Skip to content

Instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

@pukpr
Last active May 22, 2024 13:53
Show Gist options
  • Save pukpr/239a25ebe81082c6a14107861b7b9af3 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Save pukpr/239a25ebe81082c6a14107861b7b9af3 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Declination times perigee factors tidal summation
-- Conventional tidal series summation or superposition of cycles
-- Declination times perigee factors
function Tide_Sum_Diff (Template : in Data_Pairs;
Constituents : in Long_Periods_Amp_Phase;
Periods : in Long_Periods;
Ref_Time : in Long_Float := 0.0;
Scaling : in Long_Float := 1.0;
Cos_Phase : in Boolean := True;
Year_Len : in Long_Float := Year_Length;
Integ: in Long_Float := 0.0
) return Data_Pairs is
Pi : Long_Float := Ada.Numerics.Pi;
Time : Long_Float;
Res : Data_Pairs := Template;
begin
for I in Template'Range loop
Time := Template(I).Date + Ref_Time;
declare
TF1, TF2 : Long_Float := 0.0;
use Ada.Numerics.Long_Elementary_Functions;
begin
for J in Constituents'First .. Constituents'First + 8 loop
declare
L : Amp_Phase renames Constituents(J);
Period : Long_Float := Periods(J);
begin
if Cos_Phase then
TF1 := TF1 + L.Amplitude*(Cos(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
else
TF1 := TF1 + L.Amplitude*(Sin(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
end if;
end;
end loop;
for J in Constituents'First + 9 .. Constituents'Last loop
declare
L : Amp_Phase renames Constituents(J);
Period : Long_Float := Periods(J);
begin
if Cos_Phase then
TF2 := TF2 + L.Amplitude*(Cos(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
else
TF2 := TF2 + L.Amplitude*(Sin(2.0*Pi*Year_Len/Period*Time + L.Phase));
end if;
end;
end loop;
Res(I) := (Time, (Scaling + TF1)*(Integ + TF2));
end;
end loop;
return Res;
end Tide_Sum_Diff;
function Tide_Sum (Template : in Data_Pairs;
Constituents : in Long_Periods_Amp_Phase;
Periods : in Long_Periods;
Ref_Time : in Long_Float := 0.0;
Scaling : in Long_Float := 1.0;
Cos_Phase : in Boolean := True;
Year_Len : in Long_Float := Year_Length;
Integ: in Long_Float := 0.0
) return Data_Pairs is
Res1, Res2 : Data_Pairs := Template;
begin
Res1 := Tide_Sum_Diff (Template, Constituents, Periods, 0.0, Scaling, Cos_Phase, Year_Len, Integ);
Res2 := Tide_Sum_Diff (Template, Constituents, Periods, Ref_Time, Scaling, Cos_Phase, Year_Len, Integ);
for I in Res1'Range loop
Res1(I).Value := Res1(I).Value - Res2(I).Value;
end loop;
return Res1;
end Tide_Sum;
-- see https://geoenergymath.com/2024/04/29/fundy-mental-continued
@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 1, 2024

NINO3

image

   0.31656724484 :offset:
  -2.47436986091 :bg:
   7.84360472827 :impA:
   0.15042178086 :impB:
  -0.09464871993 :impC:
  -4.83960724747:delA:
   0.21275955327:delB:
  -1.53687830879:asym:
  -0.32738802490:ann1:
   0.00007888121:ann2:
   0.20539607238:sem1:
  -1.63819815218:sem2:
  -0.00127237689:year:
  -0.27895446925:IR:
   0.02142382972 :mA:
   0.00135031330 :mP:
  -0.07379315949 :shiftT:
   0.00000005392 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.06011105258,   -0.11087661904,  1, -12317,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.55874256626,  -22.90770682304,  2, -34154,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.61532529340,    5.06929515776,  3,  21402,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00746680170,    2.24679787511,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44249240207,    1.75910279864,  5, -4533,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15966222049,  -17.53520056864,  6, -225,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.34035593446,   18.81140434358,  7,  23913,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.18200488794,    5.14195594094,  8, -14148,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12110044809,   -0.02089648575,  9,  5205,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.78806554681,    2.70937093343,  10,  4317,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.91383495570,    9.03904256552,  11,  14171,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.07858869872,   56.69271280854,  12,  200362,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.57257025897,   -2.51570557649,  13, -69309,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00751258719 :K0:
  -0.15769866334 :level:
   0.78292076083,    0.26855263854,    1.84818473122 2
   0.08325647485,    0.19090086821,   -1.13417021362 0
   0.14219601739,    0.24612196002,    0.49609453711 0
   0.29359738070,    0.34266063723,   -0.94650337709 1
   0.44791996815,    0.25102502246,   -0.73611769874 1
   1.34375990444,    0.21511455240,    2.20679750927 3
   1.79167987258,    0.41726807551,   -2.38116218015 4
  14.78135894882,    0.40055823176,    0.13132096009 33

DTW 0.7119100706 0.5770627061 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biNINO3-1900-1975dtw_pt577

Name Value


CLIMATE_INDEX nino3_1870.dat
DTW 9
LOCKT false
MODULATION false
NLOOPS 20
TRIGGER 0.65
TROPMOD false

IOD-E

image

   0.31756110544 :offset:
  -2.46662275875 :bg:
   9.40822566957 :impA:
   0.11285263868 :impB:
  -0.12773758338 :impC:
  -4.84007128417:delA:
   0.21275955327:delB:
  -1.52558439554:asym:
  -0.14885864747:ann1:
   0.00008016581:ann2:
   0.06924150767:sem1:
  -1.67125571080:sem2:
  -0.00127249965:year:
  -0.46147306217:IR:
   0.02150829987 :mA:
   0.00137938424 :mP:
  -0.07379325401 :shiftT:
   0.00000012371 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05993309295,   -0.10484169986,  1, -12280,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.55633399838,  -22.90604419218,  2, -34008,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.61450124101,    5.05463928536,  3,  21374,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00737415860,    2.25010835949,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44344747604,    1.75818261556,  5, -4543,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15929531983,  -17.53977397468,  6, -224,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.34011417883,   18.80955372354,  7,  23896,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.18300969106,    5.14126533123,  8, -14226,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12105115127,   -0.00852544355,  9,  5203,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.79505746889,    2.70923086685,  10,  4325,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.91384167382,    9.03891117807,  11,  14171,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.07901434140,   56.69162782622,  12,  200441,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.60756530051,   -2.51356616178,  13, -70849,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00638988497 :K0:
  -0.35244601124 :level:
   0.58437304018,    0.07036221464,   -2.00043820466 1
   0.08534409850,    0.51781787081,    1.99860949835 0
   0.08765206310,    0.49434194452,   -1.09368741023 0
   0.28985871478,    0.08918646666,   -1.51782894525 1
   0.44787023102,    0.04017939367,   -2.47488503231 1
   1.34361069306,    0.06967992899,    2.87628113407 3
   1.79148092408,    0.11577593781,   -2.65889985282 4
  14.77971762369,    0.13241520219,   -2.41746913511 33

DTW 0.8867230620 0.3098166170 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biIOD-E-1900-1975dtw_pt3

No trend included

image

   0.31755871443 :offset:
  -2.46672863180 :bg:
   9.05222822591 :impA:
   0.10461469613 :impB:
  -0.13239595326 :impC:
  -4.84007505728:delA:
   0.21275955327:delB:
  -1.52637857763:asym:
  -0.14889321665:ann1:
   0.00011712431:ann2:
   0.07750591626:sem1:
  -1.68215476998:sem2:
  -0.00127250905:year:
  -0.57388013069:IR:
   0.02150886070 :mA:
   0.00137942297 :mP:
  -0.07396945633 :shiftT:
   0.00000012403 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05993632091,   -0.10476745884,  1, -12281,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.55721379732,  -22.90602881566,  2, -34061,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.61449720334,    5.05838530206,  3,  21373,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00737913712,    2.25017124577,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44343781551,    1.75816985766,  5, -4543,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15929567667,  -17.53973761724,  6, -224,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.34010926567,   18.75158478526,  7,  23895,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.18302605520,    5.14114556464,  8, -14227,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12104878779,   -0.00852616849,  9,  5203,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.79521494750,    2.70914792046,  10,  4325,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.91384734308,    9.03893692800,  11,  14171,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.07625104029,   56.69155567763,  12,  199927,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.60748975168,   -2.51360971003,  13, -70845,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00130399168 :trend:
   0.00000310176 :accel:
  -0.01316419267 :K0:
  -2.81902498503 :level:
   0.58438629803,    0.08665313577,    1.56470202136 1
   0.08524725696,    1.58881982164,    2.70819156469 0
   0.08760619791,    1.51564375018,   -0.55724390708 0
   0.28978542745,    0.09629383933,   -0.84710563734 1
   0.44787157132,    0.03643993174,   -1.11640141768 1
   1.34361471395,    0.04544012522,    2.81698370713 3
   1.79148628527,    0.06753881599,   -1.07937060672 4
1560.38455446814,    0.04282989880,   -1.38094224915 3484

DTW 0.8793721424 0.4946675272 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biIOD-E-1900-1975dtw_pt3_ramp

image

   0.31753604426 :offset:
  -2.46660599125 :bg:
   8.81870634634 :impA:
   0.12274288548 :impB:
  -0.12587870327 :impC:
  -4.84004024605:delA:
   0.21275955327:delB:
  -1.52552312068:asym:
  -0.14561860279:ann1:
   0.00002547122:ann2:
   0.06849479435:sem1:
  -1.83144628478:sem2:
  -0.00127252508:year:
  -0.43704928449:IR:
   0.02150376573 :mA:
   0.00137823132 :mP:
  -0.07379320461 :shiftT:
   0.00000012349 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05993166309,   -0.10295160863,  1, -12280,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.55632222629,  -22.90730046926,  2, -34007,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.61450485185,    5.05465304553,  3,  21374,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00736627984,    2.25006954103,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44353298012,    1.75816244095,  5, -4544,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15929073758,  -17.54012120714,  6, -224,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.34018032478,   18.80852446906,  7,  23900,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.18312359299,    5.13964470094,  8, -14235,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12103493778,   -0.00781945341,  9,  5202,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.79834615738,    2.70930785241,  10,  4329,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.91390279279,    9.03861684835,  11,  14171,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.07875315262,   56.68839804622,  12,  200392,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.60178991653,   -2.51342079931,  13, -70595,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00224046592 :trend:
   0.00000097820 :accel:
  -0.00507904175 :K0:
  -4.70582489897 :level:
   0.58572321021,    0.06424364501,   -2.24575692600 1
   0.08533755816,    0.50149871726,    2.91518107163 0
   0.08755322719,    0.51657458351,   -0.18847306655 0
   0.29228022300,    0.07963574361,   -1.41398253115 1
   0.44786580700,    0.04394229403,   -2.47020301462 1
   1.34359742100,    0.06553821292,    3.08134466635 3
   1.79146322800,    0.10509521246,   -2.51585776826 4
  14.77957163097,    0.13734133746,   -2.04109861227 33

DTW 0.8862388558 0.4286464884 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biIOD-E-1900-1975dtw_pt3_ramp2

image

   0.32124025200 :offset:
  -2.49238241033 :bg:
  10.72162382156 :impA:
   0.18126277995 :impB:
  -0.17477313106 :impC:
  -4.84080002310:delA:
   0.21275955327:delB:
  -1.51126089966:asym:
  -0.14198019485:ann1:
  -0.00004016291:ann2:
   0.07811615362:sem1:
  -4.67338681071:sem2:
  -0.00127279719:year:
  -0.66300786895:IR:
   0.02118646750 :mA:
   0.00139349078 :mP:
  -0.07379349068 :shiftT:
   0.00000001776 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05988468034,   -0.11116179379,  1, -12271,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.54788155665,  -22.90268292960,  2, -33493,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.62024613610,    5.05478093366,  3,  21574,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00819527739,    2.21687684790,  4, -97,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44338506475,    1.75628702954,  5, -4542,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15855062564,  -17.53871073656,  6, -224,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.35799640805,   18.51826955046,  7,  25157,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.18080433688,    5.14168928519,  8, -14056,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12220087293,   -0.00397169595,  9,  5253,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.81270292098,    2.71045653769,  10,  4346,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.91420305180,    9.03762797380,  11,  14173,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.08236616886,   56.69135338702,  12,  201064,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.58182314715,   -2.51697362748,  13, -69716,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00442953063 :trend:
  -0.00000053046 :accel:
  -0.00491527627 :K0:
  -8.96003546535 :level:
   0.58581641540,    0.03772079105,   -2.08829136084 1
   0.08273572088,    6.83579894429,    0.62460384664 0
   0.08241311648,    6.87391938237,   -2.52204218361 0
   0.29722967811,    0.14504269142,   -1.04449284980 1
   0.44875913994,    0.03043222652,   -1.82176524145 1
   1.34627741981,    0.03656139577,    0.73871907120 3
   1.79503655974,    0.08613853030,    2.59470557444 4
  14.80905161786,    0.12121305750,    2.45123269952 33

DTW 0.8927778665 0.4014169674 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biIOD-E-1900-1975dtw_pt3_ramp3

