Published as BIP 103
Last active
September 22, 2023 08:22
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Block size according to technological growth.
From 2014-2019, Cisco data projects 16%/year increase in global fixed bandwidth speed, and 8-11%/year increase in global mobile bandwidth speed (smartphones and tablets).
Fixed:
http://i.imgur.com/wPXnpOc.png
Mobile:
http://i.imgur.com/ECzCjrq.png
Now after headers first and various thin blocks, maybe it's time to forget bandwidth and focus on latency, packet loss and block verification which seem to still be the narrowest bottlenecks.
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The 17.7% figure appears to come from sources like http://rusty.ozlabs.org/?p=493. It's worth noting that most of these metrics aggregate mobile bandwidth and fixed-line bandwidth. As mobile devices' share of total internet usage has been increasing dramatically over the last few years, and since mobile devices are much slower than fixed-line devices, this pushes the estimates down considerably. Examining just fixed-line devices, such as in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_traffic#Global_Internet_traffic, results in estimates closer to 50% per year growth.