A simple simulation to determine the best way to allocate tablets, failure cards, success cards and delay cards in Tablets of Stone

Tablet-Sim

import random

tablets = 5
chance_dnd = 0.30
chance_delayed = 0.30
chance_arrived = 1.0 - chance_dnd - chance_delayed

runs = 1000

total_failed = 0
total_delayed = 0
total_crossed = 0;
for i in range(runs):
    #work out the chance that all tablets cross
    cross = 0;
    delayed = 0;
    fail = 0;
    for i in range(tablets):
        r = random.random()
        if r >= 0 and r < chance_arrived:
            cross += 1
        elif r >= chance_arrived and r < (chance_arrived + chance_delayed):
            delayed += 1
        else:
            fail += 1
    #print([cross, delayed, fail])
    total_crossed += cross
    total_failed += fail
    total_delayed += delayed
print("Successful, delayed, failed")
print([total_crossed/runs, total_delayed/runs, total_failed/runs])