IOD-W

image

   0.32118221889 :offset:
  -2.49074641075 :bg:
   9.46569876832 :impA:
   0.17298123044 :impB:
  -0.17209275185 :impC:
  -4.83887706729:delA:
   0.21275955327:delB:
  -1.51237675239:asym:
  -0.13744214715:ann1:
  -0.00002183960:ann2:
   0.05784254973:sem1:
  -4.54387303961:sem2:
  -0.00127299315:year:
  -0.43157887704:IR:
   0.02114312049 :mA:
   0.00140262454 :mP:
  -0.07379342098 :shiftT:
   0.00000002391 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.06056941588,   -0.11156229594,  1, -12410,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.54782950844,  -22.90030000094,  2, -33489,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.62032686362,    5.05478308362,  3,  21577,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00820688776,    2.21995849879,  4, -97,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44350384062,    1.75666798254,  5, -4544,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15849801884,  -17.54090549810,  6, -224,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.38523423852,   18.51848688734,  7,  27079,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.18064819239,    5.16373214048,  8, -14044,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12214184905,   -0.00342594985,  9,  5251,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.81440765281,    2.70580126302,  10,  4348,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.91293055187,    9.03783248137,  11,  14164,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.08203331755,   56.69020396622,  12,  201002,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.58812402125,   -2.51903479069,  13, -69993,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00752697792 :trend:
  -0.00000465557 :accel:
  -0.00487346099 :K0:
 -15.12386892671 :level:
   0.59338928010,    0.04711609623,   -1.42784655755 1
   0.08489356196,    0.08665782195,    3.05016139997 0
   0.29357344830,    0.12345896418,   -0.41302975522 1
   0.44875927616,    0.04375895644,   -0.93943175718 1
   1.34627782847,    0.02976267340,    0.40840976244 3
   1.79503710463,    0.03656325781,    1.64120584304 4
  14.80905611322,    0.09650198178,    1.18573465983 33

DTW 0.9338060039 0.5406964035 3 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> $env:CLIMATE_INDEX="iod_w_AVG_1870.dat"
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biIOD-W-1900-1975dtw_pt3_ramp

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 1, 2024

NAO

image

   0.31658949447 :offset:
  -2.47420844454 :bg:
  11.09564789164 :impA:
   0.12248907575 :impB:
  -0.16590515418 :impC:
  -4.83939523320:delA:
   0.20845047385:delB:
  -1.53697055027:asym:
  -0.28121627168:ann1:
   0.00003173364:ann2:
   1.14973527533:sem1:
  -2.85382369026:sem2:
  -0.00127237782:year:
  -0.37953095755:IR:
   0.02142377463 :mA:
   0.00135047854 :mP:
  -0.07380145996 :shiftT:
   0.00000004206 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.06010852254,   -0.11136253937,  1, -12316,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.55867704005,  -22.90788692310,  2, -34150,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.61532520706,    5.06886083509,  3,  21402,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00743631884,    2.24567272006,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44332427452,    1.75631252823,  5, -4542,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15896433468,  -17.53528854588,  6, -224,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.34036661324,   18.80711232111,  7,  23913,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.18133566084,    5.14204765716,  8, -14097,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12110144472,   -0.02090799262,  9,  5205,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.78812420684,    2.70935917830,  10,  4317,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.91383565632,    9.03898652586,  11,  14171,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.07863112938,   56.69278535982,  12,  200370,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.58707101896,   -2.51077348042,  13, -69947,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01646801132 :K0:
   0.29286441034 :level:
   0.65509496265,    0.55699152635,    2.53600799643 1
   0.09399825411,    0.23556716526,   -0.59298659728 0
   0.16221505644,    0.23276976257,   -1.31236494268 0
   0.28744336690,    0.27080847148,    2.44084602723 1
   0.44792096266,    0.16059089603,   -1.10534737093 1
 779.83039599590,    0.25810505242,    2.49886963561 1741
 616.33924462399,    0.19341182220,    1.67423518946 1376
  14.78139176787,    0.34243508775,   -1.97844159477 33

DTW 0.6387304772 0.3983398067 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biNAO-1900-1950dtw_pt4

image

   0.32083364850 :offset:
  -2.43713156096 :bg:
  23.08311207245 :impA:
   0.13842159734 :impB:
  -0.18634184519 :impC:
  -4.83131922680:delA:
   0.20845047385:delB:
  -1.63113411467:asym:
  -0.20126832396:ann1:
   0.15254006188:ann2:
   1.23860320525:sem1:
  -3.02605776858:sem2:
  -0.00126040252:year:
   0.45904804412:IR:
   0.03180910475 :mA:
   0.00117152739 :mP:
  -0.07380131847 :shiftT:
   0.00000002362 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.06486092012,   -0.00947034447,  1, -13282,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.55686512886,  -22.85657279885,  2, -34040,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.61326011672,    5.06849596176,  3,  21330,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00796448119,    2.84732321859,  4, -97,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.44790320710,    1.76622765914,  5, -4588,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.15387116593,  -17.57439963042,  6, -220,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.33021096451,   18.84100522203,  7,  23197,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17606112788,    4.92146544120,  8, -13690,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.12238341378,   -0.08111397731,  9,  5261,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    4.18597543085,    2.72728275206,  10,  4781,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.90638977876,    9.05015741675,  11,  14115,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.10683176332,   56.73577785833,  12,  205611,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.53100748251,   -2.51508743857,  13, -67479,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.04795584277 :K0:
   0.36648579957 :level:
   0.64441485777,    0.73748047437,    1.48972544830 2
   0.29720758103,    0.18034506190,    2.21368653943 1

DTW 0.6167536261 0.4115345404 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biNAO-1900-1950dtw_pt4

https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/sites/default/files/2023-07/nao_station_monthly.txt

It may be mostly fitting to a ragged semi-annual oscillation, check on the test interval beyond the training ending at 1950
image

   0.31254438440 :offset:
  -2.26516690864 :bg:
  35.22099584915 :impA:
   0.11307818066 :impB:
  -0.25404644634 :impC:
  -4.81950116215:delA:
   0.20845047385:delB:
  -1.27233639078:asym:
  -0.18187841815:ann1:
  -0.11673192353:ann2:
   1.29593411325:sem1:
  -2.91735311844:sem2:
  -0.00127590706:year:
  -0.04313496161:IR:
   0.03139562104 :mA:
   0.00083671706 :mP:
  -0.07381562869 :shiftT:
   0.00000001183 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05589696061,   -0.01427671020,  1, -11460,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.55913860933,  -23.02525685691,  2, -34179,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.62550880761,    5.05231391897,  3,  21758,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00730709097,    2.30344520698,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.41343711857,    1.83220666155,  5, -4242,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.17721755034,  -17.57913510676,  6, -238,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.31316766745,   19.46112402148,  7,  21994,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.12580230711,    4.41809794657,  8, -9810,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.10485684804,   -0.07592696988,  9,  4494,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    5.09341762817,    2.90038125149,  10,  5839,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.89228319997,    9.26672112943,  11,  14010,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.39582006076,   56.57752083840,  12,  259321,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.32698972216,   -2.86852869557,  13, -58501,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01152717583 :K0:
   0.32890139775 :level:
   0.35380107353,    0.57323891374,    1.00993032742 0
   1.94973386768,    0.11265556452,    1.26092615332 0
   6.11433748218,    0.29987431754,    2.26974942940 1

DTW 0.6320152737 0.4289637403 4 1

https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/hurrell-north-atlantic-oscillation-nao-index-station-based

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 2, 2024

NINO34

"nino34avg1870.dat"

image

Status: 4 2 0.78527 0.43896 # 2860

   0.30613198309 :offset:
  -2.33342494158 :bg:
   1.09554880746 :impA:
  -0.03693686652 :impB:
  -3.13206253062 :impC:
  -4.85159583072:delA:
   0.21287368078:delB:
  -1.33584469101:asym:
  -0.09429776622:ann1:
   1.83415329050:ann2:
  -0.14868702571:sem1:
   2.01995639084:sem2:
  -0.00127652600:year:
  -0.78529742143:IR:
   0.00250245520 :mA:
   0.00697030621 :mP:
  -0.07377680208 :shiftT:
   0.00002702301 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05169595314,   -0.18841105477,  1, -10606,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53032366317,  -22.78355771985,  2, -32422,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63220156341,    5.03692888015,  3,  21992,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00722655120,    2.29894988244,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49659064999,    1.88205888101,  5, -5075,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14185308763,  -17.41171693673,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36586484322,   19.03340201844,  7,  25712,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17803439775,    5.46351235784,  8, -13842,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16017282819,   -0.07660439974,  9,  6917,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.72906402678,    2.82491968091,  10,  4248,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93437117036,    9.03492270727,  11,  14324,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.13966172673,   56.68532737140,  12,  211713,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.42016174864,   -2.47363777689,  13, -62601,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01283756106 :K0:
  -0.03366972632 :level:
   0.24828300997,    0.49645627408,   -2.66610132748 0
   0.75528970598,    0.28272761283,    3.03375960574 0
 143.46572023926,    0.62361877589,    2.29642966847 1
 573.86288095702,    0.26303390113,    3.04284573941 4

DTW 0.7852684375 0.4389581827 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biNINO34-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3

exclude
image

   0.30618872559 :offset:
  -2.33218823499 :bg:
   1.02381596622 :impA:
  -0.09777986311 :impB:
  -7.12546273762 :impC:
  -4.85141149259:delA:
   0.21287368078:delB:
  -1.33627785738:asym:
  -0.17115061466:ann1:
   1.82657820507:ann2:
  -0.11535001763:sem1:
   2.57338325761:sem2:
  -0.00127657869:year:
  -0.40752694598:IR:
   0.00252695922 :mA:
   0.00697032654 :mP:
  -0.07377678504 :shiftT:
   0.00171792905 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05174590238,   -0.18843864303,  1, -10617,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53037772132,  -22.78327560473,  2, -32426,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63212502513,    5.06530361590,  3,  21989,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00722688780,    2.30685879866,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49670852844,    1.88214041719,  5, -5077,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14185427323,  -17.41188184666,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36553566504,   19.03412092529,  7,  25689,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17805351502,    5.46208035054,  8, -13843,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16026515512,   -0.07667233527,  9,  6921,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.72890803103,    2.91605922088,  10,  4248,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93440509201,    9.03500067112,  11,  14324,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14024121428,   56.68561942786,  12,  211820,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.42106903835,   -2.47361528434,  13, -62641,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00401098791 :K0:
  -0.03210943557 :level:
   0.83034293640,    0.27898253345,    1.84289050245 0
   0.26169131077,    0.11493255508,    2.23291254570 0
   0.07739995991,    0.15539913095,   -0.54855147218 0
 143.46530177274,    0.73558411938,   -1.28709017159 1

DTW 0.5393165301 0.7360993582 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore biNINO34-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude1

A few seconds of training after flipping from NINO34 to AMO

image

   0.30616309374 :offset:
  -2.33231005565 :bg:
   1.07493305277 :impA:
  -0.04391902125 :impB:
  -4.84775509796 :impC:
  -4.85143084855:delA:
   0.21287368078:delB:
  -1.33628266731:asym:
  -0.05940081634:ann1:
   0.24308291386:ann2:
  -0.07467574521:sem1:
   1.98985544025:sem2:
  -0.00127654785:year:
  -0.50836763313:IR:
   0.00251561024 :mA:
   0.00697035920 :mP:
  -0.07377664952 :shiftT:
   0.00233652767 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05174527489,   -0.18839783856,  1, -10616,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53034543444,  -22.78323941775,  2, -32424,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63212551409,    5.06539204120,  3,  21990,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00722633832,    2.30686902987,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49666646503,    1.88221442725,  5, -5076,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14187956798,  -17.41146127968,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36553286859,   19.03403872241,  7,  25689,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17778134533,    5.46189239457,  8, -13822,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16025010603,   -0.07692306219,  9,  6920,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.72921760113,    2.91604954729,  10,  4248,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93432616928,    9.03503848500,  11,  14323,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14023190099,   56.68561973897,  12,  211819,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.41676731890,   -2.47432616760,  13, -62452,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01643675345 :K0:
   0.07807173536 :level:
   0.97053960788,    0.07584038015,   -2.15753061560 0
   0.32224476190,    0.04462833269,   -0.95581933140 0
   0.09799093256,    0.06277304131,   -1.87500992112 0
 143.46462948423,    0.10605920799,   -2.98784375219 1

DTW 0.5340444361 0.7027204796 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore biAMO-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude1

image

   0.30614886776 :offset:
  -2.33217120348 :bg:
   1.39196117082 :impA:
  -0.03163324917 :impB:
 -10.11618901079 :impC:
  -4.85146178220:delA:
   0.21287322259:delB:
  -1.33627998818:asym:
  -0.07866078258:ann1:
   0.00134531195:ann2:
  -0.05286716417:sem1:
   1.66256460409:sem2:
  -0.00127656263:year:
  -0.42533068261:IR:
   0.00250098340 :mA:
   0.00697043327 :mP:
  -0.07377665185 :shiftT:
   0.00284305047 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05174299998,   -0.18802155634,  1, -10616,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53038599527,  -22.78321578445,  2, -32426,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63212870702,    5.06538259897,  3,  21990,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00722403683,    2.30619494081,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49658999048,    1.88224225195,  5, -5075,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14190341651,  -17.41126038707,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36554522403,   19.03355651756,  7,  25690,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17777944456,    5.46196965436,  8, -13822,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16027629276,   -0.07695512214,  9,  6921,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.72947339602,    2.91608774718,  10,  4249,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93429219756,    9.03502393760,  11,  14323,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14016167142,   56.68554992609,  12,  211806,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.41711885630,   -2.47463891313,  13, -62467,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01581280424 :K0:
   0.04411939017 :level:
   0.11475305895,    0.10095194502,   -2.68582152784 0
   0.33440488321,    0.05934497835,   -1.02014539241 0
   0.21679137195,    0.06355265307,    1.32023525850 0
 143.46310505738,    0.10809605415,   -2.70077044762 1

