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@tophtucker
Last active December 10, 2016 09:18
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Trump support vs. distance from sea, final
license: gpl-3.0

Based on @mbostock’s Coastal Graph Distance map. So the major caveat is that it measures distance by how many counties away you are from a coastal county, not by actual physical as-the-crow-flies distance; notice how the pulsing isoline races across the county-sparse West and crawls along the county-dense East.

Using @mkearney’s election result data. Inspired by Lorcan’s tweet positing a positive correlation between distance from the sea and support for Donald Trump, which appeared weak in the final election. An update of my earlier block based on the Republican primary.

County-level Alaska data is missing and it’s not clear that it’s anywhere (not NYT, not Guardian) and I’m not super inclined to try to read all those pdfs and map the corresponding precincts to counties and whatever from the Alaska elections website because it’s 4 a.m. and other reasons.

Also I had to hand-enter Oglala Lakota County née Shannon County, fips code 46113, from the NYT results. I should either figure out why it’s missing from that Github repo or add it? Note to self. Whatever it doesn’t matter anymore ha ha h hah h aha

We can make this file beautiful and searchable if this error is corrected: No tabs found in this TSV file in line 0.
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53061
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<!DOCTYPE html>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<style>
body {
width: 960px;
margin: 0;
position: relative;
font-size: 14px;
font-family: sans-serif;
text-transform: uppercase;
}
.counties {
fill: #ccc;
}
.county-borders {
fill: none;
/*stroke: #ccc;
stroke-width: .5px;*/
stroke-linejoin: round;
stroke-linecap: round;
}
.labels text {
fill: black;
}
button {
position: absolute;
font-size: 14px;
font-family: sans-serif;
text-transform: uppercase;
}
path.trendline {
stroke-width: 2;
stroke: black;
}
</style>
<body>
<script src="//d3js.org/d3.v4.min.js"></script>
<script src="//d3js.org/topojson.v1.min.js"></script>
<script src="//d3js.org/queue.v1.min.js"></script>
<script>
var width = 960,
height = 500;
var projection = d3.geoAlbersUsa()
.translate([width / 2, height / 2]);
var path = d3.geoPath()
.projection(projection);
var hue = d3.scaleLinear()
.domain([0,1])
.range([180,360])
.clamp(true);
var saturation = d3.scaleLinear()
.domain([0,1])
.range([0,100])
.clamp(true);
var lightness = d3.scaleLinear()
.domain([0,9])
.range([80,20])
.clamp(true);
var colorScale = d3.scaleLinear()
.domain([0,1])
.range(['blue', 'red'])
var color = function(d) {
return d.trumpFraction !== null ? colorScale(d.trumpFraction) : 'none'
}
var svg = d3.select("body").append("svg")
.attr("width", width)
.attr("height", height);
queue()
.defer(d3.json, "us.json")
.defer(d3.tsv, "coastal-counties.tsv")
.defer(d3.tsv, "results.tsv", parseElection)
.await(ready);
function ready(error, us, coastalsArray, election) {
if (error) throw error;
var counties = topojson.feature(us, us.objects.counties),
neighbors = topojson.neighbors(us.objects.counties.geometries),
coastals = d3.set(coastalsArray.map(function(d) { return d.id; })),
nexts = [],
nexts2 = [],
distance = 0;
counties.features.forEach(function(county, i) {
if (coastals.has(county.id)) nexts.push(county);
county.distance = Infinity;
county.neighbors = neighbors[i].map(function(j) { return counties.features[j]; });
// trump!
