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July 7, 2022 20:49
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Horse racing board game (Monte Carlo method analysis)
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// Horse racing board game (Monte Carlo method analysis) | |
// $ cc -O3 -fopenmp -o race race.c | |
// $ ./race | |
// Ref: https://possiblywrong.wordpress.com/2022/07/07/analysis-of-horse-racing-board-game/ | |
// This is free and unencumbered software released into the public domain. | |
#include <stdio.h> | |
#include <stdint.h> | |
#define BAR \ | |
"########################################################################" | |
static int | |
r2d6(uint64_t *s) | |
{ | |
uint32_t r; | |
do r = (*s = *s*0x3243f6a8885a308d + 1) >> 32; | |
while (r > (UINT32_C(0xffffffff) - 4)); // eliminate bias | |
return "CDDEEEFFFFGGGGGHHHHHHIIIIIJJJJKKKLLM"[r%36] - 'A'; | |
} | |
static uint64_t | |
hash(int32_t i) | |
{ | |
uint64_t h = i; | |
h += 1111111111111111111; h ^= h >> 33; | |
h *= 1111111111111111111; h ^= h >> 33; | |
return h; | |
} | |
int | |
main(void) | |
{ | |
static int curve[] = { | |
#if 0 | |
2,3,4,5,6,7,6,5,4,3,2 | |
#else | |
3,6,8,11,14,17,14,11,8,6,3 | |
#endif | |
}; | |
int32_t n = 1L<<24, hist[11] = {0}; | |
#pragma omp parallel for reduction(+:hist) | |
for (int32_t i = 0; i < n; i++) { | |
int horse[11] = {0}; | |
for (uint64_t s = hash(i);;) { | |
int r = r2d6(&s); | |
if (++horse[r-2] == curve[r-2]) { | |
hist[r-2]++; | |
break; | |
} | |
} | |
} | |
int maxi = 0; | |
for (int i = 1; i < 11; i++) { | |
maxi = hist[i] > hist[maxi] ? i : maxi; | |
} | |
for (int i = 0; i < 11; i++) { | |
int len = hist[i] * (sizeof(BAR) - 1.0) / hist[maxi] + 0.5; | |
printf("%.*s\n", len, BAR); | |
} | |
} |
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