DTW 0.5579942835 0.7353971741 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biAMO-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude3

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 3, 2024

This is all NINO34
biNINO34-all-dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3

IOD-E

image

   0.30626663873 :offset:
  -2.33292017149 :bg:
   0.84352335353 :impA:
  -0.02015865510 :impB:
  -4.20807612507 :impC:
  -4.85143315988:delA:
   0.21287375702:delB:
  -1.33631307910:asym:
   0.13425508232:ann1:
   2.62625906109:ann2:
  -0.08213807267:sem1:
   4.10541818421:sem2:
  -0.00127660205:year:
  -0.68263479322:IR:
   0.00256455424 :mA:
   0.00677390039 :mP:
  -0.07377690159 :shiftT:
   0.00000240773 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05185295483,   -0.18784996202,  1, -10638,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.52997181603,  -22.78482713447,  2, -32401,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63211541392,    5.06785027612,  3,  21989,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00723159232,    2.30740750187,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49674836397,    1.88214443175,  5, -5077,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14209890109,  -17.41124247814,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36536216887,   19.03406907400,  7,  25677,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17769785063,    5.46376914920,  8, -13816,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16023288223,   -0.07643679919,  9,  6919,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    4.11639113698,    2.91601918664,  10,  4700,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93436200103,    9.03332902267,  11,  14324,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14073933312,   56.68519621724,  12,  211913,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.07694225642,   -2.47310069810,  13, -47496,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00329396916 :trend:
   0.00000213987 :accel:
  -0.00362965447 :K0:
  -6.72855864527 :level:
   0.73871954083,    0.14309451195,    2.69224324352 0
   0.21358466644,    0.04803800465,    2.76688696197 0
   0.12013096482,    0.04063182158,    0.33221349691 0
 147.62543622228,    0.13092342463,    1.96449041163 1

DTW 0.9100305597 0.4507104980 4 1

DTW="9"

PDO

image

   0.30614780436 :offset:
  -2.33341060714 :bg:
   1.15568538699 :impA:
  -0.03229001878 :impB:
  -3.52305708515 :impC:
  -4.85147400651:delA:
   0.21287322259:delB:
  -1.33632577584:asym:
  -0.21692528809:ann1:
   0.00172300343:ann2:
  -0.21680121552:sem1:
   1.03725910763:sem2:
  -0.00127655633:year:
  -0.52428860535:IR:
   0.00248532691 :mA:
   0.00697040436 :mP:
  -0.07377665335 :shiftT:
   0.00210728105 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05174138766,   -0.18782216817,  1, -10616,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53022765286,  -22.78288097348,  2, -32417,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63213452642,    5.06539430827,  3,  21990,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00722994349,    2.30630589954,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49660168621,    1.88222637949,  5, -5076,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14191740417,  -17.41125817693,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36549539905,   19.03370161511,  7,  25686,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17760667581,    5.46119370224,  8, -13809,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16026651523,   -0.07669803675,  9,  6921,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.72949693728,    2.91614544773,  10,  4249,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93429304814,    9.03505412632,  11,  14323,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.13997796312,   56.68555330674,  12,  211771,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.41550385547,   -2.47416096713,  13, -62396,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00126017526 :K0:
   0.09593442806 :level:
   0.07582375340,    0.30466872676,   -0.78535101723 0
   0.34418687269,    0.39916284399,    2.31044412055 0
   0.22746178086,    0.26839484064,    2.22265483762 0
   1.16583582464,    0.24846513282,   -3.06257445857 0
 143.46370004682,    0.61834029602,    3.00991646459 1

DTW 0.6481597158 0.4259998811 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore biPDO-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude3

image

   0.30615484574 :offset:
  -2.33407233868 :bg:
   0.95159703495 :impA:
  -0.07860326335 :impB:
  -4.15542272469 :impC:
  -4.85147550260:delA:
   0.21287322259:delB:
  -1.33643451146:asym:
  -0.14641381173:ann1:
   0.02561760469:ann2:
  -0.37656790242:sem1:
   0.99402404534:sem2:
  -0.00127652273:year:
  -0.62056957191:IR:
   0.00247459859 :mA:
   0.00697044523 :mP:
  -0.07377665737 :shiftT:
   0.01431278718 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05178366312,   -0.18772462139,  1, -10624,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53019749281,  -22.78299865871,  2, -32415,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63214874948,    5.06528276507,  3,  21990,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00724277775,    2.30942996387,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49657484431,    1.88203017333,  5, -5075,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14179400658,  -17.41125864775,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36557541885,   19.03321279395,  7,  25692,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17759615402,    5.46086751873,  8, -13808,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16028191146,   -0.07682603054,  9,  6922,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.72967090209,    2.91655860373,  10,  4249,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93426101809,    9.03509469869,  11,  14323,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14017188747,   56.68606001540,  12,  211807,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.41459364641,   -2.47398430094,  13, -62356,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01048890104 :K0:
   0.21233666442 :level:
   0.09783138964,    0.45659985690,   -1.61020869184 0
   0.35310926131,    0.38467085482,    2.21420738393 0
   0.23175750151,    0.47179075652,    2.25932369009 0
   1.49639203806,    0.25312926497,    2.39784515466 0
   1.21461921676,    0.36765213018,    0.42543085786 0
 143.46285885163,    0.88185251949,   -1.46113573049 1

DTW 0.7110312070 0.4137348850 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biPDO-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude4

image

   0.30616585666 :offset:
  -2.33425088337 :bg:
   0.88964717675 :impA:
  -0.08249090039 :impB:
  -3.20338916867 :impC:
  -4.85149376356:delA:
   0.21287322259:delB:
  -1.33641612667:asym:
  -0.15081986145:ann1:
   0.02126008622:ann2:
  -0.34965047763:sem1:
   1.08467509216:sem2:
  -0.00127653437:year:
  -0.64061828342:IR:
   0.00247375336 :mA:
   0.00697040081 :mP:
  -0.07377665737 :shiftT:
   0.07037829945 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05178921855,   -0.18774946418,  1, -10625,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53016270815,  -22.78301515916,  2, -32413,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63215935970,    5.06528008825,  3,  21991,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00724119071,    2.30995058125,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49654392243,    1.88211752953,  5, -5075,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14176933534,  -17.41117483794,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36560146320,   19.03324813011,  7,  25694,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17759687658,    5.46082169052,  8, -13808,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16030003055,   -0.07684388450,  9,  6922,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.72992610855,    2.91653776339,  10,  4249,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93424628690,    9.03509242519,  11,  14323,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14012111413,   56.68617595199,  12,  211798,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.41427464134,   -2.47411703092,  13, -62342,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00786971412 :K0:
   0.18063976106 :level:
   0.09517615935,    0.40358560394,   -1.53041728830 0
   0.35188016648,    0.41738446122,    2.28532963217 0
   0.23016197999,    0.46568978889,    2.29137977686 0
   1.49221245352,    0.30242126709,    2.12615924275 0
   1.21430151630,    0.43883829617,    0.27643876774 0
 143.46377298592,    0.91377781133,   -1.69770784460 1

DTW 0.7182426544 0.4065042717 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biPDO-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude5

Overfit on short interval
image

   0.30618294828 :offset:
  -2.33461605476 :bg:
   0.95393477811 :impA:
  -0.08707170120 :impB:
  -2.43747529690 :impC:
  -4.85162153043:delA:
   0.21287322259:delB:
  -1.33610606102:asym:
  -0.16318192657:ann1:
   0.00419312927:ann2:
  -0.33190180953:sem1:
   2.23513932998:sem2:
  -0.00127652326:year:
  -0.36003133824:IR:
   0.00248276403 :mA:
   0.00697043402 :mP:
  -0.07377665846 :shiftT:
   0.06957231599 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05180173729,   -0.18774188812,  1, -10628,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.53019411179,  -22.78310190022,  2, -32415,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63215428548,    5.06520266567,  3,  21991,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00724114740,    2.30858566060,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49650827319,    1.88246381075,  5, -5075,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14180890619,  -17.41082545283,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36557669274,   19.03354084075,  7,  25692,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17755757103,    5.46066907626,  8, -13805,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16027042748,   -0.07685534756,  9,  6921,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    3.73109993552,    2.91627430541,  10,  4251,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93422387776,    9.03513348553,  11,  14323,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14019257403,   56.68614695440,  12,  211811,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.41447192341,   -2.47454771565,  13, -62351,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.04442483307 :K0:
  -0.07290551369 :level:
   0.09106189930,    0.19304690435,   -2.42139401674 0
   0.35169442502,    0.54458951106,    2.26480749432 0
   0.22801885023,    0.60376914824,    2.99949453141 0
   1.47913747231,    0.56639414572,    2.92574098049 0
   1.21776275100,    0.60335683340,    0.24319111334 0
 143.46308949864,    1.05105849697,   -0.34004444042 1

DTW 0.7824096069 0.4222718934 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biPDO-1900-1945dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude5

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 3, 2024

Fine Tidal forcing
image

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 3, 2024

IOD-W

image

   0.30626517865 :offset:
  -2.33345958865 :bg:
   1.00942775723 :impA:
  -0.06277742965 :impB:
  -5.19212981132 :impC:
  -4.85138079797:delA:
   0.21287375702:delB:
  -1.33651082545:asym:
   0.07988624272:ann1:
   5.05692698614:ann2:
  -0.07116392960:sem1:
   3.73841467986:sem2:
  -0.00127660261:year:
  -0.92820434278:IR:
   0.00256765962 :mA:
   0.00677395742 :mP:
  -0.07377673585 :shiftT:
   0.00000156665 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05185247678,   -0.18805262963,  1, -10638,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.52996398374,  -22.78490942036,  2, -32400,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63211948526,    5.06784366716,  3,  21989,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00723033191,    2.30746831411,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49674228399,    1.88215531676,  5, -5077,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14215087100,  -17.41136110822,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36524358934,   19.03417002088,  7,  25669,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17828003840,    5.46382102571,  8, -13861,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16023265171,   -0.07628878738,  9,  6919,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    4.11666456762,    2.91602926762,  10,  4700,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93435076712,    9.06103713322,  11,  14324,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14073675203,   56.68509646616,  12,  211912,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.07731484681,   -2.68417375801,  13, -47512,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00038266397 :trend:
   0.00001902332 :accel:
  -0.01143360586 :K0:
  -1.33977514987 :level:
   0.73871906553,    0.07581134641,   -1.80993777015 0
   0.21386336175,    0.07097073098,    1.35019785382 0
   0.10460864632,    0.06659463209,   -2.16872956522 0
 147.62419328151,    0.10168303025,    0.73198024884 1

DTW 0.9137910480 0.5061558217 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biIOD-W-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude1e

image

   0.30625544660 :offset:
  -2.33307690227 :bg:
   1.04810176099 :impA:
  -0.10311821428 :impB:
  -9.96119196751 :impC:
  -4.85136749030:delA:
   0.21287375702:delB:
  -1.33666409431:asym:
   0.11019633812:ann1:
   4.95159470712:ann2:
  -0.05236412793:sem1:
   2.85816331041:sem2:
  -0.00127660517:year:
  -0.31322097473:IR:
   0.00250062024 :mA:
   0.00677391131 :mP:
  -0.07377673585 :shiftT:
   0.00000176474 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,   -0.05185462855,   -0.18846914915,  1, -10639,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.52998965871,  -22.78495743770,  2, -32402,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.63211594333,    5.06781563450,  3,  21989,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00723011016,    2.30739819175,  4, -98,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.49675505929,    1.88220780374,  5, -5077,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.14215848616,  -17.41133142345,  6, -211,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.36533311609,   19.03401005366,  7,  25675,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.17831418114,    5.46315499559,  8, -13864,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.16022333502,   -0.07667842082,  9,  6919,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    4.11689675600,    2.91621248401,  10,  4700,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    1.93436096584,    9.06098754364,  11,  14324,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    1.14058990004,   56.68512749475,  12,  211885,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -1.07692935273,   -2.68433587545,  13, -47496,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00086244579 :trend:
   0.00000557267 :accel:
  -0.01067050577 :K0:
  -2.26778358061 :level:
   0.74598254653,    0.07963921069,   -1.84230169559 0
   0.20938742955,    0.03690604100,    1.31911441531 0
   0.12301174283,    0.06649055133,    2.89415232566 0
 147.62519833680,    0.14812646784,    0.90088906239 1

DTW 0.9294638077 0.3263145511 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup biIOD-W-1890-1960dtw_pt6_wowC1_wow_wow3exclude1f