var countyResults = election.filter(function(d) {
return d.fips === county.id;
});
var hillary = countyResults.filter(function(d) {
return d.cand == "Hillary Clinton"
})[0]
var trump = countyResults.filter(function(d) {
return d.cand == "Donald Trump"
})[0]
if(hillary && trump) {
county.trumpFraction = trump.votes / (hillary.votes + trump.votes);
} else {
county.trumpFraction = null;
}
// centroid
county.centroid = path.centroid(county);
});
while (nexts.length) {
nexts.forEach(function(county) {
if (county.distance > distance) {
county.distance = distance;
county.neighbors.forEach(function(neighbor) { nexts2.push(neighbor); });
}
});
nexts = nexts2, nexts2 = [], ++distance;
}
var county = svg.append("g")
.attr("class", "counties")
.selectAll("path")
.data(counties.features)
.enter().append("path")
.style("fill", color)
.attr("d", path);
svg.append("path")
.attr("class", "county-borders")
.datum(topojson.mesh(us, us.objects.counties, function(a, b) { return a !== b; }))
.attr("d", path);
// SCATTERING
var topMargin = 50;
var sideMargin = 100;
var distanceScale = d3.scaleLinear()
.domain(d3.extent(counties.features, function(d) { return d.distance; }))
.range([0 + sideMargin, width - sideMargin]);
var trumpScale = d3.scaleLinear()
.domain([0,1])
.range([height - topMargin, 0 + topMargin]);
var labels = svg.append('g')
.classed('labels', true)
.style('opacity', 0);
labels.append('text')
.attr('x', width/2)
.attr('y', 0)
.text('100% for Trump')
.style('text-anchor', 'middle')
.attr('dy', '2em');
labels.append('text')
.attr('x', width/2)
.attr('y', height)
.text('100% for Clinton')
.style('text-anchor', 'middle')
.attr('dy', '-2em');
labels.append('text')
.attr('x', 0)
.attr('y', height/2)
.text('Coastal')
.style('text-anchor', 'beginning')
.attr('dx', '1em');
labels.append('text')
.attr('x', width)
.attr('y', height/2)
.text('Interior')
.style('text-anchor', 'end')
.attr('dx', '-1em');
var geoButton = d3.select('body').append('button')
.style('top', '1em')
.style('left', '1em')
.text("Geographify")
.on('click', geographify);
var scatButton = d3.select('body').append('button')
.style('top', '1em')
.style('right', '1em')
.text("Scatterify")
.on('click', scatterify);
// TRENDLINE
// http://bl.ocks.org/benvandyke/8459843
// get the x and y values for least squares
var eligibleCounties = counties.features.filter(function(d) { return d.trumpFraction !== null; });
var xSeries = eligibleCounties.map(function(d) { return d.distance; });
var ySeries = eligibleCounties.map(function(d) { return d.trumpFraction; });
var leastSquaresCoeff = leastSquares(xSeries, ySeries);
var trendlineData = [
[0, leastSquaresCoeff.intercept],
[d3.max(eligibleCounties, function(d) { return d.distance}), leastSquaresCoeff.intercept + d3.max(eligibleCounties, function(d) { return d.distance}) * leastSquaresCoeff.slope]
];
var trendlinePath = d3.line()
.x(function(d) { return distanceScale(d[0]); })
.y(function(d) { return trumpScale(d[1]); });
var trendline = svg.append("path")
.classed("trendline", true)
.style('opacity', 0)
.datum(trendlineData)
.attr('d', trendlinePath);
labels.append("text")
.attr('x', width)
.attr('y', height)
.attr('dx', '-1em')
.attr('dy', '-2em')
