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%% Prior and Posterior Predictive, Second Example | |
clear; | |
%% Data | |
k = zeros(4,3); | |
k(1,:) = [0 0 0]; | |
k(2,:) = [1 0 1]; | |
k(3,:) = [1 4 6]; | |
k(4,:) = [2 3 6]; | |
n = [2 4 6] | |
%% Sampling | |
% MCMC Parameters | |
nchains = 2; % How Many Chains? | |
nburnin = 1e2; % How Many Burn-in Samples? | |
nsamples = 1e4; %How Many Recorded Samples? | |
nthin = 1; % How Often is a Sample Recorded? | |
doparallel = 0; % Parallel Option | |
% Assign Matlab Variables to the Observed Nodes | |
datastruct = struct('k',k,'n',n); | |
% Initialize Unobserved Variables | |
for i=1:nchains | |
S.theta = [0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5]; % Intial Value | |
S.alpha = 1; | |
init0(i) = S; | |
end | |
% Use JAGS to Sample | |
tic | |
fprintf( 'Running JAGS ...\n' ); | |
[samples, stats] = matjags( ... | |
datastruct, ... | |
fullfile(pwd, 'modelo.txt'), ... | |
init0, ... | |
'doparallel' , doparallel, ... | |
'nchains', nchains,... | |
'nburnin', nburnin,... | |
'nsamples', nsamples, ... | |
'thin', nthin, ... | |
'monitorparams', {'theta','alpha'}, ... | |
'savejagsoutput' , 1 , ... | |
'verbosity' , 1 , ... | |
'cleanup' , 0 , ... | |
'workingdir' , 'tmpjags' ); | |
toc | |
% Plot Posterior | |
stats.mean.theta | |
stats.mean.alpha |
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model { | |
alpha ~ dunif(0.01,3) | |
for (i in 1:4){ | |
theta[i] ~ dbeta(alpha,alpha) | |
for (j in 1:3){ | |
k[i,j] ~ dbin(theta[i],n[j]) | |
} | |
} | |
} |
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