,  16,  9289,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00220120202 :trend:
   0.00003725453 :accel:
   3.10730622548 :K0:
   4.17223300195 :level:
   5.62981886801,    0.14213910844,    1.43423148232 1
   4.45282089872,    0.20641559933,   -1.88032592182 1
   8.90564179744,    0.34684405556,    3.01982392117 2
  17.81128359488,    0.20617737229,   -1.90933258932 4
  35.62256718976,    0.12422648564,    0.77467139543 8
  44.52820898720,    0.08952014452,    0.84989413527 10
  26.71692539232,    0.08509121566,   -0.29505815284 6
  48.98102988592,    0.07843426939,   -1.37440245153 11
  71.24513437952,    0.06079267795,    2.45455019945 16
  22.26410449360,    0.08079311754,    1.56573763965 5

DTW 0.5062090582 0.6452287741 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_darwin_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1

updated from PDO

IOD

image

Status: 7 2 0.69333 0.56319 # 220

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00005937545 :bg:
  -0.01498124518 :impA:
  -0.03253781516 :impB:
 -14.79853747153 :impC:
  -0.12860455094:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.04275633744:asym:
  -0.09539067849:ann1:
  13.96875418107:ann2:
   0.10951347373:sem1:
  -0.46840163924:sem2:
  -0.00002707714:year:
  -0.96389884191:IR:
  -0.25577349989 :mA:
  -0.00358548325 :mP:
  -0.17784847842 :shiftT:
   0.01298751858 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.38467768727,   -0.51442817097,  1, -217889,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.29223625676,   14.16515810561,  2, -97962,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.26241769515,   28.49788895468,  3,  11482,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -1.24396188836,    4.88434877433,  4, -157391,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.45532612880,    2.04890776567,  5, -46403,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -0.20333416548,    4.77083057531,  6, -337,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.21776331073,   -0.46889339948,  7, -1734,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00647179367,    0.32927079351,  8,  179,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.51124993355,    2.13192697295,  9,  301,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.24062235824,   -7.23234897507,  10,  23638,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.21725781132,   44.78886727458,  11, -7122,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.36475410666,    1.33023629985,  12,  16,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.07164639528,    4.95689785174,  13, -647411,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    1.39502275588,   -5.92537337137,  14,  14316,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.41852518874,   -0.70585634176,  15,  9039,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.37670466160,    1.87684594723,  16,  5111,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00424168662 :trend:
   0.00004517851 :accel:
   0.00861913886 :K0:
   7.77942705604 :level:
  -1.50570640972,    0.02240402440,    3.10400750120 0
   3.72605144317,    0.08324817002,   -2.31470049657 1
   5.42413491769,    0.02730415579,    2.17937495819 1
  10.84826983538,    0.10197905420,    0.25136484012 2

DTW 0.6000302213 0.6947143476 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_iod_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw

image

Status: 7 2 0.71602 0.51988 # 4260

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00005937545 :bg:
   0.06838262654 :impA:
   0.77581514448 :impB:
 -14.74683622941 :impC:
  -0.12854385296:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.04287686452:asym:
  -0.10762026633:ann1:
  14.86476743913:ann2:
   0.10372669825:sem1:
   1.84117058105:sem2:
  -0.00002515519:year:
  -0.57260961743:IR:
  -0.24754734128 :mA:
  -0.00359020109 :mP:
   0.06757028688 :shiftT:
   0.01401841349 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.39229285661,   -0.49689320738,  1, -222200,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.29263313638,   14.17002272853,  2, -97992,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.26214796842,   28.47438835311,  3,  11470,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -1.24027187748,    4.88446749201,  4, -156924,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.45055224108,    2.04121151769,  5, -45917,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -0.29552127390,    4.72982985209,  6, -445,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.20976898157,   -0.49857363351,  7, -1674,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00675509937,    0.00000835838,  8,  191,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.51161455535,    2.12371821964,  9,  301,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.23072472407,   -7.18056019221,  10,  22661,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.21826404967,   44.78827276641,  11, -7155,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.34872258686,    1.34129624053,  12,  10,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.06580710695,    4.96758008616,  13, -643884,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    1.42357609081,   -5.93620952580,  14,  14611,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.41208796929,   -0.71076232097,  15,  8898,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.37723503106,    1.85666530690,  16,  5118,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.00433133268 :trend:
   0.00004567055 :accel:
  -0.00910975071 :K0:
   7.95662901447 :level:
  -2.58319112400,    0.03133460794,   -0.76465536245 0
   3.72283203591,    0.08181681175,   -2.37418859146 1
   6.36766322825,    0.06559057570,   -2.95910850354 1
   5.48509030179,    0.02904984755,    2.14559437731 1
  10.97018060359,    0.12129597184,    0.51210421948 2