.text('R² = ' + Math.round(leastSquaresCoeff.rSquare * 1000)/1000)
.style('text-anchor', 'end');
// FLASHING LOL
d3.timer(function(t) {
county
.style('opacity', d => .2 + .4*(Math.sin(t/500 - d.distance/4)+1))
})
// START WITH A TRANSITION
var transitionDuration = 3000
setTimeout(scatterify, 3000)
function scatterify() {
county.transition()
.duration(transitionDuration)
.attr("transform", function(d) {
var x = distanceScale(d.distance) - d.centroid[0];
var y = trumpScale(d.trumpFraction) - d.centroid[1];
return "translate("+x+","+y+")";
})
labels.transition()
.duration(transitionDuration)
.style('opacity', 1);
trendline.transition()
.duration(transitionDuration)
.style('opacity', 1);
scatButton.attr('disabled', 'disabled');
geoButton.attr('disabled', null);
}
function geographify() {
county.transition()
.duration(transitionDuration)
.attr("transform", function(d) {
return "translate("+0+","+0+")";
});
labels.transition()
.duration(transitionDuration)
.style('opacity', 0);
trendline.transition()
.duration(transitionDuration)
.style('opacity', 0);
scatButton.attr('disabled', null);
geoButton.attr('disabled', 'disabled');
}
}
function parseElection (d) {
if((d.cand !== "Donald Trump" && d.cand !== "Hillary Clinton") || isNaN(d.fips)) {
return null;
}
return {
fips: parseInt(d.fips),
cand: d.cand,
votes: parseInt(d.votes)
};
}
// returns slope, intercept and r-square of the line
// from http://bl.ocks.org/benvandyke/8459843
function leastSquares(xSeries, ySeries) {
var reduceSumFunc = function(prev, cur) { return prev + cur; };
var xBar = xSeries.reduce(reduceSumFunc) * 1.0 / xSeries.length;
var yBar = ySeries.reduce(reduceSumFunc) * 1.0 / ySeries.length;
var ssXX = xSeries.map(function(d) { return Math.pow(d - xBar, 2); })
.reduce(reduceSumFunc);
var ssYY = ySeries.map(function(d) { return Math.pow(d - yBar, 2); })
.reduce(reduceSumFunc);
var ssXY = xSeries.map(function(d, i) { return (d - xBar) * (ySeries[i] - yBar); })
.reduce(reduceSumFunc);
var slope = ssXY / ssXX;
var intercept = yBar - (xBar * slope);
var rSquare = Math.pow(ssXY, 2) / (ssXX * ssYY);
return {
slope: slope,
intercept: intercept,
rSquare: rSquare
};
}
</script>
fips cand votes
6037 Hillary Clinton 1654626
6037 Donald Trump 542591
17031 Hillary Clinton 1528582
17031 Donald Trump 440213
48201 Hillary Clinton 706471
48201 Donald Trump 544960
4013 Donald Trump 590465
4013 Hillary Clinton 549040
12086 Hillary Clinton 623006
12086 Donald Trump 333666
53033 Hillary Clinton 638033
53033 Donald Trump 191806
6059 Hillary Clinton 413982
6059 Donald Trump 371268
12011 Hillary Clinton 546956
12011 Donald Trump 258521
26163 Hillary Clinton 517022
26163 Donald Trump 228313
6073 Hillary Clinton 429338
6073 Donald Trump 298521
25017 Hillary Clinton 508919
25017 Donald Trump 216163
32003 Hillary Clinton 401068
32003 Donald Trump 319571
48113 Hillary Clinton 458845
48113 Donald Trump 261865
36047 Hillary Clinton 595086
36047 Donald Trump 133653
42101 Hillary Clinton 560542
42101 Donald Trump 105418
27053 Hillary Clinton 429283
27053 Donald Trump 191768
26125 Hillary Clinton 342976
26125 Donald Trump 289127
48439 Donald Trump 345683
48439 Hillary Clinton 288001
12099 Hillary Clinton 371411
12099 Donald Trump 270762
