In this paper Lam et al. propose GraphCast, an ML based method trained directly on reanalysis data. It predicts weather variables for the next 10 day at 0.25°
resolution globally in under 1 minute (on a Google Cloud TPU v4). GraphCast outperforms the most accurate operational deterministic systems on 90% of 1380 verification targets --- and supports better severe event prediction, including tropical cyclone tracking, atmospheric rivers, and extreme temperatures.
ECMWF's IFS runs for less than am hour, every 6 hours, of every day, worldwide making weather forecasts. This is down using NWP, which involves solving the governing equations of weather using supercomputers. The success of NWP lies in rigorous and ongoing research. NWP scales to greater accuracy with greater computational resources. The top deterministic operational system in the world is ECMWF's HRES, a configuration of IFS that produces global 10-day forecasts at 0.1° latitude and longitude resolution, in around an hour