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Created August 15, 2013 06:47
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<!DOCTYPE html>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="http://cmx.io/v/0.1/cmx.css">
<script src="http://cmx.io/v/0.1/cmx.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<style>.cmx-user-scene4 .cmx-text-border .cmx-path {stroke: orange}
@font-face {
font-family: "xkcd";
src: url('http://antiyawn.com/uploads/Humor-Sans.ttf');
}
body {
font-family: "xkcd", sans-serif;
font-size: 22px;
color: #333;
text-align: center;
}
text.title {
font-size: 30px;
}
path {
fill: none;
stroke-width: 2.5px;
stroke-linecap: round;
stroke-linejoin: round;
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path.axis {
stroke: black;
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path.bgline {
stroke: white;
stroke-width: 6px;
}
text.tick {
font-size: 18px;
}
.cmx-scene-emphasis text { font-size: 18px; }
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<body>
<div style="max-width:1900px; -webkit-transform:rotate(0deg)">
<scene height="440" width="300" id="scene1">
<actor t="translate(85,23) rotate(-2)" pose="-5,9|1,117|-5,99|-5,89|-5,79|-5,59|-10,34|-15,9|0,34|5,9|-12,79|-12,59|0,79|5,59">
<bubble t="translate(9,11)" pose="0,0|-20,10|-81,49|15,60|-19,142|-63,140">
<tspan x="0" y="0em">I plotted the</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="1em">likelihood that</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="2em">a lab meeting</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="3em">will happen as</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="4em">a function of</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="5em">time before</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="6em">the meeting</tspan>
</bubble>
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<bubble t="translate(-2,-9)" pose="0,0|-14,24|-36,69|27,28|8,72|-8,79">
<tspan x="0" y="0em">neat</tspan>
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d="M83.58316509876643,320.8333333333333L83.55911971597925,323.8333333333333L83.53514833795792,326.8333333333333"></path><text class="x tick" text-anchor="middle" x="84.16399999999999" y="325.6333333333333" dx="-1.5em" dy="0.75em" transform="rotate(-45 84.16399999999999 325.6333333333333)">10 min</text><path class="axis" d="M54.82643105327472,320.8333333333333L54.900207403111764,323.8333333333333L54.97375669058333,326.8333333333333"></path><text class="x tick" text-anchor="middle" x="54.061" y="325.6333333333333" dx="-1.5em" dy="0.75em" transform="rotate(-45 54.061 325.6333333333333)">5 min</text><path class="axis" d="M300,262.65826613997416L303,262.6553897962448L306,262.65252230507326"></path><text class="y tick" text-anchor="left" y="262.5" x="309.8" dy="0.25em">0.2</text><path class="axis" d="M300,223.7319194273104L303,223.76098078683543L306,223.78995270386227"></path><text class="y tick" text-anchor="left" y="223.61208333333335" x="309.8" dy="0.25em">0.33333</text><path class="axis" 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<tspan x="0" y="-1em">Your plot has got me very curious...</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="1em">There is the standard failure analysis,</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="2em">where, given a constant failure rate</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="3em">a probability of failure occuring within a</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="4em">time t from now is equal to 1-e^(-λt),</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="5em">where λ defines the failure rate.</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="7em">So, it's basically a cumulative exponential </tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="8em">distribution. However, the lab meeting</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="9em">distribution is not exponential - it's</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="10em">logarithmic!</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="12em">This means that the instantaneous probability</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="13em">of cancellation is proportional to 1/t, so it</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="14em">rushes to infinity as the last seconds before</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="15em">the lab meeting are running out!</tspan>
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<scene height="440" width="350" id="scene3">
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<tspan x="0" y="1em" style="font-size:18px;">Basically it means that</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="2em" style="font-size:18px;">every lab meeting that</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="3em" style="font-size:18px;">we have is a little miracle</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="5em" style="font-size:18px;">a result of zero</tspan>
<tspan x="0" y="6em" style="font-size:18px;">multiplied by infinity!</tspan>
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</actor>
</scene>
</div></body>
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