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This is the gist of the book "The Inevitable" by Kevin Kelly
We have seen technology evolve at a rapid pace in last 3 decades. From a point where computers were accessible to few to a world where they
are everywhere and connected. Internet moving from a point of rarity to ubiquity. This book by Kevin Kelly describes a dozen of inevitable
technological forces that have governed these changes and will continue to shape the next 30 years. He has captured their change into 12
verbs, such as accessing, tracking, and sharing. To be more accurate, these are not just verbs, but present participles, the grammatical
form that conveys continuous action. These forces are accelerating actions. Essentially these are getting amplified as we are changing
as a society. These forces are Becoming, Cognifying, Flowing, Screening, Accessing, Sharing, Filtering, Remixing, Interacting, Tracking,
Questioning, and then Beginning.
Before we move to the actual forces, we should have a note around the change itself. So, here it is.
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Broadly, the claim is that we have changed a lot in past three decade and we will continue to do so. That is inevitable. Also there are
trends that are governing these changes and they will also continue. What exact shape the change is going to take is upto the imagination
of people. Banning the inevitable usually backfires. Prohibition is at best temporary, and in the long counterproductive.It may be against
our initial impulse, but we should embrace the perpetual remixing of these technologies. Only by working with these technologies, rather
than trying to thwart them, can we gain the best of what they have to offer.
We are morphing so fast that our ability to invent new things outpaces the rate we can civilize them. We need to civilize and tame new
inventions in their particulars. But we can do that only with deep engagement, firsthand experience, and a vigilant acceptance. We can
and should regulate Uber-like taxi services, as an example, but we can’t and shouldn’t attempt to prohibit the inevitable decentralization
of services. These technologies are not going away.
Constant flux means more than simply “things will be different.” It means processes— the engines of flux— are now more important than
products. Our greatest invention in the past 200 years was not a particular gadget or tool but the invention of the scientific process
itself. Once we invented the scientific method, we could immediately create thousands of other amazing things we could have never
discovered any other way. it. Get the ongoing process right and it will keep generating ongoing benefits. In our new era, processes
trump products. This shift toward processes also means ceaseless change is the fate for everything we make. Products will become
services and processes.
Also, please note that not all of this shift will be welcomed. Established industries will topple because their old business models
no longer work. Entire occupations will disappear, together with some people’s livelihoods. New occupations will be born and they will
prosper unequally, causing envy and inequality. The continuation and extension of the trends I outline will challenge current legal
assumptions and tread on the edge of outlaw— a hurdle for law-abiding citizens. By its nature, digital network technology rattles
international borders because it is borderless. There will be heartbreak, conflict, and confusion in addition to incredible benefits.
1. Becoming
------------
Everything, without exception, requires additional energy and order to maintain itself. Existence, it seems, is chiefly maintenance.
This holds true for software and technology as well.Technological life in the future will be a series of endless upgrades.
And the rate of graduations is accelerating. Features shift, defaults disappear, menus morph. All of us— every one of us— will be
endless newbies in the future simply trying to keep up. Here’s why: First, most of the important technologies that will dominate life
30 years from now have not yet been invented, so naturally you’ll be a newbie to them. Second, because the new technology requires
endless upgrades, you will remain in the newbie state. Third, because the cycle of obsolescence is accelerating (the average lifespan
of a phone app is a mere 30 days!), you won’t have time to master anything before it is displaced, so you will remain in the newbie
mode forever. Endless Newbie is the new default for everyone, no matter your age or experience.
If we are honest, we must admit that one aspect of the ceaseless upgrades and eternal becoming of the technium is to make holes in our
heart. Some people see this ever-neediness as a debasement, a lowering of human nobility, the source of our continual discontentment.
But we can celebrate the never-ending discontentment that technology brings. This discontent is the trigger for our ingenuity and growth.
A world without discomfort is utopia. But it is also stagnant. A world perfectly fair in some dimensions would be horribly unfair in others.
A utopia has no problems to solve, but therefore no opportunities either. Dystopias, their dark opposites, are a lot more entertaining.