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 3, 2024

New setup using more tropical

IOD-E

image

   0.28235209862 :offset:
  -0.01044578916 :bg:
  -7.19261343105 :impA:
   0.00190234661 :impB:
  -0.25266978646 :impC:
-125.80094708470:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.37591777156:asym:
  -0.02552742896:ann1:
  -0.00487835429:ann2:
   0.08947020443:sem1:
   0.03704287669:sem2:
  -0.00175471730:year:
  -1.57934564979:IR:
   0.00066167667 :mA:
  -0.04001693734 :mP:
  -0.07577481510 :shiftT:
   0.37044873005 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94116368858,    0.10636265763,  1,  191176,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37932771913,    5.55379687152,  2, -23219,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49150781967,   13.36966746526,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00103511812,    5.12300329443,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03185386623,   -0.80656330089,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01714275270,   -0.36945541825,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06290870252,    2.60039950302,  7,  4338,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06712283360,   -0.53635667391,  8, -5281,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11283255932,    3.64611306179,  9,  4843,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61353467123,    0.10563499694,  10,  1781,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55485756762,    4.42179609979,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04629991230,   -1.61364866730,  12,  8505,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07974825061,   -0.49556125256,  13,  3410,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00310344192 :trend:
   0.00001101465 :accel:
  -0.00078963937 :K0:
  -6.38141241359 :level:
   1.12418208615,    0.07103730103,   -1.84191616404 0
   0.15102134927,    0.05454674638,    2.94358278936 0
   0.03792432256,    0.04702526041,    2.82375328317 0
   0.06226749839,    0.08727858523,   -2.58431039967 0
   0.27881995733,    0.07148239840,   -1.81827588158 0
 -24.98941864075,    0.15161878697,    1.13576017842 1

DTW 0.8648271261 0.4044790256 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropIOD-Ept731pt53dtw-hiC

AMO

image

   0.28235228193 :offset:
  -0.01044445048 :bg:
  -3.86519266199 :impA:
   0.00131710133 :impB:
  -0.23637498759 :impC:
-125.79305743166:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.38091132201:asym:
  -0.02978572561:ann1:
  -0.00275804612:ann2:
   0.06762372237:sem1:
   0.03194403183:sem2:
  -0.00175472036:year:
  -0.84117666008:IR:
   0.00068720025 :mA:
  -0.04002152324 :mP:
  -0.07577479274 :shiftT:
   0.36292977316 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94120365429,    0.10611367824,  1,  191185,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37945403027,    5.55484669681,  2, -23227,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49150455771,   13.36958450258,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00103466843,    5.12030685031,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03187653431,   -0.80668532991,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01714224297,   -0.37140193364,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06289978965,    2.59976810408,  7,  4338,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06737954499,   -0.53684974385,  8, -5301,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11283133443,    3.64582862503,  9,  4843,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61301160647,    0.10531311632,  10,  1781,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55483596188,    4.42181502794,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04630022644,   -1.61376980672,  12,  8505,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07975721662,   -0.49556260438,  13,  3410,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00668422099 :K0:
   0.03150681613 :level:
   1.12336282254,    0.04210224677,   -2.76036287317 0
   0.17356247301,    0.07159612088,   -2.71541352842 0
   0.04020417219,    0.03874767284,    0.26201533584 0
   0.06293474715,    0.04468870531,    2.12853214602 0
   0.28379117257,    0.02779918886,   -2.41877053251 0
 -24.98655520719,    0.08539816110,   -0.42538019546 1

DTW 0.7505458286 0.5043612808 3 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO75pt504dtw-hi

image

   0.28233265965 :offset:
  -0.01040680298 :bg:
  -0.33188981079 :impA:
   0.00001606451 :impB:
  -0.07037255729 :impC:
-125.79074924438:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.37213822259:asym:
  -0.01926725460:ann1:
  -0.00001127491:ann2:
   0.07444212077:sem1:
   0.00955755005:sem2:
  -0.00175470098:year:
  -0.27457510786:IR:
   0.00071895962 :mA:
  -0.04002013937 :mP:
  -0.07577481987 :shiftT:
   0.18909079962 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94125727482,    0.10612989679,  1,  191196,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37935497083,    5.55420501399,  2, -23221,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49151393913,   13.36944128864,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00103685272,    5.11887195716,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03184939712,   -0.80686956649,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01714651993,   -0.37047987363,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06287709669,    2.59859528231,  7,  4336,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06735426424,   -0.53736835094,  8, -5299,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11278502767,    3.64591012417,  9,  4841,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61295823609,    0.10514743997,  10,  1781,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55484005806,    4.42188772192,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04630743081,   -1.61376973644,  12,  8507,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07975184537,   -0.49529685769,  13,  3410,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00438924074 :K0:
   0.00439506244 :level:
   1.12274723372,    0.04689606387,   -2.65504858188 0
   0.17223209664,    0.06955069572,   -2.84383305274 0
   0.01542347026,    0.06859537508,    0.64252133270 0
   0.05555990080,    0.04346263501,    1.09070206604 0
   0.45793201350,    0.04113381355,   -3.12552744679 0
 -24.98741922658,    0.10336856993,   -2.71169447307 1

DTW 0.7828574875 0.4895721492 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO782pt489dtw-hi

PDO

image

   0.28230098933 :offset:
  -0.01047908720 :bg:
  -0.61505221035 :impA:
   0.00000686821 :impB:
  -0.06076953714 :impC:
-125.79323466807:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.37085953151:asym:
  -0.09076730779:ann1:
  -0.00000274128:ann2:
  -0.25703640366:sem1:
   0.03684142895:sem2:
  -0.00175462053:year:
  -0.29005636412:IR:
   0.00076094527 :mA:
  -0.04001874437 :mP:
  -0.07577404136 :shiftT:
   0.10249041256 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94145988916,    0.10633002983,  1,  191237,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37933367930,    5.55441538597,  2, -23220,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49150864206,   13.36939296118,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00103876359,    5.14038563528,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03197560069,   -0.80187677351,  5, -420,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01710169670,   -0.37061199981,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06319776165,    2.59737748630,  7,  4359,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06772821555,   -0.54180309497,  8, -5328,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11280318162,    3.64765665763,  9,  4842,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61524977795,    0.10524560598,  10,  1783,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55483533670,    4.42186688835,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04630565739,   -1.61330910039,  12,  8506,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07983821840,   -0.49606523398,  13,  3414,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00220148711 :K0:
   0.01185418701 :level:
   1.11640787999,    0.25719554725,   -1.83716195901 0
   0.13808556040,    0.62655000868,    2.65867432938 0
   0.02467092915,    0.32387585040,    2.57603566044 0
   0.05142242336,    0.54524323819,   -1.81170777815 0
   0.31919208096,    0.42622444462,    2.84869212353 0
 -24.98829025748,    0.78959913344,   -0.78517286294 1

DTW 0.7101299803 0.3413178906 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropPDO710pt341dtw-hi

image

   0.28228153958 :offset:
  -0.01043739874 :bg:
  12.37682066325 :impA:
   0.02935314720 :impB:
  -0.02377448357 :impC:
-125.79335140681:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.37558996797:asym:
  -0.14911084445:ann1:
   0.34666599344:ann2:
  -0.36158827261:sem1:
   0.04996307105:sem2:
  -0.00175463685:year:
  -0.14693469936:IR:
   0.00076876365 :mA:
  -0.04001808219 :mP:
  -0.07577402370 :shiftT:
   0.11569046778 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94158729588,    0.10632018332,  1,  191263,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37945402211,    5.55450355042,  2, -23227,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49150282269,   13.36944495031,  3,  17075,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00103452076,    5.14196265583,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03196640961,   -0.80086376439,  5, -420,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01706649205,   -0.37230083868,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06321273597,    2.59703489527,  7,  4360,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06770429331,   -0.54135648541,  8, -5326,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11276467860,    3.64814261014,  9,  4840,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61512393658,    0.10529652130,  10,  1783,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55489582972,    4.42175462397,  11,  4038,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04629940391,   -1.61334342459,  12,  8505,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07984966117,   -0.49508991966,  13,  3414,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00251409162 :K0:
  -0.00262477103 :level:
   1.11493501721,    0.25130632731,   -1.87629894214 0
   0.13857450265,    0.68120693278,    2.72094379305 0
   0.02774375694,    0.35682287381,    2.89810641170 0
   0.05139552075,    0.54118028400,   -1.81934164180 0
   0.31855568198,    0.44736641807,    2.89603407092 0
 -24.98870373585,    0.82454296537,    1.71193717168 1

DTW 0.7222226373 0.2795690374 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropPDO710pt341dtw-hi2

image

   0.28269491670 :offset:
  -0.01002059747 :bg:
  11.17800194233 :impA:
   0.02930626425 :impB:
  -0.60969846407 :impC:
-125.84938204243:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.21429191768:asym:
   0.08301119956:ann1:
   0.12245589190:ann2:
  -0.04597701667:sem1:
   1.79747379741:sem2:
  -0.00175402473:year:
  -0.18983831543:IR:
   0.00112585988 :mA:
  -0.03997239164 :mP:
  -0.07577438659 :shiftT:
  -3.10977406231 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94541170509,    0.10450105100,  1,  192040,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.38009787946,    5.52273678147,  2, -23266,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49141862733,   13.36864723978,  3,  17073,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00065725652,    5.22488991610,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03256492562,   -0.84449368899,  5, -426,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01736033405,   -0.31796490601,  6, -86,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06309989939,    2.59026187156,  7,  4352,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06332051649,   -0.48629465330,  8, -4988,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.10968393564,    3.67534482143,  9,  4705,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61514698648,    0.10566075129,  10,  1783,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55476370008,    4.42270766398,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04640141987,   -1.60467502484,  12,  8524,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07957139023,   -0.49916668747,  13,  3402,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00085523232 :K0:
   0.09836626285 :level:
   1.11781963426,    0.42551861903,   -2.18286598933 0
   0.13662977400,    0.73324909775,    2.92742937351 0
   0.05290510345,    0.22311838490,   -2.24980417453 0
 -25.01726714569,    0.54538367025,    2.58847545126 1

DTW 0.6869988533 0.4003486446 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropPDOpt759pt477dtw-hi

image

   0.28225857309 :offset:
  -0.01045766269 :bg:
  35.75163469550 :impA:
   0.07093001554 :impB:
  -0.04006253981 :impC:
-125.79783544735:delA:
   0.14822762873:delB:
   1.36442817235:asym:
  -0.02206690064:ann1:
   0.50322157791:ann2:
  -0.13734372279:sem1:
   0.15221636838:sem2:
  -0.00175456938:year:
  -0.39730777402:IR:
   0.00074273227 :mA:
  -0.04001780009 :mP:
  -0.07577402636 :shiftT:
   0.05469825099 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94175666151,    0.10623953500,  1,  191297,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37959540312,    5.55451132945,  2, -23236,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49151988610,   13.36948103436,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00103399391,    5.14171128882,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03198171368,   -0.79803482584,  5, -420,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01703713520,   -0.37201703192,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06321718889,    2.59686633947,  7,  4360,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06767032031,   -0.54021741913,  8, -5323,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11257358007,    3.64828973084,  9,  4832,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61519194145,    0.10539648313,  10,  1783,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55489128922,    4.42171442027,  11,  4038,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04630137765,   -1.61303575383,  12,  8505,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07982598132,   -0.49569729946,  13,  3413,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00932907953 :K0:
  -0.23532555783 :level:
   1.12282874652,    0.28158013367,   -1.82948298737 0
   0.13671768175,    0.16814202956,   -2.86994100089 0
   0.01458304126,    0.36798151643,    1.64288991891 0
   0.04647570232,    0.36012750790,   -2.92636304055 0
   0.31947540564,    0.19623000007,    2.86854178484 0
 -24.98887989422,    0.58955453188,    2.79213723373 1

DTW 0.7137893662 0.5120131773 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropNINO34pt713pt512dtw-hi

image

   0.28223776961 :offset:
  -0.01030728407 :bg:
   7.92608739261 :impA:
   0.00195497430 :impB:
  -0.55755258686 :impC:
-125.80423378736:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.34293038987:asym:
   0.13828205010:ann1:
  -0.00009659716:ann2:
   0.08887319539:sem1:
   0.21198603953:sem2:
  -0.00175478473:year:
  -0.42120418563:IR:
   0.00073292518 :mA:
  -0.04000789520 :mP:
  -0.07577450156 :shiftT:
   2.57030265958 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94206397813,    0.10658025263,  1,  191359,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37974574190,    5.53649928380,  2, -23245,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49149707266,   13.36963657347,  3,  17075,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00102223365,    5.06730849973,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03187766719,   -0.80621320502,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01709535129,   -0.36753470572,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06289155705,    2.60012897858,  7,  4337,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06729445448,   -0.53761857623,  8, -5294,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11273614191,    3.64487332031,  9,  4839,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61423516083,    0.10577398568,  10,  1782,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55485390014,    4.42171809326,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04629620611,   -1.61278080373,  12,  8504,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07991309592,   -0.49615500260,  13,  3417,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00058438517 :K0:
  -0.08888878285 :level:
   1.11912111057,    0.32406362835,   -0.64507150056 0
   0.12945410707,    0.25013772388,    1.69834535406 0
   0.04094148822,    0.20856390166,    1.73534009013 0
   0.05853543824,    0.23260118729,   -2.18000072208 0
   0.32353614017,    0.22039920505,    2.80575221107 0
 -24.99506647476,    0.43223100886,    0.75630579831 1

