Created
June 9, 2012 02:24
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likelihood of dice rolls when you roll four six-sided dice, take the top three
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#encoding: utf-8 | |
# http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4086325 | |
# … try to generate a table of how likely it was to get various dice rolls when you rolled 4 6-sided dice and took the top 3. | |
require 'pp' | |
def dice_roll(sides) | |
rand(sides) + 1 | |
end | |
def run_trials(num_trials, num_sides, num_dice, num_low_to_remove) | |
results = Array.new | |
num_trials.times do | |
rolls = (1..num_dice).map do | |
dice_roll(num_sides) | |
end | |
higher_rolls = rolls.sort[num_low_to_remove..-1] | |
results.push higher_rolls | |
end | |
results | |
end | |
def results_string(results) | |
results.map{|result|result.join(" ")}.join("\n") | |
end | |
def count_number_occurrences(results) | |
counts = Hash.new(0) | |
results.each do |result| | |
result.each do |number| | |
counts[number] += 1 | |
end | |
end | |
counts.sort | |
end | |
def inspect_count(count) | |
count.map do |number_count| | |
number = number_count[0] | |
count = number_count[1] | |
"#{number} × #{count}" | |
end.join("\n") | |
end | |
num_trials = 1000000 | |
num_sides = 6 | |
num_dice = 4 | |
num_low_to_remove = 1 | |
results = run_trials(num_trials, num_sides, num_dice, num_low_to_remove) | |
# puts results_string(results) | |
count = count_number_occurrences(results) | |
puts inspect_count(count) |
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1 × 149134 | |
2 × 380883 | |
3 × 532604 | |
4 × 617414 | |
5 × 654096 | |
6 × 665869 |
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