DTW 0.5198841705 0.7160152738 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_iod_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw1

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented Jun 16, 2024

M2

AMO
image

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00003021883 :bg:
   0.02192491718 :impA:
   0.14520935545 :impB:
 -14.58674217362 :impC:
  -0.12965885363:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.03699635957:asym:
  -0.02584779255:ann1:
  11.94503952723:ann2:
   0.00502680520:sem1:
  -0.39308848540:sem2:
  -0.00001619644:year:
  -0.05008996555:IR:
  -0.31160774369 :mA:
  -0.00358983814 :mP:
  -0.54392521777 :shiftT:
   0.00773555875 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.26234557402,   -0.10283234196,  1, -148629,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.32316215345,   14.04542009695,  2, -100304,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.24681972753,   28.69357131898,  3,  10794,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -1.24059259212,    4.87439036410,  4, -156965,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.38399181608,    2.14288020859,  5, -39149,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -0.10567957432,    3.97983977373,  6, -223,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.20514876061,   -0.29727809447,  7,  1439,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.00583885690,    1.21123318542,  8,  152,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.51300396561,    2.01085074397,  9,  303,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.21065121103,   -6.95805418884,  10,  20681,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.21575396347,   46.70132203840,  11, -7073,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.36655325560,    1.07145202198,  12,  16,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -0.63633509525,    4.95166467876,  13, -384468,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    1.31099168565,   -7.09645138974,  14,  13447,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.43139066174,   -1.01428985572,  15,  9319,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.51870497380,    2.12993213737,  16,  7075,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
  -0.01116729137 :trend:
   0.00008714517 :accel:
  -0.60560502487 :K0:
  21.37767865981 :level:
   0.88345741981,    1.21021061627,    1.86634935743 2
   4.78173874092,    0.07722339795,   -2.64638324882 9
   0.54713248842,    1.07065024335,   -0.97274450645 1
   1.09426497685,    0.65105227740,   -1.66462790736 2
   2.18852995369,    0.14263134312,    1.51000898127 4

CC 0.8097244150 0.7438342398 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup.bat bi_m2_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw1dtw1cc

$env:TRIGGER="0.9"
$env:PART="true"
$env:NLOOPS="20"
$env:MODULATION="true"
$env:LOCKT="false"
$env:DTW="1"
$env:CLIMATE_INDEX=".\m2.dat"

EMI

image

status: 2 2 0.67296 0.58796 # 700

   0.00005937545 :bg:
   0.04140506408 :impA:
   0.03248969542 :impB:
 -14.10223869287 :impC:
  -0.12959070806:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.04082716543:asym:
  -0.14683768633:ann1:
   9.68159788768:ann2:
   0.13862882827:sem1:
  -6.60776624802:sem2:
  -0.00002845250:year:
  -0.63529360675:IR:
  -0.25777823670 :mA:
  -0.00358434234 :mP:
   0.04180347711 :shiftT:
   0.11340597550 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.36352327914,   -0.48065731535,  1, -205912,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.29535915084,   14.28704494155,  2, -98198,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.26192504989,   28.49951925160,  3,  11460,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -1.24720420885,    4.89767412583,  4, -157801,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.46349364239,    2.17697243049,  5, -47233,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -0.18871322407,    4.77421204805,  6, -320,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.21926260274,   -0.49038882323,  7, -1745,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.01297223268,    0.05812223920,  8,  459,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.51513815983,    2.11619933584,  9,  304,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.24609111380,   -7.17664190787,  10,  24177,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.21544837329,   45.69452574269,  11, -7064,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.44943107963,    1.35123898695,  12,  42,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.06290237968,    4.95455292617,  13, -642130,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    1.41889927845,   -6.01773384094,  14,  14562,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.38985818352,   -0.70667378746,  15,  8413,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.30069469847,    1.86552255845,  16,  4060,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00401449535 :trend:
  -0.00002466737 :accel:
   0.19553628538 :K0:
  -7.63947072869 :level:
   1.17250383804,    0.09829620518,    2.45364545815 0
   6.67948085396,    0.05990485768,    3.08168856005 1
   4.44610866353,    0.11853470648,    1.80073716858 1
   5.48161736355,    0.12869240139,   -0.83208564134 1
  10.96323472710,    0.11013090565,   -1.12755453993 2
1397.81242770525,    0.08419452415,   -2.33719944123 255