DTW 0.7319018551 0.5322574930 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropNINO34pt731pt53dtw-hi-wow

image

   0.28225414371 :offset:
  -0.01032151597 :bg:
   7.67709342028 :impA:
   0.00609131578 :impB:
  -0.53776089418 :impC:
-125.80425518576:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.34296430384:asym:
   0.14327327968:ann1:
  -0.22298594404:ann2:
   0.08846755540:sem1:
   0.20266309920:sem2:
  -0.00175479180:year:
  -0.47128213362:IR:
   0.00073422550 :mA:
  -0.04000821923 :mP:
  -0.07577450679 :shiftT:
   2.48130668828 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94188345332,    0.10668201968,  1,  191323,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37977517764,    5.53667892760,  2, -23247,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49151874527,   13.36964875471,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00102317553,    5.06384544928,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03187297309,   -0.80679838755,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01710463986,   -0.36744761204,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06285275347,    2.60008391464,  7,  4334,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06727962118,   -0.53780779243,  8, -5293,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11274996730,    3.64428100791,  9,  4839,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61436559801,    0.10576490330,  10,  1782,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55484623568,    4.42162543447,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04630092198,   -1.61295863884,  12,  8505,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07991805707,   -0.49599571659,  13,  3417,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00092248307 :K0:
  -0.09694439064 :level:
   1.11949186554,    0.32129391717,    0.05977863936 0
   0.12986591959,    0.27390974717,    1.84049866315 0
   0.04041971771,    0.21703860107,    1.64152235781 0
   0.05837399901,    0.25882676667,   -2.24597774531 0
   0.32368755694,    0.20613267668,    3.09256821440 0
 -24.99486403811,    0.47070586463,   -1.56079024427 1

DTW 0.7393847393 0.5439314131 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropNINO34pt739pt543dtw-hi-wow

IOD-E

image
image

Status: 7 2 0.86274 0.39865 # 1660

   0.28224771646 :offset:
  -0.01025466851 :bg:
   6.13840452991 :impA:
   0.00257403643 :impB:
   0.10330148469 :impC:
-125.80558655048:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.35800604514:asym:
  -0.06216628183:ann1:
  -0.69905986260:ann2:
   0.09746762478:sem1:
   0.00928553624:sem2:
  -0.00175478165:year:
  -0.39545297178:IR:
   0.00071469573 :mA:
  -0.04000804307 :mP:
  -0.07577492170 :shiftT:
   1.60682035792 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94188282148,    0.10662201903,  1,  191323,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37981916157,    5.53770702707,  2, -23249,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49151308206,   13.36956203092,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00102562561,    5.10444811062,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03188617309,   -0.80516518045,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01726032798,   -0.36798116313,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06284135312,    2.60089189083,  7,  4334,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06724094973,   -0.53738537542,  8, -5290,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11289798911,    3.64482119974,  9,  4846,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61419217025,    0.10580835927,  10,  1782,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55484195314,    4.42168871995,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04630301640,   -1.61273924577,  12,  8506,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08020384573,   -0.49845405684,  13,  3430,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00339597853 :trend:
   0.00000437243 :accel:
  -0.00010169295 :K0:
  -6.94306188123 :level:
   1.12438342966,    0.07478038643,   -1.43751090871 0
   0.13911600036,    0.13190113510,    2.89316141144 0
   0.04137944146,    0.07154339681,    2.42462254248 0
   0.06526919821,    0.10666684132,   -2.36728051655 0
   0.37926329133,    0.08150501272,    1.07270089918 0
 -24.99497409438,    0.14787113045,   -0.69721476445 1

DTW 0.8628525764 0.4059265926 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropIOD_Ept862pt405dtw-hi-wow

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 4, 2024

image
image

   0.28228915834 :offset:
  -0.01036516720 :bg:
  21.51746805006 :impA:
   0.01326459219 :impB:
   0.16056895998 :impC:
-125.80428383519:delA:
   0.15000047128:delB:
   1.32587922643:asym:
  -0.07996406915:ann1:
  -1.16860896484:ann2:
   0.07038295829:sem1:
   0.54563954030:sem2:
  -0.00175481432:year:
  -0.19999556790:IR:
   0.00065595917 :mA:
  -0.04000801594 :mP:
  -0.07577476822 :shiftT:
   0.22765344714 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94152420345,    0.10606144518,  1,  191250,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37977505365,    5.53839971799,  2, -23247,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49151979024,   13.36953150180,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00101695241,    5.11305913229,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03175984054,   -0.80340817183,  5, -418,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01724353847,   -0.36984467683,  6, -87,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06295450140,    2.60113264191,  7,  4342,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06732196441,   -0.53607214379,  8, -5296,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11289317418,    3.64489122221,  9,  4846,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61479632136,    0.10634120909,  10,  1783,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55482819720,    4.42168298278,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04630594620,   -1.61289465699,  12,  8506,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08018526132,   -0.49783313406,  13,  3429,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00384032726 :trend:
   0.00000661249 :accel:
   0.00080047075 :K0:
  -7.77820893054 :level:
   1.12446236270,    0.07762594100,   -1.41517286496 0
   0.14254459697,    0.10907460512,   -2.84572775219 0
   0.07053242812,    0.50773388997,    2.06644546449 0
   0.06942628101,    0.52050544748,   -1.30653503096 0
   0.38075318192,    0.08857133648,    0.52200238921 0
 -24.99499104340,    0.15926775630,    1.60975264000 1

DTW 0.8798676720 0.4000110633 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropIOD_Ept88pt4dtw-hi-wow

IOD-W

image
image

   0.28223118579 :offset:
  -0.01045676875 :bg:
   9.08236364069 :impA:
   0.00825113364 :impB:
   0.08762818756 :impC:
-125.80802497015:delA:
   0.15000047128:delB:
   1.29330396868:asym:
  -0.06686443574:ann1:
  -3.95800816001:ann2:
   0.03498613507:sem1:
   0.97698543600:sem2:
  -0.00175479564:year:
  -0.37009960159:IR:
   0.00060229805 :mA:
  -0.04001023375 :mP:
  -0.07573386785 :shiftT:
   0.24043755816 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94152028920,    0.10619974949,  1,  191249,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37977560154,    5.53883252204,  2, -23247,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49149602026,   13.35999158216,  3,  17075,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00101455391,    5.08083637513,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03182358353,   -0.80337909114,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01732657239,   -0.37197877852,  6, -86,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06189770182,    2.60129475398,  7,  4267,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06755249080,   -0.54033127993,  8, -5314,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11289404983,    3.64595441378,  9,  4846,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61447288966,    0.10611213939,  10,  1783,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55480862886,    4.42181890224,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04634822536,   -1.61294506675,  12,  8514,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08015063163,   -0.49883489990,  13,  3427,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00412128531 :trend:
   0.00000136226 :accel:
   0.00352656836 :K0:
  -8.54497116192 :level:
   1.12301678131,    0.06187476517,    2.43148733531 0
   0.21060941687,    0.06302821148,    0.76716447032 0
   0.07041857641,    0.81826116938,    1.69088984634 0
   0.06980329333,    0.88173027696,   -1.42120038899 0
   0.37572222330,    0.12221838785,    2.64177132870 0
 -24.99360553941,    0.14207165402,   -1.33286723321 1

DTW 0.9279931968 0.4076205029 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropIOD_Wpt93pt4dtw-hi-wow

image

Status: 6 2 0.93289 0.47444 # 1080

   0.28222434882 :offset:
  -0.01045725184 :bg:
   8.27852443381 :impA:
   0.00759479702 :impB:
   0.05154797734 :impC:
-125.80856897890:delA:
   0.15000047128:delB:
   1.27854052556:asym:
  -0.08375212475:ann1:
  -4.02248805109:ann2:
   0.04544402690:sem1:
   0.93698043793:sem2:
  -0.00175482722:year:
  -0.36546523512:IR:
   0.00061868430 :mA:
  -0.04001096256 :mP:
  -0.07573386785 :shiftT:
   0.23804497332 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94161311577,    0.10619550555,  1,  191268,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37977328179,    5.53866535153,  2, -23247,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49149390786,   13.35999158216,  3,  17075,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00101475513,    5.08128488108,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03187239571,   -0.80406166000,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01733140683,   -0.37208919092,  6, -86,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06188562892,    2.60204802922,  7,  4266,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06758524133,   -0.53912762688,  8, -5317,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11300248318,    3.64607003621,  9,  4850,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61446457522,    0.10608863344,  10,  1782,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55481287574,    4.42179657822,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04634774752,   -1.61295948793,  12,  8514,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08014748530,   -0.49889751184,  13,  3427,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00500007516 :trend:
   0.00000590126 :accel:
   0.00240332679 :K0:
 -10.25910546318 :level:
   1.12369454271,    0.06066619293,    2.56487628343 0
   0.21112562133,    0.06473741648,    0.61669554448 0
   0.07036951169,    0.84178621386,    1.34673405095 0
   0.06991157524,    0.87697494629,   -1.72013525268 0
   0.37631177394,    0.13646067951,    2.60204221362 0
 -24.99315027873,    0.17872738762,   -1.19204635502 1

DTW 0.9328862245 0.4744513892 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropIOD_Wpt932pt474dtw-hi-wow

image

   0.28221900978 :offset:
  -0.01042892918 :bg:
-44130.31035266288 :impA:
   0.05900870936 :impB:
   0.00003294381 :impC:
-125.80905311112:delA:
   0.15000047128:delB:
   1.27812140615:asym:
  -0.10045709745:ann1:
  -4.13935139076:ann2:
   0.04504923710:sem1:
   0.82423269124:sem2:
  -0.00175482098:year:
  -0.14513857394:IR:
   0.00061577823 :mA:
  -0.04001087084 :mP:
  -0.07573386785 :shiftT:
   0.10032522112 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94155581867,    0.10619838348,  1,  191256,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37979851404,    5.53883462103,  2, -23248,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49149304542,   13.35999158216,  3,  17075,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00101420231,    5.08358121700,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.03187404210,   -0.80418948803,  5, -419,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,    0.01732242724,   -0.37261943863,  6, -86,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,    0.06187710558,    2.60233252091,  7,  4266,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,   -0.06762662667,   -0.53892010500,  8, -5320,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.11300794467,    3.64610198724,  9,  4851,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61446486956,    0.10609830417,  10,  1782,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55481435715,    4.42180375881,  11,  4037,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04634708365,   -1.61292215800,  12,  8514,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08012602865,   -0.49895344814,  13,  3426,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00479232459 :trend:
   0.00000622748 :accel:
   0.00313194464 :K0:
  -9.86499144527 :level:
   1.12436105578,    0.06421237550,    2.47897415255 0
   0.21045420867,    0.06654433537,    0.49758088385 0
   0.06310149975,    0.06405341940,   -1.73174439850 0
   0.07341422504,    0.06738160892,    0.02735322552 0
   0.37681649072,    0.14390385737,    2.53988356465 0
 -24.99320756828,    0.18705792426,    1.84880473327 1

DTW 0.9360141273 0.4701047888 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropIOD_Wpt936pt47dtw-hi-wow

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 4, 2024

image

(from above)

Next is an example of 7 tidal factors first using NINO34 and then switching to AMO and training for only a few seconds

image

   0.28219014693 :offset:
  -0.01031735106 :bg:
   1.78076427556 :impA:
   0.00000000032 :impB:
  -0.52846934628 :impC:
-125.79268514842:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.37582649423:asym:
   0.14664896613:ann1:
  -1.30526014183:ann2:
   0.15523002689:sem1:
  -1.08921935968:sem2:
  -0.00175475336:year:
  -0.34482228024:IR:
   0.00064850834 :mA:
  -0.04001015845 :mP:
  -0.07577420521 :shiftT:
   1.54183723991 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94202476146,    0.10652830720,  1,  191351,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.37975174094,    5.53547118615,  2, -23245,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49137040172,   13.36575652970,  3,  17071,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00001464254,    3.91817898166,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,    0.00014232164,    0.95070797982,  5, -99,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00001024998,    0.00000794639,  6, -100,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00007562349,    1.77399734539,  7, -105,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00019265012,   -2.53017040279,  8, -85,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00000006056,    0.00196292546,  9, -100,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61367867541,    0.10593837126,  10,  1782,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.55495618606,    4.42143358162,  11,  4038,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04583146976,   -1.61404832467,  12,  8418,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07997095921,   -0.49290798254,  13,  3420,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00212253031 :K0:
  -0.10437741291 :level:
   0.90592240742,    0.17820028151,    2.98580323227 0
   0.06807097288,    0.40532995447,   -1.14482853736 0
   0.16313693664,    0.18902609709,    0.04695038516 0
   0.39086331740,    0.36505821107,    2.39486695689 0
 -24.99365257807,    0.58391117741,   -2.69528946365 1