42003 Hillary Clinton 363017
42003 Donald Trump 257488
36081 Hillary Clinton 473389
36081 Donald Trump 138550
36103 Donald Trump 328403
36103 Hillary Clinton 276953
36059 Hillary Clinton 307326
36059 Donald Trump 275479
12057 Hillary Clinton 306422
12057 Donald Trump 265928
36061 Hillary Clinton 515481
36061 Donald Trump 58935
48029 Hillary Clinton 319191
48029 Donald Trump 240161
39035 Hillary Clinton 383974
39035 Donald Trump 179894
39049 Hillary Clinton 335961
39049 Donald Trump 192328
6085 Hillary Clinton 406049
6085 Donald Trump 116196
12095 Hillary Clinton 329579
12095 Donald Trump 195091
51059 Hillary Clinton 354485
51059 Donald Trump 157837
6065 Hillary Clinton 253215
6065 Donald Trump 240013
37183 Hillary Clinton 298353
37183 Donald Trump 193607
29189 Hillary Clinton 280866
29189 Donald Trump 199081
6071 Hillary Clinton 258409
6071 Donald Trump 214698
12103 Donald Trump 238746
12103 Hillary Clinton 233327
48453 Hillary Clinton 306475
48453 Donald Trump 126750
37119 Hillary Clinton 292258
37119 Donald Trump 154303
55079 Hillary Clinton 288986
55079 Donald Trump 126091
12031 Donald Trump 210061
12031 Hillary Clinton 203627
42091 Hillary Clinton 251063
42091 Donald Trump 160803
6001 Hillary Clinton 337524
6001 Donald Trump 64010
26099 Donald Trump 224589
26099 Hillary Clinton 176238
17043 Hillary Clinton 222499
17043 Donald Trump 164355
9001 Hillary Clinton 238723
9001 Donald Trump 155457
24031 Hillary Clinton 309761
24031 Donald Trump 82985
13121 Hillary Clinton 281875
13121 Donald Trump 110372
9003 Hillary Clinton 233789
9003 Donald Trump 147912
39061 Hillary Clinton 207587
39061 Donald Trump 169972
34003 Hillary Clinton 209251
34003 Donald Trump 163220
36029 Hillary Clinton 192065
36029 Donald Trump 173817
25027 Hillary Clinton 197126
25027 Donald Trump 157138
36119 Hillary Clinton 245670
36119 Donald Trump 121643
25009 Hillary Clinton 220027
25009 Donald Trump 135405
9009 Hillary Clinton 203601
9009 Donald Trump 158373
6067 Hillary Clinton 217211
6067 Donald Trump 133829
18097 Hillary Clinton 212676
18097 Donald Trump 130228
4019 Hillary Clinton 195649
4019 Donald Trump 147019
36005 Hillary Clinton 318403
36005 Donald Trump 34424
25021 Hillary Clinton 219129
25021 Donald Trump 119171
41051 Hillary Clinton 271754
41051 Donald Trump 63055
48085 Donald Trump 200395
48085 Hillary Clinton 139837
21111 Hillary Clinton 190824
21111 Donald Trump 143758
24033 Hillary Clinton 313627
24033 Donald Trump 29290
42017 Hillary Clinton 165861
42017 Donald Trump 163873
6013 Hillary Clinton 231968
6013 Donald Trump 87211
24005 Hillary Clinton 189437
24005 Donald Trump 131009
47157 Hillary Clinton 206640
47157 Donald Trump 114948
13067 Hillary Clinton 159416
13067 Donald Trump 152602
12071 Donald Trump 191141
12071 Hillary Clinton 124725
13135 Hillary Clinton 165063
13135 Donald Trump 146463
36055 Hillary Clinton 174063
36055 Donald Trump 128871
12009 Donald Trump 181620
12009 Hillary Clinton 119525
8041 Donald Trump 176506
8041 Hillary Clinton 105807
34025 Donald Trump 165305
34025 Hillary Clinton 135825
8059 Hillary Clinton 151885
8059 Donald Trump 130233
26081 Donald Trump 147959
26081 Hillary Clinton 138567
53061 Hillary Clinton 165740