DTW 0.5868714520 0.6732177690 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_emi_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw3

@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jun 16, 2024

NINO4

image

Status: 4 2 0.68421 0.53629 # 1820

   0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00005937545 :bg:
  -0.06091824845 :impA:
  -6.33626708030 :impC:
  -0.05486688115:delA:
   0.46957103552:delB:
   0.03518769242:asym:
  -0.07450214559:ann1:
   2.82260305466:ann2:
   0.10110990263:sem1:
  -0.95149943424:sem2:
  -0.00000932623:year:
  -0.00000000000:IR:
  -0.17923576796 :mA:
  -0.00347336967 :mP:
   0.08114354412 :shiftT:
  -0.03549419222 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.02451516609,   -0.44952183269,  1, -13979,  1.76628953531850E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.71932745213,   14.27682051930,  2, -54575,  1.32047425097857E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.00106879739,    4.33973872656,  3, -53,  2.26569924321020E-03
6793.47648813065,   -0.15898285092,    4.05136660932,  4, -20202,  7.90867249242066E-04
3396.73824406533,   -0.40249302293,    0.91293245037,  5, -41030,  9.83370612492222E-04
  27.55454988600,   -1.40062659315,    6.23101412628,  6, -1736,  8.56289947134097E-02
  13.77727494300,   -0.05209763236,   -0.24398330548,  7, -491,  1.33274573071050E-02
   9.18484996200,    0.01089369664,   -0.74357594475,  8,  370,  2.31918283471700E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01337820325,   -0.69630075021,  9, -90,  1.27448455896301E-01
3232.60542850251,    0.78734049546,   -2.87799934100,  10,  77572,  1.01366789012042E-03
  27.09267692660,   -0.14957406230,   21.84358138185,  11, -4934,  3.09392634878083E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.00597517306,   11.69200670096,  12, -102,  3.15777097820916E-01
1616.30271425126,   -1.45186201374,    3.82398812675,  13, -877075,  1.65553462995255E-04
  13.60611040750,    2.19527301891,   -6.07176358225,  14,  22585,  9.67714118545784E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.00710409363,   -1.58366542712,  15,  55,  4.57977530236714E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.67970985082,    1.42284170210,  16,  9303,  7.22901067260159E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00114335941 :trend:
   0.00001444546 :accel:
   2.04963492805 :K0:
  -2.38501971665 :level:
  10.13014167260,    0.14093342985,   -2.68782245753 1
   8.70885909097,    0.19080091157,    2.57732811406 1
  17.41771818193,    0.15210927684,   -1.71738633166 2
  34.83543636386,    0.08837788514,    0.92451360074 4
  43.54429545483,    0.11439583254,    1.82119862072 5
 548.65812273085,    0.10567904987,   -2.11629355603 63
  78.37973181869,    0.06373011599,    0.55512144068 9
3779.64484547916,    0.06666911563,    2.91619025091 434
3048.10068183803,    0.10942056257,   -0.68244712570 350

DTW 0.5363075264 0.6842148598 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\na\run> ..\backup bi_nino4_adrac_1_wow_pt79_1920_1980excl-1870drac_flat2_modulation1Harm5dtw

NINO34

image

@pukpr
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pukpr commented Jul 8, 2024

QBO

image

  -0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00000000000 :bg:
  -0.09409837054 :impA:
 -20.87444476543 :impB:
 -85.07058458260 :impC:
  -0.87837055349:delA:
   0.36500000000:delB:
   0.74481804826:asym:
  -0.04963903635:ann1:
   1.89447805742:ann2:
  -0.02849161838:sem1:
  20.12174109245:sem2:
  -0.00231642390:year:
  -0.00407395177:IR:
   0.00507340616 :mA:
  -0.01592984598 :mP:
  -0.32346154288 :shiftT:
  -0.02891018512 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.09600559637,   -0.01763515489,  1, -48799,  1.97141362358840E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.75091405094,    2.95697494095,  2, -131888,  1.32857891933721E-03
1095.17502233364,   -0.03640400064,   -1.48308284052,  3, -32953,  1.10807095297658E-04
 346.61411888846,   -0.01520027431,    2.69758702125,  4, -2350,  6.75480455428567E-04
 173.30705944423,    0.06223914995,   -2.56839727821,  5,  5504,  1.11069772217238E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.03499516161,   -2.03467095279,  6, -73,  1.27519237842966E-01
  13.66083077700,    0.17582989482,   23.47296342113,  7, -44,  3.15871834215700E-01
  13.60611040750,    0.04320567223,    0.21004803974,  8,  351,  9.58576256141684E-03
  27.55454988600,   -0.05821053221,   -1.53179434785,  9, -168,  8.56270429060868E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.00000000000,    0.11133501891,  10, -100,  1.33923946433446E-02
  27.10365333842,    0.25782232602,   -0.06666814475,  11,  11663,  2.19180972938905E-03
-411.77602506657,    0.01035837411,  -57.06978954640,  12,  4935,  2.05741286843882E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.19146439713,   -3.23599040980,  13, -6245,  3.11602478779971E-03
-205.88801253329,   -0.01916099014,   -1.36423636535,  14, -2883,  6.88512067061880E-04
  13.69115772864,    0.04513664837,   22.52786391849,  15,  1400,  3.00966440226341E-03
   9.10846048884,    0.02121385760,   -1.74167406476,  16,  634,  2.89185464561847E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.02610594196,   -1.23650596949,  17,  470,  4.57605339746949E-03
  27.66676714572,    0.03339433934,   -2.19144989791,  18,  362,  7.23427343095432E-03
2190.35004466729,    0.07558770960,   -6.45277620379,  19,  13664,  5.49170263678697E-04
  26.87829334283,   -0.16288970950,    3.90753748751,  20, -20082,  8.15198513893674E-04
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.25473595304 :K0:
  -0.18590491816 :level:
  -0.73653222958,    0.28829702379,    0.03247957524 1