DTW 0.7117342144 0.5012003548 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropNINO34-7params-1900-2000

image
image

   0.28228206094 :offset:
  -0.01042281838 :bg:
   2.91502749337 :impA:
   0.00000000015 :impB:
  -0.60555984287 :impC:
-126.22269336203:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.41828900892:asym:
   0.08386531317:ann1:
  -3.38425936846:ann2:
   0.09073205254:sem1:
  -1.00341794830:sem2:
  -0.00175462214:year:
  -0.32676743800:IR:
   0.00055748129 :mA:
  -0.03911366361 :mP:
  -0.07577914472 :shiftT:
   1.29411026869 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94188870709,    0.09815788885,  1,  191324,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.38299430128,    5.53514061165,  2, -23443,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49151973964,   13.44197104016,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00000905977,    4.33358974004,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,    0.00022063000,    0.87786808281,  5, -98,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00001480773,    0.00000760801,  6, -100,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00011581709,    1.90737409486,  7, -108,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00022783018,   -3.54738513823,  8, -82,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00000005437,    0.00357751751,  9, -100,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61242360915,    0.10586863319,  10,  1780,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59512295434,    4.42578279707,  11,  4338,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04582057807,   -1.61404641787,  12,  8416,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07999421376,   -0.49400540983,  13,  3421,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00561045210 :K0:
   0.03324654144 :level:
   0.77149779220,    0.02471219973,   -2.11623406981 0
   0.06702726531,    0.08910192533,   -0.75496295442 0
   0.16304412175,    0.01945701593,    0.69896013785 0
   0.39003077222,    0.09955068927,    0.51825514808 0
 -25.56651327454,    0.12336553017,    2.16309743851 1

DTW 0.7354544110 0.4321824135 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO-7params-1900-2000-WOW

amo_1870_extend.dat for Thread # 8 1
Status: 7 2 0.74745 0.39665 # 20
Status: 6 2 0.75237 0.41216 # 40
Status: 6 2 0.75272 0.41133 # 60
Status: 3 2 0.75656 0.41517 # 120

Essentially 120 iterations only

.Name                           Value
----                           -----
CLIMATE_INDEX                  amo_1870_extend.dat
DTW                            2
LOCKT                          false
MODULATION                     false
NLOOPS                         20
TROPMOD                        false

image

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 4, 2024

image

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 5, 2024

NINO34

reset AMO ref

image

   0.28220611231 :offset:
  -0.01052592527 :bg:
   0.00008350588 :impB:
  -0.34141821914 :impC:
-126.24350531045:delA:
   0.19891962591:delB:
   1.37740774799:asym:
   0.19342854455:ann1:
  -1.65844232696:ann2:
   0.10730967079:sem1:
  -1.28917146549:sem2:
  -0.00175460285:year:
  -0.30114533095:IR:
   0.00051151766 :mA:
  -0.03910751615 :mP:
  -0.07577905144 :shiftT:
   1.21951186286 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94234055796,    0.09759077463,  1,  191416,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.38306036939,    5.53331453959,  2, -23447,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49150104848,   13.43224573327,  3,  17075,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00000224377,    8.21433310633,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,    0.00027227113,   -0.28002530070,  5, -97,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00011346237,    0.00000000002,  6, -100,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00014346886,    0.87466363627,  7, -110,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00019526359,   -3.73072505424,  8, -85,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.00002448757,    0.00000018783,  9, -101,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61223175409,    0.10545765464,  10,  1780,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59511685688,    4.42595708877,  11,  4338,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04585279969,   -1.61378941005,  12,  8422,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07983394012,   -0.49494784211,  13,  3413,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00428188007 :K0:
   0.08668295675 :level:
   0.69415864445,    0.37543479231,    1.75908271377 0
   0.05952108195,    0.35097460793,   -1.10374656332 0
   0.10540791821,    0.29140189969,   -0.87884147788 0
   0.13950871101,    0.24833790032,   -1.27236307042 0
 -25.57053217718,    0.64846710369,   -2.89809720929 1

DTW 0.7086797102 0.4811400027 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ./ev

Name                           Value
----                           -----
CLIMATE_INDEX                  nino34avg1870.dat
DTW                            2
LOCKT                          false
MODULATION                     false
NLOOPS                         20
TRIGGER                        0.7
TROPMOD                        false

PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO-7params-1900-2000-WOW-allnight-nino34b

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 5, 2024

overnight
image

   0.28224682714 :offset:
  -0.01053386742 :bg:
   7.56925807948 :impA:
  -0.00589731101 :impB:
  -0.14292575680 :impC:
-126.24240108044:delA:
   0.19891962591:delB:
   1.37678522867:asym:
   0.26370058673:ann1:
  -1.73720318646:ann2:
   0.07180609849:sem1:
  -1.47712471089:sem2:
  -0.00175462168:year:
  -0.45830153266:IR:
   0.00050552390 :mA:
  -0.03910780605 :mP:
  -0.07577905367 :shiftT:
   1.26459003054 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94243629276,    0.09758170885,  1,  191435,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.38305176734,    5.53324848824,  2, -23446,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49148507230,   13.43224415142,  3,  17075,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00000198395,    8.55283755931,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,    0.00025886984,   -0.22303228918,  5, -97,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00012064661,    0.00000000001,  6, -100,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00014613168,    0.84873180423,  7, -110,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00019297891,   -3.71275979961,  8, -85,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.00005844320,    0.00000000000,  9, -103,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61217655666,    0.10543544227,  10,  1780,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59512021731,    4.42595001826,  11,  4338,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04585395804,   -1.61366849715,  12,  8422,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07981764660,   -0.49505182530,  13,  3413,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00461172212 :K0:
   0.08154782597 :level:
   0.69542601685,    0.36106639219,    1.72349844713 0
   0.06024887282,    0.35039949685,   -0.99452886410 0
   0.10526445442,    0.27525289898,   -0.95005767049 0
   0.13985893668,    0.26015018341,   -1.20915219879 0
 -25.57034262397,    0.61770730660,   -1.80017606063 1

DTW 0.7613511131 0.5313840357 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO-7params-1900-2000-WOW-allnight-nino34e

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 10, 2024

PDO

image

   0.28228095386 :offset:
  -0.01042069844 :bg:
   8.05657309004 :impA:
  -0.00000000015 :impB:
  -0.59569288120 :impC:
-126.22278658883:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   1.41814731283:asym:
   0.23683761455:ann1:
  -1.70567166093:ann2:
   0.08779437016:sem1:
  -1.08314312614:sem2:
  -0.00175461063:year:
  -0.57133300209:IR:
   0.00055323436 :mA:
  -0.03911383114 :mP:
  -0.07577914472 :shiftT:
   1.47157148248 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94189207281,    0.09803361516,  1,  191325,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.38299557836,    5.53521961648,  2, -23443,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49151396099,   13.44201866404,  3,  17076,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00001231088,    4.71195388084,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,    0.00021209565,    0.62967818570,  5, -98,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00004221330,    0.00149840961,  6, -100,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00014907963,    1.73524478135,  7, -111,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00023239420,   -3.70736199737,  8, -82,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00000022487,    0.00000000001,  9, -100,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61253464056,    0.10603894954,  10,  1780,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59508413021,    4.42577146190,  11,  4337,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04582115937,   -1.61401980234,  12,  8416,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.07998822508,   -0.49403889689,  13,  3420,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00517821333 :K0:
   0.14265481391 :level:
   0.69394296011,    0.14431852210,    1.21028992307 0
   0.06978092120,    0.36095080941,    0.94658216755 0
   0.12680288709,    0.27159670560,    2.69909958050 0
   0.39426972946,    0.45723313854,   -3.13070567659 0
 -25.56640376986,    0.26111184555,   -0.02482209642 1
-460.19526785747,    0.74519065899,    1.70153682440 18

DTW 0.7097617746 0.4000492928 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropPDO-7params-1900-2000-WOW-

Common

the following all derive from a nearly identical input tidal forcing

image

image

   0.27968730375 :offset:
  -0.00550958033 :bg:
   0.99782931419 :impA:
  -0.11467173362 :impB:
  -1.22452427876 :impC:
-126.01348589629:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   0.95878337735:asym:
   0.23099932286:ann1:
  -1.23249169923:ann2:
   0.14980765285:sem1:
  -1.43544531787:sem2:
  -0.00175580247:year:
  -0.36148473393:IR:
   0.00186787983 :mA:
  -0.03941914559 :mP:
  -0.07573658537 :shiftT:
   4.09732874982 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94999248453,    0.10383497799,  1,  192971,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.33838091528,    5.52993155670,  2, -20724,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49091345699,   13.43617228728,  3,  17055,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00011981722,    1.44242000224,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.00745263304,    0.67873051472,  5, -175,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00071707307,   -4.57068136035,  6, -101,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00476825601,   -2.91782065808,  7, -436,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00407079332,   -0.35099202538,  8,  214,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00054364913,    0.22218567659,  9, -76,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61651975097,    0.09132771604,  10,  1785,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59456802256,    4.42980551208,  11,  4333,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04491961589,   -1.60692767478,  12,  8249,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08814058462,   -0.58582386845,  13,  3779,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00191926962 :K0:
   0.09769710712 :level:
   0.77628618895,    0.20549877163,    2.61296805301 0
   0.11315858623,    0.28001276004,   -2.43145868846 0
   0.06850128870,    0.23409873430,   -1.39454028053 0
   0.38742961323,    0.34458123962,   -0.58786953340 0
   0.13890276722,    0.19446423815,    1.11639686810 0
   0.03339330654,    0.15437799182,   -0.37781069120 0
 -25.36838343244,    0.52240680321,    2.19680364619 1

DTW 0.7483527173 0.5093676094 4 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropNINO34-7params-1900-2000-WOW-1b

image

   0.27966549169 :offset:
  -0.00573065288 :bg:
   3.58112492306 :impA:
  -0.01140156602 :impB:
  -1.52870100055 :impC:
-126.04931029550:delA:
   0.15000048468:delB:
   0.95565664048:asym:
   0.08413759110:ann1:
  -2.30390662488:ann2:
   0.01015500199:sem1:
  -0.81837255193:sem2:
  -0.00175591604:year:
  -0.64048755981:IR:
   0.00172990652 :mA:
  -0.03941919519 :mP:
  -0.07573658837 :shiftT:
   4.08400810593 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94981018307,    0.10369597694,  1,  192934,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.33799905554,    5.52292304572,  2, -20701,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49193740720,   13.43620720561,  3,  17091,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00013816120,    1.39412002217,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.00744800456,    0.68256691085,  5, -175,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00070094247,   -4.46333932418,  6, -101,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00482357964,   -2.90896117389,  7, -440,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00405555612,   -0.38108901942,  8,  213,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00070084888,    0.11752375039,  9, -69,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61641572402,    0.09095235880,  10,  1785,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59453219706,    4.42974450509,  11,  4333,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04493202549,   -1.60647109849,  12,  8251,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08791969643,   -0.58613518477,  13,  3769,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00659264191 :K0:
   0.02789771328 :level:
   0.86937230349,    0.03482682272,    3.02448997753 0
   0.08546906980,    0.07555010274,   -1.01179576608 0
   0.06236301378,    0.04278073367,    3.03484706002 0
   0.30684425683,    0.05430321844,    1.56955090627 0
   0.15869251471,    0.06707290583,   -0.10198113047 0
   0.01823913485,    0.08065006509,    0.19900867401 0
 -25.36835151454,    0.12652768052,    0.09601426782 1

DTW 0.8173486875 0.4411117512 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropAMO-7params-1900-2000-WOW-1bovernight

image

   0.27973335941 :offset:
  -0.00546841889 :bg:
   1.64502421274 :impA:
  -0.14330017123 :impB:
  -0.78888524912 :impC:
-126.01475765749:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   0.93968099361:asym:
   0.48975018767:ann1:
  -2.24578462272:ann2:
   0.12673171574:sem1:
  -1.43330788215:sem2:
  -0.00175578899:year:
  -0.58178843751:IR:
   0.00186390288 :mA:
  -0.03941911006 :mP:
  -0.07573661048 :shiftT:
   4.51336771714 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94989671938,    0.10364092708,  1,  192951,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.33813118274,    5.52984437594,  2, -20709,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49092076655,   13.43613351804,  3,  17055,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00011010145,    1.52945697158,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.00746347017,    0.69364660337,  5, -175,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00071846615,   -4.58889167258,  6, -101,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00460121500,   -2.91525754228,  7, -425,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00404544556,   -0.33284171450,  8,  212,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00053832253,    0.42193910176,  9, -76,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61635147205,    0.09164944722,  10,  1785,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59460861962,    4.42978350358,  11,  4334,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04490051145,   -1.60714391554,  12,  8245,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08819881898,   -0.58665798469,  13,  3782,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.01235396636 :K0:
   0.32017230189 :level:
   0.96809532077,    0.36534650501,   -2.66239152686 0
   0.11268782847,    0.42897672425,   -1.94564743299 0
   0.06470581110,    0.38790403485,   -1.48290816641 0
   0.38982084530,    0.33922481860,   -0.39344976972 0
   0.13609040208,    0.26018414947,    1.74213612824 0
   0.04829763890,    0.50103042202,   -1.18624917262 0
 -25.36840630267,    0.75600040647,   -2.57845885427 1