53061 Donald Trump 114775
55025 Hillary Clinton 217506
55025 Donald Trump 71270
25025 Hillary Clinton 241212
25025 Donald Trump 50042
34013 Hillary Clinton 231031
34013 Donald Trump 62059
53053 Hillary Clinton 148918
53053 Donald Trump 125964
13089 Hillary Clinton 239131
13089 Donald Trump 47531
29095 Hillary Clinton 163723
29095 Donald Trump 114777
17097 Hillary Clinton 168186
17097 Donald Trump 108608
48121 Donald Trump 169175
48121 Hillary Clinton 110000
17197 Hillary Clinton 146230
17197 Donald Trump 129726
1073 Hillary Clinton 151581
1073 Donald Trump 130614
15003 Hillary Clinton 175634
15003 Donald Trump 90296
42045 Hillary Clinton 169169
42045 Donald Trump 106559
12105 Donald Trump 157216
12105 Hillary Clinton 117182
34023 Hillary Clinton 164887
34023 Donald Trump 108981
49035 Hillary Clinton 126702
49035 Donald Trump 91375
8005 Hillary Clinton 148365
8005 Donald Trump 109638
11001 Hillary Clinton 260223
11001 Donald Trump 11553
6075 Hillary Clinton 238772
6075 Donald Trump 27633
20091 Donald Trump 133907
20091 Hillary Clinton 126324
40109 Donald Trump 141429
40109 Hillary Clinton 112661
35001 Hillary Clinton 141960
35001 Donald Trump 93874
27123 Hillary Clinton 176929
27123 Donald Trump 70778
42029 Hillary Clinton 140188
42029 Donald Trump 115582
25023 Hillary Clinton 133828
25023 Donald Trump 114722
10003 Hillary Clinton 162905
10003 Donald Trump 85507
48157 Hillary Clinton 134475
48157 Donald Trump 117212
12127 Donald Trump 142763
12127 Hillary Clinton 108793
34029 Donald Trump 170103
34029 Hillary Clinton 81845
6111 Hillary Clinton 143095
6111 Donald Trump 101351
37081 Hillary Clinton 147949
37081 Donald Trump 97461
39153 Hillary Clinton 129922
39153 Donald Trump 109531
39113 Donald Trump 120766
39113 Hillary Clinton 117661
34027 Donald Trump 125376
34027 Hillary Clinton 114437
2000 Donald Trump 130415
2000 Hillary Clinton 93007
40143 Donald Trump 143985
40143 Hillary Clinton 87663
47037 Hillary Clinton 148473
47037 Donald Trump 84365
25005 Hillary Clinton 127619
25005 Donald Trump 104775
24003 Hillary Clinton 116074
24003 Donald Trump 114509
44007 Hillary Clinton 141597
44007 Donald Trump 90321
12101 Donald Trump 141943
12101 Hillary Clinton 89998
42071 Donald Trump 137145
42071 Hillary Clinton 90066
55133 Donald Trump 145519
55133 Hillary Clinton 79199
8031 Hillary Clinton 174611
8031 Donald Trump 43637
41067 Hillary Clinton 137818
41067 Donald Trump 75903
27037 Hillary Clinton 110251
27037 Donald Trump 99624
12115 Donald Trump 124098
12115 Hillary Clinton 97676
19153 Hillary Clinton 119671
19153 Donald Trump 93421
12117 Donald Trump 109265
12117 Hillary Clinton 105611
34007 Hillary Clinton 142375
34007 Donald Trump 71020
31055 Hillary Clinton 105207
31055 Donald Trump 102151
34039 Hillary Clinton 145412
34039 Donald Trump 67582
6081 Hillary Clinton 163084
6081 Donald Trump 40809
45045 Donald Trump 125595
45045 Hillary Clinton 73338
48141 Hillary Clinton 145509
48141 Donald Trump 54567
33011 Donald Trump 99873
33011 Hillary Clinton 99348
32031 Hillary Clinton 97032
32031 Donald Trump 94529
24510 Hillary Clinton 178562
24510 Donald Trump 22726
42133 Donald Trump 126933
42133 Hillary Clinton 67428
48339 Donald Trump 150188
48339 Hillary Clinton 45744