They are also much easier to envision. However, neither dystopia nor utopia is our destination. Rather, technology is taking us to protopia.
More accurately, we have already arrived in protopia. Protopia is a state of becoming, rather than a destination. It is a process. In the
protopian mode, things are better today than they were yesterday, although only a little better. It is incremental improvement or mild
progress. The “pro” in protopian stems from the notions of process and progress. This subtle progress is not dramatic, not exciting.
It is easy to miss because a protopia generates almost as many new problems as new benefits. The problems of today were caused by
yesterday’s technological successes, and the technological solutions to today’s problems will cause the problems of tomorrow.
This circular expansion of both problems and solutions hides a steady accumulation of small net benefits over time. We don’t need to
be blind to this continuous process. The rate of change in recent times has been unprecedented, which caught us off guard.
But now we know: We are, and will remain, perpetual newbies. We need to believe in improbable things more often. Everything is in flux,
and the new forms will be an uncomfortable remix of the old. With effort and imagination we can learn to discern what’s ahead more clearly,
without blinders.
Becoming of internet
--------------------
In case of internet everyone could see that this will stay but the degree to which it will be useful was questionable. Because creating
content for this was expensive without clear monetization strategy. At that time everyone missed the big story. Neither old ABC nor
startup Yahoo! created the content for 5,000 web channels. Instead billions of users created the content for all the other users.
There weren’t 5,000 channels but 500 million channels, all customer generated. The disruption ABC could not imagine was that this
“internet stuff” enabled the formerly dismissed passive consumers to become active creators. The revolution launched by the web was only
marginally about hypertext and human knowledge. At its heart was a new kind of participation that has since developed into an emerging
culture based on sharing. And the ways of “sharing” enabled by hyperlinks are now creating a new type of thinking— part human and part
machine— found nowhere else on the planet or in history. The web has unleashed a new becoming.
But the web in 2050 won’t be a better web, just as the first version of the web was not better TV with more channels. It will have become
something new, as different from the web today as the first web was from TV.
How the Internet will change:
- Everything will be searchable (the content within FB or apps or events in a game, all will be searchable; which is the not the case right now)
- It will extend to other physical objects both manufactured and natural. A tiny, almost free chip embedded into products will connect them to the web
and integrate their data.
- It will also expand in time. Today’s web is remarkably ignorant of the past. It may supply you with a live webcam stream of Tahrir Square in Egypt,
but accessing that square a year ago is nearly impossible. Viewing an earlier version of a typical website is not easy, but in 30 years
we’ll have time sliders enabling us to see any past version. Just as your phone’s navigation directions through a city are improved by
including previous days, weeks, and months of traffic patterns, so the web of 2050 will be informed by the context of the past.
- And the web will slide into the future as well. It will predict our next move and guide us. Internet would not be about browing and we
looking for things but it will understand what we are going to need and offer assistance . The web will more and more resemble a presence
that you relate to rather than a place— the famous cyberspace of the 1980s— that you journey to. It will be a low-level constant presence
like electricity: always around us, always on, and subterranean. By 2050 we’ll come to think of the web as an ever-present type of
conversation.
The last 30 years has created a marvelous starting point, a solid platform to build truly great things. However the coolest stuff has
not been invented yet — although this new greatness will not be more of the same-same that exists today. It will not be merely “better,”
it will different, beyond, and other. Today truly is a wide-open frontier. We are all becoming. It is the best time ever in human history
to begin. You are not late.
@mcdanielmark473
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mcdanielmark473 commented Jun 8, 2021

Thanks to the author for your deep thoughts. I believe that technology is currently evolving too fast and people do not have time to adapt to it properly. I am also confused by the question of security and control over technology, whether a person continues to control the situation. I had an assignment on this topic in college, but then I knew little about it. I turned to the writingbros site for help in writing the work. After receiving the finished work, I became interested in this topic and realized how important it is. At times it is scary how technology will change our lives in 20-30 years.

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