DTW 0.7473056510 0.2021306845 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropPDO-7params-1900-2000-WOW-1b

image

   0.27965348273 :offset:
  -0.00569228782 :bg:
 -75.26443639240 :impA:
   0.02495696292 :impB:
  -0.05067124364 :impC:
-126.01300232765:delA:
   0.18896479191:delB:
   0.89206089770:asym:
   0.05142651783:ann1:
  -4.33517644324:ann2:
  -0.05664765917:sem1:
   1.44326119099:sem2:
  -0.00175578118:year:
  -0.46763431187:IR:
   0.00215353293 :mA:
  -0.03942131446 :mP:
  -0.07573608990 :shiftT:
   4.61821717363 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94902418930,    0.10376456750,  1,  192774,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.34143599781,    5.52965926736,  2, -20910,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49098246590,   13.43592252556,  3,  17057,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00012275965,    1.40407911986,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.00735539675,    0.71231121375,  5, -174,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00064794144,   -4.71949495298,  6, -101,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00473525389,   -2.91696561410,  7, -434,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00380268921,   -0.34910477435,  8,  194,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00039913709,    0.10841010112,  9, -83,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61731827052,    0.09196682225,  10,  1786,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59440662775,    4.43011795401,  11,  4332,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04509624897,   -1.61220202913,  12,  8281,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08873212471,   -0.58863612956,  13,  3805,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00786297395 :trend:
   0.00000017108 :accel:
  -0.00324301473 :K0:
 -15.58002084704 :level:
   0.80240921511,    0.07424744659,   -0.88505866862 0
   0.34552377394,    0.11144472990,    0.34280533909 0
   0.07164980258,    0.13960972719,   -1.66700516184 0
   0.52541319256,    0.06551385052,   -1.94326291534 0
   0.35515073995,    0.10059882625,   -0.56838536366 0
   0.02785035699,    0.03208308638,    1.77724770332 0
 -25.36698772474,    0.19697417114,    1.33126874355 1

DTW 0.8977446312 0.3994376808 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropIOD-E-7params-1900-2000-WOW-1bcopyCCb-dtw

The above fit using some CC, below is the DTW fit only, prior to above

image

   0.27977515039 :offset:
  -0.00555969111 :bg:
  -0.10332088473 :impA:
  -0.00000000001 :impB:
  -0.53484031067 :impC:
-126.01834112788:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   0.93898013318:asym:
   0.13804621608:ann1:
  -4.92377881533:ann2:
   0.03592614730:sem1:
   1.26648135345:sem2:
  -0.00175572483:year:
   0.51916218107:IR:
   0.00193986226 :mA:
  -0.03941923915 :mP:
  -0.07573608031 :shiftT:
   4.36344817674 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94983049533,    0.10387944383,  1,  192938,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.34109089977,    5.52959747457,  2, -20889,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49093868304,   13.43625188120,  3,  17056,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00013097893,    1.49440722491,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.00744183240,    0.69576673493,  5, -175,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00070489824,   -4.72611068878,  6, -101,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00483137829,   -2.90479589786,  7, -441,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00389026190,   -0.35893583613,  8,  200,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00049864428,    0.03414002773,  9, -78,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61719363145,    0.09148760472,  10,  1786,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59452705099,    4.42979793199,  11,  4333,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04499535190,   -1.60718245785,  12,  8263,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08863589195,   -0.58565295593,  13,  3801,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00265499314 :trend:
   0.00000675001 :accel:
   0.00049040277 :K0:
  -5.50480926162 :level:
   0.80867366584,    0.07770367801,    0.68415362510 0
   0.10856674155,    0.05270943912,   -2.13374765552 0
   0.06775258829,    0.05189977183,   -2.45537968002 0
   0.39135265798,    0.09210290053,   -0.98521377241 0
   0.17655213615,    0.02825870439,   -2.52192225195 0
   0.02573817448,    0.07174114455,    1.33567647716 0
 -25.36832322159,    0.14055601646,   -1.54392777309 1

DTW 0.8810684123 0.5646910410 6 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\restore tropIOD-E-7params-1900-2000-WOW-1b

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 10, 2024

IOD dipole

image

   0.27957510895 :offset:
  -0.00553743686 :bg:
   3.05144531329 :impA:
  -1.01884871942 :impB:
  -0.30694939753 :impC:
-126.01152807198:delA:
   0.15000047909:delB:
   0.97499406397:asym:
   0.16472354353:ann1:
  -0.73338139541:ann2:
   0.08356056809:sem1:
   2.47341392742:sem2:
  -0.00175576122:year:
  -0.05810712598:IR:
   0.00184264637 :mA:
  -0.03941566874 :mP:
  -0.07573658886 :shiftT:
   4.69490111898 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.94992780288,    0.10381456115,  1,  192958,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.33851907365,    5.52929115475,  2, -20732,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.49096975783,   13.43638985879,  3,  17057,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,    0.00011046595,    1.33446210029,  4, -100,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.00749417073,    0.67139209178,  5, -175,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.00077245684,   -4.67337716185,  6, -101,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00473852773,   -2.90664409081,  7, -434,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00396902143,   -0.35805950713,  8,  206,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,    0.00050763673,    0.25170902484,  9, -78,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    1.61676734252,    0.09256431542,  10,  1785,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.59455491992,    4.42990025823,  11,  4333,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.04493649172,   -1.60693753747,  12,  8252,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,    0.08820034114,   -0.58712798776,  13,  3782,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00174034724 :trend:
  -0.00000051947 :accel:
   0.00121407040 :K0:
  -3.52959903819 :level:
   0.77858380842,    0.07591595389,    1.06382186464 0
   0.08421592155,    0.01903220507,   -2.91554592449 0
   0.06525679347,    0.04582104065,   -2.35185008886 0
   0.50561259088,    0.05860414505,   -0.89603520994 0
   0.29307963573,    0.08969018917,   -2.74226808021 0
   0.03132184913,    0.09095334043,   -0.70681870873 0
 -25.37062117449,    0.19376445551,    1.04371241143 1
-456.67118114085,    0.08385169310,    1.07669090169 18

DTW 0.7726813719 0.4825584669 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> notepad .\enso_opt.exe.resp
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropIOD-WE-7params-1900-2000-WOW-1bcc1

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 18, 2024

-a----          5/2/2024   7:17 AM          32987 amo_1870_extend.dat
-a----         4/27/2024  10:09 PM         937350 dlod_ref.dat
-a----         4/28/2024   9:26 AM          37290 emi.dat
-a----          5/3/2024  10:22 AM          44997 forcing_amo.dat
-a----          5/3/2024  12:27 PM          44228 forcing_amo_flat.dat
-a----        11/30/2022  12:27 AM          33372 iod_e.dat
-a----         4/29/2024  11:33 AM          34542 iod_e_AVG_1870.dat
-a----        11/29/2022  10:35 PM          33430 iod_w.dat
-a----         4/29/2024  11:33 AM          34605 iod_w_AVG_1870.dat
-a----         5/10/2024  11:39 AM          34441 iod_w_e_1870.dat
-a----          5/1/2024   1:04 PM          29233 nao_station_monthly.dat
-a----          5/2/2024   1:35 PM          39542 nino34avg1870.dat
-a----         4/28/2024   9:27 AM          38012 nino3_1870.dat
-a----         4/28/2024  12:26 AM          42010 pdo_1870.dat
-a----         4/28/2024  12:46 PM          43850 pdo_forcing.dat
-a----         4/28/2024   9:51 AM          36168 soi_darwin_avg_1870.dat

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 18, 2024

April 19, 2022 enso_sin_forcing_loTIWflatFpt85LTEpt948amo1pt925-fitENSOdScratchAlternateOdd
C:\Users\pp\Dropbox\My PC (dcs)\Documents\github\GeoEnergyMath

Darwin

image

.\soi_darwin_avg_1870.dat for Thread # 8 1
Catchup mode enabled:TRUE

  10.69174747307 :offset:
  -9.10646734101 :bg:
   0.95348673240 :impA:
  -0.17344279906 :impB:
  -5.08844220322 :impC:
   0.24508596064:delB:
   0.00000001695:asym:
   0.20589418316:ann1:
  -1.92740941544:ann2:
   0.06730151587:sem1:
  -0.24709270010:sem2:
  -0.00165871343:year:
  -0.39022420791:IR:
  -0.00133311293 :mA:
   0.00135221973 :mP:
  -0.10029989528 :shiftT:
   0.63557692478 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01790748818,    5.19070116296,  1,  3539,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04463302975,    0.90384514236,  2, -2820,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04413109068,    5.85100879574,  3,  1442,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55962081772,   -2.30353836880,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07258659600,    4.51559634804,  5, -827,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04171549156,  -11.57490944774,  6, -133,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00551423458,    4.77329994152,  7, -489,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00227032679,    1.88154949132,  8,  75,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04582105337,   -3.63336032540,  9, -2107,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07714227671,   -0.33803659737,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11373493189,    3.43979436970,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00252818883,    7.70655041850,  12,  370,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04546686669,   -2.93034562278,  13, -2101,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00831177750 :K0:
   0.07419913207 :level:

  -0.81170279411,    0.26060616166,    0.43662071279 0
  -0.24169721106,    0.29752463677,   -2.66954972763 0
   3.36001709830,    0.19214365493,   -0.85537646642 0
   8.96348113675,    0.22476296967,    1.98510921993 0
   0.44849445973,    0.10915186292,    1.13755672428 0
   3.88559336190,    0.56222386482,    1.87545228198 0
 739.52478122768,    0.26669486983,    1.45207282187 1
13311.44606209821,    0.29153178111,   -0.34848323083 18
102793.94459064727,    0.05746805426,   -2.49359233063 139

DTW 0.7404255617 0.5975408007 8 1

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 18, 2024

1900-1940

image
image

  10.69174745477 :offset:
  -9.10646401583 :bg:
   0.94762859111 :impA:
  -0.16840112338 :impB:
  -4.69876491713 :impC:
  -0.46979469337:delA:
   0.24508596064:delB:
   0.00000001990:asym:
   0.12334523231:ann1:
  -2.03015564749:ann2:
   0.07448311086:sem1:
  -0.36293580962:sem2:
  -0.00165871293:year:
  -0.39275176505:IR:
  -0.00133310561 :mA:
   0.00135221972 :mP:
  -0.10029989528 :shiftT:
   0.67102269469 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01790753097,    5.19069546629,  1,  3539,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04463278635,    0.90384619932,  2, -2820,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04413079571,    5.85100976806,  3,  1442,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55962081772,   -2.30353836880,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07258661563,    4.51559636005,  5, -827,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04171546976,  -11.57490944774,  6, -133,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00551425114,    4.77329947467,  7, -489,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00227012379,    1.88153964912,  8,  75,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04582109456,   -3.63335978101,  9, -2107,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07714226979,   -0.33803718815,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11373496064,    3.43979436970,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00252816752,    7.70650586297,  12,  370,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04546688285,   -2.93034586184,  13, -2101,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.01848073476 :K0:
  -0.01091712448 :level:
  -0.80552037295,    0.39431607705,    0.73922615470 0
  -0.29643491334,    0.25989874603,   -2.72290035870 0
   2.67714975162,    0.17287188149,    0.08833288443 0
   8.95345079844,    0.17374628086,    0.48334371497 0
  -0.48407973076,    0.26767347460,    0.96735859550 0
  -3.90076158223,    0.78909638049,    1.46685057783 0
 739.52478669665,    0.35882868285,    0.15421456153 1
13311.44616053965,    0.25693852982,   -1.14452464550 18
102793.94535083396,    0.06702551225,    0.00820619453 139

DTW 0.7950142113 0.5550389332 5 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_darwin_trial2cc1c-1900-1940

Name                           Value
----                           -----
CLIMATE_INDEX                  .\soi_darwin_avg_1870.dat
DTW                            3
LOCKT                          false
NLOOPS                         20
TRIGGER                        0.95

PDO

image

  10.69174040847 :offset:
  -9.10646401583 :bg:
   0.87977115554 :impA:
  -0.15610336588 :impB:
  -4.21924448464 :impC:
  -0.46979469337:delA:
   0.24508596064:delB:
   0.00000002197:asym:
   0.13715269811:ann1:
  -2.55977979077:ann2:
   0.20172283435:sem1:
  -0.25410207646:sem2:
  -0.00165871293:year:
  -0.37425359244:IR:
  -0.00133310094 :mA:
   0.00135221972 :mP:
  -0.10029978622 :shiftT:
   0.63544983915 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01790731253,    5.19069751275,  1,  3539,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04463270850,    0.90385118151,  2, -2820,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04413079573,    5.85100976806,  3,  1442,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55961960593,   -2.30353830591,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07258661053,    4.51559713192,  5, -827,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04171544638,  -11.57490871550,  6, -133,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00441872844,    4.77329088611,  7, -412,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00227014360,    1.88154879573,  8,  75,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04582130675,   -3.63335856655,  9, -2107,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07714194396,   -0.33803820736,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11373507086,    3.43981600344,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00252818199,    7.70645876517,  12,  370,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04545832688,   -2.93034487354,  13, -2101,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.03380272515 :K0:
   0.21283521900 :level:
  -0.74555112291,    0.23846345806,   -0.46503894119 0
  -0.21635867681,    0.79261541194,    1.79568258974 0
   2.56081132284,    0.70948564455,   -1.95111226221 0
  -7.52385470726,    0.47787133181,    1.44176246164 0
  -0.48679369244,    0.58530682683,   -0.05280229237 0
  -3.89554210302,    0.71710035474,    1.34179252370 0
 739.52478669665,    0.36015798590,    0.13681799819 1
13311.44616053965,    0.25733583153,   -1.80569771678 18
102793.94535083396,    0.07591297753,   -2.74033266467 139