6019 Hillary Clinton 98103
6019 Donald Trump 94005
53063 Donald Trump 100669
53063 Hillary Clinton 83941
34017 Hillary Clinton 149980
34017 Donald Trump 45615
48491 Donald Trump 104029
48491 Hillary Clinton 84252
18089 Hillary Clinton 116896
18089 Donald Trump 75565
25013 Hillary Clinton 110313
25013 Donald Trump 78230
29183 Donald Trump 120899
29183 Hillary Clinton 68225
22033 Hillary Clinton 102711
22033 Donald Trump 84620
26049 Hillary Clinton 102744
26049 Donald Trump 84174
16001 Donald Trump 93748
16001 Hillary Clinton 75676
34005 Hillary Clinton 108361
34005 Donald Trump 79539
8069 Hillary Clinton 92170
8069 Donald Trump 82624
17089 Hillary Clinton 99389
17089 Donald Trump 82087
36067 Hillary Clinton 102915
36067 Donald Trump 78277
39095 Hillary Clinton 107363
39095 Donald Trump 74102
53011 Hillary Clinton 88507
53011 Donald Trump 88266
34031 Hillary Clinton 112608
34031 Donald Trump 71488
26161 Hillary Clinton 128025
26161 Donald Trump 50335
27003 Donald Trump 93341
27003 Hillary Clinton 75499
8035 Donald Trump 100178
8035 Hillary Clinton 67045
41005 Hillary Clinton 90187
41005 Donald Trump 79062
42129 Donald Trump 116427
42129 Hillary Clinton 59506
22051 Donald Trump 100292
22051 Hillary Clinton 73540
41039 Hillary Clinton 100497
41039 Donald Trump 66218
20173 Donald Trump 101319
20173 Hillary Clinton 66716
51107 Hillary Clinton 99909
51107 Donald Trump 69633
47093 Donald Trump 105724
47093 Hillary Clinton 62861
33015 Donald Trump 90447
33015 Hillary Clinton 79994
12081 Donald Trump 101681
12081 Hillary Clinton 71066
8013 Hillary Clinton 124715
8013 Donald Trump 38766
42011 Donald Trump 93094
42011 Hillary Clinton 75169
45019 Hillary Clinton 89048
45019 Donald Trump 75233
51041 Donald Trump 84938
51041 Hillary Clinton 80993
8001 Hillary Clinton 86471
8001 Donald Trump 73807
12083 Donald Trump 107710
12083 Hillary Clinton 61958
48215 Hillary Clinton 118739
48215 Donald Trump 48608
37067 Hillary Clinton 92488
37067 Donald Trump 74793
51810 Donald Trump 84389
51810 Hillary Clinton 76744
23005 Hillary Clinton 102935
23005 Donald Trump 57697
39151 Donald Trump 96345
39151 Hillary Clinton 66581
12021 Donald Trump 105297
12021 Hillary Clinton 60941
12069 Donald Trump 101888
12069 Hillary Clinton 62597
45079 Hillary Clinton 108401
45079 Donald Trump 52753
6029 Donald Trump 95064
6029 Hillary Clinton 64980
39017 Donald Trump 104441
39017 Hillary Clinton 56700
36085 Donald Trump 95612
36085 Hillary Clinton 67561
22071 Hillary Clinton 133833
22071 Donald Trump 24267
49049 Donald Trump 84863
49049 Hillary Clinton 22934
6097 Hillary Clinton 116027
6097 Donald Trump 37421
1097 Donald Trump 91087
1097 Hillary Clinton 68429
51087 Hillary Clinton 93615
51087 Donald Trump 59674
5119 Hillary Clinton 89377
5119 Donald Trump 61182
1089 Donald Trump 89199
1089 Hillary Clinton 62435
34035 Hillary Clinton 83839
34035 Donald Trump 64640
18057 Donald Trump 87299
18057 Hillary Clinton 57214
42077 Hillary Clinton 77087
42077 Donald Trump 70285
12073 Hillary Clinton 91936
12073 Donald Trump 53777
12033 Donald Trump 88370
12033 Hillary Clinton 57114
37063 Hillary Clinton 118783
37063 Donald Trump 27879
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