CC 0.9112808632 0.4519173125 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\anom\run> ..\backup qbo_30_kit_1960_1980oneB

C:\Users\pp\scratch\anom\run>copy enso_opt.exe.par enso_opt.exe.par.qbo_30_kit_1960_1980oneB

image

50
image

Catchup mode enabled:TRUE

  -0.00000000000 :offset:
   0.00000000000 :bg:
  -0.10790160331 :impA:
 -21.32339934561 :impB:
  23.12824074346 :impC:
  -0.95224931857:delA:
   0.36500000000:delB:
   0.85142703877:asym:
  -0.05515422005:ann1:
   1.33747943784:ann2:
  -0.02426196313:sem1:
  17.46479258389:sem2:
  -0.00244857984:year:
  -0.00405876629:IR:
  -0.01673714371 :mA:
   0.01349810708 :mP:
  -0.34323108063 :shiftT:
  -0.03885832180 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.14674126948,    0.00669046138,  1, -74535,  1.97141362358840E-04
  27.21222081500,   -1.53855486998,    2.01414115923,  2, -115905,  1.32857891933721E-03
1095.17502233364,   -0.05512079638,   -0.41803192944,  3, -49845,  1.10807095297658E-04
 346.61399987411,   -0.02491475930,    0.88069571398,  4, -3788,  6.75480455428567E-04
 173.30699993705,    0.14606076187,   -2.66804821557,  5,  13050,  1.11069772217238E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.02618661971,   -2.95299973766,  6, -121,  1.27519237842966E-01
  13.66083077700,    0.12862976246,   23.70108387573,  7, -59,  3.15871834215700E-01
  13.60611040750,    0.06452846491,    0.16856592008,  8,  573,  9.58576256141684E-03
  27.55454988600,   -0.08126367100,   -2.48015156818,  9, -195,  8.56270429060868E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.00000000000,    0.11133330692,  10, -100,  1.33923946433446E-02
  27.10365333842,   -0.25453986809,    0.17621846176,  11, -11713,  2.19180972938905E-03
-411.77585709766,    0.02227056301,   53.11983590653,  12,  10725,  2.05741286843882E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.26358145090,   -1.61488260056,  13,  8359,  3.11602478779971E-03
-205.88792854883,    0.11438723214,    0.28128105007,  14,  16514,  6.88512067061880E-04
  13.69115772864,    0.02998449875,   19.20200773882,  15,  896,  3.00966440226341E-03
   9.10846048884,    0.07800709537,   -2.49116096418,  16,  2597,  2.89185464561847E-03
  27.44323926226,    0.03907604542,   -1.84889861710,  17,  754,  4.57605339746949E-03
  27.66676714572,   -0.04195644051,   -2.67065357175,  18, -680,  7.23427343095432E-03
2190.35004466729,    0.07552893203,    4.35168671522,  19,  13653,  5.49170263678697E-04
  26.87829334283,   -0.28182001826,    3.82623213377,  20, -34671,  8.15198513893674E-04
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.24350190565 :K0:
   0.02871471559 :level:
   0.74241461378,    0.29844980276,    2.44193608852 1

CC 0.9241659569 0.4393720874 3 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\anom\run> ..\backup qbo_30_kit_1960_1980oneB-50b

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