DTW 0.7707922701 0.4201360528 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_pdo_trial2cc1c-1900-1940

AMO

image

  10.69169301820 :offset:
  -9.10646799375 :bg:
   1.21617940987 :impA:
  -0.03157677967 :impB:
  -3.27399585941 :impC:
  -0.46978912202:delA:
   0.24508596064:delB:
   0.00000018054:asym:
   0.02853690586:ann1:
  -3.29314970748:ann2:
   0.05120116463:sem1:
   0.05012661740:sem2:
  -0.00165871761:year:
  -0.66489268718:IR:
  -0.00133346113 :mA:
   0.00135221639 :mP:
  -0.10029998377 :shiftT:
   0.74436563559 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01790670638,    5.19071618454,  1,  3539,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04463280197,    0.90383827789,  2, -2820,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04413062839,    5.85101924582,  3,  1442,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55962022658,   -2.30353796126,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07270239699,    4.51564600720,  5, -828,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04164694613,  -11.57495254427,  6, -132,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00441729322,    4.77314300734,  7, -412,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00226988073,    1.88142912889,  8,  75,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04582031864,   -3.63332363186,  9, -2107,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07714124242,   -0.33805245105,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11374978746,    3.43982977339,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00252829948,    7.70661146382,  12,  370,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04545831951,   -2.93032914273,  13, -2101,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00616669219 :K0:
  -0.05205337207 :level:
  -0.74446451056,    0.07633438142,   -0.84308695552 0
  -0.24583156412,    0.04370661795,    0.71617096428 0
  -2.47285998739,    0.05569707381,    2.44947714894 0
   7.52344887794,    0.05170731967,   -1.11812740035 0
  -0.39648241626,    0.05325230467,   -2.69453399311 0
  -3.98935328944,    0.07147468679,    1.55667356839 0
 739.52660764813,    0.14607133454,    2.75088993480 1
13311.47893766627,    0.11924992893,   -2.20610647661 18
9613.84589942564,    0.06192655732,   -1.71703044415 13

DTW 0.7885132664 0.4443270706 2 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_amo_trial2cc1c-1900-1975b

IOD

image

   4.52194831639 :offset:
  -9.10645312901 :bg:
   1.00955379279 :impA:
  -0.08868259498 :impB:
  -3.78893540322 :impC:
  -0.46978814762:delA:
   0.24508596064:delB:
   0.00000009999:asym:
  -0.12104530029:ann1:
   2.30372995300:ann2:
   0.05031244716:sem1:
  -0.00648043869:sem2:
  -0.00165871708:year:
   0.45453449090:IR:
  -0.00133302449 :mA:
   0.00135221725 :mP:
  -0.10029998484 :shiftT:
   0.84749111401 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01790665171,    5.19072578990,  1,  3539,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04463306389,    0.90384367122,  2, -2820,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04413066889,    5.85103238491,  3,  1442,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55961876436,   -2.30354317042,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07270219390,    4.51564359423,  5, -828,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04164887109,  -11.57496020159,  6, -132,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00441721037,    4.77316680784,  7, -412,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00227061281,    1.88145467498,  8,  75,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04582046984,   -3.63335517274,  9, -2107,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07714148134,   -0.33804791561,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11374999421,    3.43982706332,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00252729590,    7.70688150934,  12,  370,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04545868273,   -2.93033909878,  13, -2101,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00339258984 :trend:
   0.00000036880 :accel:
  -0.00859701324 :K0:
  -6.80322100506 :level:
   0.74910074766,    0.08326259882,   -0.38948918528 0
  -0.22637889950,    0.08210652718,   -3.01559879752 0
  -2.44940992086,    0.03618248222,    2.04759404381 0
   6.01977382709,    0.06046126909,   -1.20338543281 0
   0.28936935383,    0.11520324492,   -2.62424908798 0
  -4.00885252577,    0.06506524561,    1.51466863567 0
   2.14099050413,    0.06625207271,    0.63380870289 0
 739.52613753448,    0.03871113074,   -1.88202989916 1
13311.47047562069,    0.06609411845,    2.60423142680 18
79129.29671618965,    0.03000439660,   -1.27772846177 107

DTW 0.7842766242 0.5064957655 8 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_iod_trial2cc1c-1900-1975d

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 18, 2024

redo previous
image

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 19, 2024

image

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 19, 2024

Darwin

image

  10.69175680796 :offset:
  -9.10648478024 :bg:
   0.90663616548 :impA:
  -0.19862226689 :impB:
  -4.43179577521 :impC:
  -0.46979469337:delA:
   0.24508596064:delB:
   0.00000003034:asym:
   0.15583702078:ann1:
  -1.32917772591:ann2:
   0.06588501476:sem1:
  -1.40945847600:sem2:
  -0.00165871307:year:
  -0.47318164061:IR:
  -0.00133309133 :mA:
   0.00135221938 :mP:
  -0.10029989528 :shiftT:
   0.65840777939 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01790752976,    5.19066211430,  1,  3539,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04463281760,    0.90384877353,  2, -2820,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04413069154,    5.85100539337,  3,  1442,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55962081772,   -2.30353833539,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07258663838,    4.51559727251,  5, -827,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04171550183,  -11.57491019534,  6, -133,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00551425737,    4.77329280115,  7, -489,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00213989656,    1.88155551032,  8,  65,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04582119939,   -3.63335656697,  9, -2107,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07714227881,   -0.33803714461,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11373500902,    3.43979471933,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00275453192,    7.70654262131,  12,  412,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04546698247,   -2.93034521970,  13, -2101,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.00913882289 :K0:
   0.11826550609 :level:
   0.77531139540,    0.54366621062,    2.45489086156 0
  -0.32530380355,    0.51277736197,   -2.32583669218 0
   2.25081540116,    0.39572014405,   -2.12229070187 0
  -9.58559750580,    0.19557878873,    1.39917112781 0
  -0.60128184737,    0.65872484256,    2.08592018762 0
  -3.87662661018,    0.69285379322,    1.74841632952 0
 739.52497264164,    0.39094470040,    0.85798422334 1
13311.44950754958,    0.08800459200,    2.66088214567 18
102793.97119718844,    0.07736401872,   -2.52164259470 139

DTW 0.7879817789 0.4618589130 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_darwin_trial2cc1c-1950-2000

AMO

image

  10.50941710905 :offset:
  -9.06877382604 :bg:
   1.58264160132 :impA:
   0.02560449809 :impB:
  -3.07394293441 :impC:
  -0.44466458003:delA:
   0.25000212351:delB:
   0.00000000000:asym:
   0.09390941470:ann1:
  -2.56131028196:ann2:
   0.02168838402:sem1:
  -2.06165176070:sem2:
  -0.00165567545:year:
  -0.54287259252:IR:
  -0.00228980012 :mA:
   0.00148473552 :mP:
  -0.10001864470 :shiftT:
   0.29397398481 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01951440897,    4.88381957512,  1,  3866,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04450543979,    1.01998486375,  2, -2813,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04086697067,    6.42791192990,  3,  1328,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.56387549783,   -2.30269298762,  4, -278,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07276601740,    4.52597767918,  5, -829,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04375228448,  -11.38312345747,  6, -134,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00803905249,    4.80245941102,  7, -667,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00228262013,    1.18454477436,  8,  76,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04011558878,   -3.34609582639,  9, -1857,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07529403966,   -0.40615119427,  10, -12,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11785852452,    3.41827966678,  11,  779,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00105340237,   -0.00000000004,  12,  96,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.03931354016,   -3.16369498220,  13, -1830,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00051843483 :K0:
  -0.01715456081 :level:
   0.83686598391,    0.10388952059,   -1.03767759111 0
   0.39515843224,    0.07267673186,   -0.65346125452 0
   0.27750165989,    0.06149549878,    2.44179150801 0
   1.07615033197,    0.07338850822,    2.19549026579 0
   0.61430037141,    0.03326885080,   -2.31885958895 0
   6.50351781549,    0.04917548297,    0.15615922115 0
   4.63714328958,    0.04428043025,   -1.21102781956 0
 673.52062985926,    0.16849949655,    2.67307669383 1

DTW 0.7741631477 0.4679637461 1 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_nino34bamo_wow1-allnight

Darwin

image

  10.69143953263 :offset:
  -9.10655493063 :bg:
   0.90467735447 :impA:
  -0.20266976424 :impB:
  -2.30406955610 :impC:
  -0.46979537476:delA:
   0.24508596064:delB:
   0.00000015476:asym:
   0.37823817636:ann1:
  -1.86991676759:ann2:
   0.15074040530:sem1:
  -1.09666010501:sem2:
  -0.00165871443:year:
  -0.42000825390:IR:
  -0.00133664624 :mA:
   0.00135223477 :mP:
  -0.10030004013 :shiftT:
   0.63767249839 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01789927872,    5.18971224616,  1,  3538,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04464451840,    0.90304305697,  2, -2821,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04414195303,    5.85085679460,  3,  1443,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55961557370,   -2.30355260739,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07258667758,    4.51570518505,  5, -827,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04172740308,  -11.57458127853,  6, -133,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00551656365,    4.77183747311,  7, -489,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00226342382,    1.88206981349,  8,  75,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04579175431,   -3.63424339351,  9, -2106,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07713866894,   -0.33800843893,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11373782990,    3.43971263572,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00254065284,    7.70442543235,  12,  372,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04544827666,   -2.93026609074,  13, -2100,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
   0.00450648911 :K0:
  -0.05274738476 :level:
   0.79084951612,    0.54114052903,    2.50276948305 0
  -0.27002247547,    0.40360545199,   -2.74401257244 0
   3.36135912361,    0.30127716627,   -0.80222900629 0
   8.93550254717,    0.25380086444,    1.92636509266 0
   0.55550518257,    0.27936058857,    1.46040775882 0
   3.89449484932,    0.60609659990,    1.95306362563 0
 739.51655856950,    0.50887067741,   -1.12506740287 1
13311.29805425102,    0.26666304837,   -2.25374878679 18
39933.89416275305,    0.11347222968,    3.04863901754 54

DTW 0.7911507876 0.5428201716 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_darwin_trial2cc1d_3harm

@pukpr
Copy link
Author

pukpr commented May 22, 2024

PDO

image

  10.69166905808 :offset:
  -9.10646580709 :bg:
   0.84054666135 :impA:
  -0.21792506012 :impB:
  -1.59733950503 :impC:
  -0.46979656241:delA:
   0.24508596064:delB:
  -0.00000013621:asym:
   0.36310591121:ann1:
  -2.30586880837:ann2:
   0.23067632591:sem1:
  -1.10447177422:sem2:
  -0.00165871705:year:
  -0.35701183884:IR:
  -0.00135243795 :mA:
   0.00135223259 :mP:
  -0.10029998930 :shiftT:
   0.61953937812 :init:
---- Tidal ----
  27.32166155400,    0.01790117102,    5.18972247203,  1,  3538,  4.92043575392418E-04
  27.21222081500,   -0.04465096858,    0.90316327437,  2, -2821,  1.64073093446322E-03
  27.10365333842,    0.04413019984,    5.85091189360,  3,  1442,  2.86165535307149E-03
  13.66083077700,   -0.55961827568,   -2.30356454067,  4, -277,  3.15919149301349E-01
  13.60611040750,   -0.07258264809,    4.51564127160,  5, -827,  9.98077709582378E-03
  13.63341568476,   -0.04171344447,  -11.57444605568,  6, -133,  1.28178306799966E-01
  13.55182666921,   -0.00551318194,    4.77208771049,  7, -489,  1.41740263913067E-03
  13.57891428673,    0.00226423169,    1.88634250009,  8,  75,  1.29555306345175E-03
  26.99594871373,   -0.04579446901,   -3.63281786635,  9, -2106,  2.28268787185689E-03
  27.55454988600,    0.07716556468,   -0.33795415662,  10, -10,  8.57620038125863E-02
  13.77727494300,    0.11373640109,    3.43966597829,  11,  748,  1.34109849025151E-02
  13.71880577217,    0.00255117017,    7.71097937611,  12,  374,  5.38051824950004E-04
  27.09267692660,   -0.04544282608,   -2.93052133698,  13, -2100,  2.27221694417265E-03
---- LTE ----
   0.00000000000 :trend:
   0.00000000000 :accel:
  -0.03143584272 :K0:
  -0.09380226994 :level:
   0.74303296929,    0.39148327933,    1.83776108693 0
   0.32323483006,    0.29741904143,   -0.73143342642 0
   3.03711939005,    0.37643879015,    0.30235420306 0
   6.94848088794,    0.41441873819,    2.80152227276 0
  -0.57322922453,    0.30398138322,    2.83171285964 0
   3.90833379254,    0.76705191438,    2.41426305064 0
 739.51774728029,    0.82716022439,    1.26312992094 1
13311.31945104524,    0.45861932501,   -2.41577570658 18

DTW 0.7712390670 0.3920946649 7 1
PS C:\Users\pp\scratch\drac\run> ..\backup tropAMO_ENSO_forcing_scaled1_pdo_trial2cc1d_2harm

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment