Created
January 5, 2020 19:25
-
-
Save rogeriochaves/939068116c93507c716be2f619bd60d3 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
This file contains bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
Learn more about bidirectional Unicode characters
def calculate_character_probability(character, questions_so_far, answers_so_far): | |
# Prior | |
P_character = 1 / len(characters) | |
# Likelihood | |
P_answers_given_character = 1 | |
P_answers_given_not_character = 1 | |
for question, answer in zip(questions_so_far, answers_so_far): | |
P_answers_given_character *= max( | |
1 - abs(answer - character_answer(character, question)), 0.01) | |
P_answer_not_character = np.mean([1 - abs(answer - character_answer(not_character, question)) | |
for not_character in characters | |
if not_character['name'] != character['name']]) | |
P_answers_given_not_character *= max(P_answer_not_character, 0.01) | |
# Evidence | |
P_answers = P_character * P_answers_given_character + \ | |
(1 - P_character) * P_answers_given_not_character | |
# Bayes Theorem | |
P_character_given_answers = ( | |
P_answers_given_character * P_character) / P_answers | |
return P_character_given_answers | |
def character_answer(character, question): | |
if question in character['answers']: | |
return character['answers'][question] | |
return 0.5 |
Sign up for free
to join this conversation on GitHub.
Already have an account?
Sign in to comment