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Simple rejection sampling based probabilistic programming library. An approximation of church.
(ns hacklheber.core)
(defn flip
"A function which returns true or false randomly. Can optionally be
supplied a number for a bias."
([] (> 0.5 (rand)))
([p] (> p (rand))))
(defn- memo-bangs
"If a variable is bound with a bang, then it will be memoized."
[[k v]]
(if (= \! (last (name k)))
[k `(memoize ~v)]
[k v]))
(defn- find-clause
"Given a list of clauses and a key, this finds the body of the first
clause which has the same keyword as the given key."
[clauses key]
(->> clauses
(filter (fn [[k v]] (= key k)))
first
second))
(defmacro query-by-rejection
"Query a distribution via rejection. See further below for
examples."
[[& bindings] & body-expr]
(let [{clauses# true pairs# false} (group-by (comp keyword? first)
(partition-all 2 bindings))
where# (or (find-clause clauses# :where)
'(fn [] true))
memobound# (->> (find-clause clauses# :memobound)
(mapcat (juxt identity (fn [v] `(memoize ~v))))
vec)
pairs# (vec (mapcat memo-bangs pairs#))]
`(loop []
(let [[cond# result#] (binding ~memobound#
(let [~@pairs# cond# ~where#]
[cond# (when cond# (do ~@body-expr))]))]
(if cond#
result#
(recur))))))
(defn normalized-frequencies
"Takes in a collection and computes the normalizied frequenicies of
elements in the colleciton."
[col]
(let [freqs (frequencies col)
count (reduce + (map second freqs))
normalized (for [[k v] freqs] [k (float (/ v count))])]
(into {} normalized)))
(defmacro sample-by-rejection
"Takes in a number n and the body for a query-by-rejection. Executes
the specified query n times."
[n & body]
`(for [i# (range ~n)]
(query-by-rejection ~@body)))
;;Example queries taken from Church
;;http://projects.csail.mit.edu/church/wiki/Conditioning
(defn ^{:dynamic true
:doc "Taken from the Church examples."}
eye-color
[person]
(rand-nth '(blue green brown)))
;;Persistent randomized functions
(query-by-rejection
[bob-1 (eye-color :bob)
alice-1 (eye-color :alice)
bob-2 (eye-color :bob)
:where (flip 0.01)
:memobound [eye-color]]
[bob-1 alice-1 bob-2])
;;A complex query
(defn complex-samples []
(sample-by-rejection
10000
[works-in-hospital (flip 0.01)
smokes (flip 0.2)
lung-cancer (or (flip 0.01)
(and smokes (flip 0.02)))
TB (or (flip 0.005)
(and works-in-hospital (flip 0.01)))
cold (or (flip 0.2)
(and works-in-hospital (flip 0.25)))
stomach-flu (flip 0.1)
other (flip 0.1)
cough (or (and cold (flip 0.5))
(and lung-cancer (flip 0.3))
(and TB (flip 0.7))
(and other (flip 0.01)))
fever (or (and cold (flip 0.3))
(and stomach-flu (flip 0.5))
(and TB (flip 0.2))
(and other (flip 0.01)))
chest-pain (or (and lung-cancer (flip 0.4))
(and TB (flip 0.5))
(and other( flip 0.01)))
shortness-of-breath (or (and lung-cancer (flip 0.4))
(and TB (flip 0.5))
(and other (flip 0.01)))
:where (and cough chest-pain shortness-of-breath)]
(list lung-cancer TB)))
(defn ^{:dynamic true} strength
[person]
(if (flip) 10 5))
(defn lazy
[person]
(flip (/ 1 3)))
(defn contribution
[person]
(if (lazy person)
(/ (strength person) 2)
(strength person)))
(defn total-pulling
[team]
(->> team
(map contribution)
(reduce +)))
(defn winner [team1 team2]
(if (< (total-pulling team1) (total-pulling team2))
'team2 'team1))
;;Using persistent values defined outside the query
(defn tug-of-war-sample []
(sample-by-rejection
10000
[:memobound [strength]
:where (and (= 'team1 (winner '(bob mary) '(tom sue)))
(= 'team1 (winner '(bob sue) '(tom jim))))]
(strength 'bob)))
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